BearNorth
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Everything posted by BearNorth
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PFF lost a good deal of credibility this week. Cook goes for 177 yards from scrimmage and they grade him in the low 50's. Wonder what game they were watching?
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Game week thread - Bengals at Bills (flexed to 1pm ET)
BearNorth replied to BillsFan619's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bengals cut loose Lou Anarumo, who is now with the Colts. he always seemed to have our number when we played the Bengals. Cinci is 31st in Run Defense, 32nd in pass defense, so this could be a shootout, probably why over/under is 53.5. Weather Channel is saying SUN AM snow 40% chance, high 28 degrees, but cold air mass dropping to 9 degrees at night. West winds off the lake 10-16 mph. -
There is a stats professor Massey who rates all the teams and their win probabilities. He has the Bills at 77% vs. Cinci; 57%@NE; 80%@ Cleve; 62% Eagles; 85% Jests, cross multiply and you get 18% probability of running the table. He also has the Pats losing to Bills and Ravens, so we get into tie breakers.
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Interesting - based on snap counts, Shavers was WR1 or 2 in this game.
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So What Was the Deal on the Penalty After the Pitt TD?
BearNorth replied to st pete gogolak's topic in The Stadium Wall
Pretty sure it was, for example if there's a defensive penalty on the TD, the scoring team can elect to try for two from the one I believe. Think it's the coaches decision to take the penalty on the PAT or on the kickoff. -
Around the League - Week 13 (no Bills stuff in this thread please)
BearNorth replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
You hire a stud NFL Defender as a head coach, guess what, he emphasizes defense, even tho he has some nice tools [Collins] on offense as well. -
Texas A&M WR KC Concepcion.....I hope he is on the Bills radar.
BearNorth replied to Special K's topic in The Stadium Wall
Is Jefferson going to get frustrated with the backslide in Minny? -
I think it's a school or section choice, for example CBA-Syracuse plays in the public playoffs [NYSPHSAA] and play Buffalo Bennett today at 6 PM at Cicero North Syracuse [so basically a home game for CBA-Syracuse). I know McQuaid from Rochester has played and won NYSPHSAA titles in the past. CBA Syracuse is actually ranked higher than St. Francis, but is not participating in the CHSAA playoffs.
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So from the depth chart it looks like our tackles will be Van Demark and either Lundt - 3 offensive snaps or Grable - 0 snaps (been on IR). and they are facing a Pittsburgh Edge rotation of Nick Herbig PFF #5 ED, Alex Highsmith PFF #17 ED and TJ Watt PFF #31 ED [but usually a top 5 ED]. Add in Cam Heyward #1 DI in the middle and our OL is going to have a very rough day. Expect a lot of two TE + FB sets and I would say a low scoring game.
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Thanksgiving Day game thread (no Bills stuff please)
BearNorth replied to aristocrat's topic in The Stadium Wall
So in this scenario, If we beat Pittsburgh on Sunday, that gives Cinci motivation to beat us the following week, Football is a wonderful game, Teams are punished for doing the right thing. -
@ PIT Bengals @NE '@Browns Eagles Jets The way we are playing, and as dinged up as we are; now on both sides of the Ball; to get to 11 we need to get 4 wins out of this list. Food for thought. Not gonna be easy.
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We lead the league in rushing yards, tenth in passing yards, third in total yards [only 7 ypg behind the leader], and we all complain about the offense. The problem is our #16 ranked defense, and our head coach is a supposed defensive guru.
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Random talking head says something about the Bills
BearNorth replied to Simon's topic in The Stadium Wall
Other problem is when you have a top 5 QB who is no longer on a rookie contract, you are constrained by the cap as far as what you can pay WR's OL or invest in the Defense. Also noticed that Mahomes Cap hit for 2026 right now is $78 Million - Up $50 Million from his 2025 number. Imagine there will be some capology magic in the off-season there. -
180 WR snaps so far this season.
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Sadly he's our 4th highest graded receiver after Shakir, Coleman [who's in the doghouse], and Palmer. Yikes
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Spencer Brown begins to cost serious money starting in 2026. He has only made it through the full 17 games once in his 5 years in the league. Are there real durability concerns here? He's a tough nasty mauler, but I do worry that we lose him at key spots in the schedule.
