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Week 4: Packers Game Preparation - Inactives Announced

26CornerBlitz

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stevewin
stevewin

I'm just happy to be still playing meaningful games in September

CommonCents
CommonCents

Packers aren’t ready for the freak. Rest Arod and kick your wounds from Alex Smith. Y’all toast. Allen has a group of WRs from the local YMCA and he is going to kill it. Bills 24 Packers 14.   

transient
transient

I think they should just let Matthews sack Allen on every play for the free 15 yds. 

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  • 26CornerBlitz changed the title to Week 4: Packers Game Preparation - McCoy, Clay, Croom, & Marcus Murphy Questionable for Sunday
sleeby RFA

sleeby

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The bills will win this Sunday.  I say this only as a 40+ year fan.  Just as by the early 90s we had learned never to give up hope as 2:00 csn mean 20 points for us, the modern era has taught me that the bills are not going to let us down so easily after last week - they will win again and look great, get hopes up up high and then fail hard against the lowly titans.  Ha.  

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  • 26CornerBlitz changed the title to Week 4: Packers Game Preparation - McCoy, Clay, Croom, & Marcus Murphy Questionable for Sunday; Graham & Bulaga Will Play
26CornerBlitz Hall of Famer

26CornerBlitz

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Week 4 NFL score predictions: A guide to best games, more

 

 
Point spread: GB -10 | Matchup quality: 40.1 (of 100)
 
Mike Rodak's pick: Opponents have posted a Total QBR of 50.0 or better in seven of 10 road games for the Bills under coach Sean McDermott. In his career at home, Aaron Rodgers is 49-6-1 when he posts a Total QBR of 50.0 or better. It would be an upset if Buffalo can make Rodgers look like a below-average quarterback, and also if Rodgers loses at home playing average or above average. Packers 28, Bills 21.
 
Rob Demovsky's pick: How will a roughing-the-passer call affect this game? That seems to be on everyone's mind around the Packers. They lead the NFL with five such penalties through three weeks, but at least Sunday's referee, Bill Vinovich, has only called two so far. Maybe the Packers will get away clean for a change and enjoy an easy win. Packers 31, Bills 23.
 
FPI win projection: GB, 76 percent. No team had a bigger improvement in its FPI after last week than the Bills. FPI raised its estimation of the Bills by four points, one of the biggest one-week improvements independent of QB change in the metric's history.
 
What to watch for in fantasy: Josh Allen ranked 17th overall with a 21 OFP in Week 3. He had 28 fantasy points and now has to be taken even more seriously as a potential fantasy option.
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26CornerBlitz Hall of Famer

26CornerBlitz

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A review of officiating data, via ESPN Stats & Information's database, reveals that four referees have called 53 percent of this season's roughing the passer penalties. As the chart below shows, more than half of the remaining referees have called one or none of these penalties.
 
Roughing The Passer Penalties By Crew
 
REFEREE ROUGING QB
 
FLAGS
WEEK 4
 
ASSIGNMENT
Morelli, Peter 6 Saints at Giants
Cheffers, Carl 5 Texans at Colts
Anderson, Walt 4 Browns at Raiders
Parry, John 3 BYE
Corrente, Tony 2 Ravens at Steelers
Hussey, John 2 Seahawks at Cardinals
Martin, Clay 2 Jets at Jaguars
Vinovich, Bill 2 Bills at Packers
Wrolstad, Craig 2 Chiefs at Broncos
Allen, Brad 1 Vikings at Rams
Blakeman, Clete 1 BYE
Hochuli, Shawn 1 Eagles at Titans
Kemp, Alex 1 Dolphins at Patriots
Smith, Shawn 1 Bengals at Falcons
Torbert, Ronald 1 49ers at Chargers
Coleman, Walt 0 Lions at Cowboys
Boger, Jerome 0 Buccaneers at Bears
Source: ESPN
Stats & Information
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Gate To Wire Probation

Gate To Wire

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Didnt think this warranted its own thread but felt compelled to post after last week's map fiasco.

 

Arrived at the Milwaukee airport tonight wearing a Bills hat. Entering the baggage claim, the security guard looks me and with a straight face says "Welcome to Minneapolis."

 

Well done sir!

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26CornerBlitz Hall of Famer

26CornerBlitz

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Buffalo opened as a 10.5-point underdog earlier in the week, but Las Vegas has shifted the line slightly to its current 9.5-point line, according to Odds Shark. Betting patterns have moved the line in Buffalo’s favor, as some may think the Bills can repeat their performance from Week 3, a monumental upset of the Minnesota Vikings. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is nursing a knee injury, which has limited his mobility and slightly limited his productivity. Thus, the Packers offense may not have the explosive plays that we are accustomed to seeing from Rodgers and company.
 
The consensus over/under line is set at 44.5 total points. The Packers offense is averaging 23.3 points per game, while their defense is allowing an average of 27.7 points per contest. Buffalo, for their part, are only averaging 16.7 points on offense while allowing an average of 28 points per game.
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Logic All Pro

Logic

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From Andy Benoit, via MMQB.com:

BILLS AT PACKERS

This is a tough road mission for Bills rookie quarterback Josh Allen. His receivers don’t match up well to Green Bay’s zealous man coverage, and many of those man coverages have hybrid elements that put zone defenders inside. When Allen’s reads are perfectly clear, he displays his awesome arm talent and even a little of the nuanced body language to manipulate zone defenders. But when the reads aren’t clear, Allen looks like a deer in headlights. With Green Bay’s scheme, a QB’s reads are often unclear.

 

 

 

I have to agree with Mr Benoit here. I think this is going to be a "crashing back down to earth" week for Allen. He will struggle against Pettine's highly varied and cleverly disguised defense. I expect the Bills to lose this one, drop to 1-3, then win the next to games against TEN and HOU to reach 3-3.

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26CornerBlitz Hall of Famer

26CornerBlitz

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19 minutes ago, Logic said:

From Andy Benoit, via MMQB.com:

BILLS AT PACKERS

This is a tough road mission for Bills rookie quarterback Josh Allen. His receivers don’t match up well to Green Bay’s zealous man coverage, and many of those man coverages have hybrid elements that put zone defenders inside. When Allen’s reads are perfectly clear, he displays his awesome arm talent and even a little of the nuanced body language to manipulate zone defenders. But when the reads aren’t clear, Allen looks like a deer in headlights. With Green Bay’s scheme, a QB’s reads are often unclear.

 

I have to agree with Mr Benoit here. I think this is going to be a "crashing back down to earth" week for Allen. He will struggle against Pettine's highly varied and cleverly disguised defense. I expect the Bills to lose this one, drop to 1-3, then win the next to games against TEN and HOU to reach 3-3.

 

Pettine's defense is very much susceptible to the run and the Bills will try to expoit them in that regard with success I predict. 

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Philo RFA

Philo

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I would like to see a healthy does of both McCoy and Ivory. Sprinkle in some Murphy too, just get everyone involved and run right at them. Take the pressure off Josh to constantly make plays against the blitz. He will still need to hit a few passes downfield to keep the defense honest though.

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26CornerBlitz Hall of Famer

26CornerBlitz

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Who matters most in Week 4: Baker Mayfield boosting Browns

 

Jerry Hughes and Tre'Davious White: Buffalo's defense is littered with dudes. Guys who march from week to week without much fanfare and completely unattached to national ad campaigns or adulatory spotlights. No matter. This soup of Western New York-based bros made it happen last week against the Vikings, turning a fawned-over Kirk Cousins-led offense into a dazed, thousand-yard-stare operation with no sign of a pulse. Hughes led the way with one sack, two quarterback hits and -- not kidding here -- 10 hurries. Wild stuff. White was splendid in coverage, helping to keep Minnesota's star-studded crop of receivers at bay while forcing Cousins into a pivotal second-half pick. Seen as a roving corpse this time last week, the Bills have a chance -- if they can nip the Packers -- to confirm one item many have suspected all along: Football experts know literally nothing at all.

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Boatdrinks Hall of Famer

Boatdrinks

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8 hours ago, Royale with Cheese said:

One inch of rain expected.  Not sure if that’s an advantage for us or not.

It certainly wasn’t @ BAL. Sloppy conditions can lead to turnovers, and the Bills need to play turnover free football more than the Packers do. 

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Hapless Bills Fan Hall of Famer

Hapless Bills Fan

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4 hours ago, Logic said:

I have to agree with Mr Benoit here. I think this is going to be a "crashing back down to earth" week for Allen. He will struggle against Pettine's highly varied and cleverly disguised defense. I expect the Bills to lose this one, drop to 1-3, then win the next to games against TEN and HOU to reach 3-3.

 

The real contest here isn't Allen vs Pettine, it's Daboll vs. Pettine.  Pettine's D has weaknesses against the run, where the Pack are currently #26.

The Bills currently aren't strong rushing, but that number may be skewed by the horrid Ravens game and the huge early lead we spotted the Chargers, pushing us to pass.

 

Last week's game was better with 128 yds, and a still greater number of yards contributed by short, quick passes to the RBs (well, and then Ivory...)

 

Will Daboll scheme effectively to run on Pettine and craft a passing game Allen can manage against disguised coverage?

Or will this be "Ravens Part II"?

 

Tune in Sunday

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MILFHUNTER#518 Veteran

MILFHUNTER#518

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4 hours ago, 26CornerBlitz said:

 

Pettine's defense is very much susceptible to the run and the Bills will try to expoit them in that regard with success I predict. 

His defense is also missing key pieces in the secondary. Mike is an awesome d Coordinator, but he is missing key personnel to effectively run his system

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Logic All Pro

Logic

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17 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

 

The real contest here isn't Allen vs Pettine, it's Daboll vs. Pettine.  Pettine's D has weaknesses against the run, where the Pack are currently #26.

The Bills currently aren't strong rushing, but that number may be skewed by the horrid Ravens game and the huge early lead we spotted the Chargers, pushing us to pass.

 

Last week's game was better with 128 yds, and a still greater number of yards contributed by short, quick passes to the RBs (well, and then Ivory...)

 

Will Daboll scheme effectively to run on Pettine and craft a passing game Allen can manage against disguised coverage?

Or will this be "Ravens Part II"?

 

Tune in Sunday


With all due respect to your well-reasoned response, I disagree. It IS important that Daboll comes up with a good gameplan and gets Allen as prepared as possible. At the end of the day, though, It's on Allen to recognize what he's seeing in real time, adjust his protections and hot routes if needed, and then adjust again on the fly while the play is happening. No matter how well prepared Daboll has him, I expect Pettine to draw up some looks that absolutely confound Allen. In these instances, it's okay for him to take sacks or throw the ball away and live to fight another down. The only thing Allen absolutely, positively CANNOT do on Sunday if he wants to give the Bills a chance to win, is throw careless picks of the sort he threw against San Diego.

In my opinion, this game will tell us a lot about the progress of Josh Allen.

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ColoradoBills Hall of Famer

ColoradoBills

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9 minutes ago, Logic said:


With all due respect to your well-reasoned response, I disagree. It IS important that Daboll comes up with a good gameplan and gets Allen as prepared as possible. At the end of the day, though, It's on Allen to recognize what he's seeing in real time, adjust his protections and hot routes if needed, and then adjust again on the fly while the play is happening. No matter how well prepared Daboll has him, I expect Pettine to draw up some looks that absolutely confound Allen. In these instances, it's okay for him to take sacks or throw the ball away and live to fight another down. The only thing Allen absolutely, positively CANNOT do on Sunday if he wants to give the Bills a chance to win, is throw careless picks of the sort he threw against San Diego.

In my opinion, this game will tell us a lot about the progress of Josh Allen.

 

While I agree with you on your bolded point............I got a feeling that we will see a lot of those situations this year with Allen.

He seems like the kind of guy who is going to push the limits on his play.  I just hope in the long run he learns what he can and can't do

in the NFL.

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