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Everything posted by Alphadawg7
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James Cook on IG Live - Pins own comment: "15 mill year"
Alphadawg7 replied to BillsFanForever19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Browns will never take players back or contracts back, especially a high priced RB. They are in tank for 2 years mode to get out of cap disaster, worst in history, thanks to Watson's deal. They are going to stock pile draft capital that can return cheap contracts and be foundations of the future after the franchise destroying Watson impact is gone. -
James Cook on IG Live - Pins own comment: "15 mill year"
Alphadawg7 replied to BillsFanForever19's topic in The Stadium Wall
Not a chance Cook and his agent try for $15M...at least seriously enough to hold out. No one on planet Earth can possibly believe he would or should be paid that. BUT...it does make me concerned he is gonna want a bigger contract than we should invest in a RB. Now if we don't have any big contracts at WR, paying a RB higher money isn't much of an issue...until the time comes you need to pay a WR. For example, if we draft a rookie this year as our outside WR solution, he will be on a rookie deal, Keon is on a rookie deal, Shakir is on a rookie deal (although might get an extension this offseason), and Hollins is affordable. But if we try and sign Higgins, trade for DK, or find some other vet trade where there is more money at WR, then the RB contract is a problem. For me...I don't want to lock us out of WR money, so I would only extend cook if it was less than $10M personally. I like him, I do hope he stays, but the contract has to make sense. Davis is a promising RB himself, and this draft is loaded with enough RB talent to find a 1-2 punch to pair with Davis. And when you have this OL and Josh Allen at QB, you don't need a Saquan level RB to succeed here. In fact, I am quite skeptical Cook would live up to his deal on a lot of other teams if he got a deal north of $10M. Go spend the bigger money on Crosby or Garret. -
Slick Rick about to be Bills most valuable non player person.
Alphadawg7 replied to Lost's topic in The Stadium Wall
This was incredible. As I keep saying, Allen is a bigger MVP off the field than he is on it. -
Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
Was it McD or Josh that threw the pass on the final drive that was batted down at the LOS to what was an open Samuel? Or that shifted the protection to the wrong side at the LOS on 4th down? Or that didn’t see Shakir on that 4th down? Or that couldn’t get a clean throw to a wide open Kincaid for a huge gain because he shifted the protection to the wrong side? I love Josh as much (or more) than anyone. But facts are facts. Allen had opportunities and thanks to some good defensive plays and smart defensive play calling, did not make the plays that were there to be made. And it wasn’t because of personnel, guys were open and even wide open. And this is the problem…our defense being the worst in NFL history in these playoff losses puts Allen to have to be perfect. That is a terrible position to put your QB in and it’s why the defense is what is failing Allen and this team the most. -
Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
How about we stick to facts than incorrect generalizations. On the final series of downs, Josh had his pass batted at LOS to a wide open Samuel, had two wide open options in Shakir and Kincaid in the 4th down but Allen himself shifted protection to the wrong side putting himself under duress and having to heave a desperate throw instead of making an easy pass to either Shakir for a certain first or a huge gain with a clean pass to wide open Kincaid. It is inaccurate to blame the WR group for not coming through on the final drive. -
Thanks bud, never heard this style. Sounds like a lot of work to track, but it’s interesting. Keep me in mind next year, I’d try it out
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No only you, everyone else was paid in Hawk Tuah crypto coins
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Never heard of this style, interested in how it works. Can you explain it?
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Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
Well, that is fair. But with our defense the way its been, you better have a 2 score lead when the Chiefs have the ball late in the 4th because Mahomes is the only QB in NFL history to have a 100% success rate to tie or take the game winning lead at the end of the 4th. No other QB even has a 50% success rate, Mahomes has a perfect 100% while also having the most chances, still 100% success rate. So lets say Allen and the Bills scored 1 more TD against the Chiefs...Bills would have been up 4 instead down 3. You really think our defense doesn't give up the game winning TD to Mahomes if there is any time left on the clock? What is easier...making just one more defensive play (which would have won all 3 of our last Chief playoff losses) to force a punt instead of the eventual score...or asking Allen and the 16th best offense in history to now score 2 more times a game just to have enough of a lead that our D doesn't blow it to KC like it did in 2022 when it gave up 2 TD's and a FG when there was under 2 minutes left in the game. For me...go get a game wrecker whose talent trumps scheme that is capable of just doing enough on 1 more play that forces a punt instead of allowing another 3rd down conversion that resulted in another scoring drive. That is much easier than trying to take make the offense the #1 offense in NFL history and asking Allen to be perfect all the time. -
Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
First, lets be fair here...the Bills had the refs swing the game by a minimum of 11 points, possibly by 15 points in a game we lost by 3 midway through the 4th quarter. To put the Chiefs loss on the WR position is not fair at all, a game we still scored 29 despite the stolen possession by the refs...and against a team who had not scored 30 all year. And on our final series of downs, Allen had a ball knocked down to a wide open WR at the LOS, Allen missed seeing a wide open Shakir on 4th for a sure first down, and most importantly it was Allen who incorrectly shifted the coverage to the left on the 4th and 5 play that caused Allen to throw a hero ball...and to Kincaid who was also running totally wide open for a massive gain had he not shifted the coverage wrong and had time to throw a proper ball. So to put it on the WR position on the last drive is not reflective of the actual game in any capacity. Most importantly...when your defense gives up the most points in NFL history in their post season losses, you are making your QB have to be perfect. You want to be mad about the position Allen is being put in, that is where your frustration should be placed. Meanwhile, Mahomes with his 3 most underwhelming offenses of his career went to 3 straight SB's winning 2...why because his team didn't require him to always be perfect to win games, the defense gives him help as well as ST. So who did we miss on in the draft that was realistic to be chosen with our pick? It definitely wasn't Worthy who at no time was the type of WR we needed. Ladd was there, and check my history, I loved Ladd ahead of the draft and said him and BTJ were the 2 clear next best WR's outside the top 3. But, he also the kind of WR he projected to be felt more like a redundancy once we signed Samuel and already had Shakir. Bills needed more size and outside help. The only real mistake in the draft at the WR position was not trying to trade up for BTJ when he fell close enough. That was my target, I thought if he got in the 20's we should move up and would move up. I get why Beane was trying to move down rather than up to get more picks with our cap hits and so much turnover getting rid of age on the roster, so I don't have an issue with not moving up. But of all the gettable WR's, that was the only "miss", not trying to get him. Here is the most damning stat to the "but its the WR's" argument...The Chiefs are now 4-0 against the Bills in the postseason, but just 1-3 in games after eliminating the Bills in the post season. Chiefs PPG in their 4 wins against the Bills: 35 PPG Chiefs PPG in their 3 losses the game after beating the Bills: 17 PPG To even think for a second that offense is the root of our problems is absolutely wild to me. -
Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
You can’t forgive Beane for delivering the 16th greatest offense in NFL history, Allen’s first MVP, multiple NFL offensive records as a team and individual all in 2024? You can’t forgive Beane for putting together the highest scoring team in the entire NFL over the past 5 seasons? Meanwhile you seem cool with 33 PPG our defense has surrendered (worst in NFL all time) in our 5 playoff losses the past 5 years because you never ever advocate for getting better there and instead insist our highest scoring offense is the problem. I honestly cannot fathom how you can think the issue is the offense and not the defense. -
All they have is an extra 3rd and extra 6th this year...they don't have that much extra capital.
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Exactly why the Browns will not be taking any players back if they trade Garrett. They got 2 years of tanking in front of them due to the cap. By the time they will be competitive even in their own division again Garrett will be on his last legs. So I think he gets traded and it will be only for picks.
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Anyone on the Bills you think could be traded?
Alphadawg7 replied to KentuckyBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
We have a lot of extra picks this year still, he doesn't "need" to get that 3rd back. Last year our team has cap issues with $31M in dead cap from Diggs alone, and then we shed a lot of players due to age and cap, he needed a lot of picks to help fill a lot of holes. This year is not the same situation, we don't have a ton of holes and we already have extra picks. He won't feel the pressure to get a 3rd back, so he doesn't need to move someone like Kincaid just to get it back. He could still of course, just saying its a very different situation than last year. -
If we can afford to make it work depending on how much he is looking for, I would be on board with Higgins. Previously I was not interested in him last year when people talked about trading for him because I was worried he would not be suited to be a lead WR. But now seeing this offense this season and how we don't need to have a lead "diggs like" WR, I think Higgins would both fit in really well and solve what we need.
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Anyone on the Bills you think could be traded?
Alphadawg7 replied to KentuckyBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Hahahaha you better duck -
This is where I am at too...Get Garrett (or Crosby) first and foremost. Then on DK, I would throw out a 2nd and one of our 4ths/5ths and see if Seattle bites. If we don't find that WR in trade or FA, then I think you turn your attention to signing a CB like DJ Reed as another poster proposed in a thread, or maybe at S with Holland and then go be aggressive in the draft at WR and beef in the middle of the DL.
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Anyone on the Bills you think could be traded?
Alphadawg7 replied to KentuckyBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Don't get me wrong, I would trade Kincaid for sure in a package for DK. But Seattle would need to want him and want to pair him with Fant, which is possible, but I still think thats probably not gonna be the case. And of course Raiders and Browns definitely aren't interested in Kincaid if they move Crosby or Garrett when they have stud TE's and can get multiple premium picks for their elite pass rushers. So that is where I am at...where does Kincaid trade makes sense? The big scenarios most proposed about the Bills don't really seem to make sense for Kincaid to be in the packages for said players. What did Beane say about Kincaid? I have been so busy, I missed that. -
No offense, noboby is offering 3 first round picks...and zero chance Cleveland says not to 3 first round picks if someone did. Of course Cle is saying they aren't trading him, they want to drive the price up. But Cleveland knows they won't be competitive for at least 2 full seasons, and even then, not highly competitive. The franchise killing Watson deal means they cant even begin to turn the corner for another 2 seasons thanks to cap issues its going to cause by moving on from him. Garrett will be 31 by then and they will still be in a division with Lamar and Burrow. Browns are stupid...but I can't imagine they are so stupid that they would pass up on their best chance to reset the table for their future and hold on to a guy that is only going to hurt their rebuild (if he helps them win games when they should be tanking) and be on the downside of his career at the earliest possible time they can become competitive again. Then again they are the Browns...but I think it is highly likely Garrett gets traded.
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Anyone on the Bills you think could be traded?
Alphadawg7 replied to KentuckyBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I was adamant about not drafting a TE that year after paying Knox, but, if they were going to then Kincaid at least made sense as more of a receiving weapon. And I do know for a fact they called the Chargers trying to trade up higher which the belief was they were after Addison, but Chargers had no interest in trading their pick. But, I think Knox is a good starting TE and a complete TE. He had 15 TD's despite his low target volume the 2 years prior to drafting Kincaid. Knox vs Kincaid: - Spread the ball, everybody eats offense, Knox is fully capable of being a starting TE. - Feature the TE as a primary pass catcher, then I think you stick with Kincaid who has more upside in that role. And seems we are going to remain an "everybody eats" type team after the record setting and MVP season we had this year on our way to the 16th best offense in NFL history. So, that would make trading Kincaid something to consider if the right package was there. That being said, I think it is really doubtful he gets traded based on the reasons below: We have a lot of extra draft picks already, we don't "need" more picks We don't have a ton of big holes this year, maybe the fewest in the Allen era with most the important people returning Kincaid is on a rookie deal, so trading him isn't some massive cap savings. We are coming off a season with a historic offense and an MVP for Allen, doubt they are thinking about taking away from it rather than just looking to add a downfield threat. Kincaid played hurt a lot of the season and dealt with nagging knee issues, they likely aren't looking at him as if he underperformed or is expendable. I have a hard time seeing Beane trade him for picks, we don't "need" them, especially since Kincaid is a cost effective weapon on a rookie deal. So what else is out there? I mean Bills chatter seems mostly centered around 3 potential big trades in Crosby, Garrett, or DK (none of which are even confirmed available). Raiders have no interest in another TE, and Browns are not likely going to want players back if they trade Garett, so neither makes any sense there. That leaves just DK really (Kupp and Deebo make no sense for us as they don't bring what we need at the WR position, which is outside deep threat), and that would still need to assume Seattle wanted him and Beane was willing to include him. IMHO, I think there is almost no chance Kincaid gets moved. Not impossible by any means, and not saying I wouldn't. Just saying I would be surprised if it actually happened for those reasons above. -
What people are missing here is that is highly unlikely the Browns are trading Garrett and taking back players and salary. Their cap is a disaster over the disaster that is Watson. If...and its still a big if given Cleveland has so far said they aren't interested in trading Garrett (although I think they will)...they trade him, its going to be for picks only and for the future. They aren't gonna try and win games this year...its all about shedding the franchise crushing Watson, taking their cap lumps on the chin, and moving on for a brighter future that Garrett will be on the downside of his career before they could possibly contend again in that loaded division. Offer this years 1st and next years 1st to Cleveland, and they may just bite. And with a team this close, you pull that trigger all day long if you are the Bills and take your shot. We are loaded with extra draft capital and have the fewest glaring holes we have had in the Allen era. We can make that trade and still have plenty of ammo to do what we need to do in FA, draft, or even another trade for another key available player to shore up other weak spots and even make some nice upgrades.
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Let me put it this way...there wasn't even a moment in the game where my squares were like close. Per usual. Still 0 for forever for me lmao.
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First...thank you to the Eagles for finally beating the Refs! As far as my pool goes, TSW came in with quite the showing! 12 TSW peeps entered, total of 19 squares, and 4 won for a combined 30% of the pot! Congrats to: @Just Jack - $1000 @Offside Number 76 - $1000 @34-78-83 - $500 @Herc11 - $500 Biggest winner of the game was a friend of mine who had the terrible numbers of Chiefs 2, Eagles 0 as his square hit twice late for $1000 and it held for the final score to win the remaining $1500 left over totaling $2500. His brother Dave also had his own square hit 3 times for a $1500 win for the 2nd most of the game. Lucky bastards... I still won nothing keeping my perfect streak of never winning a single square in the 12+ years I have been doing this lmao. I had 4 squares, 3 of which had an 8 or a 5 in the score combo lmao. I also once again picked a winner for someone else, which I have done probably 15-20 times now but never picked my own winner lol.
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Xavier Worthy: So far, not much more than a gadget guy
Alphadawg7 replied to Logic's topic in The Stadium Wall
That is why you need to go get a talent like Garrett or Crosby who are game wreckers whose talent trumps scheme. We don't need to dismantle the Chiefs to get by them like the Eagles did, we need to get off the field one more time a game instead of a scoring drive becuase Allen and the offense will always keep scoring a ton of points.