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BADOLBILZ

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Everything posted by BADOLBILZ

  1. Yeah as I said.......it wasn't even close to a thorough analysis by the OP. What's simple and true is that they have drafted 5 defenders in round 1 and just 1 offensive player. Those are the personnel chips that are most likely to supply you with foundational, 7-10 year players that are cost controlled for half of their career at big dollar positions. (and Diggs, as a hedge, is probably going to give the Bills 4-5 years of elite play at high dollars while Jefferson will likely give Minnesota that 7-10)
  2. Gabe Davis makes contested catches often.
  3. Gleyber Tortoise.......traveling with the rooks and scrubeenies. Replay of game will be on MLB network Saturday night 8pm
  4. The draft value of a 1st round pick is much, much higher than any subsequent rounds. It's value essentially trumps the value of the rest of your picks. So your argument is like saying the Bills emphasize offense as much as defense contractually because they have the same amount of players under contract on both sides of the ball on opening day. It's the value of the investment. And no........Stefon Diggs does not count as a first round pick.........he cost a first round pick+.......but he also cost about $15M aav so he was essentially a hedged bet between a draft pick and free agency. It's like saying Rob Johnson or Drew Bledsoe were first round picks of the Bills...........an argument oft-used by Bills fans who didn't think the Bills should expend first round picks on QB prospects. And I mean your work isn't even close to accurate.........the Bills traded picks to move up for Josh Allen that you didn't account for..........they traded the Sammy Watkins pick in round 2 to move up for Tremaine Edmunds.........they traded their own #3 for Kelvin Benjamin...........it's not a very thorough analysis.
  5. 30 years ago when RB's went in round 1 and 240# pass rushing OLB's went in rounds 2-5............Von Miller would have been a RB in college. It's almost inexplicable how Henry ended up at RB........he was big and athletic enough that he was the type who might have been a #1 overall draft pick as a DE...........but instead ended up going round 2 as a RB and TN got one last great season out of him before he got his "big for a RB" deal. He's still super productive as a high volume carry guy.......just not so much on a per carry basis anymore.......but if he were a pass rusher he might still have a new $100M contract in him at this age rather than being seen as nearing the end.
  6. Yeah the issue the Bills have with short term deals for good veteran players is that they can't do much to mitigate the first year cost without leaving them with dead money in the near future. With Edmunds.........they can give him a long term deal and re-structure it over and over again as long as he is playable. The dead money might be as far away as 2028 or 2030. If Edmunds was 29 and looking at $15M aav he'd not be an option for the Bills, IMO.
  7. I'd take it. I think regardless of who the Bills replace Edmunds with they are going to have to make some changes structurally. My opinion of their scheme is that they try to encourage the opponent to run outside. They do that with tighter splits on the DL than I'd like to see. That mutes the pass rush, IMO. I'd like to see them get wider up front and funnel the run to the middle.........which just hasn't been an option with Edmunds because he's not very instinctive and clever run schemers can turn him into a tumbleweed downfield if OL can get their hands on him. Wagner isn't going to discourage the passes over the middle.........but he's more likely to get his hands on one when they do.........and he is a lot more instinctive around the LOS.
  8. Maybe the last couple years. But for most of his career the Packers did what we are now critical of McBeane for...........they used their #1 pick every year on defensive players. The Packers really wasted his prime. By the time they slow built their offense up to snuff and he won those last two MVP's he wasn't the force of nature that he had been in his prime. The reality is that he got old and he has not looked like himself at the end of seasons for many years now. They slow played themselves into a great regular season team by prioritizing defense and slowly developing players around Rodgers on offense. But it was too late. I'd hope the Bills would learn from this. You have to let the draft come to you.........but you also have to find a way to be great around your great QB. If the draft isn't going to yield you studs on offense.......find another way. Trade for them. Sign them in UFA. The Packers did neither. He had a crazy good season for the Rams. The season was over and he was still playing like a man possessed. At some point he has to hit a wall but someone is going to get a helluva leader next season.
  9. I doubt it. Fangraphs has the Yankees as the best team in baseball because they calculate simply by adding up individual talent/depth..........but the issue yet again is that their lineup is SO imbalanced with right handed batters that there becomes a reverse synergy when opponents can just line up their right handed pitching and those guys can just tunnel those sliders etc.. It makes it so easy for the opposing pitchers to get in a groove. The Yankees are talking about moving Judge to LF so Stanton can play RF..........but to what end? So they get Donaldson DH at bats? 😂 Ideally they need the switch hitting Oswaldo Cabrera to step up and play out of his head and earn a starting spot in LF so they AT LEAST have two batters who can swing from the left side against RHP. Should be a big year for left handed bats with the shift being banned.........and the Astros have Alvarez, Tucker and Brantley..........3 tremendous ones........they should run away with the AL.
  10. I think Yolo had said something about it in a prior season.
  11. Got Risner to Bills for 3/$37M more than the predicted same length deals for higher rated guards..........this guy has Beane's spending pattern figured out.
  12. Moulds could drop passes with the best of them in his day.
  13. I think the right tackle people are going to be disappointed. Spencer Brown is on a similar trajectory to players like Mike McGlinchey, Andre Wylie and Kaleb McGary........he's more likely to be extended after next season than not be the starter at this point, IMO. I'm with you on the guards though. Most good OL are built around 3 good blockers.......the LT and the 2 guards. The quality of blocking at RT and C can vary. Most important single player addition is getting a WR1B or very good WR2 type, though. And a "big strong running back" is just a standard, league minimum type addition..........so more of a choice just to do it rather than who.
  14. I have no idea if this dude will be able to field a position(he plays 3B/1B).........but man he hits baseballs hard and far.......struck out only in the low 20% and hit for average too in AA. I think he found some of that David Ortiz juice a couple seasons ago and ever since then he has looked like the next Nelson Cruz. He will either become a good major league hitter or end up in Japan or Korea or something. Should be fun to watch in spring training. hit a long HR in game today:
  15. I agree.........the Chiefs highly value talent at the WR position and yes it shows when they take swings at the Josh Gordon's and John Ross's. But they sorta' set the tone for teams investing massively in receiving targets when they shocked many by paying Sammy Watkins $16M aav to presumably be WR1 all the way back in 2018 when they already had two 1,000+ yard receivers in Hill/Kelce in their primes in their WR corps. I wouldn't be surprised in the least to see the Chiefs go WR in round 1. They probably learned a lesson passing on Tee Higgins in favor of a perceived "needier" position at RB. If teams can't stop you from passing the ball........they can't stop you at all. So it's easy to justify keeping the cupboard full at WR, IMO. If somehow healthy "Slant Mike" would give them a potentially elite slot WR option. I've mentioned it before but I seem to remember him having a Bills connection somehow.........like he grew up a Bills fan or something.
  16. Definitely a very strange choice to train with. Moulds was never much of a technician and he put on too much muscle and lost a lot of speed and quickness soon after his incredible 1998 season. And it's a very different game today than in Moulds prime. The stud RB type talents of Moulds day now play in the secondary in the NFL........so there is just a lot more talent at CB(no Chris Watson's to kick around) so it's really apples and oranges in coverage to compare era's. You gotta' be able to get open in todays NFL. That certainly wasn't Moulds thing.
  17. Better yet, release Hines.........and ultimately employ Diggs in the slot. Flip the script from patching a hole to making the position the strength of your passing game. The last two SB winners put their best receiving talent in the slot..........that isn't a long trend but it makes a lot of sense........there are more free releases inside and a quick option for your QB who is also elite is great for keeping that QB on schedule, efficient and healthy.
  18. Yeah I gotta' disagree with @C.Biscuit97 that KC receiving corps sucks. Kelce is great, obviously, and the position he plays is basically a slot receiver which makes for tons of what amounts to "easy pitch and catch" for Mahomes. Then Juju is a solid #2......and a high end slot receiver. Basically their corps is built from the inside out which is a philosophy the Bills should be using, IMO, rather than trying to patch up the slot with modest talent again. Outside MVS and Gabe Davis are the closest equivalents of two WR's types of production as you will see in the NFL. MVS clocks much faster but they make the same kind of plays and failures. And KC knew that all wasn't quite enough so they went out and grabbed the big play talent in Toney. Their WR corps doesn't have that 1A + 1B that it had in years past but it's deep, with 3 players who should be on $10M+ aav deals after Juju re-signs and recent 1st and 2nd round picks in Toney and Moore.
  19. Bills......needy: https://www.nfl.com/news/2023-nfl-offseason-all-32-teams-wr-situations-ahead-of-free-agency-draft
  20. Oh that's one of the colder attempted slaps on Gabe Davis I've seen. Robert Woods 2022 was what Cole Beasley 2022 would have been had he actually made a roster.........a clear step back from the 2021 Beasley that wasn't good enough. Maybe Woods had injuries that he can bounce back from but 9.9 yards per reception? 58% targets caught for a short/intermediate receiver? Passer rating in the 60's when thrown too? Woods was BAD last year.
  21. 2 years.......$14.5M......$7.7M gtd. Beane was paying backups $6M plus and getting patted on the back for it for the most part. I understand that the Bills weren't much of a destination after they gutted the roster of all recent 1st and 2nd round picks in the name of culture and passed on addressing their QB problem in year 1..........but he paid double for everything in subsequent seasons and really struck out big time in pro personnel.
  22. .......Nsekhe, Klein, Saffold.......all guys who somehow got $6M aav or more as well. It's really a combination of big wastes AND a high volume of nickel and dime mistakes that added up on the pro side. Even things like the $15M they wasted trading for Kelvin Benjamin and Corey Coleman(for a 2 week tryout) was real cap space that would go a long way toward getting the Bills back to the cap today. The Bills pro personnel department has been pretty ineffective under Beane.
  23. Beane has really struggled to find value in UFA........that is why they are cap strapped. Their drafts have been better than average and he's gotten good value on his own re-signs..........in a league where you can roll over cap the sheer volume of dollars thrown away on bad UFA decisions has put them into creative accounting mode a couple years earlier than they should be.
  24. Initially hating the pick could have meant anything..........it was certainly not proof that you were a rational thinker. It's a QB driven league.........it was a very rational decision to take a swing at the player with the highest upside. As I said at the time.......Allen would have been the #1 overall pick in more drafts than not in the 2000's just based on his skillset and what is typically available at QB..........so at #7 he was a worthwhile risk. The attitude around here at the time was very much like it is around the Jets fandom now..........."if we just had a competent QB everything would fall into place"...........well, it turns out it takes more than that from the position and most fans don't realize that until they actually have a team in SB contention. The reality is that a team should have a draft process and they should adhere to it..........that is rational thinking. Since it's a thread about him........I will note that Yolo really hated the Josh Allen pick.........he went so far as to post lamentations about Dwayne Haskins being better than Josh Allen multiple times during the 2018 season.
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