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BADOLBILZ

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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ

  1. I'm not a fan of Williams. He has always struggled with emotional issues/behavior so not a sound investment, IMO. Kirk seems likely to be too expensive to fit as a slot WR........especially when you consider that there is so much depth at receiver in the league right now. I'd expect Beane to be shopping for bargains if they replace Beasley and McKenzie in the slot.
  2. The Bills went into 2021 with a competition between what Bills fans considered a low-end starter Levi Wallace(who couldn't get a bite in UFA) and a long shot Dane Jackson and came out of that with a top pass defense even after losing White. CB has proven to be the one position that this defensive staff can consistently coach/scheme up............so wouldn't be at all surprising if the long developed Cam Lewis and perhaps the most physically talented non-Tre White in the CB room, Nick McCloud........stepped into Jackson's role as productive players. I do expect White to be back and play at least at 2021 Levi's level early in the season while he gradually works his way back.
  3. Well........they stink for one thing. And their division may contain the 3 most talented teams in the entire NFC in 2022 for another. WR rooms are starting to brim with talent now and there seems to be no end in sight in recent drafts.........and they already have a big $ WR1 under contract and perhaps want to set their sights on re-setting their salary cap and fielding a competitor in 2023 and want draft capital for the re-set. I'd bet against them being able to do that.........but they did build the "Legion of Boom" teams on a foundation of prior mediocrity rather than a full tank job.
  4. Taron Johnson? They literally just signed him to an extension late in the season. So that's starters at all 3 primary positions.............in a defense where 4th round, 6th round and UDFA players have proven to be effective enough starters to finish #1 in the league in yards allowed. I'd love to get a great, scheme versatile outside CB to replace Jackson and Wallace..........but when Josh Allen was reduced to a Tyrod Taylor-esque 6.8 yards per pass attempt in 2021 and the Bengals porous pass blocking looked considerably better on paper than that of the Bills OL(126 combined sacks/pressures versus Cinci's 100)..........you damn well better know that the priority is improving the pass blocking. Job 1 of any NFL organization..........put your QB in best position to succeed.
  5. In 1986 the NFL had players by the balls. I believe Kelly and his agent actually tried to get the Raiders and Steelers to trade with Buffalo for his rights but back then players had no leverage whatsoever to force such a move. And he'd already lost a bunch of money getting stiffed on a good portion of his Houston/NJ USFL contract.........Bills offered him the big $ and they were the only game in town so that was that.
  6. Ryan Groy is a good example...........but Colin Brown was even more of a fools gold situation........he was the 340 pound mountain who looked really good at center in place of Eric Wood in 2012.........so they re-signed him to play LG and he almost single-handedly destroyed the 2013 Bills offense because he was so impossibly bad. His 2013 was probably the worst season of guard play in the past 50 years of Bills football. I have my fingers crossed about Bates but he's going to be cheap enough that he can just be "in the mix" and not penned in as a starter based off a few starts when Josh Allen was pulling out all the stops to move the football.
  7. The rationale that Gunner and I are talking about is getting a good LT prospect and then deciding whether he or Dawkins is better in camp and moving one of them to guard. I'm assuming Dawkins would be the LT for at least next season.........but that's an every down player either way. Not all LT's can transition inside........but that is mostly evident in footwork and hand traits on tape that indicate if the player plays well in tight spaces. From what I've seen........including some actual guard play in place of Incognito as a rookie.......Dawkins is most certainly one of those guys. He's BEEN a fringy Pro Bowl alternate LT in what might be his prime 2019-current........but I think he might be an All Pro at LG. Then if your LT misses time you have another LT talent on hand for the most important position on the line..........rather than moving Brown and plugging in Doyle and making both tackle positions considerably worse(Doyle is REALLY raw and I love Brown's potential but he isn't even good in pass pro at RT yet and he wasn't a LT in college either). I don't expect a top LT prospect to be left at #25 but I didn't think Rousseau would fall to #30 at this point in the draft process last year. It's still a distinct possibility because there are a good number of them. As for the other positions............I'm all about getting a tremendously fast RAC guy to add to this offense.....OR..........signing Gronk and drafting another TE in mid-rounds and going 12 personnel and just using Diggs and Davis as the two WR's in those sets. So as much as I value adding a WR........that 3rd WR might not be an every down player..............and of course there are more options there in UFA than there will be at tackle.
  8. They are all pretty well known, day 3 prospects.............people aren't talking about them because they don't project to be studs. Jones in particular has been around forever.........dude's like 30 now........he's like the Van Wilder of receivers who really can only return kicks.
  9. I like the NFL's plan.........let's teams like the Bills know which players don't wear tinfoil under their helmets and might actually be available for both Patriots games if they are drafted.
  10. Who's making decisions for him? I haven't seen anyone say he needs to call it quits. I trust @GunnerBill when he says he's heard from people who would know that Morse was contemplating retirement. If that's the case.......well you're probably an old Marv Levy fan, right? You know what he says about "thinking" about retirement? And even if he isn't retiring.........the Bills have to decide whether they want to retain him for the full $11M+ cap hit or save $7.5M by letting him go and replace him with another player..........like Ryan Bates for $2.4M........and perhaps use the balance to address the position in UFA where a new contract could net them a talented, younger player with a very low initial cap hit. They could extend his contract at age 30.......or add a voidable year.......or ask for another pay cut.........but those kinda' scenario's have not panned out for Beane in prior exercises. And these decisions gotta' be made over the next month because Morse has roster and workout bonuses.
  11. He's missed two games..........and a month of camp with concussions since coming to Buffalo........and he missed time with the prior 3 concussions in KC........if you want to say his concussions are no big deal than that's just a "you" call. To most everyone else his history is a serious concern. And he's also 30 years of age this season........I know every "the OL is fine, patch these other perceived holes" type on this board thinks that our lineman are going to have the longevity of all-time greats but in reality 29-31 is usually when it's over for starting OL. Look at the league's top rushing OL under Greg Roman in Buffalo........with the exception of the deranged Incognito...........Mills, Miller, Wood and Glenn were all done or have been reduced to reserve roles around between 29-31. As for Feliciano starting over Bates at C in 2020...........of course.......Feliciano was a well paid veteran free agent acquisition with game experience at center.........Bates was early into his second season with little game experience.
  12. Hey, I'm not balding rapidly like @Royale with Cheese but I do collect and wear quality sports caps......so I know when to get the f*cking deals, smartass. Check the date on that Kupp tweet......end of January.......about a week or two into the annual clearance. For $5 I inevitably buy a bunch of them every year and donate them. This year they actually still had some Bills ones for a change...........probably over-loaded for a playoff run which unfortunately ended 3 weeks early. I even bought this year's version of Kupp's "The Grazer" or "The Target" pictured in his tweet..........because I know someone who actually likes that logo.
  13. I don't disagree that he's probably healthy aside from the concussions..........those tend to be easier to sustain the more of them that you get. If he can avoid those and they use him the way they did late in the season he is a real asset at C. But he did miss basically all of TC his first year with the Bills after his 4th career concussion and missed time in 2020 after his 5th concussion, on a seemingly innocuous play for a center, against the Patriots. With a huge cap number his status definitely has to be a consideration for Beane.
  14. First.........it's been rumored that Morse may retire.........he's going to be 30 and has a serious concussion history............these are the reasons why there is speculation about replacing him. To me.........they've spent years grooming Ryan Bates to be his replacement...........I'd suspect that if they cut Morse or he retired that Bates would be given first crack at C and that they'd try to add a more physically imposing talent at LG to replace Bates(who really should only be penciled in there anyway). Certainly can't see trading a premium pick for the barely 300# McCoy and lining him up next to another barely 300# guy in Bates.
  15. The highlighted is what I had in mind. I think Beane knows that the offense they ended the season playing isn't something they can do for 20-21 games per season...........Allen was taking a beating. They need to be more of a precision passing offense from the pocket during the regular season..........so if they bolster the OL and Knox comes out and looks like a guy who can dominate in an offense where the QB is getting the ball out more on time.........like most offenses have to..........then we will have a better idea where he stands relative to the better TE's in football. All else fails.........the franchise tag for TE's in 2021 was a relatively paltry $9.6M......it will be higher in 2023 but still probably no more than they are paying Edmunds in 2022.
  16. I lean towards paying him too..........just not enough that I am worrying about budgeting for it this offseason. I didn't care for the Taron Johnson extension but that was a different story, he was a pending UFA in the final games of his contract. Knox is not. I prefer the idea of going balls out to win this year.........while also drafting a mid-round TE in a deep class.........then seeing where Knox stands at midseason next year and what they think of the young guy as a successor. You aren't going to be able to pay everyone. Priority to me is Allen, OL and WR.........then TE. It might just not be a position they can afford to have a $10M-$18M aav player at long term.
  17. Subjective and really meaningless with regard to his future value. These two sentences say a lot right here...........it's not the early 1990's again..........get used to dealing with a lot of roster issues EVERY year. When the Patriots went to 3 straight SB's most recently I believe they had only 10-12 players on the roster in the 3rd one that had been with the team for the 1st one. You don't just sign guys and forget about that position for 3-5 years after you've paid your QB..........you are going to lose a lot of players in free agency when you win..........you can't sign them all.......not even if you save $1M-$4M per year in aav over market.........and even if they are a seemingly ascending middle of the league starter that seems generational to you because you are used to sucking at that position.
  18. Jared Cook has been a free agent 5 times in his career and has had 6-7 seasons of more yardage than Knox career high despite changing teams over and over.......and he also a 9 TD season himself. We aren't talking about rarified production from Knox by ANY stretch of the imagination. And how much credit to assign Knox for RZ TD's is a tricky question............take the first one in the WC against NE...........Allen bought 10 seconds, which was more time than any QB has had before throwing a TD pass in many years in the NFL..........the second one was a flip after another broken play caused by Allen. If Knox were running crisp routes and catching back shoulder TD passes from a pocket passer like Drew Brees.........then maybe the idea that he is a master of the RZ carries more weight, IMO.
  19. Yes, the other team has to pay his base salary if they trade for him..........that part is generally the case with all trades. If you cut him, and he is subject to waivers(as Edmunds would be) then if he clears waivers you are on the hook for all of his guaranteed base salary(which is ALL of it in Edmunds case). If released and then he is CLAIMED on waivers, then the acquiring team has to pay his base salary. His deal is slightly unusual because it's all guaranteed base salary...........that's the deal with 5th year options. Normally if you trade a player there is some kind of dead cap hit because signing bonuses were involved in the creation of that contract they are on and that portion of the contract is spread out evenly over the length of the deal and then has to be accounted for all at once if cut or traded. The 5th year option is a stand-alone 1 year deal with no real accounting shenanigans.
  20. I get that perspective...........I've defended him pointing out his high end speed, etc............so while I wouldn't kill Beane for a speculative extension like that......... I'm still not confident that he is going to take a leap from middle of league starter, 500 yard TE..........to a perennial 800-1200 yard "top 5" kinda' guy. That's a significant leap. Until you've done it........you ain't it.........and with Josh Allen at QB I suspect they wouldn't have much problem finding another 500-600 yard TE from year to year. Same goes for Davis..........he had a huge game in KC but he also had that 3-14 target game and that game sealing drop in Jacksonville etc...........consistency has been lacking with both of these guys.
  21. His $12.7M cap hit would transfer entirely to the acquiring team...........there is no unamortized signing bonus or roster bonus etc...........its all just guaranteed base salary.
  22. Every year Lids basically dumps their random leftover NFL winter hats........mostly out-of-market teams at that point.........on the market at the end of January for $5 each..............it was likely nothing more than that.
  23. Teams really don't trade 2 first rounders for a safety "all the time"...........that was a very rare and regrettable move. But they did it because Adams was a big play machine and first team All-Pro who fit their system. Cooper was a 2 time 1,000 yard receiver at a premium position that, at the time, was bereft of talent around the league. That trade is very different from the Adams deal. Edmunds is not a star, we know this and his lack of Pro Bowl voting support indicates that the rest of the league knows it now too.........he's become a middle of the league starting MLB.........who almost impossibly manages to not make plays on the QB or the football.........and has an onerous cap number. DeVondre Campbell.........an actual All Pro........is bound for free agency and projected to sign a $7M aav deal........there are always good MLB's on the market so trading them for valued picks is not going to be easy.
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