billsfan89

Everyone smokes weed who cares? Were they driving or just possession?

Bills added Edwards and MVS both have 2 SB rings as starters or key role players. Hollins also has a ring with the Eagles where he was a ST role player. So that’s 3 players added with rings as staters or role players. They also have David Edwards and Rapp who were starters on the 2021 Rams team. Also Douglas was on the Eagles Super Bowl team but didn’t play much in the playoffs. Then of course this team has Von who was a Super Bowl MVP with the Broncos and then a key starter on the 2021 Rams team. So there’s some nice Championship experience on the roster as Deion Jones also played in a Super Bowl. Hopefully that translates to more playoff success

They already added the vet DE they should have added with the signing of Smoot. D.Smoot is 29 this upcoming season so not too old to have a good season. The reason he was a low end signing was because he had an Achilles injury in 2022 and didn't have the best 2023. Smoot was an early 3rd round pick in 2017 and after two seasons where he didn't do much he settled into a good rotational DE as he had 5-6 sacks each season from 2019-2022. He wasn't very effective in 2023 due to the injury he suffered in 2022 as he only had one sack. But being another year removed from injury I think he will help take on some of those back end DE rotation snaps. I see him as hopefully a more effective Shaq Lawson.

If someone gives you 10,000 to 1 odds on anything you take it. If John Mellencamp wins an Oscar I will be a very rich man.

I am sure Butker would also love to go back to the top marginal tax rates or the higher corporate and capital gains taxes of the 1950's and 1960's. ' Maybe not a dozen but a few at least, these guys aren't getting paid for their political punditry or social commentary.

Statistically speaking money makes you happier. There's obviously exceptions both ways but it turns out the less stressed you are about money and the more opportunities afforded to you by having greater resources tends to make you happier. https://www.forbes.com/sites/johnjennings/2024/02/12/money-buys-happiness-after-all/#:~:text=After re-examining the data,rise with income past %2475%2C000.

The reason stay at home mothers are considered and by some metrics are among the happiest or the happiest cohort of people is because it costs an insane amount of money to have a child and a spouse that doesn't work. So the demographic tends to be upper middle class or wealthy and while money doesn't buy happiness it is stats wise proven that the more money you have the happier you are. There simply aren't many people that can afford to have a child and a single income home. Those professions are among the top 10% of earners. It is also not like women can count on just marrying someone and staying at home. How is a woman supposed to support herself while she waits to marry someone to take care of her? The most ironic thing is that Butker's mother is a physicist. This is just a guy who didn't get enough attention from his mom lashing out.

Does the Scott Steiner Math check out when adding Kurt Angle to the mix?

Sammy Watkins and Gabe Davis are probably the best WR's drafted since 2013. I do think this team made a great hit on Shakir, it took him a year to cook and develop but Shakir reminds me a lot of Robert Woods. Both Woods and Shakir are about 6 feet tall. Woods is a half inch taller and has longer arms but Shakir is faster having run a 4.43 40 compared to Woods 4.51 40 time. Woods was a more "blue chip" prospect as he was a 2nd round pick who was projected to go there. Shakir was a a solid 3rd/4th round prospect who fell to the first pick of round 5. The short arms are the only thing that have me concerned as to if Shakir can be a consistent outside WR but he at worst is going to be a very good slot WR.

I will be honest that I was not aware that Spector was that good of a ST player. If that's the case I think you then swap in Spector and swap out one of the vets.

Tim Duncan said it best, it takes a lot of luck to win a championship. Yes coaching and talent make a big difference. But often times the difference between Andy Reid's Eagles making a bunch of deep playoff runs but coming up short and The Giants winning two Super Bowls is just luck.

I am hoping that Kincaid can really be that number one dynamic weapon while the combo of Shakir/Samuel/Knox/Coleman/Cook are enough of a complement in the secondary receiving options while Cook/Davis/Ty have success running behind a strong offensive line. I hate seeing 2023 be derailed offensively due to a injury/decline from Diggs mid-season and a badly schemed offense. Because the Bills got a great offensive line season once Brown got straightened out after a bit of a rough start and Cook had a very good RB season, it is not most seasons that both things will hold up.

Dam gotta cut someone probably would cut Shorter or Gilliam or a defensive linemen

Elway also had a strong defense and offensive line to go along with a stacked skill position core with McCaffery, Rod Smith, Shannon Sharpe and Terrell Davis. That's a HOF TE and HOF RB and a WR in Smith who should be in the HOF and another Pro-Bowl caliber WR in McCaffery. That Broncos offensive line in 1998 was insanely stacked as they had 3 players make the Pro-Bowl (back when the Pro-Bowl was a better indicator of performance), while Sharpe, Smith, McCaffery and Davis also made the Pro-Bowl with Davis also being the league MVP (on the defensive side of the ball they also had two Pro-Bowl players). It truly is a team game and if you don't have the talent around you and the coaching to put that talent with a good scheme then there is only so much you can do.

Here's my breakdown Offense QB- Allen/Mitch (2 total) RB- Cook/Davis/Ty Johnson (3 total) FB- Gilliam (1) TE- Kincaid/Knox/Morris (3 total) WR- Shakir/Coleman/Samuel/MVS/Hollins/Shorter (6 total) OL- Dawkins/McGovern/SVPG/Torrence/Brown/Edwards/Van Denmark/Collins/Anderson (9 total) Offense- 24 total Defense DT- Ed Oliver/Daquon/Carter/Johnson/D.Williams (5 total) DE- Groot/AJE/Von/Solomon/Smoot (5 total) LB- Milano/Bernard/Dorian Williams/Ulofoshio/Morrow/Spector (6 total) CB- Douglas/Taron/Benford/Elam/Ingram/Hardy (6 total) S- Edwards/Bishop/Rapp/Cam Lewis (4 total) Defense total- 26 Specialist Bass/Martin/Ferguson Specialist Total- 3 Red Shirt on IR (I know you can't just put a player on IR but I think they will find a way like they did with Shorter) - Grabel On the bubble - Hamlin, Claypool, Deion Jones, and Toohill Edited to have correct numbers and make small change.

I saw a possible breakdown of the cap hits and it's giving the Lions a 3 year window to keep his current cap hit of about 13.5% of the cap. In 2027 it does jump to just under 17% which is more than I would like to spend but still manageable. Then in 2028 it jumps to 21%. They can't get out of the dead cap until 2028 when they would still take a 36 million dollar dead cap hit. They then take two modest dead cap hits in 2029 and 2030 eating 12.2 million or about 2.5-3% of the cap each year which is fairly minimal. 2024 - $32.3M (current contract) 2025 - $38.2M ($12.2M SB + $26M salary) 2026 - $38.2M ($12.2M SB + $26M salary) 2027 - $52.2M ($12.2M SB + $40M salary) 2028 - $69.2M ($12.2M SB + $57M salary) 2029 - $12.2M SB Void Year 2030 - $12.2M SB Void Year Lions by adding the void years to pad out the hit a bit and putting a big ballooned year in 2028 which they can somewhat get out of they keep their current good QB good contract situation going for at least a few more years if this breakout is true.

Goff is a solid QB but the whole appeal of Goff for the Lions was that Goff at a 30ish million dollar cap number giving you lower top 10ish QB play allowed you to compete. Goff taking up about 13-15% of your cap allowed you to allocate resources to other areas of the roster while still having a good but not great QB. No Goff is going to occupy 20-22% of the cap and that's going to down the line lead to the Lions having to let players walk and weaken other areas of their roster and not having elite QB play to make up for that. The Lions drafting now has a lower margin for error as they now have to get more cheaper talent to fill in the gaps their cap space cannot. It's a QB league and they are rewarding Goff whose in his prime at age 30 but it is just a possible bad point for them to be in.

I think the Bills are going to likely carry barring injury the following 5 WR's and I think they will likely carry a 6th WR but that's probably coming down to a battle between Shorter and the vets they are kicking the tires on such as Claypool, Hamler and Isabella. Top 5 WR's barring any injuries or drastic underperformances. Shakir Samuel Coleman MVS Hollins WR's in the mix for a 6th WR spot Shorter Claypool Hamler Isabella I do think the 6th WR spot is going to likely come down to Claypool vs. Shorter. I think they are going to likely have Isabella and Hamler compete for a vet PS spot.. While the 53 man roster spot comes down to if Shorter can be a special teams ace and show some receiving upside and if that's going to show out more than Claypool's possible receiving upside.

Good for Zay to keep playing, after his disastrous run here (and I feel bad he suffered such bad mental health issues) he really turned his NFL career around and got to cash in on a solid contract and is getting another shot on a decent roster.

I imagine Josh will rework his deal 2 times by 2030 as the cap just jumps and jumps to insane levels. The cap currently is 255 million but the cap by 2030 is projected to be 383 million or about a 128 million jump in just 7 seasons or a jump of about 18.2 million a season. I think by 2026 he will do a rework and then get that second "bite at the apple" for a final big contract around 2029.

I think Shorter getting a year to "red shirt" was a smart move for a team that had few roster slots. I think what's going to be the best path for Shorter (esp with the MVS signing) to develop into a legit WR is going to be getting a WR5/6 slot as a ST player. He's a big athletic dude with a 8.9 RAS so even if he's not the most polished WR if he can get a stud special teams player and work on the WR aspects of his game I think he can secure a bigger receiving role in 2025.

I don't think Coleman is going to get any snaps taken away for MVS at least not any significant amount (10% or less if there's any impact). The Bills plugged Kincaid and Torrence in right away in 2023 despite having Knox and Bates at those positions. I think the days of a high pick not playing arbitrarily are gone. If Coleman shows he can play (and he will get the opportunity in camp and pre-season, then he will play. If he needs a little more time to cook then the Bills at least have an option to take some of it on with MVS. Depth is important in a WR room we saw last year how one injury to Davis and the Bills were giving Sherfield snaps. I think MVS as a WR4 is a nice move to ensure depth. As much as it may impact Shorter getting some developmental snaps I think if Shorter wants to take a top 5-6 WR spot he's got to earn it either on special teams or as a weapon on offense.

If Coleman is hurt I think MVS steps in as the first boundary WR off the bench. I think Shorter and if he turns it around Claypool could also be in that mix if they show up strong in camp/pre-season. I think this signing shows me they really don’t want to be in a situation where they are a single injury away from having to play the special teams ace on the boundary like they were last season.

MVS as a good situational depth WR4 is a good signing. The team needed depth and as far as cheap depth the Bills got about as good a player as they could have found given the circumstances. Claypool is a crapshoot “why not kick the tires” type signing. Claypool is only 26 with 4 years in the league and no major injuries. He’s shown a ton of talent with 2 very productive seasons his first two years in the league. I expect absolutely nothing from him but he’s the type of player you should take a chance on. Claypool is the type of low risk high reward reclamation project good teams take chances on. Claypool hasn’t been with a good organization since the Steelers. Chicago has been a dumpster fire and the Fins while they have been decent aren’t known as a good organization that has discipline. Maybe being on a minimum deal on his 4th team in 2ish years is enough of a wake up call. If not they just cut him no loss.

Isn’t Hollins a special teams ace type player? I always thought of his acquisition as occupying the WR5 Jake Kummerow/Sherfield role of a special teams ace who can play WR a bit in case of injury or in 4/5 wide special sets a few snaps a game. I never thought they were going to go into the season with him as a WR unless there were injuries. The drafting of Coleman moved him down out of a top 3 spot now MVS has moved into the pure WR4 slot which firmly bumps Hollins down to WR5