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Utah John

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Everything posted by Utah John

  1. If Tua plays, the Dolphins will be the unBills -- the exact opposite of a team that shows love and concern for the well-being of one of their players. The rest of the team, and the rest of the league, will take note. OK, sure. I meant before yesterday.
  2. If the Bills had had a normal schedule of mostly 1 pm Sunday games, this would be great -- staying with a 1 pm Sunday game. But since they've been bounced around so much, this game will probably feel more like just another different schedule. (I can't remember the last time they played at home at 1 pm Sunday. Does anyone know? I can't find this info on line.)
  3. Lovie Smith was a dedicated Chicago Bear when he was a player. Getting his team to a win yesterday put the Bears into the top draft pick. Coincidence?
  4. There was a stretch of a month and a half or so, during the second half of the season, where Detroit was nearly undefeated, losing only to the Bills, and that was a tough game for the Bills. I was really impressed by how well they played together. Their roster still has holes, but almost every roster does. Goff (and Mac Jones too, I have to say) looked like a very good professional QB. I was rooting for Detroit, partly because Aaron Rodgers has turned into such a jerk, and partly because the Green Bay organization failed to put a team around him, who despite being a jerk is still a good QB. An organization that makes so many mistakes doesn't deserve to win. And partly because I really appreciate the effort that Detroit put in, to turn into an above-.500 team in one year.
  5. I think if we had 2021 Gabe Davis instead of 2022 Gabe Davis, we're no worse than 15-2 and probably 16-1. The AFCCG would be in Buffalo, no neutral site, and on to the SB. Davis did NOT lose those three games himself, but if he'd made plays when they were there to be made, the Bills (who lost 3 games by 8 points total) would have the 1 seed wrapped up.
  6. Comparisons of top players are fun but they resolve nothing. It's the results on the field that matter. Mahomes and Allen take turns beating each other. Burrow so far always beats Mahomes. We have a sample size of 0.03 for Allen v Burrows so the jury's still out. There are four excellent QBs in the AFC -- Allen, Mahomes, Burrow, Herbert. Lawrence is just outside that group but could join soon. That's a lot of great competition. They're all different people and have different strengths as QBs. I think Burrow and Herbert are the best pure passers. Allen and Mahomes are the best runners but have the strongest arms and can still be really good passers. Allen is the most emotional. Allen is also the most likely to be inconsistent for large parts of games -- but when he's on, Good Lord it's amazing. They're all great leaders. All of them are good enough to win on any given Sunday, even against the other group members, and no one would think it was a fluke or an upset. They all have GMs building teams around them, but Mahomes and Allen have been around the longest which means they're the most expensive for their team's salary cap. Possibly as a result, Mahomes and Allen have the weakest receiver groups to throw to. Allen has Diggs, Mahomes has Kelce, and then there's a bunch of JAGs on both teams. For the other two, there are multiple top-level threats. The Bills have focused their investments more on defense than the other three, and except for the jinx of the DB room (reminds me of Spinal Tap's drummers) have the best defense of the four. I think the Bills have the most complete team, and we have a better shot than any of the others at the SB, but our chances are still less than 50%. Maybe Bills 35%, Bengals and Chiefs at 25% each, and Chargers at 15%. I will be shocked if any other team makes it this year.
  7. I've been at conferences where the supposed highlight was a speaker like this. Someone describing all the bad things that had happened to him, and how he overcame them. I was bored silly, and offended that someone thought all of us needed to hear it. I have had enough challenges and setbacks in my life, and I overcame them. Should I get up and tell MY story, aggressively, as if I think it's necessary to challenge the audience to disagree with me? Total BS.
  8. They stand to maybe lose a home game, if they lose to the Ravens. The Ravens without Lamar. It's proper that they'd object, but come on, the Bengals will kill them.
  9. My preference would have been to add an eighth team in the AFC, thinking eliminating the bye would force KC to play an extra game. Then I realized that KC would certainly win that game, and that this would still give KC home field through the playoffs, and that would be worse than giving them a week off. The only other fair option would have been to push the playoffs back a week, and let the Bills and Bengals play in week 19. But then EVERYONE except the winner of the Bills/Bengals game gets a week off. That's not right either.
  10. I honestly don't think Tre is the Tre we know, either mentally or physically. The Bengals' first play exposed him. He's out there doing his best but a great receiver will beat him one on one. The Bills have a serious DB problem, and they'll be fortunate if someone else beats Cinci. I think the Bills match up better against the Chiefs. And there's no way any other team should be able to beat them in the playoffs.
  11. Either that or make the 1 seed play the 8 seed, so neither gets a bye. It totally sucks that KC could lose to both Buffalo and Cinci in the regular season and still get a bye.
  12. So add an 8th team to the AFC playoffs. Then no team gets a bye. Why not? There's money to be made, and another team gets some glory. Maybe they'd even have a winning record.
  13. There were posts earlier that said that if the Bills lose and the Bengals win, with both team finishing at 12-4, the Bills would win the tiebreaker and get the #2 seed. On the NFL's announcement of what outcomes could come from Sunday's games, that's not the case. Previously the Ravens had a shot at winning the AFCN, and would have been highly motivated. Not now. And the Patriots are highly motivated since their chance at being in the playoffs depends on beating the Bills. The impact of getting the 2 seed is, we lose the bye, and our competition in the second round gets tougher. But we still have home playoff games before a possible neutral site -- no trip to KC, no replay of last year when we beat KC in the regular season and lost in the playoff at KC. Wild Card round: 2 (Bills) plays 7 and wins. 3 (Bengals) plays 6 and wins. 4 (Jags) vs 5 is very interesting but the outcome doesn't affect the next round. Division round: 1 (Chiefs) plays 4/5 and wins. 2 plays 3 IN BUFFALO. AFCCG: 1 plays 2 somewhere else. So the importance of beating the Pats is to have that second round game in Buffalo instead of in Cinci. The Chiefs get the 1 seed with the bye and the easier division round game despite losing to both Buffalo and Cincinnati in the regular season. We now see how much that damned fumble against the Vikings hurt us. The neutral site would only come into play if two of the Chiefs or Bills or Bengals play. Personally I'd like the game moved to Miami, to rub their noses in it.
  14. There are conflicting posts in this threat about what happens if the Bills lose and the Bengals win, so both end up 12-4. Some say the Bills win the tiebreaker and some say the Bengals do. Does anyone know for sure? If it could turn out that the Bills could fall to the 3 seed with a loss, they should play starters until a win is ensured. Assuming higher seeds win, then 2 beats 7, 3 beats 6, and 4 and 5 don't matter. Next week 1 plays 4/5, and 2 hosts 3. Not looking forward to a return to Cinci. Much better for Cinci to come to Orchard Park. It's sad that both the Bills and Bengals beat the Chiefs head to head, and that neither has the chance to play a full schedule to try to get the top seed.
  15. I wouldn't be surprised if the play is a little tentative at first, but quite early someone will tackle someone hard, and everyone will snap out of it. If you don't play full speed, you're more likely to get hurt. Half the games this weekend will determine playoff entry or position, so there will be some serious hitting by the second quarter of each game.
  16. I'm a skeptic about religious matters, but I see an entire country praying for Hamlin, and he's doing better...so....
  17. Thanks for that info. He still could have figured, why push my ...errr...
  18. In my younger days I played in an adult soccer league. One guy on our arch rival team was in terrific shape, and was a good player. Someone kicked a ball during a game that caught him in the chest. He died right then and there. He was in his 30s. Another time in a different league, a 30-something man got hit in the abdomen with a kicked ball. The impact ruptured his spleen, and only by getting to the hospital immediately did he save his life. These were not top-level competition soccer leagues, in fact to protect us old guys from ourselves we were not allowed to tackle or leave our feet. None of us had nearly the power of kick that a college or pro player would have. And still these freak things happened. And no one quit playing because of them. The point is that we all take risks, every day, doing things that can end in tragedy. We fly on airplanes and eat at McDonald's and go out in the sun without sunscreen. And we still do them. For an NFL-caliber football player, football is not just a job. It might be the only thing that man can do to make a living. You or I could quit our jobs or change careers, but for these players, there is no substitute.
  19. I wonder if this is why Andrew Luck retired when he did.
  20. Would you stop driving your car just because you come across a crash scene? Probably not. Most players finish long careers with a variety of scars and healed broken bones, but very very few are disabled, and on the other end of the spectrum, some walk away without any damage at all. Most guys probably figure they'll end up in the middle of the spectrum, having achieved their life's goal of playing for years in the NFL.
  21. When I was in college majoring in meteorology 45 years ago, the models were not even worth looking at. (Except Christie Brinkley and Cheryl Tiegs - hahaha). I spent nearly 40 years as a professional meteorologist, either forecasting or working in related fields, or in management. The models got better steadily throughout the decades since the 70s, and as you say are now extremely accurate. The improvement came about for multiple reasons -- better computers, much better satellite data, much better data assimilation routines, different types of models, more precise weather radar data. All of this was funded by taxpayers. When I hear people complain that the government doesn't do anything, or produce anything, I just shake my head at their lack of awareness. A graph is worth 10,000 words to those with a little patience to understand it.
  22. I would speculate that the changing odds corresponded to the Bills injury report. Specifically whether Jordan Poyer would be able to play. The Bills are undefeated this year when he plays. Early in the week it looked possible he wouldn't play. He's still listed as questionable but I would be shocked if he didn't play, and play well. We need Poyer AND Tre White to be close to their best considering how good a QB Burrow is.
  23. They're actually fortunate to be 8-8 this year. They beat Baltimore with a huge comeback after the Ravens' DBs were all hurt. They beat us thanks to the heat and the design of the stadium, and almost lost when Josh misfired on a pass to McKenzie right at the end. They have invested heavily in their passing attack but their D is not good at all, other than Christian Wilkins who is excellent. Too many holes in their roster. And they need to sort out their QB situation immediately.
  24. Light years? More like two years. They've got a young squad, so they have a couple of years to fill the holes in their roster and in particular get a veteran QB. In that time, the Bills' front office will have to shed some of the talent on the defense due to Josh's and Von's contracts kicking in. and let's be honest, our O line is just average at best and our WRs are mostly ineffective.
  25. Cook (surprisingly) doesn't have elite speed either. He ran a 4.42 40 at the combine, which is good but not elite. He seems so much faster though. I think he's quick, not really fast.
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