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Everything posted by billsfan89
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There are some circumstances in which you have to relocate resources via new taxes to fix issues. It isn't the solution to every issue but a lot of our issues stem from a lack of public investment into avenues that would help the middle and consumer class. I agree that high schools and the general education system needs to reorient how they prepare students for the decision to go to college. And although high schools the last 5 years are starting to shift how they prepare students (my nephew is going to a trade school because he was explained the benefits of taking on a trade vs taking on huge loans to go to college) there still needs to be more work done in that respect. So we are in full agreement that the education system as a whole needs major adjusting in how they prepare students for a post school life. As to why Wall Street Speculation taxes? Well for one that tax actually helps alleviate the high frequency trading that is ***** with the markets. Two it is something that has worked in other nations, it is actionable far better than a wealth tax. Finally it would raise enough money to both fund the bailout of students trapped in past debt and finance college publicly for the foreseeable future. Personally I think it just makes sense from a feasibility standpoint. A Wall Street Tax also has a limited impact on most Americans, you can have the first 30k worth of trades exempted But if you wanted to go after colleges in some way that makes sense to help pay for the solutions I am fine with it. I do think that public financing should come with steeper regulations to limit useless administrators and other frivolous spending so it shouldn't be a blank check either. However what do you do about the three generations of students from the 90s, 00s, and early part of this decade who were misinformed and miseducated about what their prospects for college were? No one would give a small business loan to an 18 year old with zero collateral and relevant experience. Yet we want to hold people responsible for access to bad credit they can't default on. The thing is this is hurting the economy. We have tens of millions of people whose consumer spending is heavily limited by hundreds to even 4 figures worth of monthly payments they are trapped in. If you free up these people's money that money more than likely is going to go back into the economy and increase demand (which has a massive widespread benefit.) So in addition to the moral argument of bad credit and bad advice at a young age shackling students with bad debt due to decisions made at age 17/18 there is the general economic argument.
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Where does the 10th win come from?
billsfan89 replied to letsgoteam's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Just win against the Fins and Broncos you get to 8-3. Then all you have to do is take 1 of 4 games and the Jets game. One week at a time, get to 7-3 against the Fins first. -
Bills at Browns Post Game Post Mortem
billsfan89 replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It was a frustrating game but not the end of the world. The Bills need to win the next two games (a loss at Miami or home for Denver in my mind means the team does not make the playoffs most likely) or it is doom and gloom. But a super close away loss to a talented but under achieving Browns team doesn't mean the season is over and Josh is JP Losman 2.0. 1- The defense was looking like it was going to have an Eagles type game but that goal line stand was tremendous and revitalized them. They did end up giving up the final drive but if your defense gives up 19 points you still should be able to win. 2- The offense was frustrating, Josh made some good throws, made some bad throws, but his poor execution on critical plays cost them the game. 3- Bojo had his best game, one great punt and all his other punts were quality plays. Really impressed by him, hopefully he keeps that up, still nervous about him overall. 4- Haush is a huge concern, I get that a 50+ yarder isn't a gimme but his kicking from 50+ hasn't been there all season. I just really question if he is a good kicker anymore. He was so awesome in 2017 but in 2018 he was fairly average and not that great again in 2019. 5- The pass rush is still a concern, the Bills got two sacks from their linebackers but the front 4 was once again not consistent. Overall it was just a frustrating game that the Bills couldn't close out on defense or get it together on offense. but the Browns are not a bad team they will finish with 7-8 wins maybe even 9 wins. The Bills still have two very winnable games coming up. Keep Calm. -
If Playing Time is earned, why not Un-earned! (edited)
billsfan89 replied to plenzmd1's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
If Kevin Johnson is available I don't see why he shouldn't get a chance to play instead of Levi who is quickly becoming a liability. Lee Smith is a specialist who has done very little but I think the staff see value in that role. Gore seems to be phased out more after the Skins game where he sucked and Singletary broke out. I think Gore can still get a few carries a game in short yardage situations, he seems to have a lot of respect in the locker room and I Think his struggles are in part to do with the O-line. So I think that McD will on occasion make these types of moves along the roster to pull playing time. Hopefully they make that kind of move. -
I get the idea of a moral hazard when it comes to bailouts. The mortgage bailouts weren't even a consumer oriented bailout they were bailouts for big business not the people that took the mortgages. I think the bank bailouts and the auto bailouts are the definition of socializing the losses and privatizing the gains. But when it comes to student loans I think a bailout would be both good economic policy (this would free up hundreds to thousands of dollars a month to millions of consumers, which would pump demand directly into the economy on a consumer level.) But it wouldn't be a moral hazard bailing out of lazy people who made bad decisions. The students who took on student loans were given access to 5-6 figures worth of loans with zero collateral and no means to declare bankruptcy or default at the age of 17 or 18. That isn't irresponsibility on the part of the student but the system. On top of that most of the students who took on student loans were encouraged to do so by their school system both public and private. When I went to high school everyone was basically told go to college or you are a loser. You were actively told you had to go to college (which was driven by the "college acceptance rate" metric being a highly desired ranking.) This isn't a failure on the consumer who the people issuing the loans knew weren't fully educated, mature, or able to put up the collateral needed and the schools that heavily pressured young students from the age of 14 on that this was their only option. I paid back my college loans, I have no problem levying a Wall Street transactional tax in order to finance a bailout of consumers hamstrung on loans that they should have never been able to take out.
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Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
The offense is going to have to score 21+ to win this game in my opinion. Getting 7 on this drive would be a great way to get momentum back. I know the defense held them again on the goal line but they also got taken all the way down on a long drive. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It changed the emotion of the game for the defense and Bojo bailed out their field position on the punt. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I thought Josh was deported to the XFL. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
He covered up the ball better on that run. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
My point is that had he caught it I am not sure he would have been inbounds. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
That wasn't the best throw to Knox, had he caught it he might not have been able to get his feet in bounds. Josh has not looked good in the first two drives. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
This game was always going to be a hard game, first off away games are always tricky. Toss in the fact that the Browns are a talented but underachieving team and you have a lot to deal with and a game that is far from a gimmie. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
It was horrific on the first drive but it has clamped down since. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Wow good punt and some luck on the fumble losing more ground. -
Game Thread 1st Half Bills vs Browns
billsfan89 replied to Chandler#81's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
Could be but the offense needs to at least shift field position and give the defense a break. The offense needs to show up a bit for the defense a score here would be huge. -
Gruden has the Raiders in a nice spot. Extra draft capital coming from the Bears, a good amount of cap space, you are already paying your QB so no need to plan for a future cap charge, and a coach/GM being allowed to build their vision. They might not make the playoffs but they are developing a young core of players along with vets with gas in the tank that could have them ready to be a serious player in 2020 in Vegas. They have 2 first round picks and 2 third round picks (although no 2nd rounder) to supplement a young core. While also having enough cap space to add some quality players. They could easily finish with 8-9 wins on the season and have an avenue to add to that roster. I didn't expect much from Gruden (I thought he would be out in 4-5 years with maybe one winning season) but he might be setting up the Raiders for sustained success for at least the next 2-3 seasons.
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I don't care if the Bills go 10-6 and they do so by beating the Browns, Dolphins, Broncos and Jets while losing the other 4 games. Granted not winning 1 against the Cowboys,, Ravens, Steelers, and Pats would sting but just get to a healthy record and the playoffs is a huge positive step for what the coaching staff and GM are trying to build. Unlike the Bears who bankrupted their draft picks and screwed their cap position in 2018 to try and win with a young QB the Bills are set up to have 84 million in cap space (Possibly 102 million if they cut Kroft and Murphy) and their full complement of draft choices. This team isn't a finished product. The team can afford to take care of their young players while also adding a couple of pieces via free agency. Overall the team is in a good spot to sustain winning the next 2-3 seasons while Josh is on his rookie deal. So as long as this team can get into the playoffs on a good record the season is an unqualified success.
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I don't think anyone is bothered by continued economic growth. But in 2006 someone could have been saying that the economy is being propped up by deficit spending mainly used to fund a war and tax cuts for the wealthy, deregulation in various sectors and a bubble in the housing market. Would your retort to them have been why does growth bother you? Someone in 2006 would have been right to say the growth is a positive but what is causing it isn't going to last. Trump's economic growth was promised to be 3% and higher for multiple years. The best he got to was 2.9% (a high Obama reached) and that was with lower than usual (for positive GDP growth times) interest rates, huge deficit spending, and massive deregulation. There are huge bubbles in consumer credit, auto loans, student debt and various other credit cycles that aren't sustainable and unlike 2008 the interest rates are being held low which means that the stimulative effect of lowering rates will not be in the feds tool box come a possible recession. We have seen this script play out in 2008. Deregulation and sugar high tax cut deficit driven growth will always come with a big crash. When you don't have demand increases to justify expanding business your growth will be based on buyback and dividend increases funded by tax cuts. But once the tax burden gets normalized there is no room to grow. With the money from Trump's tax cuts and the increase to the military budget alone the US could have forgiven student debt, financed public college for all, and partially funded a infrastructure overhaul bill. All things that would have had a true stimulative long sustained impact on the economy. Instead we just juiced the stock market for a couple of years.
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Using Median numbers is highly misleading. When factoring in inflation the real gain for workers under the Trump economy has been 1.1% compared to the average of 1% under Obama from 2011 to 2016 when the Recession ended. I would also challenge that if you took the temperature of the income gains, stock market performance, and GDP gains in 2006 under George W Bush he would have looked pretty dam good under those measures. But the cost of unfunded tax cuts and deregulation (along with a new factor low interest rates in positive economic times) always come with a bust cycle that is harsh. And because interest rates are so low (and only going lower) when the bust comes there is no soft cushion of lowering rates to help ease the bottoming out. They are having to lower rates now just to get above 2% GDP growth. QE and low rates might not solve the next very painful Recession. How many times does the trickle down and deregulation bubble have to burst for people to not cheer as the bubble is at or near its highest point? https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/world/americas/2019-10-31-trumps-greatest-economy-doesnt-mean-more-pay-for-workers/
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I really don't give a ***** about respect form the national media. Get fat on these bad teams and by hell or high water get to 9-2 going into that brutal 4 game stretch. In order for this team to turn around their perception and culture I think they desperately need to get to 10 wins and a playoff spot. If it is solely done on beating up bad teams fine. That's how most teams get to 10+ wins anyway is by beating up on bad teams and teams they should beat.
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Occasi-Cortez Channeling the Rent's too damn high guy
billsfan89 replied to bdutton's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Photoshop is a hell of a tool. Back in my single days I got fooled by a girl who used a combo of old photos and photoshopped photos and well lets just say that you can only fake so much in person. -
Taylor, J. Phillips & Liuget take over the D-Line
billsfan89 replied to PUNT750's topic in The Stadium Wall Archives
I was on the Star is overpaid but does his role bandwagon but the run defense up the middle is what it is when he is on the field. I can see cutting him next year. -
Occasi-Cortez Channeling the Rent's too damn high guy
billsfan89 replied to bdutton's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Make up, hair and lighting can be a big difference maker too. But honestly I don't really care that people get surgery to look better. As long as it looks good and you can afford it I don't see the big deal. However I will say that more often than not a lot of people who get plastic surgery will eventually go overboard with it. I dated a girl who got her boobs done at 23 and they looked good (she went from A to C cup) had she simply stopped there she would have looked great. But I saw her last year at age 28 she looked like a 40 year old Orange County Cougar. So much filler and botox along with an unnecessary nose job. I think a lot of women need to realize that botox and fillers are for when you are older looking. If you get them in your 20's or early 30's it makes you look older. -
Occasi-Cortez Channeling the Rent's too damn high guy
billsfan89 replied to bdutton's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
She clearly got a nose job, her jaw done and fillers. You can look at video of her in college and yeah she isn't bad looking but you can notice that her nose is much bigger, her jawline is different and her cheeks filled less. I really wouldn't have cared but I think she called someone out on twitter for their looks and every comment was mentioning the surgery she got. It doesn't in my opinion invalidate her but it is something funny to me esp given how many fawn over her looks.