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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. 50/50 game at home here. Steelers are a well coached team with an elite defense, good ST unit and an offense that has struggled at times but has been good enough (and is anchored by a two time Super Bowl winning QB), toss in the fact that they are well coached and this is going to be a tough one in bad weather conditions. This is going to be a game where Josh, Singletary and Moss have to rush the ball and control the offense. John Brown is still out and the weather will be bad on Sunday. What gives me some optimism is that the Steelers haven't been able to run the ball well and their pass rush suffered a big setback losing Bud Dupree. In the end this game is going to come down to three factors. 1- Turnovers (as most games do but especially in bad weather where one turnover could be the margin.) 2- Who can rush the ball. 3- Which team makes the big play. This is a pure tossup. Right now I am feeling Buffalo 24 Steelers 21.
  2. The Steelers are probably one of the "weaker" 11-1 teams in recent memory. Lots of close wins against bad opponents. But you are what your record says you are. They have one of if not the best defenses in the league, a good ST unit and an offense that puts up enough points anchored by a 2 times Super Bowl winning QB along with a Super Bowl winning coach. It isn't going to be a cakewalk against the Steelers. I do think that this will be a one possession game and it will come down to who doesn't turn the ball over and who makes that one big play that ends up being the difference in the game. It should be a slugfest between two very good teams. I am feeling a Bills victory as of now but I am worried the weather is going to hamper the passing attack and the run defense (which has been better as of late) is going to fold in a game where the weather conditions will favor running the ball.
  3. I know Daboll will be on the list of coordinators who get head coaching interviews but you never know who will actually get a job. KC's offensive coordinator has been on this "short list" in 2019 after Mahomes breakout season and again in 2020 after he coordinated a Super Bowl winning offense. And he didn't come away with a job. So while I do think there is a great risk of losing Daboll in the off-season to another team you just have to wait and see.
  4. I saw Star's value esp in the back end of 2019, I get that not every player is going to stuff the stat sheet or be eye popping. But Smith got a lot of bad holding penalties in 2019 and I would be shocked to see him out there for more than 25% of the offensive snaps. Unless he is a really good ST player (In ways that I am not privy too which is possible) who also fills a niche role on offense and adds value to the locker room. But honestly I just don't see 3 million in value from Smith as a blocker on a small amount of snaps.
  5. I like both Singletary and Moss as a combo (although I would love to see a pure speed back added to the mix next year), I think of Singletary as a better receiver (although Moss is not a bad receiving back) and a more well rounded elusive back whereas as see Moss as a pure power back. But right now Moss just is a bit behind the curve due to a lot of factors most out of his control.
  6. I like what I have seen out of Moss but he isn't this dominating power back just yet. I think most rookies entered the season behind the eight ball not having a typical training camp or off-season experience due to Covid. Very few rookies are having a huge impact right now. But Moss has considering the circumstances been OK. He has a 4.1 yards per carry (which is OK but given his short yardage use is pretty good) along with 3 TD's in a more limited role. I hope he finishes the year strong as I think he and Singletary are a great complement to one another but I think expectations have to be in check.
  7. I was honestly so confused as to how he stayed on the roster. I thought in 2019 he was just going to be camp fodder, this team had tons of depth at the O-line. Mongo and Spain were the starting guards, Long, Teller, and a lot of other competition at the backup spot too. Then in 2020 they still had Spain and Mongo and they brought in Winters. But he has hung on for a long time and it has paid off.
  8. I honestly doubt that last year Teller would have gotten the playing time needed to develop. The Browns O-line play in 2019 was suspect and Teller was allowed to play through his growing pains. In 2019 Spain (who had a good season) and Mongo were in front of him and would have kept him on the bench. The Browns also have an excellent O-line coach so I don't necessarily know if Teller would have had blossomed in the same way here. Ike has been very solid and I think he can deliver at a starting caliber level the rest of the way.
  9. I think 2 per game is very doable. I think he pops off one game and gets 3-4 and gets at least 1 every other game.
  10. I think he is vastly overpaid for such a niche position. He isn't much of a factor in the receiving game and I am not sure how great of a blocker he is. He is getting paid 3 million to handle a position that is increasingly less valuable in the modern NFL. I just am not seeing the value the Bills are getting out of that 3 million cap charge even if Smith is a great blocker. Unless Smith adds value via special teams that I am not seeing he just seems more like a niche player who is paid well beyond that.
  11. That's less than 2.5 per game, insane.
  12. KC, the bye week is a pipe dream thanks to the AZ loss. But the division is a goal this team needs to take and right now Miami stands in the way of that. A win against the Steelers (a tall order but doable) and a Fins loss would set this team up to win the division easily.
  13. Far too early to speculate on playoff matchups. Just worry about winning the division.
  14. It is really unfortunate that the 2 seed no longer gaurantees a bye week. The Bills just need to worry about winning the division, the Bills kept up with Miami the past two weeks when Miami hit two soft games. Now both the Bills and Miami run into two thought matchups but I do think the Bills run into the slightly better matchup here. Hopefully The Bills can beat The Steelers and get to 10 wins and Miami loses to KC and gets to 5 losses, that would effectively make it so the Bills can clinch with a win over NE or a win over Denver and a Miami loss. Either way let's see where the Bills stack up against the Steelers.
  15. Tre shuts the door on this one. Just run the clock down a bit, San Francisco already burned a timeout.
  16. So a typical Bills game this season.
  17. That's kind of how they have looked a lot of the season. But they play disciplined on defense and they make enough plays on offense.
  18. I hope Josh is the perfect fit. His physical profile of having an arm that can cut through anything, big hands to help hold onto the ball, the size to absorb hits and hopefully stay healthy, the speed to add the ground game to his repertoire, the quick and smooth release needed along with the mental profile.
  19. Denver is a tough out, they upset the Fins and gave KC a one possession game. Granted I think the KC game was more of a product of KC being off but Denver's defense and ground game showed up. I am honestly not focused on Denver, just beat the 49ers and sort everything out afterwards.
  20. I think Edumonds needs good play in front of him to be effective. But when he has that good play he is a beast because he is very good in coverage over the middle and out on the flats. He is able to sniff plays out and make the right read when he has some room and good play in front of him. I think Edumonds will be a long term piece to this defense but McD needs to have a good one tech in front of him at all times.
  21. Even if the cap was normal in 2021 I think Milano takes a one year deal, I don't see the market for him being that great for a multi year deal. He is often banged up and not super dynamic when our there. He is a good player but one that hadn't proven to be durable and worth the long term investment. I think he resigns on a one year deal 5 to 7 million and tries to cash in after proving he can be healthy. The 175 number was just so that teams could have had a worst case scenario in mind. However the NFL was never going to have it be below 190 in my opinion.
  22. I do genuinely believe that the league will smooth out the cap, before Covid in early 2020 the league was projecting to have huge increases in the cap due to the extra game per season, growing overseas revenues in the UK and Mexico, and new TV deals. These were 20-30 million dollar increases or more to the cap year after year. So there is plenty of room to lower future increases from 2022 to 2024 slightly in order to keep the cap flat in 2021.
  23. Bills are running into a tricky matchup on the road against the 49ers. I expect this to be a one posession game late. The 49ers will be without Jimmy G and Kittle but they have been a tough team without both players. I think without John Brown on offense the team struggles to score against a still tough 49ers defense but I do think the defense shows up and shuts down the 49ers. 24-17 Bills a nail biter but the defense shuts the door when needed and the offense does just enough.
  24. It isn't that complicated their Oline got old and their reciving corps best player (Jeffery) got hurt and there wasn't much behind him. Not that complicated
  25. They are going to give him one more season.
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