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corta765

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Everything posted by corta765

  1. Honestly to me it has been Tyreek Hill. Miami is a different animal without him and he is on pace for over 2000 yds which would be a new NFL record. Dude is a jerk as a person but his impact has been immeasurable for Miami and if it is most valuable, that offense is not the same without him.
  2. The good news is that is usually followed by a run in the next few years before the "he can't do it or wants to leave" phase
  3. Read a really good thing that basically the offense has to play perfect right now as the defense has issues making stops. If they turnover the ball it exasperates problems. I use to be for get the ball out of half to double dip with points, but with the offense just middling and the defense lacking to make stops its also imperative the Bills score first now.
  4. NFL Playoff Predictors has a simulator and basically in the AFC if you hit 10 wins you should make it in. The AFC north will eat on itself which will help, the biggest issue is HOU who looks plucky and the Jets if they keep stealing wins. But realistically the Bills chances breakdown like this: Must win: DEN NYJ NE Need 2 of 5: at PHI at KC DAL at LAC at MIA If the Bills can get to 10 wins before they go to Miami it is plausible they are for the division. The problem right now is in the past you could depend on the Bills doing their business in the must win games and also winning a big game or two on the road like PHI/KC where the division is 100% a thing. Right now I honestly could see them 8-8 week 18 and in a bad tiebreaker situation just to even hope to get in. Faith o meeter is low.
  5. I think Diggs stays through 25. They don't have a replacement for him and his contract has far less cap issues in 26'. My dream draft this upcoming year is a WR round 1 even if they move up who they can place in the WR2 spot.
  6. Ravens offense is 6th in yards, 6th in ppg, and has had two games total under 20 ppg. The total package looks far better then Buffalo and it is why comparing QB production solely after statistics is stupid. If Buffalo played Baltimore on neutral ground right now they would lose 30-21 at this moment. In no way do I currently trust the Bills offense in a track meet. Things can change, but this is the freshest the Ravens have looked in 5 years as an offense.
  7. I got to thinking about how the offense this year has been so up and down bordering on stale at points as I watched the game and then I saw the score tracker at the bottom with the Ravens and it hit me the offense is played out the same way it had in BAL. Daboll created the offense you see back in 2018 and refined it to the peak it hit at the end of 2021. By all accounts from team, coach, opposing players, and NFL analysts Dorsey has not deviated from this. The problem with this is twofold: 1. Dorsey is not the experienced OC like Daboll who was very inventive with window dressing on plays, how guys were lined up, and the overall flow of the offense 2. The league has changed and offenses have to evolve to what it does. This is the least I can remember the Bills attacking deep and a big reason is the two safety shell that is now universally used. The Ravens had a similar thing happen with Roman as the offense peaked and year by year failed to keep up and change itself. Things cratered last year as the Ravens did make the playoffs, but their fans said the exact same as what Buffalo fans are right now. In the off season new blood and a fresh OC who knew how to maximize what Lamar excels at while still letting him run a bit have led to a superb offense this year that overall might be the best team in the NFL. The issue this year is the offense full stop. The defense in 2020 was actually not as great as years before or after as they finished 15th in yards allowed. It didn't matter because the offense was humming so well they could have a bad day. Right now if the offense was able to have had a better day in JAX/NE/CIN your probably talking about a 6-3 or even 7-2 team (Jets loss was Josh 100%). That really is the difference at this time and I think the offense is what it is without change at OC. Josh in his good games lately like TB can do enough to will them to victory and the rest of the pieces hang on enough to get the W. But even if they make the playoffs the bar from what we have seen feels lower now and without a new person at OC to view it I just don't see it changing.
  8. Buffalos 27 Tigers 23 Classic upset coming as everything is towards Cincy and Buffalo is completely being undersold along with this being a revenge game for the playoffs. Bills and Allen got off to a hot start as they use a hurray up offense and Diggs torches Hilton on a slant for a 7 yd TD. After trading possessions Cincy has the ball midfield before a sack fumble from Groot. Allen hits Shakir on a play action for a 35 yd TD and suddenly it is 14-0 BUF with 10 mins left in the half. CIN gets going and Burrow answers with a Chase TD. BUF gets a FG before half to go up 17-7. 2nd half CIN gets it to 17-14 as they move downfield and Mixon scores. Allen takes the Bills on a time killing drive and they get a TD from Cook on a 20 yard run to go up 24-14. Entering the 4th CIN is slowed on their drive which takes time but a pass interference call gives CIN an easy TD from the 1 yard line from Burrow to make it 24-20 as they fail on the 2 pt try. The Bills go 3 and out and the defense slows CIN with a sack on 3rd down by Von to force a FG with 5 mins left and it is 24-23 BUF. The Bills are able to run most of the clock and kick a FG with 30 seconds left to go up 27-23. Burrow and the Bengals fall as the clock expires (no hail mary as they are not pass midfield) and the Bills get their most convincing win of the year. Allen 276 yds 26-32 2 TDs 63 yds rush Cook 89 yds 9 attempts 1 TD Shakir 98 yds 6 rec 1 TD Groot 2 sacks 1 FF
  9. This might be the closest prediction I have had between score and what actually occurred lol
  10. Him and Andre Holmes out there doing the lords work
  11. Haha yea I remember listening to the first half from turning stone and it sounded bad. They had just lost to ATL in a game they 1000% should've won and the entire team looked not into that game then. My buddies went to TB in 21' and said other then the loss it was an awesome time and def worth going back to. I've done Miami twice and it is a great trip. Same man. I was pro EJ really hard, but once that pick happened you could see it in his face he knew that was it.
  12. don't forget the legend of Mike Glennon took us down that day
  13. 2017 game I was full Bills fear bunker at the end because if they won they were 4-2 with the Raiders who were not great at home and a real chance to at least make the playoffs given what their schedule. So I was borderline ready to throw things when they blew a lead they had all game and I almost jumped through the ceiling when Tre forced the fumble. What is not talked about enough is the end of the game the Bucs had an insanely long lateral that failed, but it injured Poyers knee on the final play and EJ Gaines also tweaked his hamstring also.
  14. End up with an orange jersey sponsored by franks hot sauce because chicken wings
  15. No thanks. Mostly because the odds of them making it infinitely worse are more then it being cool or better
  16. Bills 27 Bucs 17 Score shows ten pt win but realistically I think while the offense plays more competent throughout Tampa hangs around until the late 4th. Buffalo goes into half up 13-10 courtesy of a Kincaid TD and two stalled drives, TB gets a 30 yard Godwin TD and FG before half. Out of half Buffalo goes 7 mins and Allen runs a 10 yard TD in to put the Bills up 20-10. Baker marches a drive as the defense wilts and early 4th Bucs run a TD in to only be down 20-17. The offense for the first time in four weeks seals the game as Allen moves the team quickly and gets Davis on a 25 yard TD to get the Bills up 27-17 with 5 minutes to go. Baker throws a pick and the Bills run the clock out with a game closer then the final looks. Allen 25-35 310 2 TDs 45 yards rush 1 TD Murray 10 carries 55 yards Davis 102 yards 3 rec 1 TD Bernard 1 INT 6 tackles 1 TFL
  17. As I have been doing every few weeks I take a step back to see realistically where everything looks to shake out. As always criticize, laugh, tell me to drink hot sauce because you disagree, do what you must: SB or Bust It Feels KC - The offense is good but this is their best defense in the Mahomes era and that is terrifying PHI - Defense is good and Byard is a great addition. Offense still a little off but it feels like a collision course between them and SF for the NFC SF - Back to back losses as the injuries mount and Purdy looks a little mortal. Still their ceiling is incredibly high and their goal is plain and obvious for this year. See You In January... But How Real Are You BAL - Ravens on offense look revitalized with their new OC, but they do have a bad loss in PIT. Feels like this might be Lamar's year to show what he has in the post-season and prove his point. DET - They clearly are a really good team... but they got taken to task by Baltimore and when its crunch time how much do you really trust Goff? JAX - They have won the games they should and the BUF win is nice as they look to be rounding to form. SF/CIN/BAL are coming with a real chance to show where they stack against some more quality teams. MIA - Certainly an explosive offense and a true threat in the AFC... BUT the book is out on Tua and this offense as both losses when he had to move around due to pressure the offense couldn't go at the same rate. Not many teams have PHI/BUF's level of d-line play but even NE made life uncomfortable for Tua. They need to prove it against a bigger foe before they are at KC/PHI level SEA - 4-2 and the defense looks like it is finding its way while the offense is a little shaky compared to last year. I would expect them in the post season but can Geno make more plays to really go toe to toe with SF or PHI? They play both this year so we will find out. Causing Their Fanbases to Reevaluate Existence. Seriously Can Any of Them Get It Together Because They Have Contender Abilities. Playoffs 70/30 BUF - Allen is having his best passing year across most statistics... yet he seems leashed and not the same guy. The defense has injuries the limit the potential of what they can do, but realistically if the offense plays at the high levels at has from 2020-22 they potentially can hang with anyone thanks to 17. How you feel about that is up to you. CIN - A lot has been made about their comeback to .500, but right now the defense is driving this team and Burrow still doesn't look himself. He has just one 300 yard game and they have struggled to move the ball consistently. Like Buffalo the potential is their for the offense to get it going and their fine and the defense is good.. but they also have put themselves far back in division. DAL - One week they look like gods the next they look like goons. The schedule is incredibly hard after the break with PHI 2x, at BUF, MIA, DET, and SEA all to go and WSH who plays tough at times. Like the other two above they could go on a run and be 12-5 at seasons end, be 10-7 and make it in, or even be 8-9 and leave you wondering why. Can Play Themselves In or Out of a Playoff Spot LAR - Crappy outcome as the refs gave the game to PIT, but the offense looks better and the defense is growing. They have games later vs NYG/NOLA/ARZ/WSH so the potential is there is they can win all of those that a 9-8 record could get them in. MIN - They have played themselves back into the race at 3-4 and have at GB at ATL NOLA at DEN CHI and at LV NYJ - Zach Wilson has maybe evolved from trash to at least competent game manager which gives them a shot as long as the defense plays well and they can run the ball. Still they have a bunch of road games coming so pressure falls squarely on the defense to keep them alive. PIT - Honestly I think this is the worst 4-2 team in football, but they have two nice wins so far over CLE/BAL. The schedule gets much tougher starting this week as they have JAX/CLE/CIN/CIN/SEA/BAL all to go and three of their last four are on the road. Can the defense keep playing at a high level to limit that limited offense? Truthfully Probably Too Flawed for the Playoffs But... CLE - The defense while not so great against IND is stout and they are still running the ball well. The QB question and schedule feels like it will cap them to 9-8 at best. HOU - This is probably the true darkhorse playoff team of the AFC. Stroud looks quite good despite the roster not fully being built yet and they finish the year at TEN, CLE, TEN, at IND while having a three game home stretch in November of ARZ/JAX/DEN. If they can be 7-6 entering the final four this might be your 7th seed in the AFC. LAC - After hosting CHI on SNF (blah) their schedule offers no relief and if you believed Herbert eats stats but isn't as good as the numbers say this year is proving it. To get to even 10-7 they need to go 8-3 the rest of way which seems really hard to buy at this point after years of evidence saying otherwise. LV (Raiders) - They probably just lost their playoff hopes Sunday against CHI, but their a really weird team that still feels Dick Jauron in the hunt style come December (aka 5-7 but in the hunt) WSH - The NFC is bad enough and WSH has enough talent still to hang around. Their schedule does them no favors and Howell doesn't look the part. I Hate This Division.. They Are Taking Up A Playoff Spot ATL - Desmond Ridder, you really had to go that direction when you literally could've had Lamar or Rodgers or traded up etc.. Seeing talented teams waste a year because of hubris is maddening. NOLA - Raiders 2.0 down South. What a surprise as this looks like Carr we saw before and Dennis Allen is a crappy coach. Maybe they get a little hot and win enough to go 9-8 before they get beat. TB - I still think TB wins the division as when Baker is good that offense can come alive and the defense is feisty. After Buffalo they only have SF/JAX which pose real issue with Carolina twice still and NOLA at home week 17 with some other weaker opponents. Do you job and you get another crown TB. Drafting Away ARZ - They play hard and Murray is coming back so maybe they can steal a few more games. More importantly the coaching staff is seeing who is and isn't part of the future as they sit happily with two 1st round picks in 24'. CHI - Fields has at least shown some flashes to maybe make you think build more over the offseason but with his injury it limits anymore learning. If Atlanta would give a 2nd or 3rd for Fields it almost feels worth so you can grab a young QB with a fresh rookie contract to build worth vs paying Fields 30 mil plus and still not know. DEN - They are in a really awkward and tough spot. Payton has not been anything special as a coach, Russ is being paid to cook 19 pts a game, and they look more ready for a reset then a build forward.. but Payton can't be fired and Russ has to play out on his contract through at least 24 before cap relief. Yikes. GB - After starting decent the first three weeks Love has comeback to earth these last three. This wasn't going to be a playoff year, but how he goes the rest of the way will determine a lot on what GB does this offseason. IND - This team was so much fun with Richardson and plays really hard. They will finish 5-12 and then draft a top WR which should scare the AFC at the talent that may go there. NE - Nice win Sunday to show some signs of life, but 5 losses caps their ability to really make any run as the schedule still is daunting throughout. Biggest question is if Mac Jones can show more good like he did Sunday. NYG - Tyrod Taylor could win them enough games that instead of being able to draft a QB in the top 5 they have to add skill guys instead. Not the worst problem, but really what are they playing for long term. TEN - Feels like they accepted reality 6 months to late, but regardless the rebuild looks to be getting started. Big question is when Hopkins goes (quietly on pace for over 1000 yards) and if a player like Simmons would be available for anyone. We Made A Very Bad Decision CAR - Just to recap they traded a top WR, last years 1st and this years 1st for Bryce Young who has been decidedly the worst of this years rookie class as Richardson showed great flashes and Stroud looks quite good. Plenty of time for Young to turn it around and year 1 for any rookie does not determine the future either way, but they could've had DJ Moore AND a 1st this year with Richardson or potentially Stroud which would've felt a lot better.
  18. I am calling a TBD meeting only... 9th green at nine at the local golf course see you tonight!
  19. Ironically he is on pace for the best year statistically since 2020 passing. It is why the eye test matters more to me then the stats, I thought last year was actually Joshs best year as they took a lot of body blows and regardless of turnovers he got them through it. To me he is pressing a bit too hard and things have gone sideways in a way he has not faced since 2019. The offense seems to actively trying to evolve for some reason to be more balanced and he has been far more a pocket passer this year then I can ever remember prior. He still is a freak breaking tackles and making plays exist that normally don't, but there seems to be a forced effort to not run 20 yards and pass for 10 or throw it away. When the offense was running hot weeks 2-4 it wasn't an issue and the evolution seemed fine. But the last three weeks have been a step back and I think they have gone a bit too far with keeping him safe and in the pocket vs letting him play. Truthfully Josh is at his best when he is a dual threat and willing to take a guy on. Week 1 may have spooked him in a season he was already moving away from being as aggressive running it. Maybe this is just part of his evolution and by the back half of the season this is a road bump as they find the stride they had weeks 2-4 or maybe the offense as a whole needs a rescheme and going back to the most successful parts of 2020-22. To me the answer is probably more towards the middle by loosening and letting Josh play a little more free and utilizing 11 personnel which josh seems to like more while having a more targeted rushing attack when you run.
  20. Because everyone else hasn't had two weeks in a row vs inferior opponents where they played this bad. The Bills strength since Josh arrived in 2019 has been their offense and the ability to be dynamic regularly on offense. They have 10 total pts in the 1st half of the last three games combined. No other team has lost three pro bowl players either of that bunch creating a greater emphasis for the offense to do even more. If you really are at the point your trying to defend them at this time and can't see the issues that are there, I don't know what to tell you.
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