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dpberr

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Everything posted by dpberr

  1. I don't think he will refuse to leave. He stands to make tens of millions of dollars from the post Presidency Money Bonanza as all Presidents do. He can make millions from the TV and book deals and from being the face of a PAC. He can design a ridiculously gaudy Presidential library. He can finance Don Jr. or Ivanka for President. He can tweet and opine with absolute abandon. No more handlers. He can run for mayor of NYC or Governor of Florida. Worry about Trump on many things but him not leaving the White House is low on the radar IMO. From my perspective, he has more reasons to leave than to stay.
  2. I don't know if he was reviled. He just wasn't an effective President. Great human being. Many of the more effective Presidents in history were not great human beings. I think historians whitewash the imperfections because the end justified the means.
  3. James Polk There's no 50-state United States without him and he kept his promise to serve just one term. One of the most impactful Presidents we've had. I think his accomplishments don't get the attention they deserve because he was a slave owner and he was just an average guy, born into no real wealth or colorful history, that just got ***** done.
  4. A Biden presidency will be quieter, media wise and I don't foresee an Administration that will do much. A lot of people are not voting for Trump but that is not the same as a vote for Biden's plan. I don't expect a Biden Administration to do anything, good or bad, because all of Biden's campaigns, including this one, are just as chaotic and poorly run as Trump's. You'll see bizarre hires and bizarre things being said by an elderly President. Many horses will continue to drown in the middle of the "policy" river. You're asking a career Senator, who's done nothing else in his 50 year career, to be this great President and fix problems. There's no prescedent that suggests he will be anything but average. Both Biden and Harris have Trump's learning curve in how to lead, and you see how well that's gone. Being senators isn't a leadership position like a governor, and Biden doesn't have a Pence to fall back on. There will be a frenzy of policy ideas shotgunned in year one, but precious few will ever see a finish line. I also don't think Biden has any sort of Obama-era mandate other than.... he's not Trump.
  5. He really should have stayed at Penn State. He did good things with that program when it was in trouble post Paterno. I think he could be a pretty good to great college coach and I hope he takes a year before running into another job. That never works.
  6. The draft intelligence said Josh Allen was coachable and Darnold not as much. Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes were also rated high for coachability. Josh Rosen, low coachability rating. That's a key detail. I think with Darnold, what you see is what you will get. Rosen was always destined to have a rough go of it. Coaching, talent and the willingness to be coached are the three legs of the stool.
  7. I think the excessive copying and pasting of Twitter feeds could be managed better. Some posters get so wound up trying to defend a point that they wallpaper a thread with long or multiple Twitter excerpts from all over the world. The thread then becomes pages of Twitter posts and lesser amounts of authentic poster commentary.
  8. I agree. That team misses the Reich/DiFillippio combo. It also misses Nick Foles. Wentz is a more talented athlete but Foles was the better fit to guide the team during its championship window.
  9. He was a loser coach in Miami that all the players allegedly hated. He's never been head coach material. None of that information was industry secret. Some people make better coordinators than they do coaches. He's a weird guy. I was at the Eagles/Jets game last year in front of their bench, and he barely interacted with the players or other coaches during the game.
  10. That Eagles punt in OT is going to define their entire season. I never thought Doug Pederson would make that call.
  11. Hope the LB unit is back up to full speed because the Rams abused Philadelphia's slow linebackers today.
  12. I'd say subsequent decisions by several SCs have chipped away at it but no court went out of its way to overturn it. I'd say Roe v. Wade has been chipped away at similarly, or at least attempted. However, I think there are folks who have a singular objective/dream of a future Supreme Court *overturning* Roe v. Wade in its entirety and that's what I believe would be a red line for the SC.
  13. Two Items I have opinions on relative to the Supreme Court: 1. Judges should retire at 70. Nobody is going to convince me RBG was a judge of sound mind at 87 *and* battling cancer. 2. No Supreme Court should overturn a previous Supreme Court's decision. That's a Pandora's box.
  14. His brother is the far better writer between the two. (Interstellar, Person of Interest) Tenet was ok. I think too much emphasis was put on being clever. I thought the casting was a bit pedestrian, especially casting Kenneth Branaugh. Had to go with someone new there. I like Christopher Nolan. I'd put him 4th on my "directors who can deliver interesting films" list behind Mann, Tarantino and McTiernan. A lot of people forget how good John McTiernan was.
  15. Reagan's foreign policy doctrine was "fair"? To whom? I'm interested in your use of the word fair. Honest question. IMO, from many perspectives, the Reagan foreign policy was a complete mess, sometimes complete disaster. You remove the "beating the Soviets" part, and explore what the Reagan-years US was doing in the rest of the world, you'd wonder how he was ever re-elected and/or escaped impeachment.
  16. The MLB should be thinking about contracting the league, not expanding it. Unless you're creating teams with owners willing to spend their own money outbidding the Yankees, Dodgers and Red Sox for free agents annually, all the league is doing is creating at best more mediocrity, at worst more Bob Nuttings in Pittsburgh.
  17. Agreed. I think from a practical POV, the feds and states could start with the areas they can get to. A little something is better than the doing nothing, IMO. I think the infernos today show the result of letting the wood stack up. It's no different from a hoarder's house with magazines and newspapers piled to the roof. I'm not saying the forests have to be clear-cut in a timber frenzy but they have to start knocking down the firewood inventory. It'd make a difference in short order. The whole conversation needs a reboot. Controlled burn is a lot easier on the environment than the apocalyptic inferno that kills tens - perhaps hundreds of thousands of insects, animals and plants. We tend to fixate on our costs in lives and property but these massive blazes kill and displace a lot of woodland life.
  18. I am very sorry to hear of the dangerous situation you're doing your best to get through. Please stay safe. I know a lot of news articles say "climate change" for the wildfires, but in my opinion, it's the western states decades of refusal for controlled burn that lets these fires grow to monster infernos. That's the fix to this problem. You're not going to stop people from moving into the woods and there's no stopping the pine beetle. With the drought and beetle infestations, there's so much dry dead wood that should be burnt off in controlled fire to remove the hazard.
  19. If you think the violence is going to magically stop in a Biden presidency in some hallelujah moment, you're going to be very disappointed. It doesn't matter which of these elderly gentlemen you have as President. The violence is going to spread all over America and continue escalating until whomever is in that office *wants* to put a stop to it.
  20. Agreed. Was stunned the regime stuck around. He fired Mike Smith for a lot less (he had a 66-46 record!), and the Falcons window is very small. Matt Ryan is 35. Smith was also the superior drafting "influence" to Dimitroff. Most of the big Q/D picks are already off the Falcons.
  21. Dan Quinn, especially if the Falcons get out of the gate slow (0-2). The Falcons are the quietest mess in the NFL.
  22. In the mid-1970s, the US government was gripped with the terror of a dangerous flu outbreak that had the potential to do more damage than the 1968 outbreak that killed 100,000 Americans. The US government quickly developed an accelerated vaccine program and distributed said vaccine (which used a live virus) on a very aggressive timetable without a lot of rigorous testing. The US vaccinated 45 million people in less than a year. In 1976, this vaccine leads to 30 deaths from adverse reaction and nearly 500 Americans acquiring Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS), a paralyzing neurological disorder that offers no guarantee of full recovery. These folks and their families have no financial recourse as the United States government gave blanket immunity to the vaccine manufacturers. The government often settled for small amounts of money in consideration most of these people ended up with permanent nerve damage and disability. That expected flu pandemic never comes, of course. The AZ trial was halted due to that patient having transverse myelitis, and that was a good call. TM and GBS have something in common - both attack the sensitive covering (myelin) of the nerves in the body. Now, you might be tempted to write "well you can't make an omelet without breaking a few eggs." It'd take less than 30 deaths for America to say "hell no" to the vaccine, and in the world of possibilities, that'd be a real disaster if a "safe" and effective vaccine was developed - and nobody took it out of fear of what it could do. That being said, the likelihood of an effective vaccine remains small, IMO. The modern day flu shot is really trivalent (three types of strains) and quadrivalent (four types of strains) wack-a mole potions that "may" protect against those strains in any given year.
  23. Provided there's an effective vaccine, I see a lot of "life' reverting back to February 2020 "normal". Not necessarily because I want it to, but you'll find that there are a lot of forces that will push it that way. 1. One of the reasons I have this opinion is the reaction to the lock downs. When you tell someone they can't have something, they want it 100 times more than they did before. I think part of the problem with virus spikes is that the lock downs created a frenzy of pent up demand, and when the government let everyone out of their cages, people went crazy and flocked to the beach, flocked to restaurants, flocked to bars. Kids, who've spent nearly 180 days without seeing other kids, and are generally at their most stupid during the college years, made up for lost time with huge parties at college. If the crisis was managed at the outset, versus an attempt to choke it off or flat out ignore it, where businesses and travel stayed open but rigorous mask wearing was required among other precautions, people wouldn't have had that deep sense of "missing out." The federal and state governments get artistic style points for botching the COVID response. That's what you get when you've got crap leadership everywhere. I think everyone sucked. Trump. Governors. 2. The economy was and is disturbingly fragile. So many businesses, industries, pension funds, landlords, rich people with influence, and cities have discovered (or soon will discover) they desperately rely on people going somewhere to work to make money. I think you'll see a significant push from the real estate industry and local government to get people back into office buildings, patronizing downtown restaurants and businesses, etc. NYC is a dead city without Manhattan brimming with people. Your local restaurant desperately needs a full dining room to make a profit. Your pension funds that invest in real estate companies that own Class A office space need those buildings with leases that pay money. 3. People are going to find out working from home is difficult, especially if it's permanent. Even under the best of circumstances, you're isolated, held hostage by your internet connection. You're even more isolated if others are back at work with face to face contact. Out of sight, out of mind. While during spring/summer/fall, working from home allows for taking breaks outside to enjoy the weather, how about in the middle of winter? 4. The government wants you all to drive. A lot. Money that funds transportation projects at the federal level and at nearly every state level relies on a gas tax. 5. Schools and teachers unions want kids in school. The only way you keep everyone employed is to have them actively working in the building. Teachers unions fighting in-person instruction win a battle just to lose a war. Once people are laid off, especially in the public sector, those positions are rarely filled ever again. 6. Absence makes the heart grow fonder. Divorces are skyrocketing in the months of this pandemic because people figured out that living with each other and the kids 24/7 is a nightmare, and the time away at work was a positive influence on the relationship. 7. People enjoy being unhealthy. COVID should strike the fear into every smoker, drinker and overweight person. Have you seen a lot of people who got healthier in the last couple months? I don't. I think people will continue to eat out a lot, booze a lot, and smoke a lot. I could go on. I think three years removed from vaccine day you might see that the only thing that might "stick" is mask wearing during flu season.
  24. Joe Biden's campaign operates in a 100% leave nothing to chance controlled environment and I think it's a big mistake. I think it's easier for Biden to make a speech with a lot of rest and rehearsal, two things you don't get as President. Similar to HRC in 2016, she was at her best on the days she'd campaign after a few days off. As the campaign turned into the sprint in October, she was shot. I'm sorry Democrats, the doing speeches from nearly empty rooms in Delaware, where you can control who's in the room, isn't going to get this job done. He needs to get out and talk to people and take on the unfriendly press too. It's part of the job.
  25. The NFL and the season seem distant because all the mile markers for the season start were removed this year.
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