DapperCam

Bengals defense is bad bad

These helmets are whack

If you accidentally jack up a WR it’s still DPI right?

Two different off script TD passes for Mahomes where he’s basically just throwing it up. His receivers are bailing him out today.

Doesn’t take a special commission and investigator to know drinking on the job makes you worse at it.

That last angle showed no knee down.

Hate those fade passes in the red zone. Feels like they almost never work.

Not a completion, brutal

Chiefs aren’t getting the calls in Jerry World.

Punt god having himself a game

Most obvious pick play ever. Mahomes just got his ankle sat on. That can’t feel good.

Epic fail by the spy there. Just keep him in front of you.

Rooting for this version of the Cowboys to win will just result in heartburn.

I think I would go for it here...one play to end the game and the Lions still need a TD if you don't get it.

I guess, but then your offense needs to score 2 TDs instead of just 1 TD. The tradeoff would be Scenario 1: - Your defense needs to force a punt or turnover - Your offense needs to convert the FG, and have a TD drive Scenario 2: - Your defense needs to prevent a TD and force a FG - Your offense needs to convert the 4th down, score a TD, and then have another TD drive I think scenario 1 is more likely, but it's close (Packers did score 4 consecutive TDs up to that drive).

Stats aren't for losers, but the predictive ability of these models is limited in football. Each play isn't an independent event you can simulate in isolation. Doubt his model accounts for the ability of the offense or defense. Doubt his model accounts for how the respective teams have been playing during the game. Doubt his model accounts for even the success rate of each team on 4th and short situations. It is likely just a statistical model that says given the score and time on the clock here is the probability of winning based on going for it vs kicking the FG/punting. This isn't baseball, it isn't one pitcher vs one batter, and there isn't a sample size of hundreds of thousands of pitches thrown during a regular season.

But even if they score a TD on that drive after going for it on 4th down it is still a 3 point game. So no matter what happens the defense will have to make a stop.

Why should I trust some random statistical model that is probably not even valid from some random twitter person? Taking the points there is the obvious choice.

How does the coach not make it a one score game in the 4th quarter? Just dumb.

This is the wrong decision, take the points

Packers have some nice goal line passing plays. Just a little bit of confusion and there is a guy open. Just need an accurate throw/catch and it's a free TD.

So Palmer, Kinacid and Samuel are probably going to be out. Moore has been released, and Cooks has less than a week to get up to speed. We're going to need Coleman to have removed his head from his rear. Feels like a game with 40 rushing attempts.

Pretty good game so far. I don’t mind defensive low scoring games as long as it’s because the defense is making great plays and not just offensive incompetence.

Feels like the Lions should have a better record with all the talent on their roster. Top 3 RB group, top 5 WR group, top 5 oline, one of the best pass rushers in the league. They are stacked.

For some reason this signing reminds me a lot of Emmanuel Sanders, who was decent in his short stint here.