Billy Claude

I thoroughly enjoyed the first couple of episodes. Thanks for pointing this out.

Maybe I am being too cynical but most of his pay is in bonuses. I wouldn`t be super surprise if he gets something extra next year to make up for foregoing his salary this year.

Great stuff. No one more fun to watch then Ryan Fitzpatrick when things are going his way.

The voice of reason as always. There must be something Hodgind is not good at otherwise he would not have been available in the 6th round. I understand fan optimism, however, if you read the board you would think that its 100% certain that he will make the team and 50% chance he will be starting in a few years. For what its worth (which is not very much) it appears to be a good draft but nothing wrong with a little skepticism.

This is spot on. Out of the last 8 kickers drafted -- only one, Jason Sanders of the Dolphins -- has had success with the team that drafted him and Hauschka, kicking at New Era, had better numbers than him last year. Some of the drafted kickers have been very successful (Jake Elliot) but not with their original teams while others have been cut without ever kicking in a regular season game. I think most people know that a kicker is important -- its just a question of whether drafting one is a good way of finding one especially if you have someone that was not that bad last year.

Are we really to the point where people believe that ESPN will go to the trouble of manipulating data just because they had a player pegged as a (let's say) a 5th rounder rather than a third round?

I don't know why people get their panties in a twist over stuff like this. Its just a statement of fact -- the Bills don't have much draft capital this year. It doesn't give an opinion about why this is the case.

Oops -- sorry this was not the computer model -- this is just some guy (John Breech) at CBS making predictions. Deleted

This seems the most likely case -- if they had signed Sanders, they would have used their 1st round pick on a wide receiver. Also people are being way too sensitive, I didn't see anything in the story that said Sanders was annoyed at the Bills trading for Diggs.

I`m not surprise Anderson is not returning to the Jets. If you remember Gase called him out after the first Bills game. Anderson doesn`t seem like someone who forgives or forgets.

Presumably the Bills would have paid less If New England wasn`t interested. Whether that was the 4th rounder or the 6th for 7th swap, I have no idea but I just thought it was ironic that Brady screwed the Bills over one last time on the way out.

So it appears that Brady's last act as a Patriot was to drive up the price the Bills paid for Diggs.

Jerry Sullivan is right much more often than he is wrong.

To answer original question :. Beane said something quite different about Shaq Lawson at the end of the season presser. Something like the Bills will make a strong effort to resign Lawson vs. Phillips earned a chance to test free agency. I assume something similar would happen for White and Allen though more likely they will be extended before it comes to this point.

What I don't understand is why AVP would go public with this. Mayfiel6 doesn't seem to be someone to take this as constructive criti ism. It's pretty bad judgement on van pelts part.

Certainly some people hated the Rex hire from day one but, in general, it was regarded as a risky but understandable move by both fans and media. Same with a lot of other things mentioned in this thread such as the Bledsoe trade. To be a true head-scratcher both the media and fans have to be pretty much wtf from the moment it occurred. After reading this thread I would rank them as follows (1) Johnson over Flutie (2) Drafting Spiller with Beastmode and Freddy already on the team (3) Naming Nate Peterman as opening day starter based on one good pre-season game. (4) Hiring Marv as GM when he was almost 80 (5) Extending Jauron based on a 5-2 start against a bunch of bad teams. If you look back there was a lot of initial support for the other stuff mentioned in the thread.

While hiring Rex was horrible in hindsight, I think a lot of people thought it was a good hire at the time. OTOH, drafting Spilled when they had Lynch was met with almost universal puzzlement.

Extending dick neuron after half of a good season.

Not that Marrone was great but at least the team improved while he was coach. He didn't go out of his way to promote himself --if he called himself St. Doug, it wasn`t at a press conference. Rex otoh was all bombastic self promotion.

Rex Ryan with Rob Ryan second. No one else close.

For what its worth, Bleacher Report gives the Bills an A in their one season assessment: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2869617-grading-every-nfl-teams-2019-draft-haul#slide0 Its interesting that they also gave As to two of the teams that were most criticized originally, the Giants and the Raiders. Their original post-draft grades were A for the Bills, B for the Raiders and D for the Giants.

This would defeat one of the primary purposes of the salary cap - competitive parity. Right now if a team picks up a bad contract there is an immediate financial penalty - the team has to pay the player. If a team can trade away cap space for draft choices there is very little financial penalty for that team. Some owners will decide to its is better to have larger profit than fielding a winning team. Other owners in larger markets with larger local income will go way over the cap. You will essentially get the same situation as baseball.

To improve from last to 21st in accuracy in one year is pretty impressive and is not too bad for a second year qb (assuming you are not Mahomes). Its better than I thought he did. I would be pretty happy if Allen can get into the top 15 in accuracy next year. I don't think he will ever get into the top 10 in accuracy but with his other skill set (running etc.) and keeping turnovers to a minimum, Allen can be a pretty effective QB. On how the drops effect the games: Obviously the extra drops don't affect the outcome of the games they won and they won 60% so out of those 7 drops you would only expect 2 or 3 in the 6 games the Bills lost. So basically, you have to assume 1 extra drop would have effected the outcome of the game. Its certainly possible but to me, it is unlikely. Certainly I don't see how you can have confidence that one drop would have swung the game. Finally on counting drops. -- I believe that the "official" drops are only counted for balls that are easily catchable without a defender in the immediate vicinity, i.e., something you would expect an NFL WR to catch 90% of the time. Bad throws are not counted as drops -- its not like the discussion on the board last summer where someone said basically anything reachable was a drop.

As mentioned before the obvious difference is the adjusted net yard per attempt (ANY/A). Wilson's was 6.84 which ranked 7th that year while Allen's is 5.72 which ranked 23rd. Everybody supporting the narrative that their numbers are similar seems to ignore this obvious one. However, lets consider some other global rating methods. They are remarkably consistent: NFL Rating: Wilson 2013: 7th, Allen 2018: 32nd, Allen 2019: 24th (NFL) ANY/A: Wilson 2013: 7th, Allen 2018: 32nd, Allen 2019: 23rd (Pro Football Reference) DYAR: Wilson 2013: 9th, Allen 2018: 33rd, Allen 2019: 27th (Football Outsiders) DVOA: Wilson 2013: 8th, Allen 2018: 33rd, Allen 2019: 27th (Football Outsiders) QBR: Wilson 2013: 8th, Allen 2018: 24th, Allen 2019: 24th (ESPN) I like ANY/A since the formula is easy to understand (Passing yds - sack yards + (20*passing TDs) - (45*interceptions))/(attempts + sacks). The other measures try to take into account opponent strength. In any case all the global measures are extremely consistent --(1) Wilson was a lot better in his 2nd year than Allen was and (2) Allen improved from his rookie year. The only rating that differs is QBR which gave Allen a much better ranking in 2018 than the others, most possibly because it includes rushing while the other's don't. You might ask is there a difference between 7th and 24th? The QB's ranked 24 and 25 in the different metrics in 2013 were ANY/A: Keenum, Campbell, DVAR: Locker, Clemens, DVOA: Vicks, Clemens, NFL Rating: Tannehill, Cassell QBR: Cassell, Tannehill. So unless you want to believe that all these metrics are wrong I don't how one can say Allen year 2 is anywhere close to Wilson year 2.

Great first season for Singletary. To take the next step he needs to work on his cutting down his fumbles and drop passes and on his pass blocking. I assume pass blocking was why he didn't play as much at the end of the Texan game. The weird thing is that he did not have any fumbling issues in college: 1 in 261 carries in 2018 and 4 in 301 carries in 2017 vs 4 in 151 this season. Same with Josh Allen -- no fumbling issues in college but big issues this season.