CodeMonkey Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 (edited) CBS with Spread (Bills +2.5) : 6 take the Bengals and 2 take the Bills. (http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/against-the-spread/6)CBS Straight Up: 7 take the Bengals and 1 took the Bills.(http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks/straight-up/6)ESPN: 12 picking the Bengals and 1 picked the Bills. (http://espn.go.com/nfl/picks)Microsoft Cortana (Went 10-4 in week 5): Bengals 52% chance to win. (http://www.cortanapredictions.com/)FiveThirtyEight: (Went 12-2 in week 5): Bengals 53% chance to win. (http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/) Amos: (Went 10-4 in week 5) Bills 55% chance to win. (http://trevorbischoff.com/nfl-2015-week-6-predictions/) FiveThirtyEight predicts a 9-7 record for the Bills this season with a 45% (up from 38%) chance of making the playoffs and a 1% (unchanged) chance of winning it all. Amos predicts a 10-6 record for the Bills this season. SportsClubStats (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/NFL/AFC/AFCEast/Buffalo.html) predicts a record of 9-7 with a 53% chance of making the playoffs. Edited October 16, 2015 by CodeMonkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 12-2 is pretty impressive. What is their season record? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 13, 2015 Author Share Posted October 13, 2015 This graph shows how several of them are doing this season so far. I would expect the models to get better as the season goes on because every week gives them more data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John from Riverside Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 No piggybacking on my season prediction Amos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atlbillsfan1975 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 (edited) This game is going to be close. A lot will depend on injuries for the Bills. Was that prediction before or after the news about TT ankle? Edited October 13, 2015 by atlbillsfan1975 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeGOATski Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 This graph shows how several of them are doing this season so far. I would expect the models to get better as the season goes on because every week gives them more data. I've liked the ELO model since I found out about it 2 years ago. I do well when picking games early in the season, but it helps me make picks later in the season when things get murky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 13, 2015 Author Share Posted October 13, 2015 (edited) This game is going to be close. A lot will depend on injuries for the Bills. Was that prediction before or after the news about TT ankle? To my knowledge none of the models take individual players into account. I've liked the ELO model since I found out about it 2 years ago. I do well when picking games early in the season, but it helps me make picks later in the season when things get murky. Plus the later in the season the better it generally does. Edited October 13, 2015 by CodeMonkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 14, 2015 Author Share Posted October 14, 2015 Added CBS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 14, 2015 Author Share Posted October 14, 2015 Added Cortana. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HamSandwhich Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 We are going to get very little as far as picks this week. Especially if EJ starts. No respect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 15, 2015 Author Share Posted October 15, 2015 Added partial ESPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Considering I've gotten 50 games right in my pick 'em league... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Considering I've gotten 50 games right in my pick 'em league... I'm sitting at 50, too. Only had 8 wins last week and I fell out of 1st (overall) for the first time this season. Leader has 52 and I'm now tied for 2nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 I'm sitting at 50, too. Only had 8 wins last week and I fell out of 1st (overall) for the first time this season. Leader has 52 and I'm now tied for 2nd. I'm in first. It's through Yahoo, which drops your worst week. I got mine out of way early, dropping a 5 burger in week two. So I'm in first with 45 points. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hondo in seattle Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 (edited) This graph shows how several of them are doing this season so far. I would expect the models to get better as the season goes on because every week gives them more data. Nate Silver's Elo has been the most accurate model so far and it's saying the Bills have a 47% chance of beating Cincy. A coin flip, more or less. Elo also says the Bills have a 45% chance of making the playoffs. Another coin flip. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/ Nate Silver, if you remember, is the probability/statistics guy who correctly predicted the outcome in 49 of 50 states in the 2008 presidential election and 50 of 50 in the 2012 election. But he first gained fame doing baseball stats. Edited October 15, 2015 by hondo in seattle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Turk Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 I've liked the ELO model since I found out about it 2 years ago. I do well when picking games early in the season, but it helps me make picks later in the season when things get murky. People could have made a lot of money if they followed the ELO model this season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
26CornerBlitz Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Week 6 forecast: Will Falcons keep rolling? Will Matt Ryan's Falcons go to 6-0? Or will Sean Payton's Saints interrupt a disastrous start to the season with a divisional upset? Elliot Harrison picks the winner of every game on the Week 6 slate. 24 17 Will this be the week Cincinnati falls? No. The key to attacking the Bengals' front is running the football, something the Bills are having trouble doing sans healthy running backs. Perhaps LeSean McCoy or Karlos Williams will be able to play, but will they be right enough to accelerate? Rex Ryan's defense absolutely must pressure (and contain) Andy Dalton, who has managed to escape effectively when the pocket collapses. He's only been sacked six times in five games. The Cincy offense is averaging 412.4 yards per game, which has the Bengals on pace to out-produce their most explosive offense ever: the 1988 no-huddle offense installed by Sam Wyche and run by NFL MVP Boomer Esiason. #CINvsBUF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gugny Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 ESPN picks are updated. Looks like a CIN sweep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted October 15, 2015 Author Share Posted October 15, 2015 ESPN picks are updated. Looks like a CIN sweep. Thanks. One lazy person on ESPN still to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machine gun kelly Posted October 15, 2015 Share Posted October 15, 2015 Code Monkey - i think it is you who sends this out every week, and just wanted to say thanks. It's nice of you to place this time and preparation into the lines each week. Given i'm not a gambler, I wouldn't ever seek this info., so it is great on TR or F I can look to see what Vegas, and the media are calling. I appreciate it. i know others do as well. Go Bills! Let's hope they are wrong this week. This team looks solid in every phase on offense and defense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts