JGMcD2

It’s harder to draft at the back end of RD1. It hasn’t been great and KC doing it better hasn’t helped. It also hasn’t been a disaster that some are making it out to be. This year’s draft class was actually pretty good and will jump up over time as they continue to play. We’re going to look back in a year or two and have multiple quality starters - Elam, Cook and Benford + Shakir should be an above average contributor.

Drafting in the back half of each round is going to have a big influence on that.

Updating my analysis of league-wide draft success for the third time. I'm linking the previous two versions here as well as including updated charts based on some requests I've received. The old posts below explain the methodology and provide a snapshot of where teams stood at those points in time. 2021 League Wide Draft Success 2017-2019 - A Follow Up - The Stadium Wall Archives - Two Bills Drive 2022 *UPDATED* Draft Success - Measured by AV - The Stadium Wall - Two Bills Drive 2017 - 2019 2020 - 2022

Funny you mention that… I broke that down recently. I’ll update my post some time this week. If I recall correctly, they were #1 from 17-19 and #11 from 20-22.

No… you did it for every pick. You just picked out 2-3 guys that have done better than the player we picked and ignored the other 30 or so that didn’t… that’s just now how it works. I poured hours into an actual analysis and have kept it updated over the years. Contributed plenty on this subject.

Lmao. Seems like a solid way to evaluate… cherry pick 1 player drafted in the same round that has some sort of NFL success.

Everyone goes crazy because Mixon went 154 for 4TDs and another 58 and 1 receiving against Carolina Week 9. Which was like 20% of his total production all year 😂

There I fixed it for you 🤣

Did you mean home or dome? The Bills NEED to build a dome to protect against severe winter storms that result in driving bans.

He’ll be too expensive unfortunately. I love the talent, but I can’t stand the guy.

Daboll literally had to move up to the booth because he was awful on the sidelines and realized it wasn’t going to work for him or Josh. If you watch Giants games he loses his ***** frequently. Here’s a quote from Derek Anderson around when Daboll moved up to the booth. For years, Anderson tried to convince Daboll to call games from the booth instead of the sideline. In Anderson’s mind, coaching from that perch had multiple benefits. Daboll could see the game unfold, but it also distanced him from the emotionally charged setting down below. “He’s just such a competitor on the sidelines,” Anderson said. “It’s hard for him to kind of take a break in between series and be like ‘OK, that series is over with. This is what we’re going to do next. When he’s in the box he can’t get too caught up in those emotions. It makes the communication easier and then it keeps him away from the chaos a little bit and keeps his head clear.” The irony about this, is he didn’t really feel comfortable about moving up to the booth UNTIL WE HIRED KEN DORSEY. Yes, that’s right. Ken Dorsey spent multiple years on the sideline as the guy to relay information from Daboll and help keep Josh grounded. When the Bills hired quarterbacks coach Ken Dorsey in 2019, Daboll was finally able to relinquish control and move to the booth. And Buffalo’s offense has reaped the rewards. I actually really liked Daboll when he was here, but the rose colored glasses people are wearing with the guy now that he’s gone are weird. https://theathletic.com/2324003/2021/01/15/brian-daboll-bills-coaching/?source=user_shared_article

Yup! No more pretending he’s anything more than a top 3 QB in the league and generational talent that’s on pace to end up in Canton.

You’re right. Expecting you to have points to support your statement was ridiculous of me.

Thanks! Words have definitions for a reason. I apologize for properly using them.

Well you can’t use the word regress and not have data? Winning or losing next weekend isn’t really a good barometer to determine regression or not.

Hold up… let me do your research for you? If you’re going to make a comment like this… at least have some evidence to back it up. Don’t just guess.

Interesting… they’ve been over 60% for 3 seasons. I’m not sure you can argue there’s been any significant regression. 2020 - 61% (12th) 2021 - 66% (1st) 2022 - 60% (9th)

Care to expand on that comment?

I didn’t say ANYTHING about the Bills. I just commented on a very specific point… “It’s all on Mahomes”

Yeah, nothing to do at all with the best offensive coach in football. His first ballot Hall of Fame TE. That Cheetah guy he had during that stretch.

Ok… but my very first post you responded to was in response to someone saying Lawrence was in “THAT conversation” right now. Yeah, it was a relevant point. A couple weeks of Urban Meyer isn’t going to undo all of the top notch coaching he had received up to that point. It’s not how that works. He was exposed to an environment that was as close to professional football as you can get for his 3 college seasons. He played in enormous games with a tremendous amount of pressure and spotlight for years.

oh my Lord. This all started because you responded to my post… that was in response to another post that said “Lawrence was in THAT conversation.” Meaning Allen/Mahomes/Burrow. 🤦🏻

Bro he played at Clemson with some of the best coaching in the entire world. He played with hundreds of thousands of fans watching on some of the biggest stages ever. Give me a break with your ball washing. He’s a great QB… my point wasn’t that he was bad. It’s the fact that a 4 pick first half would have people screaming Josh is reckless regardless of if he mounted a comeback. He’s had to scratch and claw to get the respect and Lawrence digs himself a huge hole, works out of it (impressive for sure!) but that alone puts him in the same tier as Mahomes? ***** stupid.

I don’t ever really know what to say. You realize Josh accounts for like 85% of our offense? He is the main reason we win every game. Now that we’ve analyzed that, let me go check on the mental toughness of the guy who was rejected from every D1 school out of HS and then rejected by every D1 school but 1 out of JUCO 😂