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Everything posted by billsfan89
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8 offensive players (9 if you include the first traded for Diggs) vs. 7 defensive players. Seems like a solid balance. I thought going into the 2021 and 2022 drafts there was an over-investment in defense. But after spending top picks on offense (Kincaid and Torrence were plug-and-play starters) in 2023 I thought they course-corrected. I think this year they have to go top pick at WR and defense in round two. There are going to be some key defensive needs like safety and defensive line so after getting Josh more fire power and a Diggs heir apparent I have no issue helping sure up the defense. Then in round 3 I go BPA at WR or Safety/D-line.
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How do you explain Diggs invisibility act
billsfan89 replied to Coldfronts's topic in The Stadium Wall
2021 his numbers were solid in the back half, the Bills had some weird games the back half of that year, the 41-15 Colts blowout, the super windy game against New England where they threw only 3 times, and the super rainy Falcons game where Josh threw a bunch of picks all come to mind as off games for the passing offense not related to Diggs. 2022 Diggs numbers took a dip but I think that was more so explained by teams realizing Gabe, Mac, Knox and company were not going to burn them in single coverage so teams just double-covered Diggs all day. Once again not a Diggs performance issue so to speak. 2023's performance is on Diggs as he just simply did not look like "himself" and I think there probably was some sort of injury explanation to it. But I am very cautious with how much Diggs has left in the tank. He will be 31 next season and WR's usually tend to naturally fall off around 32/33 so at best Diggs maybe has 1-2 "elite" years left certainly no more than 3. So the Bills have to get additional long term WR help to get an heir apparent for Diggs. -
Bills Draft Needs - From the Athletic
billsfan89 replied to GASabresIUFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Especially with Bates being a "super sub" who can play all 5 positions and reasonably at least be a primary backup guard who can flex into a tackle spot in a pinch it wouldn't be bad to grab one of the top centers in the draft as it only builds the offensive line depth and gives the Bills a good future along the offensive line. I also wouldn't hate drafting a tackle to develop in round 5. -
Bills Draft Needs - From the Athletic
billsfan89 replied to GASabresIUFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think the Bills will need to go WR in rounds 1 and 3, I hope Brian Thomas Jr falls to 28 or the Bills don't need to do a massive trade-up for him. The Bills are not going to get Harrision Jr, who will go top 5 and highly unlikely they get Odunze who will go top 10 or just outside the top 10. Keon Colemen is also unlikely to be attainable as he is likely going to go in the mid to late teens. Thomas Jr, however being the 4th WR off the board (thus far although a lot can change) is a possibility that he can last until pick 23-25 where the Bills can make a decent trade-up to get him at a reasonable cost. There are other options besides Thomas Jr that are solid too but thus far he is who I would like to see. -
Bills Draft Needs - From the Athletic
billsfan89 replied to GASabresIUFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I would say the Bills are fairly "good" at linebacker, corner, starting offensive line, QB, RB1 and TE. A lot of the other needs will get sorted out in free agency either resigning this teams free agents or adding other free agents. The Bills should go into the draft with 2-3 "urgent" needs (likely WR, safety, and possibly D-line) and then the other needs will be depth and youth which can be addressed heavily in the mid to late rounds. -
Bills Draft Needs - From the Athletic
billsfan89 replied to GASabresIUFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Hard to say as its going to depend on what the team does in free agency. Who is retained and if they can maybe make this year's "Connor McGovern" mid-level free agency addition? I assume Gabe is gone which is going to make WR a big need especially with Diggs being older they need an heir apparent and immediate impact which makes that first-round pick ripe to be used at WR. On defense, the D-line as well as safety are likely needs. Kicker and Punter along with maybe a special teams "specialist" are also possible needs. Offensively outside of WR the team is solid a bruising RB behind Cook is a possible need if it is not addressed in free agency and offensive line depth (or a center heir apparent if Mitch hangs it up) and a possible third-string TE are smaller needs. But overall outside of finding a dynamic WR2 and depth at WR its not many "glaring" needs on offense. -
Should the Bills trade up for their own “Julio Jones”
billsfan89 replied to DJB's topic in The Stadium Wall
It depends on various factors such as, what needs the Bills have remaining after free agency, the cost of a trade-up, and for what player are they trading up. I have no issues with packaging picks 28, 60, and 205 for a pick in the 10-12 range for a really good WR if the Bills are not having many glaring needs on the roster. However, I am not going to trade up to pick 4 to get Marvin Harrison Jr, if the cost is picks 28, 60, 99, 128, and two future firsts. As good of a prospect as Harrision Jr is giving up most of your draft picks in one draft and mortgaging a big portion of your draft future in giving up back-to-back picks is not a great idea as with injuries and the chance a player is good not great (like Sammy Watkins) giving up so much for a non-QB is more likely to backfire than work. The Julio Jones trade was a trade that while the Falcons gave up a lot to go from pick 27 (a 2nd and 4th in that year's draft plus a 1st and 4th in the following year's draft) it wasn't that bad a mortgage of their future for a piece they needed. TLDR: Going for a big trade up might work but it is going to depend on a lot of factors. -
Love it, when Babich was the safeties coach from 2018-2021 the team had great safety play. OK but the Bills were insanely talented at safety with Hyde and Poyer establishing themselves in 2017. But then he goes to be the LB coach and this team turns into Linebacker U all of a sudden. In 2022, he gets the best year out of a motivated Tremaine and gets a great year out of Milano. Then he follows up a good LB year with developing Bernard into a stud and then got great play from Dodson and so many other injury replacements. Other teams recognized this and wanted to poach him and the Bills kept him in house for a position that was basically vacant.
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Gunner's 2024 Mock Draft - FINAL v3.0 NOW LIVE (p.13)
billsfan89 replied to GunnerBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Don't hate it, like the idea of grabbing a WR in round one, not sure on the specific prospect but the position is a good fit. Would rather address the safety position in free agency and maybe draft one around round 4 so to speak. Would rather get younger on the defensive line and take one in round 2. But not a bad first draft. -
Kincaid and Torrence early returns are good. I think Groot is also a good player. Really the only true “busts” in the first two rounds are Boogie and possibly Elam who the jury is still out on. AJE even turned in a decent couple of seasons.
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Ryan O'Halloran - Bills should go Defense Heavy in draft
billsfan89 replied to BCAS Baritone's topic in The Stadium Wall
I don't mind a lot of mid to late-round defense picks but at the very least round 1 should be a WR and round 2 or 3 should also be offensive line depth. Round 2 and 4-5a could be defense there's more depth needs there but I would also still like to see one of the round 5 picks also be on offense likely a RB or WR for depth. -
AFC Division Playoff - Chiefs @ Bills 1st half game thread
billsfan89 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
Bills up 4 at the half but KC has the ball going to be a tight one as usual with KC. -
AFC Division Playoff - Chiefs @ Bills 1st half game thread
billsfan89 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
KC very clearly is going to be able to move the ball into the red zone just have to keep them settling for field goals while the Bills offense scores TD’s -
AFC Division Playoff - Chiefs @ Bills 1st half game thread
billsfan89 replied to BuffaloBill's topic in The Stadium Wall
McD is going to have to make some adjustments defensively so KC doesn’t attack Klein in the passing game. -
Divisional Round, Chefs v. Bills - PREDICT THE SCORE
billsfan89 replied to Freddie's Dead's topic in The Stadium Wall
I am not gonna predict the score but I think this is a one-possession game either way. These teams are so good and both playoff-hardened. It's just gonna come down to if the Bills can keep the turnovers down to 0-1, can Bass and the special teams make the plays they "should" make, and can the defense make a big play or two in a critical moment. If the special teams can be a net neutral (not make any turnovers, not let up any big returns, punt decently and Bass just makes the kicks 40 yards and under at a minimum) and the offense makes 0-1 turnovers while the defense gets a clutch sack or turnover late in the game I think the Bills can pull this off. -
Game Thread: Green Bay at San Francisco - 8:15 PM FOX
billsfan89 replied to chongli's topic in The Stadium Wall
Packers put up a good fight on the road against a very strong team. They took the 49ers down to the wire even having a 4 point lead fairly deep into the final quarter. The Packers are a young team with a lot of good pieces in place. But they don't have the best cap situation (only 7 million in space with about 46 players rostered BUT they have really nice draft capital. They have their own first which will be slotted at pick 25 and they have a pair of second-round picks and a pair of third-round picks along with their own picks in rounds 4, 6 and 7. So while they will have a hard time adding pieces in free agency they can really make a big impact via the draft. -
Camp body for 2024, not surprising they want to kick the tires on a guy with some speed.
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No shock the Texans Cinderella ride turned into a pumpkin. The Ravens were/are just a more talented team overall and they were home rested off of a bye week. Bills going to have to go on the road to get to the Super Bowl if they get past KC at home. Texans with a few additions via the draft/free agency will be a contender next season most likely. Texans have a decent complement of draft picks (8 picks total one in each of the first three rounds, a pair of 4th round picks, a 5th and a pair of 7th round picks) and 74 million in cap space with 36 players on the roster plus the ability to add about 20-30 million in cap space with some restructures or non-major cuts. So they will at the very least be able to add some pieces via free agency while retaining all or most of their critical pieces. Overall I think the Bills if they get past KC can take the Ravens but it won't be easy.
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Rice is very crazy, Moss is more understandable as most of his prime was spent in the 2000’s when the MVP award was morphing into the best QB award.
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Buy: Von Miller, just a feeling but I think he comes up with a big play. Hold: Allen to Diggs, back to back productive weeks after a long lull. I think Diggs has at least 5+ catches and 60+ yards may not have that dominant 100+ yard game but he will be a factor. Sell: Special Teams, all season special teams has been an issue. Last week it was no exception. A blocked kick led to the game being more competitive than it needed to be and a missed kick late was another error although an inconsequential one. At this point I just want there to be no major errors on special teams. Bass makes all the “gimmie” kicks 40 yards and under, no large returns given up, no bad punts and no turnovers on special teams is all I can hope for.
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McD has been a great DC but if he wants to bring in someone to take the duties off his hands I would not hate brining in Ron Rivera as DC. Rivera coordinated some very strong Bears and Chargers defenses in the 2000’s and then had a fairly successful run with Carolina with McD as the DC for some time. His run with the Commanders was not the best but that organization was very much in flux and he still won a division title in his time there somehow. Ron has a good grasp of the system and a ton of experience. If McD doesn’t want the DC role then Ron Rivera is a solid choice to replace him.
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It’s honestly the best move they could make to have an option in case Martin can’t go. I know some were clamoring for the “Punt God” Ariza to come in but while I wouldn’t mind seeing him get a chance in training camp brining in a guy very cold off the street who hasn’t played NFL football since the 2022 preseason wouldn’t be smart. As mediocre as Haack was he’s not tragic and he has played this season most recently punting in December so he isn’t “coming in cold” and he’s also had experience taking snaps and holding kicks with the current long snapper and kicker.
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I would strongly consider Douglas in the slot if Johnson can’t go and Kahir on the outside with Dane or Benford if Benford can go.
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Teller should have been kept but there’s also no sure thing that he develops into the same player in Buffalo. The Browns offensive line coach is Bill Callahan who’s regarded as among the best in the league at developing offensive line players. The Bills did not have nearly as good of an offensive line development regime. Possible that Teller never develops into as good a player here