I look at the QB, head coach and organization. Looking at the schedule it's legitimately tough because most have a combination of those 3 - which make me a little more concerned about the toss up games. I also usually have more than 2 should win games in mind - so for me there's a little more probably should lose games and a bit more toss up games than a typical year for me.
Probably should lose - Panthers, Broncos, Falcons, Bucs, Raiders, Patriots (2)
Toss ups - Bengals, Saints, Chargers, Chiefs, Dolphins (2), Colts
Should win - Jets (2)