
Billy Claude
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Draft Analysis - We're All Debi from Depew
Billy Claude replied to hondo in seattle's topic in The Stadium Wall
Sure you can always find instances where the fans are right and the "experts" are wrong but how many times have fans called for the backup QB to start and how many times did it turn out that the backup wasn't playing because he stank. I bet a lot more times than the opposite way. -
What are your thoughts on the Steelers QB situation?
Billy Claude replied to JerseyBills's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't see any similarity between Fields and early Russell Wilson. Yes, Wilson was great at the broken play but he beat out Matt Flynn (who was a big free agent signing by the Seahawks) because Wilson had surprisingly great ball placement and anticipation. -- certainly not anything anyone has said is a strength of Justin Field. Regarding the Steelers, Pickett, Trubisky, and Rudolph is such a low bar to set, I have a hard time seeing that Wilson and Fields will not be better. -
Rob Johnson was sacked 7 times in 35 pass attempts when he was in Jacksonville while protected by the HOF LT. That is 1 sack every 6 dropbacks which was a little worse than in Buffalo where he was sacked once every 7 drop backs. That is not a sustainable way to win games or stay off the IR. His so called "outstanding" numbers in Jacksonville occurred in a sample size of one game where he threw for 294 yards out of his 368 total yards with the Jaguars. In a sign of things to come, Johnson had to miss most of the third quarter of that game due to injury though he came back and played all of the 4th quarter (nobody said Johnson was not tough). Flutie was sacked about once every 23 dropbacks when Flutie and Johnson were on the Bills together, so at approximately 30% the rate Johnson was sacked. The Bills offensive line wasn't great during that time but it wasn't as bad as it looked when Johnson was QB. There should have been all kinds of red flags when the Bills traded for Johnson but it was before any form of analytics. As Flutie supposedly said when he left "I may not be a great quarterback but you can't tell me that I'm not better than that guy."
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The Vikings allegedly tried hard to trade up to #3
Billy Claude replied to Virgil's topic in The Stadium Wall
I assume this leak must have come from the someone in the Patriots organization. I never remember anything like this when Bellichek was in charge. Definitely a sign of a poorly run organization if these types of leaks continue (see Whaley, Doug). -
Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
Billy Claude replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall
I agree that they probably prepared some stuff for Allen to look at but I would hope that they asked him to pick 6 or 7 that he would like to work with and not one. -
Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
Billy Claude replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall
I am sure you are right that he can contribute in that manner. What you described seems to be a low floor to me for a draft pick at the top of the second round. -
Fact vs Fiction: "Keon Coleman is not a separator"
Billy Claude replied to ShakAttack's topic in The Stadium Wall
After watching that video, the answer to the OP's question appears to be "Fact: Keon Coleman is not a separator". He is covered pretty tightly on almost every pass. Some of it might be due to poor QB play but definitely not all it. The more important question is can he become a separator with better coaching. I assume moving from school to school and changing coachng staffs didn't help but sometimes Beane is unduly confident in what the coaching staff can do. -
Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
Billy Claude replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall
The scouts spent hours and hours evaluating each player, watching tape, interviewing the player, talking to their coaches, looking at combine data, discussing the player with each other, comparing the player to other players etc. How much time did you think Allen spent on this? They probably gave him 10 minute highlight video and a one page summary of seven or eight guys and asked him for his impressions. Maybe a three hours altogether tops. He was probably okay with most of them since it is hard for me to believe that Bills scouts wouldn't be able to rule out guys that definitely won't be a fit with their QB. Do you get feedback from your franchise QB? Sure, but I definitely hope that they didn't decide on passing over Worthy and Legette because Allen was banging the table for Coleman. That is not Allen's job. My guess is that he would have also been perfectly okay with Worthy and Legette and the "Allen wanted Coleman" business is just a bit of stupid but relatively harmless PR. -
Rd 2, Pick 33: WR Keon Coleman, Florida State
Billy Claude replied to SDS's topic in The Stadium Wall
I certainly hope that Allen was not involved in this pick. That is not his job. If the Bills picked Coleman because Allen wanted him then Beane definitely needs to be fired. My guess is that the involvement by Allen was prefunctory, sort of like King Charles officially has to approve all legislation before it becomes law. Coleman fits the high ceiling low floor profile of most early round Beane picks. Except for the 40 time, he is a freakish athlete whose college stats are not super impressive. Examples include Allen, Edmunds, Brown, Knox, Elam, and Rousseau. They are betting on that can teach him to separate in the pros. Hopefully they are right. -
No to more Jets oline rejects. Every one the Bills havehad has been beyond terrible.
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What's the point of this team's philosophy?
Billy Claude replied to Pine Barrens Mafia's topic in The Stadium Wall
I do worry that the front office is not paying to Allen's strengths. Allen does not like the short game. He loses patience with it too easily. It also requires a lot of pre-snap reads and ball placement which not his forte. Allen displayed more patience at the end of last season, maybe he will keep it up. However, Allen is also not great at the long bombs. Yes, you can find instance of crucial drops but it is not all the receivers fault. He just doesn't put enough air under the ball. In any case long bombs is not a strategy any team can rely on consistently. What Allen is great at is the intermediate 10 to 25 yard pass. Until recently Diggs had been pivotal in that role. Hopefully they have a replacement. It is certainly not clear that is the case. -
Aren't these the things that Josh Allen is not very good at? Are they trying to fit a square peg into a round hole? This is what is puzzling to me. It was like when Dennison came in and decided to run the WCO with Tyrod Taylor.
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Agree. Beane usually gives you a good idea of the broad strokes of his thinking and very rarely tells an outright lie. Definitely much less likely to tell a bald face lie than other GMs. The only exception I can think of is the Kair Elam year when he claimed the Bills were not lasered focused on a CB when they clearly were.
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Things aren't going well in Cincinnati
Billy Claude replied to HappyDays's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Bengals were incredibly lucky in 2021. Every Bengal playoff game was incredibly close. In the wild-card game, the Raiders had three shots at tying (or winning) the game from the Bengals 9-yard line with 30 seconds left. In the divisional game against the Titans, Tannehill threw two 4th quarter interceptions including one with 40 seconds left at mid field that set up the Bengals game winning field goal and in the conference championship, one could argue the Chiefs were emotionally spent from the 13 second game. The 2021 Bengals were probably the weakest AFC team in the Super Bowl in about 20 years. -
Off Topic: Sabres rehire Lindy Ruff as Head Coach
Billy Claude replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bad idea. When is the last time a nostaglia hire has worked? Lou Saban? -
The Broncos are picking up half of Zach's salary of 5.5M. This was the surprising thing to me. I would have have thought any trade would have resulted in Jets eating at least 4M of the 5.5M. https://sports.yahoo.com/jets-broncos-split-zach-wilsons-193402288.html
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Do you think Allen feels relief after the Diggs trade?
Billy Claude replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
How is Larry Fitzgerald a diva? I don't remember him as having that reputation at all, if anything his reputation was the opposite. Also, the original poster was questioning whether there were any diva WRs who won a Super Bowl. Fitzgerald never won a Super Bowl. -
Do you think Allen feels relief after the Diggs trade?
Billy Claude replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
Tyreek Hill. -
I feel a that this is not the relevant cost benefit analysis. Since only about 30 to 40 percent of 7th round picks actually make a roster, the majority are getting practice squad money, not a million a year although this is still more than most NIL money. More importantly, most NFL careers end not because of age but because the NFL decides you are not good enough. For the majority of 7th round draft choices delaying your entry in the NFL will not affect your lifetime NFL earnings at all, simply push it back a year. So if you are enjoying life in college I can understand why you would stay one more year. Staying comes with risks such as a bad year or injuries making one less attractive for the NFL, however, declaring for the draft if you expect to be a 7th rounder also comes with the risk that you will not be drafted and there is a chance to improve your draft stock also.
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Best examples of failed 1st rounders who revived their careers?
Billy Claude replied to Rubes's topic in The Stadium Wall
Sure, but there was certainly high first round expectations associated with him when he joined Tampa Bay. -
Best examples of failed 1st rounders who revived their careers?
Billy Claude replied to Rubes's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't see how the best example is not Steve Young. He wasn't part of the regular NFL draft because he signed a 10 year contract with the USFL but he was the first pick in the special USFL/CFL supplemental draft by Tampa Bay. Three of the first four players picked in that draft are in the Hall of Fame, including Reggie White. Young started for two years in Tampa Bay and was absolutely regarded as a bust and then traded for a late second and fourth to the 49ers, which is about what Arizona got for Josh Rosen. -
Do you think Allen feels relief after the Diggs trade?
Billy Claude replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
That's crediting Diggs with supervillian level scheming. I highly doubted he was thinking "hey, we just lost the game in a heart-breaking manner, if I stay on the field and watch the Chiefs celebrate, I'll look good and my teammates will look bad". Just because, he was a pain in the ass at the end doesn't mean one needs to discredit everything about the guy his contributions to the Bills. -
Do you think Allen feels relief after the Diggs trade?
Billy Claude replied to Royale with Cheese's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Beasley comment was because people were fans were saying that the Bills were all Allen and there he had no talent around him. It was reasonable that he would be somewhat offended by that. I didn't follow the Diggs response but other posters have pointed out some of it was because Bills fans were saying absolutely abhorrent things about him after he expressed condolences following Vontae Davis's death.