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Everything posted by BarleyNY
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The two biggest examples are McDermott not owning his mistakes publicly or privately and players like Diggs who seem(ed) exempt from being held accountable. You can’t have a tiered system. FWIW I don’t think McDermott even realizes that most of the mistakes he’s made in big moments of the biggest games were mistakes.
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Very true. But that only works long term if people take accountability for their own mistakes. Realizing that they’ve made mistakes is step one. Owning them is step 2.
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Some real accountability would be a good step. “It starts with me.” doesn’t cut it.
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True. The crazy thing is - Andy Reid blew the SB this year. His game plan against Philly’s quarters coverage was absolute trash. It was what Philly primarily ran all season so it shouldn’t have been a surprise to see it. Yet it took him a whole 30 minutes of getting destroyed to adjust. Game was over by then.
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I’d be comfortable with that $16M-$18M range. I think he’s worth that. The $23M-$25M range I’ve seen thrown around, no thank you. He can play out his deal and get it somewhere else.
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Dorion Williams youngest LB in league this year to lead in tackles
BarleyNY replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
That’s a pretty good comp for what he could become. Both are small, but fast. That’s the type of LB he could develop into. -
Dorion Williams youngest LB in league this year to lead in tackles
BarleyNY replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
I understand that is what you meant. The Browns won’t be interested in taking back an older player back in trade - especially an older one with a large salary and recent injury issues. It would only undermine their rebuild. -
I’m with you on Rousseau testing the market. It’s the most likely scenario. If he wants the bag, that’s what he’ll do. There’s always some team willing to overpay a good, but not great DE.
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Dorion Williams youngest LB in league this year to lead in tackles
BarleyNY replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
Zero chance. While I think it’s highly unlikely that the Browns trade Garrett this offseason, there is no chance that they would take an over 30 player back in trade. They’d be in rebuild mode and would be looking for picks and young players. Still basically a rookie. -
What stats indicate Rousseau is a top 15% DE? That would put him in the top 10 Edge players unless you’re including depth players. (64x.15=9.6) What qualifier? You said they could leave the cap hits from his 4 void years in place. That’s incorrect. Once he is no longer on the team, they accelerate to the current year (or next if after 6/1).
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I disagree on Rousseau’s value and ranking. As for Spotrac & OTC’s valuations of players, they are very hit and miss. I do my own work. So why spend so much time on structure of a potential Rousseau deal? The only way we see aggressive structures of deals like that is if Pegula agrees to spend more. Otherwise it does us no real good. Incorrect on Brown. All remaining void years accelerate into the first year a player is not on the team. That is subject to post 6/1 designation or release. If he plays out his deal they may extend him a year so they can use that designation and split the cap hit between two seasons. That’s their only option.
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I understand the cap and void years very well. What you wrote in this post is largely correct. I’d note that void years after year 5 of a contract are not included at year 1. Common practice is to add them when salary and/or roster bonuses are converted to signing bonuses in year two and beyond. I’ve advocated for the Bills to adopt an aggressive cap management strategy like the Eagles and Browns employ. But that would require Pegula to open the purse strings and spend at a higher level overall. It’s not about timing of payments to the players. Salary conversions to signing bonuses are ow almost always paid on the same schedule as they would have been as salary. But the payments do become guaranteed. Just as a point of clarity, the inclusion of 4 void years to AJ Brown’s one year contract only pushes 80% of his signing bonuses amount out one season (unless he is re-signed before the new league year starts). There also seems to be a misunderstanding about the purpose of such an aggressive cap management style. It is not so that teams can overpay players. That would defeat the advantage it can create - accumulating more talent and more elite players. That only happens if a team pays market value to the right players.
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That is not how teams budget and not how a player’s value is determined. Also your example is bogus. Signing bonuses can only be spread out over five total years (current plus four) so the two void years would not have any impact on year one of a five year deal. They would impact restructures after that however.
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I agree with the “good not great” comment. Ultimately it comes down to how much Rousseau demands. I’m not a proponent of paying him anything near the $25M AAV I’ve seen. Let another team make that mistake. Good DEs are available at much more reasonable contracts in FA every year. That might mean a one or two year deal instead of five, but doing that work is part of being a GM. You just need to let the market shake out and not overpay in the first wave. I don’t blame Rousseau for wanting to make every dollar he can, but I don’t want the Bills to be the team that overpays him. A team just can’t spend like that on players who aren’t difference makers and expect to win a championship.
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I’ll be on it as soon as the details come out. At this point I expect it to be a fair deal. The “up to” modifier is always interesting. They’ll give the agent a few days to take his victory lap before the real numbers hit OTC & Spotrac. Might be longer since it can’t be sent to the league until the new year starts. I expect a negative impact on the cap space though. Shakira is still on his rookie deal. I think Benford or Rousseau is next. I’d do Benford. Much like Shakir, they pretty much have to do a deal with him. I’d let Rousseau play 2025 on the option and then walk for a comp pick. But if they want to extend him, then he is the guy with whom we can open up space this season due to him being on the 5th year option.
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Yep. And that’s concerning because there’s no need for a message like that to get sent through the media if it already got through privately.
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That’s the big question - what’s he got left? At the right price and paired with a draft pick in the first or second round I’d be on board. Draft pick, Bosa, Rousseau, Epenesa and Solomon is a solid DE group. That draft pick has to be of the twitchy, bendy, speed rusher type though.