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Around the NFL Week 11


26CornerBlitz

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1 minute ago, mannc said:

If your percentages are correct, then there’s absolutely no reason to prefer a kick over a 2-point attempt.  And your odds ignore the facts that (1) the kicker already missed a short FG and an extra point and (2) Cam Newton’s 2-point conversion percentage should be considerably better than 47%. The play call was poor, but that’s a different issue.

 

And your “momentum” argument is silly.  It’s absolutely meaningless, especially in that situation.

 

Mike Schopp is that you?

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28 minutes ago, mannc said:

If your percentages are correct, then there’s absolutely no reason to prefer a kick over a 2-point attempt.  And your odds ignore the facts that (1) the kicker already missed a short FG and an extra point and (2) Cam Newton’s 2-point conversion percentage should be considerably better than 47%. The play call was poor, but that’s a different issue.

 

And your “momentum” argument is silly.  It’s absolutely meaningless, especially in that situation.

It was a stupid call regardless that a seasoned kicker (Gano) missed a FG and extra point earlier, whom has been money all year. The panthers historic 2pt success rate is now 40%.

AS a coach you have to put you team in position for the best chance to win and this was not it. How can you sit here and support it after they just lost because of it?  The Panthers put up 2 TD's in the last 10min of 4th QTR to possibly tie the game. Team momentum isn't "silly" either., they were playing their best ball all day in the 4th, you ride that *****. 

 

The Panthers now cling to the 6th seed with 7th, 8th and NO twice on the schedule still.

 

The play call was a moronic before hindsight based on percentages and will most likely cost them the playoffs and RR his job at season end.  You kick the damn extra point to tie the game and go into OT.  

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28 minutes ago, Real McCoy said:

It was a stupid call regardless that a seasoned kicker (Gano) missed a FG and extra point earlier, whom has been money all year. The panthers historic 2pt success rate is now 40%.

AS a coach you have to put you team in position for the best chance to win and this was not it. How can you sit here and support it after they just lost because of it?  The Panthers put up 2 TD's in the last 10min of 4th QTR to possibly tie the game. Team momentum isn't "silly" either., they were playing their best ball all day in the 4th, you ride that *****. 

 

The Panthers now cling to the 6th seed with 7th, 8th and NO twice on the schedule still.

 

The play call was a moronic before hindsight based on percentages and will most likely cost them the playoffs and RR his job at season end.  You kick the damn extra point to tie the game and go into OT.  

Wait, you just changed the numbers.  You said 47% chance of making the deuce and 94% chance of making the kick (ignoring Gano’s two awful misses earlier in the game).

 

And if momentum is so important, why doesn’t the Panthers’ momentum (from just having put up those two TDS) give them a better shot at converting the two-pointer??? Or does momentum only matter in OT?

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27 minutes ago, Real McCoy said:

The play call was a moronic before hindsight based on percentages and will most likely cost them the playoffs and RR his job at season end.  You kick the damn extra point to tie the game and go into OT.  

 

No way Ron Rivera gets fired this offseason. 

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1 minute ago, mannc said:

Wait, you just changed the numbers.  You said 47% chance of making the deuce and 96% chance of making the kick (ignoring Gano’s two awful misses earlier in the game).

 

And if momentum is so important, why doesn’t the Panthers’ momentum (from just having put up those two TDS) give them a better shot at converting the two-pointer??? Or does momentum only matter in OT?

 

Newton had a wide open receiver. There was no excuse for him to miss the throw. 

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2 minutes ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

Newton had a wide open receiver. There was no excuse for him to miss the throw. 

I could not tell from the angle I saw.  It looked like he could have walked it in, too.

1 minute ago, Joe in Winslow said:

 

Oh I see. So any position that disagrees with your schoopist “Analytics “ perspective isn’t “logic.”

 

 

I backed up my point with logic.  You didn’t.

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