Estro

Agreed, but he does make a point, not much in there.

Couldn't agree more, was going to point this out, but I know Wawrow reads this board & he seems like a good dude......but damn it's rough listening to him try and spit a coherent ? Out.

Cardinals in '22 after Kliff gets the axe this season

First thing I noticed, you also seemed to notice: Dion Dawkins looked huge, as in out of shape huge.

Yes. Mahomes is probably the only QB I'd take over Allen. He's done it for 3 years at a special level, so he definitely has the nod over Allen in my book, who's done it 1 season. In the end Allen might be better, but at this pt. In time anyone that would choose Allen over Mahomes is clearly a rabid Bills fan. I get it, I love him too, but I'm trying to be objective here.

No matter what extension the Bills offer Allen they'll very likely keep the 2 years he has left on his deal at its current value in place. This is what the Bills did with Tre White and what the Chiefs did with Mahomes. This gives the player and agent the ability to advertise a huge APY on the new deal.....but gives the team a much more manageable cap hit situation leaving a couple of cheaper years in place. In the end I expect the Bills to extend an offer of 6 years for $250M (41.675 APY) & I expect Allen's camp to want a shorter deal in the 4 years for $180M (45 APY) range. A compromise of 5 years for $220M (44 APY) seems like the sweet spot for me. The Bills will keep the remaining 2 years @ $26.55M on the deal. So it'll essentially be a 7 year deal worth $246.55M (35.225 APY). I also think the base value of his extension will be closer to the $42.5M per year with incentives (All Pros, Conference Champs, SB Champs) pushing it closer to the $44M APY I predicted.

Cheesesteaks at a good spot down here in South Jersey before the draft.

If Kwity Paye makes it to #21 I can envision a scenario where the Bills trade up with the Colts, who love to trade down & who also dotn currently have a 3rd round pick. The cost would be this years 3rd and 5th round pick......or this years 3rd and next years 4th, which Ballard would probably prefer. Colts probably feel they can get one of the T prospects @ #30 that they like (Liam Eichenberg) & I took the news yesterday that the Bills were looking to trade up for Etienne as a sign perhaps there's a pass rusher they might want to come up for. I think Kwity Paye seems to make sense. I'd put Jaelan Phillips in that category too but his concussion history makes me think he wouldn't be a Bills pick. BILLS select Kwity Paye with the 21st pick

8 days later & Max Jones is back up to -300 @ most sportsbooks. I dont always handicap them this good, but this Mac Jones saga has been a real joy to be financially tied too because there's been so many irrational line movements.

In a weird way the conversation has shifted from comparing QB prospects to focusing on the color of their skin. There's an underlying current against Mac Jones because people don't think it's fair or reasonable that people could actually prefer him over Fields. Dan Orlovsky shared some negative things he was hearing about Fields and the majority woke media, led by Peter King, turned it into a conversation about race. King was pretty adamant that Orlovsky had no right sharing that info with his audience. It has created an interesting betting market because there's so much unknown or known, depending on who you talk to, surrounding the #3 pick. Can't wait to see who it is

Well I'll tell you where I think things stand: Last week the odds were: Mac Jones -300 Justin Fields +250 Trey Lance +350 This would imply odds of Jones going #3 @ 75%. This week its: Fields -125 Mac Jones +150 Fields +450 This would imply odds of Fields going #3 @ about 55%. I still can't get over Schefter outright saying Mac Jones will be the pick @ #3......and then kind of walking it back, but not really. I also know Warren Sharp believes it's Mac, as does Peter King, Chris Simms (Kyle Shanahans friend), & Michael Lombardi. I also know before the media scolded Dan Orlovsky for his less than rosy view of Fields, Greg Cosell was not a big fan of his in terms of a prospect. I think +150 on Mac Jones as it stands now is terrific value & I expect him to become the favorite again as the draft nears. And what makes you think Mac Jones is 4th on SF's board?

I'd go with a tie between Aaron Shobel and Nate Clements. Given the Bills ability to find and develop secondary players vs their relative failure to identify and develop DL I'd go with Schobel.

Right on message today with his tweet. I'm pretty sure things are moving in a direction where Singletary won't be with the Bills this year. Ginnitti is pretty keen on this stuff.

Was listening to spotrac's most recent podcast w/ Mike Ginnitti & he casually mentioned he thinks Singletary is a trade candidate this offseason maybe even draft weekend. Normally I'd just pass this off as speculation, but in listening to Ginnitti over the past few months it's pretty clear that he's got some connections. He was talking about Trubisky possibly signing as a backup in Buffalo a few days before it happened. It seems a lot of his "ideas" on his podcast seem to come true, which makes it must listen for me. He also mentioned that Breida might be viewed as a starter in Buffalo, which I found interesting. I happen to like the idea of trading Singletary because I just dont think he does anything well enough to not want to replace. I'm not sure he'd be worth much of anything & I think the Bills would be fortunate to get anything more than a future 6th-7th rounder for him. Just found it interesting that he casually mentioned Singletary as a trade candidate......after hearing it from his lips I now fully expect Singletary to be moved. Hopefully it's a lesson learned for the Bills to stop blowing valuable top 100 draft picks on replacement level RBs.

He's a guy I'd like to have if the plan isn't to take a DE in the 1st or 2nd round. Not sure the Bills can make that commitment though because it seems likely they'll draft an edge rusher early in this yrs draft

I'll guess: 2 MNF 1 SNF 1 TNF 1 FLEX option into a Saturday standalone game late in the season So I guess 4.5 (Sat. Flex game likely but not guaranteed) I also think we will see more early season primitive games as opposed to last yr., where the majority of our night games were played in Dec.

I like you're idea. I'm not a huge Edmunds fan & with the Mariano resigning I'd be fine if Edmunds is eventually replaced on this roster. That said I think the guy the Bills might covet in a trade up would be....... Jaylen Waddle. They've seen firsthand what a speed merchant, who can score anytime he touches the ball is like to defend in Tyreek Hill and I think they'd like to have their own version of that in Buffalo. I'm never an advocate of teasing up, in fact I usually favor the opposite, but your sentiment about this regime is right.......I don't think the idea can be ruled out with this regime. If Waddle did slip into the mid teens, which I highly doubt, the Bills would have a chance with #30 & #62.

I like Michael Carter, RB, UNC a lot, moreso, than Etienne who I think is an overrated prospect. I think Tyson Campbell is a terrific CB prospect who excels in both man & zone. He'd be a slam dunk @ #30, but I actually don't think he'll be there. Lastly, Amari Rodgers. Love him, reminds me of Deebo Samuel, who I remember the Bills being keen on. #30 is a little early for him but I'm not sure he makes it to #61. That's why I'm rooting for a trade down 10-20 spots so we end up with 4 picks in the top 94.

Voted Tucker, but it seems very likely he's a top 20 pick. Little shot he's there @ #30 let alone #61

In other news: Zach Wilson's odds to be the #2 overall pick has moved from -200 to -500 in the last 48 hours on draftkings & from-400 to -700 on william hill

Mike Ginnitti of Spotrac, who I've noticed has a lot of insider info on the Bills, suggested on his most recent podcast that the Eagles will release Ertz if they can't trade him and everyone in the league knows it. He mentioned trade comp. would be a 7th rounder, take it or leave it, because teams know he's getting cut. So I think the Bills offer is likely in the 6th maybe even 7th round range & I believe the Bills would want to slightly trim his salary and probably tack on an additional void year for cap purposes. Ertz is currently due $8.25M in cash and the Cap hit would be the same. I'd expect the Bills to want to rip up that deal and so something like this: 1 year $6.5M deal with a voidable 2nd year to spread out the signing bonus and lower the 2021 cap hit 2020: $3M SB, $3.5M BS, $5M Cap Hit 2021: Voids, $1.5M Dead Cap Hit I'm sure Ertz wouldn't be thrilled to take a $1.75M haircut, but he very clearly wants out of Philly and a compromise might need to be made on his part.......& joining the Bills would be a great spot to play on a 1 year prove it deal affording him the opportunity to hit FA again next year when the FA $$$ should be much healthier. It also makes a ton of sense for the Bills who could use a TE weapon this year. If Ertz has a solid season & decides to get paid elsewhere in FA the Bills would be in line for something like a 5th round compensatory pick. Smart roster building all the way around!

This type of trade rarely happens. In 2009 the 49ers traded the #43 & #111 picks (their 2nd & 4th round picks in 2009) for the Panthers 2010 1st round pick. The Panthers selected Everette Brown. The Panthers ended up finishing 8-8 thr following season & the 49ers got the 17th pick in the 2010 draft. This was a relative fleecing by the 49ers, but because teams discount future picks, usually by a round it could be argues it was a fair trade. The more likely trade scenario you see nowadays is a team trades up from the middle of the 2nd round to the back end of the first round and gives up next years 2nd rounder. The Colts pulled this off during the 2019 draft. They traded their 1st rounder, #26 overall, to the Redskins for their 2nd rounder, #46 overall, & their 2020 2nd rounder. That pick ended up being the #34 overall pick in the 2020 draft. The above scenario is what I'd love for the Bills to do. Move back 10-15 spots for an additional 3rd rounder this year or move back 20-25 spots for a future 2nd rounder.

At this point any teams with potential interest in Ertz would have a tough time absorbing his $8+M cap hit. A team like Indy comes to mind as having enough room, but an $8M cap hit is a very tough contract to squeeze onto your roster @ this point in FA. I think most of the league also understands that the Eagles are 100% releasing Ertz if they aren't able to trade him & I predict that his release would come relatively soon. Holding onto a player you clearly intend on releasing and then dumping him a week or 2 after the FA $ has dried up is viewed as a pretty dirty move, so the Eagles aren't helping their external image amongst players any. Also the Eagles have no cap space, so they'll need that $8M in cap room to plug a couple of holes with guys that are available right now that might not be around in a week or 2. I think Beane understands all of this, which is why he's not budging off his late round pick offer or maybe a mid round swap......and that's absolutely the right move by Beane. Howie Roseman is a poker player that bluffs too often & Beane is much too calculated to fall for it. I'd be shocked if Ertz is an Eagle by the end of this month.

I know it's not the popular or safe take yo gave in our super "woke" climate, but in this country it's innocent until proven guilty. Could this be true? Of course Could it be total B.S? Absolutely Let the facts get out, but until that happens let's not let allegations destroy someone

Adoree Jackson had high end punt return production coming out of USC if I remember correctly