Einstein's Dog

My thoughts: Wait on RB. While I do like C Patterson, not at the spotrac estimate of 9M. The value at RB is not there, estimates of 5-6M for J Connor, S Michel, M Gordon and L Fournette are just not worth it. Wait it out and get one cheap along with maybe a 3-4th rounder (again, but I don't think Moss worked out). WR - IMO, one is a value clearly above the rest. OBJ at $6M. Even if it goes up to $8M get it done. Guy is one and done in LA, things being equal I think he would choose the Bills (got the QB, pass oriented, SB contender, sticks it to Clev management). Looks to me, from the playoffs I've seen, OBJ is miles better than our current Beas (similar price). Also draft one to groom. Bring back McK. TE - Gronk. Estimated at around $8M. Bridge for second TE, draft a freak to train, and extend/pay Knox early. Tonyan/Geisiki est at $11-12M, we need to home grow another one. D - Von Miller $10M. No way to get a DL cheaply. Chandler would be nice but at $14.5M looks a little too rich. Might just have to re-sign J hughes at $3M and go all O. An offense w Josh lining up with Diggs/OBJ/Davis/Knox and Gronk would be built to outscore the other team. A fun way to go.

Good offenses can put up points on anyone when they are on. It's by design from the NFL, it makes for entertaining football. Defensive rankings are relative to the others. No defense in this era will meet this "elite" standard from the past many seem to be striving for. When ranking the Bills defense is when you use the stats. Maybe you feel you should adjust for the QBs faced, but then be fair and do that with the other teams. And the "lucky" turnovers would need to be adjusted on all teams also (or not, because you are just getting ridiculous now). The fire Frazier brigade is showing the emotional IQ of a spoiled gnat. Frazier had a top 5 defense. In the playoffs he was playing without his top paid player. Yes, I think he had a poor 13 seconds and OT.

They are trying to develop the draft picks. That's a key part to the overall strategy. Going after real pass rushers comes at a large expense. JJWatt was $17M and even a post prime Jerry will fetch a pretty penny. I would rather have had Tre While in there than an exhausted JJ Watt.

It was an unusual, high scoring, frenetic game, where even the rotational players were exhausted. How do you think a smaller rotation would have fared in that environment? They would have been more exhausted! The loss is not on the DL. And the game in no way is indicative of a failed DL philosophy. Your reasoning is flawed.

To the OP, yes, Knox has shown enough! This is the process they speak of. Draft a raw stud, develop him, and keep him. And furthermore the smart teams extend before the contract is up. Knox should be treated in the Josh/Tre category of working out the contract before they are done with their original one. That is the advantage you have from drafting smart. You can extend them at a fair price before they hit the open market. They get money early and the Bills get a good improving player at market rate (and the market keeps going up). To Colorado, the question will be what it will take. I think Knox will be reasonable but Kroft got $6, Jonnu and Hunter got $12M. Yes, if they can get him for $8 for several years, you take it. I don't know if that is enough to get it done.

Because right after the season ended he said his decision wasn't dependent upon Brady. Tampa is looking like a dumpster fire, no reason to go back there. Buffalo seems like a logical potential spot because he considered Buffalo before. It's his home town. I think a lot of us can relate to the thought that if we were a rich, star player toward the end of our career,, we'd like to play for our home town. Of the market price offers I believe the Bills would have one of the best shots - home town, good QB, almost lock for playoffs, superbowl potential. And the Bills roster construction looks like they could use him - Sanders looks out, McK out, Beas questionable. The PFF article estimated the cost of Gronk as $7M. The Bills could figure that out.

I think Gronk would be a great add. The TE2 is a definite problem right now and having two quality TEs would be a huge benefit. Gronk is also a good blocker and two TE sets would should be incorporated. I think Gronk would come here at the market rate, hometown and all. I think he is a better get than Ertz and I was for that move at the time.

I'll go with Gronk! This team needs another quality TE. People have been touting Geiski but he would be more expensive and would interfere with the culture of developing from within. I expect the FO to extend Knox next year while a nice cap friendly extension can be done. Gronk would be viewed by all as a temporary fix And I think he would come at a reasonable price, PFF had him at $7M. Gronk might want to end his career in the home town - it would be a big factor for me in his situation. I think Brady is retiring and Gronk was more inclined to do another year. I also think Gronk could fit right in for the culture aspect. While Gronk is older and looks a little slow, he has great hands and actually blocks.

I think one of the main reasons for considering this a successful season is it has solidified the Bills as a top team for the future. Last season was shown not to be a fluke. The Bills are not a one year wonder. The football world will take notice, and deservedly so - another double digit win season, another conference championship, another playoff victory. All the key players will be back next year. The Bills are now a top tier team for the foreseeable future! Lots of hype, TV coverage, prime time games. The Bills have established themselves as a cut above the Clevelands, Indy, Pitts, and New Englands of the world. It's great for the long time fans to now be able to talk to coworkers/friends from the perspective of an upper echelon team. Of course I want to win it all. And I'll be disappointed with any loss. But as a known Bills fan, as the subject of football comes up, i will enjoy taking part in the discussions.

I just finished reading the Herald Tribune recap and coverage of the Bills game! I came to a quote in the paper from Josh "Honestly, I thought I threw the ball away". This does not mean (from above) Josh was "trying to throw the ball away".. And quite a bit different than the quote on the deceptive tweet you linked from Matthew Boyd saying "Josh Allen admits he wasn't trying to throw the ball to Dawson Knox...." - please don't post any more tweets from that jackwagon, like he is some kind of expert. What Josh is meaning is he didn't think it was going to be caught. If Josh had been trying to throw the ball away it would have been out of the end zone.

But it was the quick short hitters to McK that NE couldn't stop (McK 11 out of 12 targets) for a lot of YAC. A blitz would get torched.

I agree with this, Beas' play looks down. Either injury or age (or both). Will be interesting to see what they do with the McK/Beas situation against New England. NE had no answer for McK. McKenzie torched them.

Except the most logical explanation for an event such as this, is Cole was mugged. Players complain all the time, this isn't new. And McD would be coming down to let the ref know it. The announcers don't show it because that is not what they want the game to be about.

I mostly agree with you. Obviously no Calvin. Even let Sanders go and promote Davis - he's a Bill vet who is ready. Where I disagree with you is I think the Bills should add through the draft another WR to develop. So Davis takes Sanders role and a draftee is taken for the vacated developmental spot previously had by Davis. Cole will probably be here another year, and McK looks like he should be integrated more into the offense already. The process is working in the WR room. No need to panic there. I would rather see the resources in terms of a good vet go to another TE or CB.

I agree, need to play to win. Take the division. I would love to see KC get upset and then have Cincy do a mad scramble to try and regroup the squad and win. They would bring back Burrow but Mixon is out. I think Mayfield is out too. But Cleveland has Keenum. Chubb has been banged up. Hunt was out the last game. Tough game to call

KC plays on Saturday with the 2 seed at stake, meaning securing 2 home games with a win. They're 10.5 point favorites and should cover. The real dilemma occurs when Cincy tanks it under the guise of resting their starters. It seems Cincy would prefer the 4 seed (as would I). The 4 seed will probably play NE instead of Indy at home. Then assuming a win would play at Tenn instead of having to play at KC. Once again the preferred matchup. The league should have made KC and Cincy play at the same time. If Cincy loses a loss by the Bills to the Jets would bring an easier path. Assuming NE and Indy then win. NE goes to 3 and Indy would be 5 and the path for the Bills would then be at NE followed by at Tenn, instead of the home vs Indy and away vs KC.

Yes, and when I think about it more, it makes more sense. Not only healthy but lose and probably play NE or win and play Indy. I think most people would rather play NE than Indy. Also in that scenario after beating NE they would most likely head to Tenn instead of KC. The downside would be if they had to meet the 3 seed (probably the Bills) in the AFCCG it would be in Buffalo. I think I would rest the players. But there is still a good chance that a hungry second string can take down the pathetic Browns.

This is weird. I think it is a function of the early line being Cleveland is favored by 3 over Cincy (as reported by Yahoo as BetMGM as source). They say in the write up that they believe Cincy will be resting some starters. The CBS article with early odds from Caesars, has Clev as 3 pt favorites as well with the same underlying reason. Just doesn't make sense to me. The win for Cincy means something, seeding.

But if Diggs had just tossed it to J Allen there would have been a nice gain on 1st down and changed the whole dynamic of the series. IMO, It wasn't a bad play call as much as a poor decision by Diggs. Diggs went for the TD instead of taking the easy 5-6 yards with Allen.

I think it's a disingenous OP. The offense has talent. And the FO has been trying. When they acquired Diggs he was 1st round material. This is not the Green Bay scenario. If GB had traded the 1st round pick for say D Hopkins instead of getting Love, I think even the whiner Rodgers would have kept his piehole shut. Don't be more of a whiner than Rodgers, it's a bad look. The FO does, and will continue, to spend resources on the offense. Morse was a top paid center, Williams didn't come cheap, and multiple picks in the top 3 rounds on the offensive side - Dawkins, Singletary, Moss, Brown and Knox come to mind.

Can he ever change your mind? What is it you want out of him, what do you want him to change? I ask because I was skeptical of McD when hired. Thought he might be a rah-rah, defensive minded, run the ball type. The backing into the playoffs didn't really change my mind (even though that was quite an accomplishment in my mind - and I do consider results in my grading). When we got Diggs I didn't take him in fantasy. Good receiver going to a run oriented team, I thought. McD and company changed the whole offensive philosophy. Now he has taken an incredibly aggressive approach - which you and many have been calling for. McD has won me over. Changed to an offensive philosophy adapts to players/team stregths, brought in a culture. I see a bright future. What do you need/want out of him, if not results, that will have you consider him a good/great coach?

Sorry, but yes I would be very surprised, (and disappointed), if they move Gabe Davis. He is an improving young player - and I think his stock will continue to grow (it is certainly not a fact that Davis' stock will be at an all time high). The model they are following for creating a successful team for a decade plus involves drafting, developing, and re-signing draft picks (you resign the player before the end of their contract to secure them for the future at a market rate). Gabe, Josh, Tre, D Knox all fit this profile. You don't abandon that strategy like a little child because you're upset about a personal choice they made. Beane is not that stupid, nor childish, and I think you have misinterpreted his comments. And while we don't know what is in store for next year, we can look at the trend. The NFL is loosening up the standards in the midst of a spike. Seems like the smart money would be any additional changes would be to loosen up the requirements.

Yikes. That is a hot take. And a ridiculous one. Not a good long term strategy to get rid of your producing draft picks. Also, the whole Covid protocols and shots thing may not (and probably should not) be an issue next season. And for the remainder of this season Gabe won't have to be tested. He and Beas are actually in a pretty decent spot relative to others in terms of the covid protocols, better than most in terms of needing to test.

I think/hope McK has played himself into more snaps and action for the rest of the year. And I hope this translates into the post season and a reasonable multi-year contract for Mck. But I still think you should want Beas too. Beas' contract is not unreasonable. And everyone should want to keep a lot of the parts we have now into the future. Great offense that should be modified slowly.

I think you're wrong. Keep both. They're small guys and it's a long season. Plus they offer some coaching strategy bonuses, McK can't be covered one-on-one and Beas is great finding the soft spot in zones. As for the trouble and attention, next year should be vastly different. IMO, it's Sanders that doesn't get re-signed. Gabe takes over as #2 with Kumerow backing and groom a draft pick.