JGMcD2

On the same day that starting linebacker Willie Gay ended up in jail, the Chiefs signed CB Damon Arnette to a Reserve/Futures contract. Las Vegas Raiders cut 2020 first-round CB Damon Arnette after video with death threats (espn.com)

You really have no idea what you’re talking about. One team wins each year. Elite QBs lose the Super Bowl all the time. Some even lose before the Super Bowl. It takes a lot of things coming together at one time to win. You can’t just snap your fingers

I believe I saw that Ryan Poles, who is from WNY and works for KC also has a second interview with the NYG.

Completion percentage... I wanted to stop reading there. I wish I did 🤦‍♂️

How is it relevant? The past 20 years have nothing to do with today. It’s an amazing accomplishment, but the Patriots success on the field for two decades has nothing to do with their current roster construction. Absolutely zero.

I don’t understand why Pats fans, or any sports fans do that. Yankees fans do the same *****. It’s dumb. It’s an unmatched accomplishment. The Bills were great in the 90s… it’s in the past. Fun to talk about but completely irrelevant today.

Alright @FilthyBeasttalk to me about how debatable it is as to where Josh falls in this current bucket of guys 😂😂😂 Murray, Prescott and Carr bounced from the playoffs with all of them puking over themselves. Jackson and then Ravens didn’t even make it. Those 4 combined are 2-9 in the playoffs. Throw in Tannehill and they’re a whopping 4-11!!!😂😂😂 Also, let me know when the chosen one Justin Herbert makes the playoffs! Don’t forget that you said, that Josh has to win a Super Bowl to be considered good… but Hebert doesn’t even have to make the playoffs for you to anoint him as elite. 😂😂😂

Come on Gunner, really? I heard it here that it's dumb to pay ST players.

Oh *****, Frank Clark reads @FilthyBeastposts. That’s how he knows it’s only 99% of people.

If Daboll is gone, I don’t see Dorsey going anywhere other than up in our booth calling plays. And I have a tip that Daboll only wants 1 specific job, otherwise he’d prefer to stay in Buffalo. We will only lose 1 of Daboll/Dorsey, not both.

I’ve done a round by round breakdown in the past and I think it does a good job of showing where teams are getting more value than others. Whether it’s significant or just slightly. I haven’t gotten there yet, but will eventually.

I agree with you... it's a very good point. I'll have to think of ways to adjust... I have a feeling the longer things go those types of guys will no longer be overvalued. That doesn't mean I can't find a way to account for it now.

Guys that get drafted after RD3ish and contribute/play aren't really JAGs either. JAGs are the guys that don't play or play for a season and get replaced. This methodology actually weeds those guys out and rewards you for finding contributors late... which we know is extremely hard to do. I'm not saying it's not flawed in some way, shape or form... but I think we're in a decent amount of agreement on this.

Eddie Jackson is an All-Pro too…

Eddie Jackson, Darnell Mooney and David Montgomery are JAGs? It absolutely has flaws, if I had more time I’d definitely work on tweaking some things. I think it does a decent job of objectively measuring draft results or at least providing some objectivity around the “Beane sucks at drafting” narrative.

I haven’t looked at individual drafts/players yet… I just updated my spreadsheet with the latest AVs. I can look at the Bills in a bit. A quick glance at Chicago… Eddie Jackson and Tarik Cohen in the 4th round provided a lot of value for them in 2017. In 2018 Roquan Smith and Bilal Nichols in the 5th. In 2019 David Montgomery in the 3rd. In 2020 Darnell Mooney in the 5th. They’re getting some pretty good players late and they’ve done well to find some higher end value later. Most of their top picks have been poor, but they’ve done enough where they’re not astronomically below average for the round they’re drafted in. Lol today it was just a matter of updating some spreadsheets which took all of 30 minutes. Working from home leaves me with some time on my hands and it's a slower time of year for work.

Pro Football Reference updated their approximate value numbers today. This post is an update now that we have another year of information on these draft classes. I'm not going to go back through every detail of how I put all of this together - I'll link my original post detailing that if anyone is interested. League Wide Draft Success 2017-2019 - A Follow Up - The Stadium Wall - Two Bills Drive A quick blurb that can orient you here if you don't want to read the entire post: DrAV = AV accumulated for team that drafted the player CarAV is computed by summing 100 percent of the AV of his best season, 95 percent of the AV of his next-best season, 90 percent of the AV of his third-best season, and so on What I did was found the average value for a player drafted in each round (1-7) in each year (2017-2019) and the calculated what I am calling the Net Drafted Accumulated Value (NETDrAV) for each pick in each round. I only compared each draft to itself. I then found the Total Net Drafted Accumulated Value (TOT_NETDrAV) for each team in each draft and ranked them against each other. Rather than just looking at how much raw value the Bills brought in as compared to the 31 other teams, this gives an idea of how much extra value they extracted in each round as compared to the 31 other teams in the league. Image on the left is updated for 2017 - 2021 and is sorted by TOT_NETDrAV Image on the right is updated for 2018 - 2021 (For those who will shout that Beane didn't draft White, Dawkins and Milano) and is also sorted by TOT_NETDrAV. Bills would be #1 in TOT_NETCarAV for both.

I saw this yesterday. Thought it was pretty cool. His 19 AV this season is actually higher than his 18 AV last season. I'll have to update my draft grades... it's tied to overall AV per class. Curious to see what it says about Beane's drafting after another seasons worth of results.

That looks about right to me. You can’t really argue the top 4 IMO. Personally I would put Tomlin in that group and say you can’t really argue the top 5. McDermott slots in comfortably anywhere in the 6-8 range.

Who were the 7 he had above McDermott?

Speaking as someone who had the yips… those probably weren’t the yips. He came out at the half and was punting with ease during warmups too. If he does have the yips, I feel bad for him. It’s the most helpless feeling in the world… I’d never wish it upon my worst enemy.

This gives me chills. It's surreal after growing up in misery, that we can SERIOUSLY make a statement like this about our team. LET'S ***** GO

Well that’s not the Bills actually doing it. You message made it seem like they had or were planning to do something like that. Complaining about ST only players.

Does anyone know what time the gates close? I’ll be showing up at or around game time… if I have any delays I’ll probably miss the 1stQ. Want to make sure I get in…