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Everything posted by billsfan89
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Mock Draft Has Bills Selecting At #1.....
billsfan89 replied to Bill from NYC's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
They would pull a move similar to what the Titans did the year after they drafted Marcus M. I will say this that the Bills do have the worst QB situation in the league and aren't very talented overall on the offensive side of the football. That being said the defense has top 10 potential. I am not sure the Bills will be bad enough for a top 5 pick unless injuries crush the team. But I do think that this team will likely be a 5-7 win team. As good as the defense could be the offense could be worse. That's not to say that I am not optimistic about the teams future. But rather that 2018 is a transitional year. There was significant draft capital given up to trade up for Allen (Glenn and picks 53 and 56) and the front office is eating a lot of dead cap this year to pay for the sins of the previous administration as well as some of their own doing (Wood extension.) But the foundational pieces are there at many key positions and the team will have a windfall of cap space to restructure the roster as needed in 2019 while having a shot at a long-term franchise QB. But 2018 my optimism is not there. The O-line, QB and skill position situations just aren't that good and on the defensive side of the ball the pass rush is a question mark. Overall I think the trades to get Allen, Edumonds and the dead cap have compromised the roster a bit too much for the team to be successful in 2018. -
Tremaine Edmunds vs Gronk
billsfan89 replied to Happy Days Lois & Clark's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
For the first time in forever the Bills might actually have a good coverage linebacker in Edumonds. Coverage LB's are really important to the modern game as they are the best defense against short and intermediate passes over the middle and in the flats. They are also key to snuffing out screens and stopping receiving running backs. In the modern NFL passing game tight ends, slot receivers and running backs are so critical to a passing offense and those are the types of players a good coverage linebacker can defend against. -
Problem is that LG spot and depending on how Miller fits with the new system the RG spot could both be big issues. Enough so that McBeane might have to take a chance on an O-line player if they offer an upgrade.
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2019 Cap Space- Where We Stand Today
billsfan89 replied to Midwest1981's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The Bills have a lot contracts that they could get rid of to open up cap space, if Shady has a really bad year they could also release him for another 6.4 million and Vald is another 2 million they could also cut. So the Bills have a lot of ability to open up capsapce. of Released Jerry Hughes (Saved: $7,500,000) Released Charles Clay (Saved: $4,500,000) Released Chris Ivory (Saved: $2,250,000) Released Russell Bodine (Saved: $2,375,000) Released Patrick DiMarco (Saved: $1,150,000) Released Andre Holmes (Saved: $1,450,000) -
Allen is a project and you don't want to throw a project QB like Allen behind this O-line with a less than stellar skill position core. Throw AJ to the wolves and let him take the hits. Hell I would rather throw Peterman out there before Allen, I don't want to !@#$ up a player's confidence by asking him to save a **** offense.
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There are 9 guards making 10 or more million now that this extension is in. That's directly a product in my mind of interior pass rushers rising to prominence and the lack of good O-line play due to changes in the college game. Guards used to be big maulers who didn't need to be dominant interior pass protectors. It was traditionally thought to be a fairly replaceable position. It used to be you could reliably get high-end starters in the 2nd and 3rd round to come in at a high percentage. Now that's not the case, the bust rates are higher on high picks and the importance of the position is higher.
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Offensive Line - Any Chance it Holds Up?
billsfan89 replied to BuffaloBaumer's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Dawkins at LT you can have confidence in, I honestly have confidence in Groy at Center and I think it is possible Miller has a rebound year at RG. But LG and RT are still a mess. Mills or Newhouse at RT isn't confidence inspiring, both are good backups but neither is a guy you want starting. LG is the weakest point as you have a 5th round rookie and a mediocre guard in Vlad. At best you can squint your eyes and see 3 spots on the o-line where the team has above average play at and that's with a player having a rebound season and a good backup playing well as a starter. On top of that isn't accounting for injury. I wouldn't put a project rookie like Allen behind this O-line and with a suspect receiving core. See what AJ could do with this team and let Allen chill. -
What If Rex Never Was Hired & Schwartz was The HC ?
billsfan89 replied to T master's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The defense would have been an elite unit for 2015 at least. I think that Schwartz gets one more decent year out of Mario, while Dareus, Hughes, and Kyle were playing at an elite level. The talent fits the scheme better and the defense stays a top 5 unit for 2015 and a top 10 unit for 2016. But the offense might still have been a mess. There is no guarantee that they trade for Shady, sign InCog (Who was huge in turning around the O-line) draft Miller (who was also big for the O-line in 2015 and 2016) sign Clay and sign Tyrod (Knock Tyrod all you want he was miles better than what Marrone was trotting out there) while also getting Roman to put together the offense. So as bad as Rex !@#$ed with the defense Roman and the big spending put together a pretty good offense. So if somehow Schwartz stayed and they put together the same offense then the Bills would have been an 11+ win team in 2015 but it is hard to project that forward. -
Just because Carson Wentz and a whole bunch of other QB's came in and started right away and was super successful doesn't mean that QB's who sit their first year are doomed for failure as shown by the numerous super successful top 10 picks that didn't start week 1 and went on to be fantastic QB's. Context is king.
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I am not too optimistic about the 2018 season, the offense is one huge issue and the pass rush on the defensive side of the football isn't inspiring. I think the 2018 season will be a so so one, 6-8 wins is what my expectations are. But the outlook for 2019 and beyond is great. The windfall of cap space in 2019 and the long-term prospects of Allen and the young talent on the roster makes me optimistic that once the cap sins of the past few years get cleared up that the team will have young talent and the ability to supplement the talent. So 2018 to me is a freebie year, McD was always a 3 year plan we just were way better in 2017 than everyone thought.
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We were never going get good value out of Robert Woods with our QB and surrounding talent. Granted Woods would be a nice number 2 on this roster but I just don't think paying him 8 million or more would have resulted in the necessary production that the team would have needed to justify that cap number. Woods is in a good system where he complements the QB so the Rams over paying for him isn't nearly as bad.
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At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I suggest you read up about the finical panics that occurred during the 19th century and the early 20th century when markets were very lightly regulated. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The USA and England's versions of unfettered capitalism weren't sustainable, the massive amounts of inequality and relative poverty resulted in the welfare state and regulations. Many modern capitalism practicing nations don't do the unfettered version of capitalism because the massive levels of inequality were not sustainable. "Property rights, private ownership, and individual rights are hallmarks of capitalism, not limitations of it." Completely agree I do not know how you could infer that I was characterizing those things as limitations. I was not implying that at all, I am a big fan of capitalism just not without some degree of oversight by the government. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
People love capitalism, the countries staunch Bernie Sanders voters prop up as great examples of socialism are capitalist nations. People don't like unfettered capitalism because it results in massive inequality that once it reaches a certain threshold isn't sustainable. The government's role is to shape the conditions to which a free market with property rights, private ownership, and individual rights against the government exist. I think 80% of people believe in some shape a government should take in balancing those conditions so that the markets do not run away to the point where massive inequality becomes an issue. The debate exists as to what degree and to what extent those conditions should be set. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
You do realize there is a middle ground between socialism and unfettered capitalism right? Do you honestly think someone saying hey maybe unfettered capitalism has some unintended consequences automatically means they are a socialist? That's an insane jump to conclusions. Capitalism is the most powerful force we have on this planet to generate wealth but left unchecked it ends up in a pyramid scheme were so few see that benefit. Capitalism is the powerful flow of a powerful river and the government are the dams and levees that keep the river from overflowing and flooding. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
How so? Unfettered capitalism encourages strong concentrations of wealth to a small number of people Employers broke unions through force, forced children into the labor market, abused employees all to the end of saving money. The Book The Jungle by Upton Sinclair is the result of unfettered capitalism. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Pure capitalism failings are a rapid deterioration of inequality that leads to a massive underclass of people who feel that they have nothing to lose so it ends up creating a deterioration of society. Pure Capitalism is insanely zero sum which has a chance to create the conditions for massive revolutions to occur. -
At what point do taxes become tyrrany?
billsfan89 replied to The_Dude's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
25% to pay for what the federal government does is a pretty sweet deal and hardly tyrannical. The largest Military on the planet, infrastructure, Space exploration, National Parks, Disaster relief, Healthcare for the elderly, Social Security, and so much else. Granted as you said you are not paying 25% but if you seriously think that living in a modern society with all those programs and earned benefits isn't worth a significant portion of your labor then you have an odd definition of tyranny. There is always a debate about how much is too much but the framing of your argument is a bit silly. My biggest issue with an ideology of libertarians is two-fold. 1- Libertarians place the same blind faith in free markets that socialists and communists place in the government. 2- Libertarians ignore the fact that most rules, regulations, and programs exist in response to the failings of the free market. Are there examples of government overreach and regulatory capture? Yes, that's why socialists and communists are stupid to think that the answer is always more government. But on the other end, the reason things like Environmental regulations exist is because the free market and private enterprise didn't give a !@#$ about pollution. Every time we roll back environmental regulations we eventually hear that the companies lower their standards and bad things happen. If the free market was the answer to the Environment then there wouldn't be instances of lower regulations leading to bigger problems. -
Eli Manning wrong pick, Phillip Rivers wrong pick, Carson Palmer wrong pick, Jared Goff wrong pick, and there are many other examples of QB's not playing right away that went on to be uber successful in the NFL. In fact there is evidence that sitting a QB for most of their rookie year is the best way to go. This has to be trolling.
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Allen is a project, he needs to mature in a lot of aspects of his game. Unless there is an injury or Allen performs dramatically better in camp/pre-season there should be no need to rush Allen into action. Allen might need 2 years to sit depending on how well the coaching staff is able to work with him.
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I don't think the Bills are going to take on Klein's (relatively) massive contract. Klein's deal averages out to 5 million per year, this team didn't want Preston Brown for a little less than that so I doubt they give up a draft pick to take on that contract. I think if Klein is released then the Bills would be very interested because he is a guy McD is probably familiar with and fits a need (outside of Milano and Edmunds who does the team have at LB?)
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Given USC QB's & Bills/USC History @ QB ...
billsfan89 replied to T master's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It's not unfair to question if a college system makes a QB light it up in the NCAA but won't translate into the NFL. Granted you have to take a look at this in a short span of time, who cares if a QB from X college was a bust in the 80's when the NFL and college games were rapidly different. What type of system the college runs and what type of talent the college puts around a QB are factors too consider. It is one of many factors that I think scouts and organizations should consider. There is a reason why certain colleges produce certain types of position players more so than other ones (Coaches, systems, competition levels, etc.) -
Make 3 predictions for the 2018 Bills.
billsfan89 replied to GreggTX's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Negatives 1- Shady will not reach 1,000 rush yards. 2- Josh Allen will be rushed into action by week 9 in order to try and inject some life into a lifeless offense. 3- The Bills will not make the playoffs. Positives 1- The defense will be a top 10 or close unit in the league responsible for most of the team's success. 2- Haush will continue to be money in the kicking game. 3- Edumonds will be in the conversation for DROY 4- The secondary will be fantastic again. -
The supplemental draft, is there anyone in there for us?
billsfan89 replied to Tipster19's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
WR would be a fantastic need to fill but I only have heard about that CB that's available. I wouldn't mind using a high non-1st round pick on a CB if that player would have been a 1st round prospect had he declared or been able to declare. Corner isn't a huge need but outside of White I am not too enthused about what this team has. Vonta is a good reclamation project but coming off some injuries and only on a one year deal. There really isn't a proven nickel corner on the team either. -
Shady on verge of cementing HoF status?
billsfan89 replied to Buffalo716's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
6 1000 yard seasons with 2 additional 800 plus yard seasons that were only held down under 1000 yards due to missing 4 games both of those seasons. That's in addition to over 3000 receiving yards. McCoy has been one of the best starting running backs for 8 straight seasons. That to me is HOF worth regardless of what he does to end his career. What more do you want than nearly a decade of a player being one of the best if not the best at his position? Is one more good season the difference?