corta765

GUYS THIS TIME IT WAS SUPER DE DUPERTY SERIOUS!

At this point I kinda want to throw my hand up as making predictions seems pointless with how up and down they are. I usually post a longer prediction as it had good karma but I am shorting it up. The "get right game" doesn't exist at this point but I think the offense finally has its most consistent stable performance over 4 quarters since Miami. Buffalo scores on five of their 9 drives over the game going up 17-10 at halftime as there is no killer fumble or INT or Bass missed FG. The Broncos hang around enough and are able to get points but FGs instead of TD's as they get just one. Buffalo wins 27-19 as they have to grind out the clock for a little at the end but no hail mary fun this time. Allen 24-31 270 yds 2 TDs 51 yds rushing Cook 71 yds 9 atts 1 TD Diggs 9 rec 112 yds Poyer 1 INT 1 Sack 5 tckls

You can ask my wife I was screaming at my TV as the defense couldn't get off the field and time kept running. Opposing teams have gotten really good at running clock and limiting possessions which in turn has made our office which has been average to decent at best and made the situation even more pressure filled. Honestly it would be better if the defense allowed a faster score because at least the offense would get the ball back. CIN/JAX it was like these long death knell type drives that still ended as TDs which cut us both in score and ability to respond.

I have always taken his grade with a grain of salt. I think Kubiak has great analysis and generally makes me feel better about Josh if it was a bad game for the team. But sometimes like this game I curve the grade down a 1/2 grade or so. C+ / B- feels more right for the CIN game as like you said 2nd quarter was not good enough and the pick was awful. On the flipside the 2nd half they did get going and I really wish I could've seen Josh down 24-17 if the Kincaid fumble doesn't happen and they score like they looked like they were going to, but such is life.

It is so noticeable that the offense has an identity crisis and is trying to do too much. I think this is why then Josh locks scatterbrained or indecisive because too much is changing and we have no consistency. At this point they really need to revert to 11p/spread 4 or 5 with tempo and run it from there. You can mix in packages if it is red zone or short yardage etc.. but that should be the core focus moving forward. A lot of people keep bringing up 2021, but the offense never felt like it lost its identity as much as it just need to click and get it together which is why I never freaked when they were up and down. Right now I have real concern because they lack the consistency and the identity is still MIA so it is hard to see them winning 10-11 games without that and the D being porus. The most frustrating thing is Kincaid & Shakir seem to really be grabbing a footing which mixed with Diggs great play and a better o line the offense on paper has vastly more potential then what we have seen the last bunch of weeks. I am just not sure they maximize that potential at this point.

Agreed. I use NFL Playoff Predictor weekly and 10-7 is the safe zone. Get there and tie breakers shouldn't matter as the attrition between teams in conference will drag records down. But that means besides winning all four at home Buffalo is going to have to do their job on the road at least once. If they can be 10-6 heading to Miami I think that game would be for the division. Miami is 6-3 but has games still against the Jets twice whose defense has been problems against any good offense, at Baltimore, home Dallas, and at Washington who while not great still plays decently hard and it will be December. I do not think it is a far stretch to say Miami is 11-5 come week 18 which still means they went 5-2 mind you. My great question is if Buffalo can actually do their part to just get to 10-6 by then which means winning all of your home games and at least one of at KC/PHI/LAC. Right now don't feel great about that but things change fast good or bad in the NFL.

Nope don't disagree. And honestly rookies can look great year 1 and never keep it going. I am a Stroud fan and he is doing everything you would want so far and more. Also alot of time for things to play out good and bad.

Sure and he will have bad weeks along with defenses figuring out how to defend him better. But their schedule is light and they still have 5 home games left, the opportunity is certainly there for them to be a darkhorse team.

I agree with most of what you said but the Jets true problem is at best the offense is middling and can stay out of trouble enough for the defense to basically win them the game. I think the fatigue of this and the offense being so limited finally is catching up which means they have no easy wins even if they are in the game. I can really see a scenario playing out where they finish 8-9 maybe 9-8 and you look back and say if only they upgraded to anything over Wilson.

Saw that. No bueno

9 weeks in and the playoff picture in the AFC is a mess for the wildcard spots as many teams have a chance but flaws. The NFC looks a bit more settled minus the final wildcard spot. SB or Bust It Feels KC - The defense is the best Mahomes has had, but it is a legitimate question what the ceiling is for the offense even with Mahomes. PHI - Dallas gave their best shot and PHI still came out on top. Maybe a perfect roster and the offense is rolling now. BAL - DET and SEA both came in playing great football and the Ravens curb stopped them. Tough division games ahead, but this is the most complete BAL team yet with Lamar. CIN - They are rounded into shape and Burrow looks back to form. Chase back injury could be a problem and the division is still really tough so playoffs are a yes but they may be on the road throughout. See You In January... But How Real Are You SF - Injuries have become a real problem and Purdy is no longer getting away with passes that are dropped that should've been INT. They can restate themselves when they rematch PHI in a few weeks. DET - They could get the 1 seed in the NFC, their schedule is weak and they are taking to task the division. JAX - They have some good tests to see where they stand with SF and CIN coming up soon. HOU also looks like a problem soon so this might be the year to push for a run. MIA -6-0 vs teams with a losing record 0-3 vs winning teams. The book is out on stopping this offense if you have a D-line and can work the WR's off the line. Can Tua take the final step as a passer? SEA - Geno is taken a little step back compared to last year and while playoffs are real, the offense needs to get it going if they want to do more. DAL - Tough tough loss that puts them two back in the division when they were so close to stealing a game in PHI. It is fair to wonder if they ever break through at this point. Can Play Themselves In or Out of a Playoff Spot BUF - The offense is sick and running out of time for a remedy to fix it while the defense doesn't have the teeth right now to allow much attrition. The frustration is real and understandable by the fanbase as the coaching staff seems not willing to adjust to what made things click in the past. CLE - Defense and running attack is good, if they ever had a QB they could be division contender. Feels like they fade into .500 instead. HOU - 4-4 and 100% rolling with Stroud who very possibly will play them into a playoff spot. Fun fun team to watch and Ryans has been superb as head coach. LAC - Back to .500 but the offense is incredibly off and Herbert is not having a great year. Still as we say every year feels like if the talent hit its peak they could be really good. MIN - If they can get to 9-8 they will make the wildcard. Can Dobbs just play steady enough to let his playmakers work? NYJ - Zach Wilson will stop this team from making the playoffs and why did they not trade for Dobbs who looks far steadier? Rodgers might make it back for the last 3-4 games which is unreal if it happens, but will they have a season left to play for? PIT - Great defense, good head coach, and the worst offense in football which has not had over 400 yards in a game in 54 games now and counting. Schedule is far far tougher the rest of the way, yet Tomlin will have them playing for the playoffs the last two weeks. Truthfully Probably Too Flawed for the Playoffs But... LAR - Stafford being out is probably enough to take away their playoffs, but this is still a good year of progress for their youth and growth long term. WSH - .500 team again with Rivera that could be more if they did not waste games they should've won. I Hate This Division.. They Are Taking Up A Playoff Spot ATL - If Taylor Heincke plays the rest of the year they could make a playoff spot. But Arthur Smith looks over his head and it feels like a madden gamer could make this offense run better. NOLA - Probably the division favorite at this time but nothing to get excited about here. TB - Tough loss in Houston and they are now two back of NOLA. Nothing is impossible but not trading Evans or some of the vets at the deadline may be a mistake come the offseason if they walk. Drafting Away ARZ - Murray is back and that will open the offense a bit, but realistically they are probably better not winning more then another game or two for draft reasons. CHI - Year 3 with Fields and its the same refrain "Need to see him play more to see what he is or isn't" which probably answers what they should do in the offseason. DEN - The defense seems to have found some footing and the offense at times is productive, but realistically their spinning their wheels to 7-10 and a worse draft pick. GB - You would hope to see more from Love by now, but the offense is super young and unsettled. Growing years are tough and hopefully Love can show more to inspire faith in the last 8 games. IND - The youngsters are showing signs, but it feels like everything is on pause with Richardson done for the year and what next year could be. NE - How they beat the Bills is a real question as the offense looks atrocious again. The big question is if BB survives the season and is given one last shot to rebuild this team which lacks so much talent. TEN - Levis has looked pretty solid in his first two starts and has some arm talent. They are not going to make the playoffs unless Levis can play at Strouds level, but if he keeps showing good signs that matters more for the future. Bottom Caved In NYG - They were lucky to get in last year and overperformed, but man the football gods are not giving them a break at this point. New QB coming in 2024. We Made A Very Bad Decision CAR - Bryce Young has made baby steps and they have a win. But watching Stroud tear up the league and knowing he could've been yours is awful buyers remorse right now.

Circumstance is everything. Bills TB both teams were 3-4 days rest max and once Buffalo got up by a bunch they basically tried to coast as long as possible (not that I agreed with that) which worked out. TB - HOU both teams were fully rested and TB was playing with some real urgency as their division is pretty open so once they started trading blows it was on. I was beyond impressed with Stroud though and he did great. But stat lines are not everything as a quick glance at the Bills Bengals score looks closer then it felt.

IF and IF you are willing to be glass half full you could say in 2017, 2019, & 2021 as all three times the team was 5-4 or 7-6 or 4-3 etc.. The difference this time feels the defense isn't the strength it was and the offense doesn't seem to be righting itself AND the schedule doesn't exactly bold favorable with opponents.

Counter point. The NFL prioritizes the QB position in a way that it is have or have not. The Bills finally have a guy who you can 100% win a SB with and at a time which he is in his prime having another good year they are spinning their tires. They pissed away the prior three years and didn't break through. Time is not limitless and once Josh is gone your back to have not. Yes the stars haven't aligned, but historically if a QB hasn't won by now post rookie contract the odds are not great the later it gets. Drew Brees and Matt Stafford are maybe the two who stick out that won their first title way into their career in todays cap world. McD if he does not make a SB this year will have the longest tenure of any coach to be the guy without breaking through. This is the prime and Josh has probably 6-7 good-great years left before you start doing the aging QB how do you make it work thing. It is why people are so antsy and the anger is building. The clock is ticking and nothing is there to show for it.

What is even more aggravating is they keep talking about him for the stretch run... at the rate they are going there will be no stretch run lol

Honestly to me it has been Tyreek Hill. Miami is a different animal without him and he is on pace for over 2000 yds which would be a new NFL record. Dude is a jerk as a person but his impact has been immeasurable for Miami and if it is most valuable, that offense is not the same without him.

Every once in a while the blind squirrel finds a nut lol

The good news is that is usually followed by a run in the next few years before the "he can't do it or wants to leave" phase

"Stand up so they can end it faster"

Read a really good thing that basically the offense has to play perfect right now as the defense has issues making stops. If they turnover the ball it exasperates problems. I use to be for get the ball out of half to double dip with points, but with the offense just middling and the defense lacking to make stops its also imperative the Bills score first now.

NFL Playoff Predictors has a simulator and basically in the AFC if you hit 10 wins you should make it in. The AFC north will eat on itself which will help, the biggest issue is HOU who looks plucky and the Jets if they keep stealing wins. But realistically the Bills chances breakdown like this: Must win: DEN NYJ NE Need 2 of 5: at PHI at KC DAL at LAC at MIA If the Bills can get to 10 wins before they go to Miami it is plausible they are for the division. The problem right now is in the past you could depend on the Bills doing their business in the must win games and also winning a big game or two on the road like PHI/KC where the division is 100% a thing. Right now I honestly could see them 8-8 week 18 and in a bad tiebreaker situation just to even hope to get in. Faith o meeter is low.

I think Diggs stays through 25. They don't have a replacement for him and his contract has far less cap issues in 26'. My dream draft this upcoming year is a WR round 1 even if they move up who they can place in the WR2 spot.

Ravens offense is 6th in yards, 6th in ppg, and has had two games total under 20 ppg. The total package looks far better then Buffalo and it is why comparing QB production solely after statistics is stupid. If Buffalo played Baltimore on neutral ground right now they would lose 30-21 at this moment. In no way do I currently trust the Bills offense in a track meet. Things can change, but this is the freshest the Ravens have looked in 5 years as an offense.

I got to thinking about how the offense this year has been so up and down bordering on stale at points as I watched the game and then I saw the score tracker at the bottom with the Ravens and it hit me the offense is played out the same way it had in BAL. Daboll created the offense you see back in 2018 and refined it to the peak it hit at the end of 2021. By all accounts from team, coach, opposing players, and NFL analysts Dorsey has not deviated from this. The problem with this is twofold: 1. Dorsey is not the experienced OC like Daboll who was very inventive with window dressing on plays, how guys were lined up, and the overall flow of the offense 2. The league has changed and offenses have to evolve to what it does. This is the least I can remember the Bills attacking deep and a big reason is the two safety shell that is now universally used. The Ravens had a similar thing happen with Roman as the offense peaked and year by year failed to keep up and change itself. Things cratered last year as the Ravens did make the playoffs, but their fans said the exact same as what Buffalo fans are right now. In the off season new blood and a fresh OC who knew how to maximize what Lamar excels at while still letting him run a bit have led to a superb offense this year that overall might be the best team in the NFL. The issue this year is the offense full stop. The defense in 2020 was actually not as great as years before or after as they finished 15th in yards allowed. It didn't matter because the offense was humming so well they could have a bad day. Right now if the offense was able to have had a better day in JAX/NE/CIN your probably talking about a 6-3 or even 7-2 team (Jets loss was Josh 100%). That really is the difference at this time and I think the offense is what it is without change at OC. Josh in his good games lately like TB can do enough to will them to victory and the rest of the pieces hang on enough to get the W. But even if they make the playoffs the bar from what we have seen feels lower now and without a new person at OC to view it I just don't see it changing.

@Virgilwelll... were waiting!!!