Jump to content

what we really gave up for losman


dave mcbride

Recommended Posts

just to set people straight, we did NOTt give up a first, a second, and a fifth round pick for losman - we gave up a 2nd and a fifth. we also swapped our first rounder in 05 for dallas' first rounder in 04. spelled another way, both teams ended up with the same number of first round draft picks in 2004 and 2005 -- 2. (our pick in 05 will be a hair higher than dallas' in 04, but factor in that for a trade made in 04, a first rounder in 04 is worth more than a 1st rounder in 05 (using the draft pick point system that pretty much every team abides by)).

 

again, we gave u a 2 and 5 to get him, not a 1.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thank you...and we got the first rounder in a strong draft, Dallas got our first rounder in a weak draft.

241715[/snapback]

which the bills apparently knew - a lot of people last year knocked the qb talent in this year's draft, and judging from what i've read, that prediction appears to be panning out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thank you...and we got the first rounder in a strong draft, Dallas got our first rounder in a weak draft.

241715[/snapback]

which the bills apparently knew - a lot of people last year knocked the qb talent in this year's draft, and judging from what i've read, that prediction appears to be panning out.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

just to set people straight, we did NOTt give up a first, a second, and a fifth round pick for losman - we gave up a 2nd and a fifth. we also swapped our first rounder in 05 for dallas' first rounder in 04.  spelled another way, both teams ended up with the same number of first round draft picks in 2004 and 2005 -- 2.  (our pick in 05 will be a hair higher than dallas' in 04, but factor in that for a trade made in 04, a first rounder in 04 is worth more than a 1st rounder in 05 (using the draft pick point system that pretty much every team abides by)). 

 

again, we gave u a 2 and 5 to get him, not a 1.

241705[/snapback]

 

Agreed! The trade got us great value for JP. i think we got a far better QB with our 2005 1st rounder than we would have gotten if we didn't make the deal and we got a year of traing as a pro the 2005 pick wouldn't have gotten if we had held the pick.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

just to set people straight, we did NOTt give up a first, a second, and a fifth round pick for losman - we gave up a 2nd and a fifth. we also swapped our first rounder in 05 for dallas' first rounder in 04.  spelled another way, both teams ended up with the same number of first round draft picks in 2004 and 2005 -- 2.  (our pick in 05 will be a hair higher than dallas' in 04, but factor in that for a trade made in 04, a first rounder in 04 is worth more than a 1st rounder in 05 (using the draft pick point system that pretty much every team abides by)). 

 

again, we gave u a 2 and 5 to get him, not a 1.

241705[/snapback]

 

How many spots did we lose in the first round? I thought it was 7, but someone said it was only 2.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

just to set people straight, we did NOTt give up a first, a second, and a fifth round pick for losman - we gave up a 2nd and a fifth. we also swapped our first rounder in 05 for dallas' first rounder in 04.  spelled another way, both teams ended up with the same number of first round draft picks in 2004 and 2005 -- 2.  (our pick in 05 will be a hair higher than dallas' in 04, but factor in that for a trade made in 04, a first rounder in 04 is worth more than a 1st rounder in 05 (using the draft pick point system that pretty much every team abides by)). 

 

again, we gave u a 2 and 5 to get him, not a 1.

241705[/snapback]

 

thank you dave. i preached this after the draft last year. it's amazing how many people can't comprehend it.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Typically teams use a draft pick value chart when figuring trade value.

 

If you go to the draft pick value chart, each pick is worth so many points. Typically they tell you that a pick in the following years draft is worth the same as the current years pick minus one round. Therefore the Bills gave up a first rounder in 05 one year ago. which turns out to be the 20th pick Since they gave it up a year in advance ,you'd use the value of the 20th pick in round 2 or 380 points. They also gave up the 14th pick in the 2nd and 5th round, each worth 440 and 35 points respectively. That totals 855 points. In turn they got Dallas 22nd pick in the first rount which was worth 780 points.

 

So they lost 75 draft points. Considering the Bills were asking for the trade, the only way the other team is going to agree is is they get something positive in return, therefore 75 draft points isn't too bad for either team. Infact 75 points is about equal to ironically the 14th pick in the 4th round. So if you look at what the Bills gave up to make the trade, they lost the value of one mid fourth round pick.

 

I'd be willing to bet that Dallas thought Buffalo's pick was going to be alot higher than it turned out. In fact if The Bills had won the last game and made the playoffs, I know at least St Louis and Seattle would have picked higher and I think one other team. Hence the Bills would have had the 25th pick which was worth 50 points less.

 

All in all I think the trade was pretty even for both teams, considering the Bill's were the team pushing for the trade.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Typically teams use a draft pick value chart when figuring trade value.

 

If you go to the draft pick value chart, each pick is worth so many points.  Typically they tell you that a pick in the following years draft is worth the same as the current years pick minus one round.  Therefore  the Bills gave up a first rounder in 05 one year ago. which turns out to be the 20th pick  Since they gave it up a year in advance ,you'd use the value of the 20th pick in round 2 or 380 points.  They also gave up the 14th pick in the 2nd and 5th round, each worth 440 and 35 points respectively.  That totals 855 points.  In turn they got Dallas 22nd pick in the first rount which was worth 780 points. 

 

So they lost 75 draft points.  Considering the Bills were asking for the trade, the only way the other team is going to agree is is they get something positive in return, therefore 75 draft points isn't too bad for either team.  Infact 75 points is about equal to ironically the 14th pick in the 4th round.  So if you look at what the Bills gave up to make the trade, they lost the value of one mid fourth round pick.

 

I'd be willing to bet that Dallas thought Buffalo's pick was going to be alot higher than it turned out.  In fact if The Bills had won the last game and made the playoffs, I know at least St Louis and Seattle would have picked higher and I think one other team.  Hence the Bills would have had the 25th pick which was worth 50 points less.

 

All in all I think the trade was pretty even for both teams, considering the Bill's were the team pushing for the trade.

242056[/snapback]

excellent post! thanks.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Typically teams use a draft pick value chart when figuring trade value.

 

If you go to the draft pick value chart, each pick is worth so many points.  Typically they tell you that a pick in the following years draft is worth the same as the current years pick minus one round.  Therefore  the Bills gave up a first rounder in 05 one year ago. which turns out to be the 20th pick  Since they gave it up a year in advance ,you'd use the value of the 20th pick in round 2 or 380 points.  They also gave up the 14th pick in the 2nd and 5th round, each worth 440 and 35 points respectively.  That totals 855 points.  In turn they got Dallas 22nd pick in the first rount which was worth 780 points. 

 

So they lost 75 draft points.  Considering the Bills were asking for the trade, the only way the other team is going to agree is is they get something positive in return, therefore 75 draft points isn't too bad for either team.  Infact 75 points is about equal to ironically the 14th pick in the 4th round.  So if you look at what the Bills gave up to make the trade, they lost the value of one mid fourth round pick.

 

I'd be willing to bet that Dallas thought Buffalo's pick was going to be alot higher than it turned out.  In fact if The Bills had won the last game and made the playoffs, I know at least St Louis and Seattle would have picked higher and I think one other team.  Hence the Bills would have had the 25th pick which was worth 50 points less.

 

All in all I think the trade was pretty even for both teams, considering the Bill's were the team pushing for the trade.

242056[/snapback]

Add to that the fact that it gives us the money we'd be spending on an unproven rookie first rounder to use in free agency, and it's an even bigger win.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's all about semantics, isn't it?

 

After all, there is a subtle difference in saying that we "gave up" picks vs that we "invested" draft picks. With that said, it is a true statement that we INVESTED a 1st round, a 2nd round, and 5th round draft pick on JP -- just like we invested a 1st and a 4th round pick on RJ back in 1998. Let's hope our investment works out better this time.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

just to set people straight, we did NOTt give up a first, a second, and a fifth round pick for losman - we gave up a 2nd and a fifth. we also swapped our first rounder in 05 for dallas' first rounder in 04.  spelled another way, both teams ended up with the same number of first round draft picks in 2004 and 2005 -- 2.  (our pick in 05 will be a hair higher than dallas' in 04, but factor in that for a trade made in 04, a first rounder in 04 is worth more than a 1st rounder in 05 (using the draft pick point system that pretty much every team abides by)). 

 

again, we gave u a 2 and 5 to get him, not a 1.

241705[/snapback]

 

When you break it down, it comes out like this:

 

The Bills gave up a 2nd and 5th rounder in order to get a year's head start for Losman. This has also afforded them the opportunity to save money by 86ing Bledsoe. With the money saved, they should be able to buy FAs at least equal to the two draft choices lost last year. I don't know much about this year's QB class, but I wonder if Losman would have been one of the top 2 or 3 taken.

 

Only Losman's preformance will determine whether this was a good deal, but on paper, it looks like the Bills made a good trade.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

What we gave up... is correct, our 2nd and 5th round pick... If you were looking in terms of trading for Bledsoe - we gave up a 1st for him... because he was a vet and we weren't getting a "draft pick" which we used for a player...

 

Now, could someone picked with those 2nd & 5th round picks have helped us THIS year? I don't want to go there... Maybe someone with a better crystal ball can answer that question.

 

But that's what we gave up, and I agree that we gained a lot by having the rookie QB for a year (even injured and mostly holding a clipboard). When you factor in that '05 is a weak draft... it makes even more sense.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

×
×
  • Create New...