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2022 Mid-Terms - All Races, Polls, and Russian Interference


Big Blitz

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12 hours ago, reddogblitz said:

 

Screw Mark Jacob and you for using these brave men who fought and many lost their lives fighting for America against Germany and Japan to try to make cheap political points.

Screw you too a-hole! The knew they were fighting anti-democratic forces, and they won. They didn't win to have a scum bag party like these election deniers try and ruin our democracy. 

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1 hour ago, Tiberius said:

Screw you too a-hole! The knew they were fighting anti-democratic forces, and they won. They didn't win to have a scum bag party like these election deniers try and ruin our democracy. 

You really are a pos. The last two years have been a preview of what the left wants. People like the idiot tibs and billstime. They are the worst of the worst. Blindly following the Marxist left wing nut jobs who are now in control.

The end is near for the radical left and they know it.

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18 minutes ago, Westside said:

You really are a pos. The last two years have been a preview of what the left wants. People like the idiot tibs and billstime. They are the worst of the worst. Blindly following the Marxist left wing nut jobs who are now in control.

The end is near for the radical left and they know it.

Oh you shut up 

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928e8c26-cc42-4eea-98d9-092eedea33e0-860

 

 

Democrat Candidates Don’t Want Biden Anywhere Near Close Races. 

 

“Where has President LOLEightyonemillion recently been?

 

Bumbling around in places where the Democrats either aren’t going to win or don’t need any help at all.

 

And, as always, embarrassing himself and the country.”

 

https://pjmedia.com/columns/stephen-kruiser/2022/11/03/the-morning-briefing-dem-candidates-dont-want-biden-anywhere-near-close-races-n1642320

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

                                      mc_parrot_web.jpg

 

 

 

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19 minutes ago, Tiberius said:

There is a lot of noise coming from Liberals like the following. No way to know how true it is, but they seem optimistic: 

 

 

Just passing this along: 

 

 

 

Things are lining up nicely for liberals! You should probably order some party platters for Tuesday night. Looking good!!

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Well, not looking good for the good guys, but who knows. 

Quote

 

Democrats across the country scrambled Thursday to bolster candidates in places President Biden carried safely in 2020, the latest sign of panic that they could face major losses in next week’s midterm elections.

Vice President Harris and former secretary of state Hillary Clinton held a joint rally in an effort to rescue New York Gov. Kathy Hochul (D), who faces a close race in a state Republicans haven’t won in two decades. Biden traveled to New Mexico and Southern California to support vulnerable Democratic incumbents — bypassing Arizona and Nevada, where officials fear he could be a drag on senators in tight races. Biden and Harris plan to spend part of the weekend in Illinois, boosting House candidates in suburban districts that have been trending back toward Republicans since 2020.

As Republicans have focused on inflation and crime to go on offense in Democratic territory over the past month — competing in traditionally blue districts in California, Oregon, New York, Illinois and elsewhere — there’s a growing sense among Democrats that there’s little they can do at this point to combat the combined forces of history and economics.

 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/11/03/democrats-midterm-election-fears/

One House Democratic strategist said that if Democrats hold 200 to 205 seats, they will consider it a good night. If the party ends up with 190 seats or less — a loss of 30 seats that would require several districts Biden carried by double-digits to flip — that would reflect a big red wave, said the strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.

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3 hours ago, Tiberius said:

Well, not looking good for the good guys, but who knows. 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/11/03/democrats-midterm-election-fears/

One House Democratic strategist said that if Democrats hold 200 to 205 seats, they will consider it a good night. If the party ends up with 190 seats or less — a loss of 30 seats that would require several districts Biden carried by double-digits to flip — that would reflect a big red wave, said the strategist, who spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.

Here’s the question that I have. Maybe you can answer it. Why isn’t it looking good for the good guys? What happened?

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6 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:

Here’s the question that I have. Maybe you can answer it. Why isn’t it looking good for the good guys? What happened?

Fundamentals are very much against the Dems this cycle.

  • Midterms tend to go against the party of the President
  • Biden's approval is low
  • Inflation is high
  • Gas prices are... fluctuating? Seem to go up and then down and then back up again. Still higher than normal though

The Dems should be expected to lose dozens of seats in the House and several in the Senate. That it's even close is a testament to how terrible many of the GOP candidates are, but I'm skeptical it'll make the difference.

 

The GOP will almost assuredly take the House and have better than even odds to win the Senate as well.

 

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7 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:

Here’s the question that I have. Maybe you can answer it. Why isn’t it looking good for the good guys? What happened?

Historically the mid-terms go against the party in power. there are some exceptions, like 2002 when Bush rolled out the his war plans and used 9-11 to stir up the war fever 

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2 minutes ago, ChiGoose said:

Fundamentals are very much against the Dems this cycle.

  • Midterms tend to go against the party of the President
  • Biden's approval is low
  • Inflation is high
  • Gas prices are... fluctuating? Seem to go up and then down and then back up again. Still higher than normal though

The Dems should be expected to lose dozens of seats in the House and several in the Senate. That it's even close is a testament to how terrible many of the GOP candidates are, but I'm skeptical it'll make the difference.

 

The GOP will almost assuredly take the House and have better than even odds to win the Senate as well.

 

Is Biden’s low approval because of fundamentals? Or is it a reflection of his performance? Maybe he’s just a victim of circumstance. 
 

Many terrible candidates indeed. That said, is it really close? The house doesn’t seem like it will be close at all. 

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3 minutes ago, JDHillFan said:

Is Biden’s low approval because of fundamentals? Or is it a reflection of his performance? Maybe he’s just a victim of circumstance. 
 

Many terrible candidates indeed. That said, is it really close? The house doesn’t seem like it will be close at all. 

 

I'd say both factor into Biden's approval rating. Inflation is a global issue, but we tend to blame whoever is in charge. There's not much he could have done to prevent it, but the buck stops at his desk. Same with gas prices. There are things you can do to effect them in the long term but very little to move the needle in the short term.

 

He also doesn't have the charisma or force to drive the narrative, so the Dems seem to always be on defense than on offense. They've done a lot of good things (IRA, capping prices of some medicines, etc), but American's won't feel the benefits of those until after the election.

 

The GOP is strongly favored to take the House. A big part of the problem is that polling is getting worse and worse. Polling response rates are terrible, so the error bars are significant. We could see a bloodbath GOP landslide to slight Dem gains and anything in between.

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4 minutes ago, B-Man said:

 

 

 

:thumbsup:

 

The media will be out scouring the land to find some nuts who are mocking the Pelosi attack to prove that one side is hankering for violence while largely glossing over the outlandish rhetoric regularly spouted on our biggest platforms. Most Democratic voters surely don’t see the world in these Manichean terms. The “election-denying” left-wing punditry class and media, however, who spy Hitler lurking behind every milquetoast Republican governor, have no problem smearing all those with a slightly different worldview as fascists. In this world, there is no policy debate; there is only alarmism and crass projection from those who desire a one-party state.

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 Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) told electoral reform advocate Nick Troiano that "behind closed doors" pro-Donald Trump lawmakers admit they know accusations of a stolen 2020 presidential election aren't true and it is a continuing political stunt.

 

They know it’s a lie, they admit it’s a lie, but they know the rubes will buy it.

 

Few people have less respect for Republican voters than elected Republicans. 

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2 hours ago, JDHillFan said:

Here’s the question that I have. Maybe you can answer it. Why isn’t it looking good for the good guys? What happened?

 

Democrats are "good guys" the same way Michael Myers is a good guy in a Halloween movie.

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1 hour ago, ChiGoose said:

 

. Same with gas prices. There are things you can do to effect them in the long term but very little to move the needle in the short term.

 

 

The man promised to "end drilling," in political debate prior to his election, and enacted several mandates to effect drilling, refining and transport after his election.

 

Is that going to dry up capital spending to develop projects that take years?

Hell yes.

 

He made his bed.

Begging the Saudis to hold off an announcement of cartel production reductions until after the election is just another grossly political effort, and it failed.

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"If Wisconsin Democrats lose several low-budget state legislative contests here on Tuesday... it may not matter who wins the $114 million tossup contest for governor ..."

 

 

"... between Gov. Tony Evers, a Democrat, and Tim Michels, a Republican. Those northern seats would put Republicans in reach of veto-proof supermajorities that would render a Democratic governor functionally irrelevant....

 

The Republican leaders in the Wisconsin Legislature say they will bring back all 146 bills Mr. Evers has vetoed during his four years in office — measures on elections, school funding, pandemic mitigation efforts, policing, abortion and the state’s gun laws — if they win a supermajority or if Mr. Michels is elected."

 

From "Wisconsin Republicans Stand on the Verge of Total, Veto-Proof Power/In a 50-50 battleground state, Republicans are close to capturing supermajorities in the State Legislature that would render the Democratic governor irrelevant even if he wins re-election" (NYT).

 

The northern seats are "three counties in Wisconsin’s far northwest corner make up one of the last patches of rural America that have remained loyal to Democrats through the Obama and Trump years... Douglas, Bayfield and Ashland Counties.

 

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/04/us/politics/wisconsin-voting-republicans-supermajorities.html?smid=url-share

 

https://althouse.blogspot.com/2022/11/if-wisconsin-democrats-lose-several-low.html

 

 

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4 hours ago, ChiGoose said:

 Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX) told electoral reform advocate Nick Troiano that "behind closed doors" pro-Donald Trump lawmakers admit they know accusations of a stolen 2020 presidential election aren't true and it is a continuing political stunt.

 

They know it’s a lie, they admit it’s a lie, but they know the rubes will buy it.

 

Few people have less respect for Republican voters than elected Republicans. 

 

Too bad Dems can't do the same for Russian collusion...

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1 minute ago, ChiGoose said:

Too bad you can’t read like, four pages of a report. Or listen to Little Marco. 

 

The 2020 election was the least secure in modern history.  It doesn't take a 4 page report or anything else to realize that.  Hopefully the changes enacted since will prevent it from the same, or at least to that extent, from happening again.

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1 hour ago, ChiGoose said:


And here I thought that the NYT was an arm of the Democratic Party…

No. They play it straight down the middle. 🤦‍♂️

 

https://www.nytimes.com/2004/07/25/opinion/the-public-editor-is-the-new-york-times-a-liberal-newspaper.html

 

The first sentence sums it up nicely. Quite certain they haven’t become more conservative since this was written either. We can ask Tom Cotton about that. 

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