DCOrange

This just isn't an accurate description of Cincinnati. They put up 20 and 17 points the first two weeks (and 7 of those was simply a duck that Dalton threw where the safety had an easy INT and mistimed the jump, allowing Ross to walk into the end zone instead) and put up 17 this week. After 429 yards of offense in week 1 (including the aforementioned duck), they followed it up with 316 yards last week; Buffalo allowed 306. Cincinnati is a bad offensive team and while Buffalo's defense did a very good job in the first half, the 2nd half led to Cincinnati getting what will likely be their usual production. I think Buffalo's defense is elite, but we've played probably 3 of the bottom 5-8 offensive teams in the league so far this year. New England is a gigantic step up, and I suspect it will be too much of a step up. Could obviously say the same about New England's defense as well (and their offense for that matter), but they've aced the eye test to this point whereas the Bills have been more of a B in that regard.

So based on that heatmap, it looks like basically all of Brady's passes are to the left side of the field so far this year? That's interesting.

My guess is we see more of two things: 1. Frank Gore and Allen running up the middle - New England seems to be favoring a defense where they only use 1 or 2 true linemen at a time and just flood the field with linebackers and DBs. Even when offenses go spread, New England is stacking the line with these guys because their DBs are good enough that they can all be on islands. So the adjustment to me (and the zig to Daboll's zag) is to narrow the field instead of spreading it the way we have. If they're going to stack the box anyways, but do it with relatively small defenders, we should put more size on the field and try to push them around and let Gore do his thing. If Kroft is available, I think we see a lot of 3 TE sets. 2. More bunch formations and screens - basically just to try to muddy the waters and make it more difficult for New England to jam receivers at the line. Screens might work against New England's stacking of the box, specifically bubble screens.

This is where I'm at too unfortunately.

Obviously it's early, but I think we can say with relative certainty the playoff picture is likely to end up looking like this: AFC East: Patriots - just being realistic AFC West: Chiefs - think they're clearly the best in the division AFC North: Ravens - same AFC South: Colts/Texans Wild Card Contenders: 2nd place team in the AFC South LA Chargers Buffalo Bills Maybe Cleveland Browns if they right the ship So we're talking about 3 or 4 teams competing for the last 2 spots and Buffalo will likely be in that mix. If every game goes the way you'd expect, I think Buffalo ends up 10-6 and gets in. That's usually not how things go though; I'll say 9-7 is my realistic hope and I think at that point, it'll come down to tie-breakers to get in. Hopefully they go our way.

I had them projected for a top 5 pick coming into the year. I won’t completely admit defeat on that yet but I think their defense might be good enough to avoid that.

Yeah, I think I honestly underestimated Tennessee a bit this year but I still don’t think they win more than 7 games tops.

The Titans are just a bad football team.

It looks like Mariota is legitimately trying to get sacked.

I’m fine with going for it, but for gods sake when will coaches take the end zone fade out behind the shed and put it down?

FWIW, Adams is saying he's never followed the Jets on social media to begin with, so he didn't unfollow them.

I don't really see any opportunities as a starter tbh, unless, again, a team like Pittsburgh decides they don't have that much faith in Rudolph after all. The only one that seems like a realistic opportunity to be a starter is the Jets and even that would only last a few weeks. Edit: Maybe Carolina if the Cam Newton injury is serious.

I can't see them trading picks for multiple QBs in back to back weeks, especially with Minshew playing decently well. He might be better right now than Eli.

Just at a quick glance, the only real options I see for Eli (besides remaining as Jones' backup, which I think is most likely) are: Pittsburgh - Maybe as Rudolph's backup, maybe as the starter, but I think Pittsburgh is at least a little excited to see Rudolph in game action even if I personally think he's bad. Chicago - They already have Chase Daniel as Trubisky's backup though, and might not want to put any additional pressure on Trubisky as is. Green Bay - Their current backup is Tim Boyle. Jets - They probably think Darnold is only out a few more weeks though, so maybe they hold off, but Eli would certainly be an upgrade over Falk in the interim if they want to keep any hopes of a successful season alive. That's all I got.

There is no one "The" problem there. They have a litany of problems, and Eli was undoubtedly one of them. I wonder if there will be any trade interest in Eli, and if so, who.

Re: Baker, I don't know what Cleveland is doing offensively just from a systematic standpoint. They seem to be swinging for a home run on every play instead of using Odell and Landry's ability to generate separation immediately to generate quick and easy yardage. Combine the focus on longer-developing plays with their porous offensive line and you have the makings of screwing up what should be a good offense. And I think they made a mistake trading Zeitler for Olivier Vernon. With Zeitler and Bitonio, they could have at least had two very good guards on the O-Line. Now they're left at a weakness with 4 of their 5 blockers.

That is correct.

I don't think he's top 6 right now but he's pretty close IMO. Also, just nitpicking, but I think Brissett should be Tier 3 if Flacco is.

Jackson was IMO the 2nd best QB prospect to come along since Andrew Luck. My rankings haven't changed since the start of the season besides maybe bumping Darnold down out of a tie with Allen for #3.

For me, it’s: 1. Lamar 2. Baker 3. Allen 4. Darnold 5. Rosen

I love Allen, loved him even before he was a Bill, but Mahomes was my favorite QB prospect I’ve ever watched. It definitely hurts. Likewise with Lamar for me. I think we’re in good hands even if it could have been better hands though.

Schofield is awesome. He's a great follow on Twitter for those that use it; he does a lot of film breakdown there as well.

Chris Godwin is so damn good

Since it seems like their formula is influenced by QBR in some way, over the past 10 games: Big Ben: 65.52 Brady: 65.09 Keenum: 53.96 Stafford: 50.96