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Bond market follower for years leads me to an Occam's razor view, because there is no single data point that argues against it. The Fed is more inclined to lower rates than otherwise. Neutral now, but certainly mort likely to lower than raise. That makes the $ less in demand.

Happy 4th of July to the half of the US that actually like this country. To the other half, LOL!!!!!

It's like this. When you are in a hole, do you sit there and say woe is me, or do you start climbing out? Most people only have a cursory knowledge of the Sabres: PLAYOFF DROUGHT! And from that they assume everything about the team is horrible. It isn't. They have good players. They have drafted well. They were 9th in the league in scoring. Their problem is much like the Bills last year; they are bad on defense and give up too many goals. So they are adding better D and players with grit this year. Now they did lose a scorer in JJ Peterka that they haven't fully replaced. The wild card is Josh Norris who they traded for last year. His rep is as a scorer but he's been injured a lot. Do you remember the Bills drought? This is the same thing. The Bills were never the worst, they were just bad enough. And one magical year, they caught a break and broke the drought. I'm hoping the same happens this year. But being miserable all the time just gives me an ulcer and doesn't have any impact on what happens on the ice.

Trump 2.0 is a Wrecking Ball. And he’s wrecking the right stuff. Glenn Harlan Reynolds Less than six months ago, I wrote: The Left Gave Us Trump 2.0. And they’re not going to like it. https://instapundit.substack.com/p/the-left-gave-us-trump-20? Right after the election, I wrote that Trump was going to come in like a wrecking ball. https://instapundit.substack.com/p/like-a-wrecking-ball Boy, did I nail it, or what? With the passage of the “Big Beautiful Bill,” Trump has crushed a lot of Democratic dreams and plans, and — as I predicted right after the election — he’s also starting to lay an institutional foundation for Republicans. The Big, Beautiful Bill is more big than it is beautiful, but the only way to get the changes that were needed through without a filibuster was through reconciliation. And the changes got through, and that is beautiful. It’s just the reality of our system that to get things done you have to buy votes. Elon Musk, Rand Paul, Thomas Massie, et al. don’t like that, and they’re not exactly wrong not to like it, they’re just wrong to think that we could have gotten what was needed any other way. {snip} My suggestion for the GOP is that they now start hitting the Democrats with single-subject bills that will have to be voted up or down, and that will be very politically expensive for Democrats to oppose, when they’re clearly presented without a lot of extraneous legislative cover. Will some of them be filibustered? Maybe, but if they are, the Democrats look bad. (And if they’re really important bills, the GOP can drop the filibuster with a majority, as the Democrats did already.) At any rate, as we go into the Fourth of July weekend, remember that it’s not just a calendar date, but that it’s really Independence Day. And especially this year. https://instapundit.substack.com/p/trump-20-is-a-wrecking-ball?r=9bg2k&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&triedRedirect=true

That was my back of the envelope calculation. I got my statement for the 2nd quarter by e-mail today. My gain was 8.01 %!

So he Knox'd his wife up Sorry it's all I got 🤷🏻‍♂️

Don’t get me wrong. I’m not blaming the Bills here. I suspect they definitely looked into it. You can read into that what you will. For me, it means they weren’t all that concerned.

Good advice above. I’m old enough to remember Yankees bleacher tix being $1.50–we were incensed when they doubled them to $3! Totally agree on the downtown advice—I’ve been an uptown/UWS guy most of my life (preference-wise; I’ve lived in the ‘burbs for ages), but only recently discovered downtown (thanks, kids!) Great bookstores, restaurants/bars/cafes, shops, vintage movie theaters, Washington Square park, etc. I go in and hang there most weekends. And there’s a Wegmans on Astor Place. Off the beaten path, non-sports suggestions— Central Park—just walking around from any entrance. Museums—world-class. Met (most variety), Guggenheim/MoMA/Whitney—all more modern, Frick House—older stuff. My favorite part of living here. Yakitori Totto—55th and 8th. Great Japanese izikaya bar food. Meat skewers. Great stuff. Not cheap, but not super expensive either. The kind of place you don’t find often outside Japan. Broadway/Off-Broadway—world class theater. You can do a month visiting here and still not see it all—enjoy!

Brody Dalle! Tal Wilkenfeld

Although I don't generally encourage the practice, it's always good for a laugh when someone quotes Billsfuk.c and I see his lame attempts to tag me. Number of tags I'm notified about: Zero point zero. On second thought maybe I should change my settings so I get notified about the tags and then complain to mods about excessive tagging like the King did? Nah, because that would require me to actually complain to mods about anything for the first time in 20 plus years. Sorry, still on full ignore Billsfuk.c.

Great statement on Gutfeld last night: "Libs shed crocodile tears over Alligator Alcatraz."

@PromoTheRobot I give you props for continuing to always remain positive about the Sabres, and I don’t mean that in a snarky way. I try to be a person who looks for the positives but my hope tank for the Sabres is bone dry. lol

Yet another story where the media/left told you not to trust your powers of observation lest you be dubbed a conspiracy theorist. See also: Biden, Joe, cheap fakes. Our very own RoundyMao loves to loudly support these obviously fake narratives with his hair on fire only to eventually take another massive L when the reliable media quietly admits it was always real/true. Then he moves on to the next one.

Why would you file a civil suit if the defendant didn't have any money? It's perfectly logical that if she was assaulted that any adequate restitution would have to involve the other party having what you deem worthy of adequate restitution in the form of money. I don't know any of these individuals personally so jumping to a conclusion to defend either person is foolhardy at this point.

Los Angeles - MAGA hotbed! Truly a magnificent sight.

The NFL also invited him to the draft now that I think about it. I get what you're saying though. I don't know the extent of the Bills investigation. Were they even allowed to talk to the girl that's currently filing the suit?

Happy Birthday America! I hope everyone outside of the bbq, beer, and most importantly family! Let’s not forget why we are celebrating today. Enjoy

As far as we know, you’re correct that only two people were there. And it’s possible that these two people interpreted the same series of events differently. I do find the timing of suit filing, shortly after the guy signed a multimillion dollar contract, a little suspicious.

my snarky side says what and destroy all evidence of the crime! *sigh* Trust me I know what you meant so hypothetically a Long hot shower to wash it all off and POOF evidence gone. But it never happened because it's not here anymore there is No Proof what a Slut low class Liar . GOLDDIGGER SMH

Let's look back at 2020 and remember when California patriots said FU to their authoritarian governor.

Even Lurch knows how bigly the modern democrat sucks.

Understood but….That’s not what I asked. The NFL’s public relations exposure here doesn’t come anywhere close to the Bills exposure. Being invited to the combine doesn’t mean you’re getting drafted and certainly not in the 1st Round.

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