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2019 Playoffs. 1st round


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We had our quarterly congruence at work today.

 

I spent the whole shift looking at data, analyzing our most recent numbers for patterns and similarities/discrepancies. We checked for validity and reliability in our assessments in order to be sure that we're accurately measuring productivity. It was a long 8 hours.

 

I'm not sure what the hell everyone else did while we we're there but I'm about 96% sure the Bills are going to the playoffs.

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On 11/19/2019 at 8:29 PM, EmotionallyUnstable said:

Week 12 Rooting Interests (Bolded teams):
 

Broncos vs. BILLS...8-3!
 

COLTS vs. Texans...Bringing the Colts to 7-4, and dropping the Texans to 6-5. It’s not ideal, but someone has to win. I think I’d prefer the Colts as the division winner. I’d want no part of having to play Watson in the playoffs round one. However, I think the Texans are the better team.

 

Raiders vs. JETS...We can always hope for them to fall to 6-5, but they’ll likely take care of business and end the week at 7-4, one game back from us.

 

DOLPHINS vs. Browns...I actually like the Dolphins here, and don’t think it’d be all that crazy to expect a good game

from the Phins. A Browns loss will hand them their 7th loss, likely taking them out of contention. 

 

Steelers vs. BENGALS...You just never know with division games...


JAGUARS vs. Titans...Both teams would then sit at 5-6. I’m not concerned about either, as I think they have a mixed bag along the rest of the way, and will both likely fizzle our to a disappointing 8-8 or 7-9

 

COWBOYS vs. Patriots...Let’s go!!!!! 

 

Ravens vs. RAMS...Not a huge deal here, but why not root for the NFC to serve up some humble pie and bring those birds back down to earth a few weeks  ahead of our meeting. Ravens are hot, and I bet they keep it rolling 

 

Teams on Byes: Chiefs, Chargers

 

Synopsis: This could be a very boring week for AFC teams looking to gain ground on the wild card. Many teams in the hunt play games vs. non-contenders and struggling teams. It’s also a chance for one of those teams to sneak a win, and the unfortunate victim to suffer a crippling loss. As many have stated, the only thing that matters is the Bills to win. I think that this point should be emphasized in a week where many contenders likely are looking at adding to their win columns. 
 

Playoff Predictions Post-Week 12:

 

Division Leaders: 

 

Patriots (9-2)

Ravens (9-2)

Chiefs (7-4)

Texans (7-4)

 

Wild Card: 

 

1) Bills (8-3)

2) Raiders (7-4)

 

In the Hunt: 

 

3) Steelers (6-5)

2) Colts (6-5)

5) Jaguars (5-6)

6) Browns (5-6)

7) Titans (5-6) 

 

Disclaimers: I am not sure who owns tie breakers, and am not willing to do the leg work on which 5th or 6th team has the H2H advantage in a hypothetical situation that probably won’t ever happen. 

 

Analysis From Ryan Talbot:

https://www.newyorkupstate.com/buffalo-bills/2019/11/nfl-playoffs-2019-who-should-buffalo-bills-fans-root-for-in-week-12.html

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NFL  http://www.nfl.com/playoffs/playoff-picture

 

ESPN  http://www.espn.com/nfl/playoffs/machine

 

ESPN standings https://www.espn.com/nfl/standings/_/view/playoff

 

NYT   https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/upshot/nfl-playoff-picture.html

 

CBS  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/standings/playoffrace

the way too early tie breakers 

AFC tiebreakers:

  • Houston is ahead of Kansas City based on head to head (1-0).
  • Pittsburgh is ahead of Tennessee based on conference record (4-3 to the Titans' 3-4).
  • Cleveland is ahead of Jacksonville based on conference record (Browns' 4-3 to the Jaguars' 4-4).
  • Denver is ahead of the N.Y. Jets based on conference record (3-4 to the Jets' 0-6).
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18 hours ago, RiotAct said:

 I’m thinking we root for Houston, in order to push Indy down ever further...

We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important):

 

Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. 

Edited by Kirby Jackson
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58 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important):

 

Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. 

 

Steelers looked really bad against the browns... and they play them again.  Browns could be 9-7 when its all said and done.  But don't you just picture them controlling their own destiny and blowing an away game to cincy to end the year? 

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3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

We wanted Houston. Gunner covered it in another thread (and actually it was quite important):

 

Basically, if we beat Denver and the Jets or Pittsburgh or Baltimore or NE Indy can’t win a tiebreaker against us. If we win just those 2 games we pass Indy at 9-7. Need the Raiders, Chiefs, Steelers and Browns to start dropping some. 

 

cool    thanks KJ 

2 hours ago, RiotAct said:

 

I won’t feel safe until we get to 10 wins!!!

Yup  That too 

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3 hours ago, dneveu said:

 

Steelers looked really bad against the browns... and they play them again.  Browns could be 9-7 when its all said and done.  But don't you just picture them controlling their own destiny and blowing an away game to cincy to end the year? 

The Browns kind of scare me.

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The Denver game scares me. This is the first Bills game against a good defense since the Pats game and we all know how the offense did in that one. The Bills have to 3-3 to make it. The Raiders will probably finish 10-6. I can see the Browns only loss the rest of the way against the Ravens. If they finish 9-7 the win the tie breaker against the Bills. 

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8 minutes ago, Jrb1979 said:

I can see the Browns only loss the rest of the way against the Ravens

 

Yeah, they lost their best player for the season and are still a schittshow but sure, they'll finish out 5-1.

 

Don't bet your paycheck on that one.

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Just now, eball said:

 

Yeah, they lost their best player for the season and are still a schittshow but sure, they'll finish out 5-1.

 

Don't bet your paycheck on that one.

They have any easy schedule left minus the Ravens, whom they beat once. 

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3 hours ago, Kirby Jackson said:

The Browns kind of scare me.

 

They got a H2H against us and a really talented team.  2 games against the bengals, and 1 against Miami should be 3 easy ones.  Then 2 of Pitt, zona, and baltimore.  

 

They're missing a really serious all-pro piece of their defense though which might end up biting them.  

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