Einstein's Dog

Virgil - appreciate the writeups. I disagree with the DL thoughts though. I guess it depends on your expectations but I like the strategy of drafting multiple DL. I've been pleasantly surprised by Groot. And I think they will both get better with time. It's an excellent team building strategy. The progression of Knox has been a highlight this year. But I do think that depth at TE is a problem. Knox has become an important piece of this offense.

Yeah, the league made it so the odds favor the touch back. When it was the 20 you should bring it out, but with the 25, I think the odds are against you. And that's why I would like the kick returner average to be over 25.

Flawed analysis? I said it was my standard. It's not an analysis, it's an opinion. If they're not getting over 25 yds (net after penalites) they should just take it at the 25. And if McKenzie is 4th or whatever at under 25, I think it shows a lot of returners are making bad decisions.

My point was that under 25 is not good if you're getting the ball in the end zone. On average we would be better to just take the ball at the 25. McKenzie may be doing better than other bad decision makers. But IMO the standard for impressive should be a net of over 25 (after factoring in the block in the back penalties).

It will be interesting to see. Seems that Stevenson is the way of the future. The long term plan, for a run of continued success, is to integrate the drafted rookies. Stevenson would fit that plan perfectly - replacing Mck. Does seem a little risky with NE looming though. Isaah's sub 25 yard average is not impressive. You would get to the 25 if you just let it go. And too often they don't just let it go. We rarely get KOs that aren't in the end zone, so most of the choice to bring it out is a loser. And it seems like the 24+ figure doesn't account for those frequent block in the back penalites. I generally root for us not to bring it out so Josh can have it at the 25 - I'm fine with that. Seems to me that if you have a player that just does returns, they want to bring it out more than I like. Kind of a hero ball thing, because it is their only way to make a name for themselves. Reminds me of the Andre debacle in the Indy playoff game. I hope they have bigger plans for Stevenson than just returns.

One team is known for jettisoning players a year or two early. And if you now add in the Brady exodus, you could say it is to mixed results. The Rams aren't avoiding the older stars. The Bills are trying for a formula that has them be an excellent team for a long time. That is with process guys. If it weren't for Covid, Beas would be a prime example of what the process is all about. The guy gives everything, and yes he will play while hurt. You bring in an understudy before you let JA's security blanket go.

Of course Allen would love the MVP. Wouldn't publically acknowlege it but shouldn't have to, any reasonable person realizes it. Now with Rogers missing time, Prescott missed a week, Mahomes and KC have been off - the opportunity is there. Biggest competition right now seems to be K Murray/L Jackson/T Brady. JA needs to put up some big numbers on Sunday and take the lead!

Even with a big lead I don't envision seeing Trubisky until after the 7 minute mark in the 4th. The Bills need to fine tune the offense. Plus Josh is in the running for MVP and you have to let the guy build his case with some stellar stats (according to the one odds site I saw Josh was in the lead).

Tough to flip picks into help for this season though, today is the trade deadline. If Wash doesn't/can't offer any IOL that would help for us this year, I would still like Beane to move Trubisky for a decent draft pick. IMO, would be a great overall move by Beane - picked up a top level backup QB for half a season and moved him out for a decent draft pick.

My hope is Beane can move Trubisky. Top choice for an IOL. But if not, see if you can move MT for a 3rd or 4th. Trubisky was always a one year rental insurance policy. The years half over, move him. Sure, there's some risk. I'm on of those (in the minority it seems) that wants the Bills to be good for the next decade vs the all-in on the one year.

Yes, but the whole premise of the IG was to not allow a throw away to avoid a sack. And the penalty/call of IG was to create a situation as if the sack took place. In the instance of an Offside though if it was a just a sack then the play could be avoided and the Offside accepted. IMO, the idea that the Offside can be negated by an IG call is bad. And now they're saying an IG call overrides the Offside, that would be very a poor rule. If true, I hope they change that.

What? I find that even harder to believe. Sounds like they were just making stuff up to help alleviate the injustice of not calling the obvious Offside. If true, Josh will need to learn for the future to just take the sack. Then when the Offside is called the Bills can at least get the 5 yards. An IG should not be in the same class as a Personal Foul. An IG is usually a harmless attempt at avoiding a sack. At most it should be offsetting.

I saw one article listing Trubisky as a potential Saint QB target. I wonder if Beane is tempted to trade away the half year insurance policy for a pick next year. I know this is kind of the opposite of what a lot of people are looking for, but I wouldn't be upset. I want a contender for years!

IMO, the Hughes bias is over. The refs miss stuff all the time and it is not blatant, intentional, conspiracy stuff. However, not calling the Offside when Josh has them is starting to piss me off. The top 10 QBs get those all the time. They are not giving it to Josh. Was a crucial non-call against Pitt -end of 3rd qtr- had 'em and no call. So started 4th w 2nd and 10 instead of first and 5. Was big miss IMO. Happened again today. Josh caught him in the neutral zone, got the ball hiked - and then no flag. And these hurried plays are usually less effective, so not getting the call has a kind of double whammy affect - poor play and no call. Today's was the grounding debacle. Then to piss me off more, the announcers tried to claim it would have made offsetting penalties and the play would have been done over. Remember this was on the grounding call. I find that hard to believe. In any event, even offsetting would have been much better than this missed call. The refs need to start giving Josh/Bills the call when they have them in the neutral zone. It's really starting to irritate me.

Lets Go Bills!!!!!!!

I liked Knox, just didn't think he was TE1 material for a Superbowl contending team. I thought Knox would be good developmental TE2 to Ertz. I was thinking of apologizing for my Ertz obsession but am holding off on that. This team is seriously devoid of a TE2. I think depth at TE could be the worst depth of any position group on the team. We have great DL depth, OL depth nice, dual RBs, even a quality QB2. Someone gave Hollisters numbers upstream but those numbers should be compared to our backup TE, whoever that is. Does Gilliam count? That's embarrassing.

C'mon Royale, no need for that. How about Beas is doing something team management wanted. The timing of the actions suggest a lot. And Kudos to McDermott. What a gutsy way thing to do. The biggest regular season game of the year. Wow, McD notched up his respect level from me, and I imagine from the team as well. For those calling it a coincidence, here's another coincidence that will be occuring soon. 8-10 targets to Beas on Monday night at Tenn.

I want him because he would make the Bills secondary elite. While Gilmore may be me-first, his me-first attitude and what the Bills want are aligned in the same direction, no real conflict of interest. This could be a worthwhile splash move. The Bills passed on the Watt/Ertz moves. This could be it and I would be on board.

No, the Chiefs are not going to be 1 - 6. Also the Eagles are not a tough team, they are pathetic. And how could you just finish watching our game and think Wash would be any type of problem for KC? C'mon.

One play that annoyed me was the lack of the Offside call at the end of the third quarter. Josh caught the guy in the neutral zone and had the ball snapped. Started the fourth 2nd and 10, instead of 1st and 5.

I recommend fantasyfootballcalculator. They have an ADP (Average Draft Position) option that gives you a great idea of when people will be drafted. You put in standard and how many teams in the league, so it's quite specific. You didn't mention if you have a flex. If you do, in a standard league, it is advantageous to be able to play a workhorse back in the flex position, making RBs even more desirable. Decent RBs can give you around 11-12 fpg's (Fantasy Points per Game) vs about 9ish for later decent WRs. To be one of the teams to get this good RB3 you will need to sacrafice in other areas. I suggest holding off on TE and WR2 to get the shot at a good RB3. One thing to be careful of with the ADP are recent movers. For instance D Henderson has moved significantly up because he was being drafted as a backup before the Cam injury. Likewise the Jax RB should be moved up with the Etienne injury. What number are you picking?

I think the RBBC is a good move by the FO. It's a 17 game season now, foolish to try and run just one back through that type of gauntlet. I give the nod to DS for RB1 in a timeshare. I think there is room for improvement in the RBBC but I am against major investment there, so will live with it. I don't think the Bills have a power back game right now. On third and shorts, like with 1 1/2 yards to go, I am not comfortable with just handing the ball off.

I don't think you should assume the Eagles are holding Ertz hostage. It easily could be that a contract with Ertz is the sticking point. What would you accept if you were Ertz/agent? J Smith just got $12.5M. What do you think the Bills would offer Ertz? I don't think the Bills want to give Ertz that amount, and if not, it might be hard to get a deal done. I could easily see Ertz wanting to go to free agency instead of taking what many here want to pay him.

Quit digging your hole here Chandler. The Bills were in the deciding game to get into the Superbowl (and it wasn't called the Superbowl then). The deciding game is called the Conference Championship (doesn't matter what it was called then, that's what we call it now). If you're counting how many Superbowls a team won, Green Bay counts that first one. If you're counting how many Conference Championships a team has been in, you count the games that got you there. It's important for you youngsters to know and recognize Bills history.

This title is just wrong "Bills 1st Ever AFC Title Game. Jan. 89" What? How quickly we forget 1966! The very first AFC title game. Bills lost to KC for the right to get into the first Superbowl. C'mon two pages in and people are letting this slide.