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Everything posted by billsfan89
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Should the Bills go No-Huddle in the 1st half?
billsfan89 replied to ganesh's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
No, I think they should establish the hell out of the run early and switch to play action. No huddle early should only be done if you are down big and looking to make a comeback. -
Question for the Liberals/Progressives on the Forum
billsfan89 replied to Foxx's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
It's not just anecdotal stories of contractors getting stiffed, Trump has had numerous lawsuits from various contracts complaining about him not fulfilling his obligations, not to mention the other lawsuits about defrauding customers many of which he settled out of court on. So this isn't just rumor and innuendo that he isn't an honest or ethical businessman there is both a paper trail and the known word about him. Even a lot of people who used to be fairly high up in his inner circle have commented that he isn't an ethical business person. When Bernie Sanders and Ron Paul were both in the capital those two were the only two Congresspeople (and then Bernie became a senator) who lobbyist were told not to waste their time on. I don't think anyone is perfect (And I don't get this idea that him being a millionaire is hypocritical since he has never said no one should be successful, the only thing he has stated is that it is kind of crazy billionaires exist at the same time as massive childhood poverty and crumbling infrastructure.) But as far as someone who actually believes in an ideology and isn't swayed by big monied interest give me the guy that lobbyist hate and who is funded by small dollar donations. Hate his politics fine, I don't like Ron Paul's economic agenda at all but I can at least respect the fact that although he isn't perfect he is someone who actually believes is something. I get that you don't care that he is honest or ethical. Jimmy Carter was an honest ethical person but he wasn't good at getting stuff done. But to pretend that Trump is honest or less corrupt is just a fairytale. -
Kroft has been hurt thus far a non-factor and Knox is super raw. Sweeney I look at as more of a potential high end backup. Lee Smith is more of a niche player. I don't look at the tight end talent and think it is great. I don't think there is a market to find a quality tight end so the point is moot. But I do look at the tight end position and think wow look at all the talent there. Don't get me wrong I love Knox's potential and Sweeney can be a good role player but those guys aren't ready to be starters just yet. I don't look at the position as a deep position as the quality isn't there.
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The way I look at it is you have to get to 9-2. You have 5 games coming up. Eagles, Redskins, At Cleveland, At Miami and then the Broncos. If you factor in a fluky loss in 5 games (it is the NFL things happen) then you set yourself up to be 9-2 going into your toughest stretch of the season where you play the Ravens, Cowboys, Pats, and Steelers. Where even if you were to go 1-3 in that stretch you could still get to 10-5 going into a home game against the Jets. Just take care of your ***** against the Eagles at home. Beat the teams you are supposed to beat. That's how you get to a winning record.
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Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Democrat lawyers? Setting aside that Muller is a Republican. I will just say that this is a belief from how embedded Trump's business ties are with Russia and how well connected he is to Russian Oligarchs and a lot of coincidences that happened timing wise. I acknowledged that this is what I believe and implied that it is speculation. To me it is irrelevant since I don't think he is the only campaign to have back channel communications with foreign entities. The real proof of Trump's corruption stems from his businesses and how many entities funnel money to him through them. -
Not sure what Tight ends are out on the market? OJ Howard would at least cost a 2nd if the Bucs are even looking to take a call on him. That is a bit too rich for my blood. Kyle Rudolph wouldn't cost much draft capital wise but I am not sure his cap number and production are a difference maker. I am also not sure what other Tight ends could be out on the market?
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Question for the Liberals/Progressives on the Forum
billsfan89 replied to Foxx's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Your original point was that out of all the people Trump has worked with that no one has ever said bad things about him. That isn't true at all was my point. By the early 90's Trump had developed such a bad reputation for stiffing contractors that no one would work with him (one of the contributing factors to his bankruptcies was not getting cheap labor to do his work was done for essentially below cost.) There are numerous examples of Trump being hated and vilified for how he ran his businesses. There is also a lot of hearsay about Trump working with organized crime in the 1980's and 1990's using his casinos and other properties to launder money (which isn't shocking as that is super common in construction.) But I will say that that is just rumors but a heavily circulated one. I also think that there are degrees of things. Almost everyone to run for president since Jimmy Carter has not been an ethical person (The only exceptions to this I would say off the top of my head would be Ron Paul and Bernie Sanders say what you will about their policies but they are the only people in the Capital where lobbyists didn't bother with them.) I ask myself how bad is their corruption and are they a competent person? Dick Cheney is an insanely corrupt person but I will give him this he knows how to get things done (Mainly awful things.) Trump is neither ethical nor competent. He is haphazard and ill thought out. He reeks of corruption and someone looking to enrich his business interests. He constantly shoots himself in the foot with bad decision making and doesn't seem to have a plan on how to do anything. I don't get what people see in this guy other than he pushes Republican policies. -
Sanu is more of a slot guy in my opinion, so I didn't see the fit and the cost was a bit outrageous as you said. I am not sure Miami would deal Parker within the division but I would trade a 5th or 4th for Parker.
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AJ Green has yet to play a snap this season. I think people are falling in love with the name and not realizing that he hasn't played yet and might not play for another 2-3 weeks at best. Green was still a quality WR last time he played even if injuries and age took a bit off of him. With Sanders off the market I am not sure where to pivot to.
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Seems like a reasonable cost for a quality receiver. Especially considering that Sanders could net a 3rd round comp pick or a 4th round comp pick at worst. I would have loved to get Josh another quality veteran weapon like Sanders. I didn't like the fit with Sanu as it seemed like he was a better slot receiver and Beasley fills that need for the Bills. But Sanders is a quality outside weapon who might not have filled the void completely for a number 1 WR but certainly would have rounded out the WR core and balanced it out. I think this team has to be on the lookout for whatever else is on the market possibly. There is a significant need to get someone across from Brown that will take pressure off of Brown and open things up a bit more for Beasley. Not to say that the team should go crazy or over the top with a trade but if there is something that could be had at a good price why not pull the trigger on a trade?
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Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I agree that the Russia Gate thing was mostly non-sense. I personally believed that the notion that Trump was some Manchurian candidate was silly and although I do believe that his campaign did exchange info and coordinate with Russia in an indirect capacity but that was all done through back channels and through proxies things that wouldn't lead a paper trail and likely there was going to be a fall guy anyway. Overall I thought that at worst there was going to be an Oliver North type to take the fall. That's not to say that Trump's campaign is possibly the first to ever have that type of information exchange with another country but that's another story. But Trump's corruption isn't tied solely to Russia or Ukraine. It is very obvious to me that Trump is using his office to help his business interests which is a huge form of corruption. Trump vetoed a fairly bi-partisan piece of legislation aimed at stopping a genocide in Yemen and stop arming an Islamic Extremist regime to a government that just so happens to do a lot of business with Trump and his family. It doesn't stop there either. There are numerous examples of Trump giving favors to those who do business with him and his businesses. Even the Muller investigation was a very limited scope investigation where they were just looking into Russian collusion. They didn't look into Trump's business dealing outside of Russia. So to say you think Trump is clean because the Muller report only found somewhat minor things is missing the scope of the investigation and ignoring very real conflicts of interest and overall awful business dealings. And once again I don't care about the politics, Dems do it too does not justify someone else's corruption. -
Question for the Liberals/Progressives on the Forum
billsfan89 replied to Foxx's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
If you live in the NYC Metro area you will hear a lot of horror stories about Trump. The two most common being his exploitation of Polish Immigrants (most of whom were illegal) and stiffing contractors. I knew personally two of my friends growing up dads who worked for construction companies that went bankrupt due to Trump not paying them out on a deal in the 1980's. You also have the numerous sexual harassment complaints (although to be fair that is common for executives in that era) but yeah in NYC, Long Island, and New Jersey almost everyone knows him from his corrupt and shady business dealings as opposed to being a reality TV star. You don't have to go far to find a story of someone getting stiffed or screwed by Trump and these stories have been around the area well before Trump went Fox News conservative. As far as how successful he actually is in business? I don't know, I think he was very good at building a brand but his actual real estate and casino dealings don't seem to be successful as even his dad had to buy millions of dollars of chips and not cash them to help float that operation. -
Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Corruption is hosting an event at a venue to which you stand to profit or gain from hosting it there, to think "at cost" exists in this situation is hilarious. Corruption is vetoing a Congressional override of a weapons deal for a country that just so happens to put a lot of money into buying hotel rooms that no one stays at. Corruption is also leveraging your political office to get your son a lucrative job. You can think both things are corruption. -
Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
As someone who worked in a not for profit it is a bit more complicated than simply not making money. You have to distribute at least 65% of the money into program costs while only 35% of the money can be used on administration and fundraising (most of the more legitimate charities will have a self imposed 75% threshold.) What is considered a program cost (or costs that actually go to the cause that the charity is being funded) is highly regulated as you can't say anyones salary is a program cost. So for example if you run a cancer research non-profit you can't say that a consultant or an administrator is part of your program costs. Those types of costs can't exceed 35% of your total costs or you are in violation of the law and you lose you tax exempt status. Now the money you put towards a research grant would qualify under a program cost. So you aren't just obligated to not have profits it is a model based on distributing money. Now I am sure there are ways that the Clinton Foundation and other non-profits have skirted this system. But in general your assessment of how non-profits work is not accurate. -
Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Corruption is a huge issue in America and I don't think the scope is limited to just Trump. But that doesn't mean that Trump isn't corrupt. I don't understand how you can't think Trump is corrupt. There are numerous examples of foreign entities doing business at Trump businesses and then Trump doing a lot of favors for those companies. For example the Saudi government repeatedly books massive blocks of hotel rooms at his properties (linked below to one example) and he vetos legislation to stop arming them for the genocide in Yemen. The Russia Gate investigation was non-sense but the real case against Trump being corrupt is him using his office to funnel business to his own businesses. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/saudi-funded-lobbyist-paid-for-500-rooms-at-trumps-hotel-after-2016-election/2018/12/05/29603a64-f417-11e8-bc79-68604ed88993_story.html -
Rational Thoughts Day After Dolphins Game
billsfan89 replied to corta765's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I see your point, but my point is the Fins aren't just a bad team they are a tragically bad team. They only had 3ish minutes of leading teams all season. So I don't think it is unfair to say that the Bills put the game significantly in doubt well into the game. The Bills weren't just trailing they were trailing by 5 half way through the 3rd with the Fins knocking on the door. I am not so sure this team comes back down 21-9. Once again if this was a mediocre team these things can happen but against the worst team in the league it shouldn't be that fragile. Overall I think that a win is a win in the NFL and good team find ways to win close games. But my main concern is did the Fins provide a blue print to attack the defense? Fitz is a decent QB but not a great one and his receivers are suspect but big. If another team with better players follows that blueprint does it become more successful? I do trust McD to adjust as I think he is a good defensive coach but if Levi can get picked on this way then that might make the defense more vulnerable. -
Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
There is the technical distinction that these are not for profit entities. These aren’t entities that can put money back directly into the pockets of these politicians via simple and direct business transactions. Now I am sure there are back channel ways to funnel money to these people via these foundations (although not for profits are heavily regulated so there is at least some level of scrutiny) but there is a vast difference from a president openly running a business where you can openly bribe them unlimited amounts of money directly to a president having a not for profit foundation designed to do charity work. I also don’t defend the notion that if those foundations are corrupt those people should have been thrown out of office. I don’t get your “Well everybody does it” argument here. For one this isn’t the same thing as a business but even setting aside the technical different I don’t care to defend any pol’s use of a foundation. You either care about corruption or you don’t. You aren’t arguing in good faith if you think people criticizing Trump for these corrupt dealings as don’t have an issue with general corruption using those types of foundations. Making everything into a partisan issue to obfuscate from corrupt behavior is you working backwards from your conclusion that Trump is good and great in everything he does. -
A- easily having a really good season. The offense lacks an elite passing weapon (John Brown is a good WR2 and Beasely a good WR3 but there lacks a true number one receiver) and a decent tightend (Lee Smith is a blocking specialist, Knox is a raw project and Sweeney is more of a backup at this point who is also developing, and Kroft is well hurt.) The running back core is solid but unspectacular and the O-line is good. So overall I consider the talent Daboll has had to work with around Josh and I think he has done a fairly good job. Josh has also developed in several areas too so it is a plus to see positive QB development. I can't say it is without fault but play calls are only as good as the result 80% of the time. I think the offense looks to be well put together and a lot of their issues stem from Josh being a young developing QB and the lack of weapons besides Beasley and Brown.
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Trump on United States Constitution - "Phony"
billsfan89 replied to Warren Zevon's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The Emoluments Clause exits for a very good reason. Not only from a moral perspective should you not be enriching yourself from the office of the presidency while president but you also risk being literally bribed via your business interests by foreign governments and entities. How anyone could couch this as a partisan issue is beyond me. Jimmy Carter had to put his peanut farm into a blind trust just on the off-chance that he might become corrupted though that business interest. -
Is this the easiest schedule the Bills ever had?
billsfan89 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
In the NFL you rarely have teams that consistently blow out other teams. Winning is usually pretty fragile and you always have the 2 and 2 theory where every team is going to come out flat twice and come out nearly unbeatable twice. I wouldn't say the Bills came out flat Sunday but it wasn't their best effort not a bad effort but a subpar one. -
Is this the easiest schedule the Bills ever had?
billsfan89 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This team hasn't dominated anyone besides maybe the Giants. The Titans, Fins, Bengals and Jets games were all games that had things break right. The Jets and Titans kickers wrapped a lot of points for the team that could have been the difference, the Bengals game required a comeback after nearly coughing up the game, and the Fins were a redzone turnover from having a 21-9 lead or at the very least a 17-9 lead half way through the third. Granted the teams only loss was by a razor thin margin too. But in the end winning in the NFL is very fragile, good teams win games by thin margins. Great teams dominate teams more consistently than not. I think the Bills are a good team. They are well coached, disciplined, deep, and have elite defensive talent, solid special teams talent and competent offensive talent. I have my concerns about the team but the fact act they are well coached leads me to have confidence that they are winning these close games due to their strengths in that department as opposed to dumb luck that can run out. -
Is this the easiest schedule the Bills ever had?
billsfan89 replied to Another Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I know I looked at the schedule and thought that this team better get off to a hot start (I thought they had to be at least 4-2 by the time they play the Eagles) because the schedule was going to get really brutal after they played the trash Fins. I thought the Eagles and Browns (away) games were going to be hard toss up type games. Then after the Broncos game (at home) I thought there was another brutal stretch with the Cowboys (away), Ravens, Steelers (Away) and Patriots (away) before finishing with the Jets at home. However the Eagles and Browns are more looking like games where the Bills will be favored couched between heavily favored games against the Fins and Redskins. The Bills even for accounting for a strange upset in those 4 games could easily go 3-1 and sit at 8-2 going into another game where they would be favored in against the Broncos and sit at 9-2 going into a tough stretch where even if they go 1-3 against the Cowboys, Ravens, Steelers, and Pats they sit at 10-5 going into a home game against a Jets team that they should be favored against. The way I look at it is simply just keep winning one week at a time. The Eagles are not a cake walk even at home. Take this game and you go 6-1 going into a very winnable Redskins game. Hopefully they can just keep piling up wins and hit 9 wins by the time they go into that brutal stretch of 4 games. -
Henry Jones Onsides Kick Return (video)
billsfan89 replied to Tisker A Tasker's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
What made that play by Hyde more impressive was that it was actually a really solid onside kick attempt the Fins kicker bounced it really well and timed it to go 10 yards perfectly. Hyde had to make a great play on it just to recover it and keep the Fins away from the ball. -
Rational Thoughts Day After Dolphins Game
billsfan89 replied to corta765's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Josh’s play has been very up and down this season. The Jets game he was awful for most of it but played brilliantly in the second half. The Giants game he was good in, no real complaints. Josh almost cost the team the game against the Bengals with some bad turnovers but came out in the end. The Pats game was horrid. But he played well in the Titans game minus the one turnover which was a huge negative in a tight game. Against the Fins Josh turned in a really good performance. If I were grading Josh I would give him a C+ or a B- for the season. Now that’s not bad for a second year QB in most circumstances but considering that the offensive talent around him is slightly above average at best and slightly below average at worst you can consider the circumstances not fantastic for him. I consider Josh a work in progress. He is improving on his bad habits at a good rate. He is being more turnover averse the past 2 weeks and he is avoiding defaulting to his right (although he still scrambles to his right a bit too much.) Josh is going to have some good moments and some bad ones this season but look for what he is getting better on.