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Everything posted by billsfan89
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Although people will B word about it at least CB2 is a very real need for the defense, probably one of its few truest intimidate needs. I wouldn't be shocked to see the Bills make that pick. But I would hope they have at least added talent to the WR position via free agency and then go in round 2 and 3 and find some supplemental pass catchers.
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The Colts could be back in Super Bowl contention next year considering they have an extra 2nd round pick and 100+ million in cap space. They have Luck, They have an O-line, Mack is a legit RB, and TY and Ebron are two high end targets. They could use some supplemental targets for Luck and a lot of help on defense. But they have the draft picks and the cap space to fill most or even all of those needs. For the first time in his career they have a good GM who has addressed the O-line and put them in a position to acquire a lot of talent both via the draft and free agency. I could see the Colts making big moves on defense like signing Clowney away from the Texans and possibly trading for Jalen Ramsey.
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Thoughts on not making Anthony Lynn our HC?
billsfan89 replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Lynn is an odd case. He didn't have a very prestigious coaching career before the Bills. He was a running backs coach for a bunch of teams (None for more than 2 seasons) before becoming an assistant head coach/running backs coach for the Jets the last few years Rex was there (Well after the Jets back to back AFC title games appearances.) Lynn came is as the running backs coach and assistant head coach for the Bills in 2015. Lynn got promoted to OC a few weeks into the 2016 season and the offense performed about as well as it did in 2015 under Roman (good running game, low turnovers, some passing offense here or there, but a limited passing game against better defenses.) Lynn was also the intern head coach for a game or two in 2016. There was nothing about Lynn's resume or 2016 performance that screamed that he would be a head coaching candidate let alone a good head coach in the league. I can't fault the Bills for not hiring him, he didn't have a great resume or results here. -
Dam that sucks. Smith and The Redskins were having a good season probably could have won the division. They probably have to move on from Smith long term too despite the fact that they probably had 2-3 high-end years of Smith left. I hope Smith recovers but this could be a career ender or at the very least an injury that ends both his 2018 and 2019 seasons.
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Doesn't California have issues with drought that makes the conditions for large fires to happen easier? I think it might not be an apples to apples comparison to North Carolina. Just to be clear I don't know if specific policies have made the conditions worse but it seems like the droughts have made the conditions different from a lot of other states.
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The only truly negative scenario is Allen gets hurt. At worst the coaching staff gets to see what Allen's weaknesses are and what he needs to work on. At best Allen improves and shows you what he can build on. There is very minimal risk as injury is always a constant factor when deciding to play players. Now I will say if Allen has any minimal injury risk from his current injury don't play him, sit him out for another week or two as needed. There is the long term picture to think of and Barkley can try and build on a strong game. But if Allen is healthy throw him out there.
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Is this a playoff team with Tyrod?
billsfan89 replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The team would certainly be better with Tyrod but not that much better. Lets assume they have the same roster with Tyrod (I don't think they get Edumonds but for sake of argument)I think they win the Texans game with Tyrod and they certainly are more competitive in games but I don't see another game they win with Tyrod, that's puts them at 4-6 instead of 3-7. At 4-6 the team facing a soft back 6 games could possibly get to 9-7 by finishing 5-1 and 9-7 might be enough to get the 6th seed. That being said with or without Tyrod I don't see the team going 9-7. Once again I don't doubt Tyrod makes this team better but only marginally better and this team will likely finish with 5-7 wins without Tyrod and they probably only get one more win with Tyrod and they are far more than 1 game out of a playoff spot by the time the season ends. -
Derek Anderson Good for Josh Allen?
billsfan89 replied to Miracle Bills's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Anderson provides a stable veteran hand. He knows how to be a leader and knows how to prepare for games, he should at the very least be the third string QB/QB player coach next season. After that I am not sure if Barkley is the backup. As others have mentioned Barkley just played good in one game against a bad team that came out flat. Not exactly a lot to proclaim anything. I wouldn't be opposed to bringing back Barkley next season to be the backup but I think options should be explored to find a more viable backup. -
Stevie was a borderline WR1 for a year or two. Stevie in 2010 put up 82 Receptions, 1000+ yards and 10 TD's when David Nelson and Donald Jones were the other WR's on the roster and Fitz was the QB. Dude was really legit for a few years. But I agree the team needs a dynamic receiver I think there are some good receivers out on the market but not a number 1. Zay I don't see as a player that can develop to a WR1, at best he could be a high end WR2. Ideally I would like to see Tate and Emmanuel Sanders join Zay as starters then the team drafts a WR in round 1 or 2 to add some depth and be inline to take over for the two vets in 2020 or beyond. Tate and Sanders would probably cost 25 million total but the limited commitment to Sanders whose 12.4 million expires makes me more willing to commit that amount to the position. They also have plenty of cap space to add those two players and make a big addition or two on the O-line while maybe being able to fit in a defensive player if they so desire without impacting the long term cap picture.
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I don't think the Falcons would trade Julio. The Falcons offense is special because of Julio who will turn 30 next season which means he probably has 2-3 more elite years left. Ridley is good but they need Julio to compete in the short term. Matty Ice is turning 34 next year and their window to win with him isn't super wide so they can't afford to dump 2-3 years of elite receiver play for a draft pick and some cap space. Don't get me wrong I would love Julio but I just don't think it adds up.
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The free agent crop of WR's isn't stellar, Golden Tate, Devin Funchess, John Brown, and Tyrell Williams are pretty decent options and anyone of those players would represent an upgrade but I don't consider any of those players to be number one receivers. Although the team likely will sign one of those players the team likely needs more help at receiver. Who are some players that might be available via trade that you think the Bills should take a look at to bolster the WR core? I would love to see the Bills trade a mid round pick for Emmanuel Sanders, I am not sure a mid round pick would do it but if Denver goes full rebuild it might end up being a possibility. Sanders is a high end WR2 and his contract expires after 2019, it would be a good one year rental to sign Sanders and avoid having to overexpose a rookie WR year one. Adding Tate or Funchess via free agency and pairing them up with Sanders and having Zay be WR3 while drafting a rookie high to be depth and take over for Sanders in 2020 is an ideal scenario. Sanders has a high 12.4 million dollar cap hit for 2019 but then completely expires in 2020 so the commitment is limited. Plan B on the trade block would be Mohammed Sanu. If Zay Jones finishes the year super strong maybe the need goes from needing a WR1 and WR2 to needing a WR1 and a WR3. Sanu would come in and fill the WR3 position. Sanu only makes 7.4 on the cap in 2019 and his deal comes with a limited cap hit in 2020 if the team has younger players developing behind him. Other possibilities include. Marvin Jones (I could see the Lions drafting heavy at WR and dumping Jones salary) Will Fuller (Often injured and D.Thomas is there as the WR2, could see the Texans taking offers) Kevin White (Might be cut but easily could be had for a 7th on the last year of his rookie contract) M.Bryant (Oakland seems to be on a fire sale, not sure Bryant fits the process though even if he is a burner type the team could use) Devante Parker (Fins clearly want to trade him not sure they would do so in the division, high price tag on his 5th year option too.) Deshaun Jackson (Could Tampa just be going full youth movement if they move on from Winston, might make Jackson available) Who are the receivers that you would want the Bills to target via trade?
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In regards to public debt its really complicated, we owe nearly as much as we are owed. I have no clue how public debt works, I only made the point to say that the system of public debt is complicated using that one point to illustrate simply that this ***** is complicated. As far as the liabilities my point was not that the Social Security system and earned benefits programs don't have serious issues but rather like with anything involving accounting you can screw with numbers to get bigger totals. The social security system is facing a big crisis I will not dispute that. Any solution will have to require something painful. Although there is a hyperbolic sense of doom as the worst case scenario is a 20% cut to benefits not the collapse of the whole system (Although a 20% cut for many seniors is a serious crisis for them not trying to downplay that.) Some combination of benefits cuts, raising the retirement age, raising the cap to which the payroll tax is applied, means testing the program, or a modest increase to payroll taxes or a national VAT tax will be needed. To my original point about the 100+ Trillion owed is that the number is not entirely accurate although the sentiment behind it is.
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We would owe that number to people in retirement if Social Security followed the standards of private pension systems, it currently does not, it does not need to have the same overrun and investment liquidity standards that a private pension system does. There are outstanding liabilities that are very seriously concerning but not to that amount. As far as links for the 80 cents number I put them below. General numbers about the money owed to the US https://www.titlemax.com/discovery-center/money-finance/debts-owed-by-the-us-and-owed-to-the-us/ https://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/10-countries-that-owe-the-us-the-most-money-545585/ Specific number in 2011 the US owed 18.4 Trillion to the world and is owed 15 trillion from the world. If you want more recent numbers it will take me some time to find it. https://www.firstpost.com/world/get-this-world-owes-us-nearly-as-much-it-owes-world-74314.html
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I wouldn't be opposed to it. Dude has earned it. In 2020 he will be 32 which is an age where edge rushers can still be productive (Typically pass rushers fall off the cliff at 32-33) a one year extension which might bump him up slightly in 2019 and give him some guaranteed money (I would say guarantee 40-50% of his salary that year and give him a 10-15% raise in 2019) in 2020 would work for both parties. But he is at least going to be under contract for 2019.
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Hughes is under contract for 2019, so I wouldn't worry about him not being here next season.
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If I were advising the Dems on taxes I would push to eliminate many of the corporate tax deductions and raise the corporate rate to 25% while restoring the previous tax rates on the top 2 brackets. Keep the Trump rates on the lower, middle, and upper middle tax rates while upping the SALT cap to 50k so that actual middle and upper middle class people in Blue states see a tax cut. Then propose a desperately needed infrastructure plan with the money restored from the tax restructuring. Adding more tax cuts isn't addressing the issues of infrastructure and investment that is needed. Public debt is ***** confusing. For every dollar the US owes other nations the US is owed 80 cents from other nations. Also unfunded liability numbers are misleading as that uses standards implemented from the private sector which isn't the model Social Security operates in. That's not to say that public programs like SS won't be a problem but the way those numbers are framed is misleading.
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McyD a coach of the year candidate?
billsfan89 replied to Hebert19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
4-2 would be a hell of a run but that's the best I could see them doing honestly. The Pats will need that game and I trust Tom Brady in a grind it out defensive struggle more than Allen at this stage of their careers so while I don't rule out the team winning its not very likely. I also think you underestimate the fluky nature of the NFL. In 6 games your team is likely to come out flat one game or run into a much better gameplan. Plus a rookie QB is likely to have a bad game or two which kills your chances of a 6 game winning streak. The Bills are simply in too big of a hole to make a serious run. Had they won the Texans game (Which would put them at 4-6) I would have given this team an outside shot to go 5-1 to finish the year 10-6 and possibly get into the playoffs. But 5-1 puts this team at 8-8 and even 6-0 puts them at 9-7. Looking at the AFC playoff picture the Chargers are likely going to finish 10-6 or better and take the first wildcard. The Titans and Bengals are both sitting at 5-4 and odds are one of them will get to 9-7. So 8-8 isn't likely to get you in. I am more so hoping for strong player development as the season ends. Give me the young defensive players and Teller, Zay, and Allen all playing well in 3-4 wins and I will be happy going into next season when the team can add some pieces to the offense maybe add a piece to complete the defense and go for a run in 2019. -
His time to step back into coaching was maybe 7-8 years ago. Right now I think the game has probably passed him by. He hasn't coached in well over a decade so I don't see why he would be such a desired commodity. Then again Gruden was hired on a massive deal after 10 years out of the game so who the ***** knows what some crazy owner would do to poach a "Big Name" coach.
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Occasi-Cortez Channeling the Rent's too damn high guy
billsfan89 replied to bdutton's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
If you followed my logic and read my posts you would see that the defense wasn't of AOC but rather mocking people who think that because someone doesn't have the funds to make a rather expensive move to Washington DC that means they are unqualified. You can point to a lot of AOC's lack of experience and some of her more out there policy positions as evidence she is in over her head. I was just stating that attacking her on this one particular ground was unfounded. I agree with the above comment; nevertheless, the all-time purveyor of moronic comments has to be Maxine Waters, perennially elected Congressperson from CA. Rumor has it she actually watches CNN. I am not saying morons don't exist on the left but rather pointing out that saying the left elects idiots while true isn't something exclusive to the left as there are plenty of examples or right wing morons. -
Big board at this stage is a bit useless. Not only is there still some college ball left but there is the pre-draft process which will shake up the board.
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Its about player development. There isn't likely to be a playoff run, even if they run the table 9 wins might not get the team in. And the odds of running the table are low to begin with. So yes each win lowers draft positioning but if winning games means the young players like Teller, Zay, Allen, Edumonds, Milano, Phillips and the rest of the young blue chip guys play well then its a positive thing. Odds are the team wins somewhere in the range to 2-4 games the rest of the way which would put the team at 5-7 wins in a very Billsy form of mediocrity.
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The Jets are actually a very attractive option in terms of a head coaching job. They have a young QB, some young pieces on defense, and they have a ton of cap space to go along with a high draft pick. Any coach could come in with somewhat low expectations year one and do well. Cleveland, Seattle, and Green Bay are all obviously good places for a coach to land. The Browns will still have a ton of cap space and they have a young QB with a good defense. While any coach in Seattle or Green Bay inherits dam good QB's.