AFC playoff race

[Dick_Cheney]

  On 12/22/2024 at 3:44 PM, Brand J said:

Baltimore has put up historic numbers offensively this year. Anyone saying they’re fine with playing them in the playoffs and seeing King Henry again, careful what you wish for. 

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I genuinely believe they are the only team that will beat us in the playoffs if we have to play them.

[djp14150]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:44 AM, Donuts and Doritos said:

I'm a big Pitt fan the next 2 weeks. Do not want to see the Ravens.

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IF PIT W division, BAL can be anything from 5 to 7 seed.

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:47 AM, Dick_Cheney said:

I genuinely believe they are the only team that will beat us in the playoffs if we have to play them.

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In the playoffs — anyone can beat anyone else.  Holding teams to FG/ no scores and winning the TO battle usually decide things.

 

[TFBillsfan]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:45 AM, djp14150 said:

draft order 
 

1st OA is now in Giants hands with 2 Ws

JAX, LV , NE, CLE , TEN, all at 3 W .
—-TEN/ JAX will be SOS so it comes to non common games JAX( CLE, PHL, LV) TEN ( NE, LAC, WAS). JAX looks to have edge.

CAR, CHI, jets at 4 W

 

First tiebreaker is strength of schedule 

second is coin toss. If 3 are tied they will do something like roll a dice where each of 3 teams have opposite sides

 

ill have to calculate these all 

With KC,  BAL and PIT on Xmas— they will know before they take the field against the jeys if thry locked #2.

KC best PI?t and hou beat balt locks buffalo into #2 seed

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Possible but not expecting Hou to beat Baltimore with all the injuries Hou has.

[JohnNord]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:20 AM, MikePJ76 said:

Not sure but that would eliminate Denver and Miami I believe.   I also think The colts get in if they get to 9 along with those other teams.

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Yes I did this exact scenario the other day.  If the Colts win out and Denver loses out, the Colts make the playoffs.  They have a tiebreaker over Miami and Cincy.  
 

It’s all moot though because I think Denver gets in.  

[djp14150]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:54 AM, TFBillsfan said:

Possible but not expecting Hou to beat Baltimore with all the injuries Hou has.

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Houston is at home …that can matter. Thry have a good defense.

[djp14150]

early notes on week 18 schedule…

 

MIN/DET is the early NBC favorite

 

IF Bills W, KC L then bills could play at 425 

 

If ATL is tied or one game behind TB then they both play at same time.

 

IF rams L and SEA W then SEA/ Rams is a late Saturday/ Sunday candidate 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Dr.Sack]

Everything is shaping up as I expected. Get ready for the Steelers to roll KC on Xmas. 

[Gman10]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:32 AM, TFBillsfan said:

I think Baltimore wins out, with a strong possibility Pitt and Denver lose out. 
 

Bills will need to win one more game to secure the two seed.

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we (I) don't want Bills as 2 and Ravens as 3. Ravens, then KC before SB is a tough road

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:54 AM, TFBillsfan said:

Possible but not expecting Hou to beat Baltimore with all the injuries Hou has.

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And Stroud's odd uncontrollable crying

[Gman10]

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:15 AM, TFBillsfan said:

Who gets the 7th seed if Den, Indy, MIA and  Cinncy all finish with 9 wins? That seems highly possible.

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You think Bangles beat Broncos? 

[Bills!Win!]

Whatever scenario plays out, we need Baltimore to some how knock of KC in round 2 

[Straight Hucklebuck]

  On 12/23/2024 at 3:19 AM, Gman10 said:

You think Bangles beat Broncos? 

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Both Indianapolis and the Dolphins re-passed the Bengals today.

 

Colts have Giants and Jaguars left.

 

Dolphins have Browns and Jets left. 
 

If just one of those teams wins out, the Bengals can’t jump them. 

[JohnNord]

  On 12/23/2024 at 2:03 AM, djp14150 said:

Houston is at home …that can matter. Thry have a good defense.

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Their defense is very much overrated as we saw on Saturday

[Generic_Bills_Fan]

  On 12/23/2024 at 4:51 AM, JohnNord said:

Their defense is very much overrated as we saw on Saturday

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They got reffed against kc a bit 😂. Couple bs drive extenders in that one 

[TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th]

  On 12/23/2024 at 4:22 AM, Bills!Win! said:

Whatever scenario plays out, we need Baltimore to some how knock of KC in round 2 

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Baltimore probably wins the division and plays buffalo in the second round

[Mikie2times]

 

 

  On 12/23/2024 at 4:51 AM, JohnNord said:

Their defense is very much overrated as we saw on Saturday

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They have one of the best defenses in football. 

 

77 for 133, average of 197 yards, 7 TD and 10 INT's vs Allen, Love, Tua, and Goff. 

 

Lowest pass completion % in a game since 1970, setting the record twice in the same season. 

 

Just because KC played them well doesn't invalidate some really elite games they have had against good teams

 

 

  

Edited December 23, 2024 by Mikie2times

[gonzo1105]

If you want a better chance of avoiding Baltimore in the Divisional round you are really pulling for Pittsburgh over Kansas City and Houston over Baltimore. If Houston can beat Baltimore it gives them the tiebreaker for the 3 seed over Baltimore with the H2H and they would have the same record. Obviously a Pittsburgh win is two fold, keeps Baltimore in the WC spot and helps the Bills have a chance at the 1 seed.

  On 12/23/2024 at 1:57 AM, JohnNord said:

Yes I did this exact scenario the other day.  If the Colts win out and Denver loses out, the Colts make the playoffs.  They have a tiebreaker over Miami and Cincy.  
 

It’s all moot though because I think Denver gets in.  

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Correct, and the only way the Bengals make it is if Denver loses out, Indy loses one, and Miami loses one.

[billsfan89]

The Bills at least have a very good track at sealing up the two seed. A win in either remaining game or a Baltimore and Steelers loss puts the Bills in the two seed. There's still an outside shot at the one seed. Bills have to win out which shouldn't be an issue although back to back division games is never an easy task. Then of course KC has to lose out and while KC plays a very good Steelers team and a Broncos team that's decent and possibly playing to play in the playoffs the Chiefs most likely will at least split those games. Still the win against the Pats keeps the 1 seed a possibility while also putting the Bills in a very strong position to be the two seed which is very important. 

[JohnNord]

  On 12/23/2024 at 5:29 AM, Mikie2times said:

 

 

 

They have one of the best defenses in football. 

 

77 for 133, average of 197 yards, 7 TD and 10 INT's vs Allen, Love, Tua, and Goff. 

 

Lowest pass completion % in a game since 1970, setting the record twice in the same season. 

 

Just because KC played them well doesn't invalidate some really elite games they have had against good teams

 

 

  

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Your stats are a bit deceiving.  
 

Goff thew 5 INT in one game.  That takes ratio to 7 TD and 5 INT.  Oh and Houston still lost this game.  

 

Allen passed for 131 playing in a game with a broken hand and without his best WR.  It still took a band sequence at the end for Buffalo to lose.  

 

Jordan Love was working his way back from injury and Houston still lost.

 

So that leaves 1 game against Tua.  
 

I don’t think their defense is as “elite” as you.  
 

But I guess we'll find out in 3 days against Baltimore.  

 

  On 12/23/2024 at 5:36 AM, gonzo1105 said:

If you want a better chance of avoiding Baltimore in the Divisional round you are really pulling for Pittsburgh over Kansas City and Houston over Baltimore. If Houston can beat Baltimore it gives them the tiebreaker for the 3 seed over Baltimore with the H2H and they would have the same record. Obviously a Pittsburgh win is two fold, keeps Baltimore in the WC spot and helps the Bills have a chance at the 1 seed.

 

Correct, and the only way the Bengals make it is if Denver loses out, Indy loses one, and Miami loses one.

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Sure - but I don’t think either of the scenarios happen.  Then again, I didn’t think Buffalo would only beat NE by 3 points

Edited December 23, 2024 by JohnNord

[harryS]

We should be rooting for the Chiefs to beat the Steelers on Christmas, thus eliminating the Bills from 1-seed "contention" and allowing us to rest as many players as we want in Week 18.

 

The 14-1 Chiefs are not going to all of a sudden go 0-2 against mediocre teams with the 1 seed on the line.  That's not even pot or cocaine thinking, it's LSD.

 

The Chiefs will get the 1-seed and the bye and the best way to combat that is for the Bills to get our own de facto bye in Week 18.

[Gman10]

  On 12/23/2024 at 4:31 AM, Straight Hucklebuck said:

Both Indianapolis and the Dolphins re-passed the Bengals today.

 

Colts have Giants and Jaguars left.

 

Dolphins have Browns and Jets left. 
 

If just one of those teams wins out, the Bengals can’t jump them. 

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I know. But he said Bangles win out is highly possible. Im just shocked he thinks Bangles beat Broncos, am I missing something?