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Everything posted by hondo in seattle
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McD will be the scapegoat to hide the real issue this week
hondo in seattle replied to Cray51's topic in The Stadium Wall
I absolutely believe McD and Babich could have and should have prepared a better defensive game plan and called a better game. But I also believe that our roster isn't extremely talented on either side of the ball. We have Josh and to quote McVay, "Josh is an alien." We have some nice players beyond Josh but every team has nice players, including the Rams despite their record. The Bills aren't 10-3 despite McD. They're 10-3 because of McD - and Josh. Take those two away and this is a sub .500 team. -
I put on my blue Bills sweatpants after showering yesterday morning. But then I couldn't find my Josh Allen jersey. So I donned my Kelly jersey instead. It's a "Salute to Service" military green. I'm not a fashionista, but I know that the drab green of that jersey clashed with the bright red & blue of the sweats but I wore it anyway, creating a vortex of bad juju that extended from my location all the way to SoFi. Sorry.
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I don't think it's a scheme problem as much as a talent problem. Yesterday's game was horrific to watch. But overall this D has been good this season and that's a testament to McD and Babich. There's not a ton of talent on this roster. And I do think this will haunt us in the playoffs. We can win 6 consecutive games in the regular season, but winning consecutive games against playoff caliber teams in January will require some luck.
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It's a no name defense. Beane gave McD lemons and -most of the time - McD is able to make lemonade. Sometimes it just doesn't work. The Rams were smart enough to figure the Bills out. And when the mind games neutralized each other, it became player versus player - and they had better players. Josh Allen and good coaching got the Bills to 10-3. But that combo isn't good enough every week.
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Fire McD and Hire Belichek after we lose AGAIN in the playoffs
hondo in seattle replied to JPL7's topic in The Stadium Wall
Considering I fathered children, once led soldiers into combat, and see those little gems hanging every time I urinate, I think I have balls. Yet I wouldn't fire McD. I don't think having balls necessarily leads to McD getting terminated. Just my humble opinion. -
Josh put his Superman cape on today
hondo in seattle replied to Returntoglory's topic in The Stadium Wall
I love Josh but I'm not ready to go this far. If OJ didn't turn out to be a scumbag off the field, he'd be in the conversation as the greatest RB ever. And he excelled in the Golden Era of RBs when the best athletes became backs and offenses were built around them. Yet, in 1973, OJ ran for an insane 75% more yards than the next best back. No RB or QB - not Jim Brown, not Brady - ever produced 75% more yards in a season than the next best guy. No one's come close. And let's not forget that Bruce owns the all-time NFL record for sacks. He may be the best DE of all time. When Josh sets a meaningful career NFL record like Bruce or nearly doubles the season production of his peers like OJ, I'll consider him as a candidate for Bills GOAT. -
Recency bias... - We lost last year at home. - We probably underperformed in the past two playoffs because of injuries to key players. I'd rather have a healthy roster. And if we get the #2 seed, we'll still play at home because KC will lose before they reach the AFC Championship Game against us.
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What’s it gonna take to improve /prioritize our run defense?
hondo in seattle replied to Jistafan's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is a great explanation! But I think the historical note may be wrong. Spread offenses became a big thing in college about 30 or 40 years ago. The 4-2-5 became much more popular in college after the spread emerged but was created earlier. When the NFL started becoming a "passing league," in the 1970s, NFL teams started experimenting with a variety of "pass prevent defenses" - including as I recall the 4-2-5 and even the 3-1-7 in late game situations. Jerry Williams, an Assistant Coach with Philly, is credited with inventing the Nickel in 1960 NFL Championship game, to combat Mike Ditka, the star TE. But I don't know if Williams employed a 3-3-5 or 4-2-5. I would guess it was the 4-2-5 since the 5-2-4 was the common defensive deployment at the time. I wonder if we have any NFL historians here with better information on the history of the 4-2-5? -
I'm generally pleased with Beane but for years I criticized him for not building a good OL. When you have the best QB in franchise history, it's critical to give him a bodyguard for a bunch of reasons: ...To keep him alive and healthy, ...To give him time and space to do what he's paid to do, ...To open holes for backs to give the offense balance and take some pressure off the QB. Even when our sack numbers weren't terrible, that was generally because Allen was elusive, not because the OL was protecting him. But this year's OL has been a happy relevation.
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McDermott era playoff losses: 3-10 versus Jacksonville 19-22 versus Houston 24-38 versus KC 36-42 versus KC 10-27 versus Cinci 24-27 versus KC In two games, our D was horrible. In two games, our O was horrible. In the other games, we were just a little more mediocre than our opponent. In those games we allowed 22 and 27 points respectively - neither great nor awful - and still couldn't win. I'm not sure what our losses teach us other than the obvious: we weren't good enough. I don't see them necessarily as proof of a problem with McD's defensive system since we can blame at least two of the losses on the offense. It might be we don't have the right players to execute the system as flawlessly as he wants - especially when we repeatedly enter the playoffs with injuries to key players on defense. Regardless of the system employed, the talent you put on the field matters. I also think that the roster overperforms during the regular season because McD's system is so complicated and good at disguises that many QBs struggle against us. That's not roster talent - that's coaching. But the regular season coaching advantage largely disappears in the playoffs when going up against the very best QBs and coaching staffs who are smart enough to recognize what McD is up to. At that point, with the battle of wits is at a draw and the better players win. And sometimes that's not us.
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Week 14, Bills v. Rams, PREDICT THE SCORE!
hondo in seattle replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bison are bigger, stronger, and faster than goats. Bills 30 Rams 20 -
I have mixed feelings. I've voted against the legalization of marijuana because in my inexpert opinion it does more societal harm than good. But it's legal in some places which makes it weird for the NFL to make rules about it. How can you punish a player for perfectly legal off-the-field behavior? I'd love for NFL players to be good role models for our children... No arrogance... No drugs or alcohol... No criminal behavior... No cursing in front of the camera... No violence - other than smacking the crap out of people on the field... But I think the role model ship set sail a long time ago.
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Will we be in Super Bowl contention this year?
hondo in seattle replied to bills6969's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think a little differently. I imagine that I'm a young man with a young man's hormones. There's a contest to win a dance with a angelically beautiful young lady. The first part of the contest is skill based. The 14 best competitors win a ticket to the dance hall. But once at the dance hall, the contest become a combination of skill and luck, giving every competitor a chance. Earning a bye is the best alternative: home field advantage, one week of rest to get healthy, one fewer 50-50 game. But whatever seed we are, I'm grateful to Beane, McD, and Josh for getting us a ticket to the dance. -
Will we be in Super Bowl contention this year?
hondo in seattle replied to bills6969's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm happy to find I'm not embarrassed by my previously posted opinion. That's not always the case! -
The stars are aligning for a dream season
hondo in seattle replied to Bills!Win!'s topic in The Stadium Wall
I'll feel the stars are aligned when: 1. We win home field advantage. 2. We take the field for our first playoff game and there are no consequential names on the injury report and no one on IR. That would be a beautiful thing. -
Sad but true. If you stack up all of Josh's accomplishments, it's amazing he hasn't won yet. The MVP should go to the guy who helps his team the most. Josh is there. The turnover stats - while I don't like them - are far overblown. What he's done for the team far, far outweighs the turnovers. Regardless of what Saquon does, I think Josh should win MVP just because he was wrongly overlooked in previous years.
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I just wrote a long post on why I'm a big McD supporter. But you're #1 is spot on. McD has an iffy track record with coordinators and anyone who wanted to attack him on those grounds would have gotten weak resistance from me. If you're a defensive head coach, it's imperative you find a good OC. Just as it was imperative for Reid, an offensive guru, to find a good DC. Reid did. Meanwhile, two of McD's OCs failed and were fired. One did reasonably well but left for greener pastures. For me, this was McD's Achilles heel. I wasn't convinced about Brady at first. For a while I thought "Everyone eats" was just a nice way to spin "No one eats." But what Brady's been accomplishing lately with this motley group of wideouts has been impressive. I don't think our current roster is elite though Allen by himself makes it competitive. But this might be the HC/DC/OC combo that finally finally gets us another SB ticket.
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I've remained a McDermott supporter from early on. This year's success doesn't especially surprise me nor does it change my view of McD. Before the season began, I projected another AFCE title mostly because of my faith in two people: McD and Josh. I don't think Beane has ever provided McD with the very best roster in the league so I can't blame McD for not winning a Lombardi. Because we've been winning a lot, I believe some fans overrate our roster which leads them to underrate our coaching staff. I think we've had the bad luck to peak at a time during the KC dynasty run by super talented trio of Reid, Spags, and Mahomes. I think we've also had the bad luck to enter the playoffs the past two years with more injuries to key players than other teams. McD has only coached 11 playoff games. No scientist or statistician would draw a conclusion from such a small dataset. Especially in a field where luck, injuries, subjective referee calls, etc, play a large role. A statistical viable sample needs at least 30 results. McD's regular season record (83-43) is statistically significant. And it's top twenty all time.
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THE ROCKPILE REVIEW - Coach of the Year
hondo in seattle replied to Shaw66's topic in The Stadium Wall
Dunne said that the ex players and coaches he talked to (25 in total) were "universally exasperated and saddened for those still in Western New York." Hmm. I don't need their empathy. We're doing just fine. Last I heard, Dunne still stands by his article. But it was like interviewing 25 Hamas officials about the Israeli government and claiming it's fair and balanced reporting. Dunne's criticisms of McD's outmoded coaching style is funny. Most NFL fans in the NFL would love a "relic" who could produce 5 consecutive division championships and a current 10-2 record. I'd like Dunne a lot more if he manned up and admit he was wrong. Instead, he'll probably claim that he helped transform McD into a better leader. -
If he won't, I will.