Albany,n.y.

Real math works a little differently than what you stated. The odds of winning the Super Bowl without regard to talent level is 3.125% (1 out of 32). In 51 Super Bowls the math says each team should have won 1 or 2 of them. The Bills current Super Bowl win % is 0. Their Super Bowl appearance odds are 6.25%. The Bills are just slightly above that, appearing in 7.84% of all Super Bowls. However, 28% of all Super Bowls have been won by a QB who was a former #1 overall pick QB. Considering how many other QBs have been drafted who were not the number 1 overall pick, 28% far exceeds the expected statistical percentage of any given QB winning a Super Bowl. With 32 starters in the NFL, the odds of any given QB starting & winning a Super Bowl each year goes back to the 1 in 32 or 3.125%. To exceed that by more than 5 times shows how powerfully a team with a #1 overall QB increases their chances of fielding a Super Bowl champion.

I've been retired for 7 years now. Petrino just retired last month & 4 of us went down to Newburgh for his retirement party last Friday. I'm down to 1 home game a year-in Petrino's other seat (probably Denver) & a road game-this year it's going to be in LA on 11/19. It's good to see you're recovered & posting again-I kept track when your daughter posted about you.

From a statistical viewpoint, picking #1 greatly increases a teams chances of winning the Super Bowl or even making the Super Bowl down the line. About 28% of all Super Bowls have been won by a QB who was the number 1 pick of the entire draft (It was 30% the last time I ran the numbers, but Brady singlehandedly keeps bringing the number down). It's not just QBs, but they make the point the best. Imagine the Bills Super Bowl teams without Bruce Smith. Would they have been as good? Also, it obviously doesn't hurt the players attitude towards winning to suffer a bad season early in their careers. Guys like Reed, Smith & Talley went from AFC worst to eventually 1st & the reminder of being on the worst team in the NFL helped make them hate losing probably more than guys who have never been on a really bad team. Most of the guys on the bad teams were weeded out, just as most of this year's team won't be around for a Super Bowl. The bottom line is I'll take a 28% of winning the Super Bowl in a few years over the Bills current 0% if the team has to field a bad team with a very tough schedule for 1 more year.

I gave up my seasons in 2012 and cut down to about 2-3 Bills games a year. I now go to OTB on Sundays & watch the non home TV games there-I get a booth with my own TV & can turn the sound up, something I can't do at a sports bar. Lately I've been going to 1 home game and a road game. Last year I went to the opener in Baltimore because it was easier to fly in & out of Baltimore on the day of the game than drive to Buffalo from Albany. This year I'm going to one Bills home game (probably Denver) and the road game in LA vs the Chargers. I'll also go to a Raiders game when I'm out in California the week after the Bills game. At one point I went to every home regular season & playoff game from the middle of the 1990 season until they flexed the 2007 season game vs NE to night & I couldn't make it. After the streak ended I got freed from going to every game. I'm getting too old to do the almost 300 mile drive to & from Orchard Park for every game and I got sick of the long drive home after losing.

Here's a seating chart of season ticket prices. We both bought seats in the $1,350/season section. If one uses 10 games, then the price is set at $135/game. You got your seats at $3 over face-not bad! If you think preseason games are worthless, then the price rises to $168.75/game. http://www.chargers.com/tickets/seating-chart

Judging by how many replies saying the Chargers game & a 30,000 seat stadium it may well be a tough ticket. It scared me enough to buy 3 seats on Stubhub for $158-159 each. I'll be in section 125 row X. I'm staying in Santa Ana close to John Wayne airport & where my friends live so they can pick me up & take me to the game. I'm going to California for Thanksgiving & this game worked out perfectly-start in So. Cal, visit friends then head up to the Bay area for Thanksgiving. I'll probably catch the Raiders/Denver game on the 26th unless my family is boycotting the Raiders. If that's the case the 49ers are also home against the Seahawks, but it's a lot further away than the Raiders.

Thanks. I'll be there. My plane is supposed to get into BWI @ 8:50 AM so then all I have to do is get the light rail from the airport to downtown Baltimore.

I'm not going to the opener in Buffalo, but I'm going to the opener in Baltimore. Is there any tailgate planned in Baltimore?

Since you don't know what started this genius, you're obviosly as stupid as Pearl is. Probably an a-hole too. I'm going to see how many warning points I can get, so Jack-don't bother sending me another warning message because here's my respnse-You and Pearl can go screw yourselves if you're not already doing each other.

Listen A-hole. You're as big an a hole on this board too. Stupider than GW Bush. Oh and if the little twit wants to give me another warning & put in my my record for calling you an a-hole. I don't give a rat's @ss.

The player's union is too strong to ever play a game like this again. As the Captain said, too great a chance of injury to play the game.

After the Maybin fiasco, I think a lot of people around here were scared to death that the Bills would take Miller & he'd end up another Maybin. That big sigh of relief you heard on draft day was when Denver took Miller instead of Darius the day of the draft.

Typically, I stay until the end or the kneel downs start, whichever comes 1st. It's hard to tell what the post game exiting is like yet, because all the games have been abberations. Usually, the game isn't on the line going into the last play, all 3 games went down to the wire. As a result, we have not seen the normal exit around the 2 minute mark, and the subsequent exit between the 2 minute warning & the end of the game. What this means for me is that when the game ends like the ones this season, I can get to my car & reach the 219 to the Thruway east before the Thruway gets all jammed up going east. This means I can go (at least) the speed limit to the Depew toll booths, getting me out of the Buffalo area in 15-20 minutes. Otherwise, knowing the Thruway will be all jammed up, I end up just going Southwestern/Transit all the way to the Transit Road exit in Depew. With stadium traffic, that's 45 minutes to an hour. Sometimes I just give up & eat dinner on Transit before getting on the Thruway. For the record, I've driven to 2 of the games & got a ride to other one. This year I've parked on California. The 2 times (Phil & Oak) I've beat most of the traffic to the Thruway. For the NE game, we stayed overnight in Buffalo, stayed a few minutes after the game ended & went on local roads to the driver's house & stayed for dinner, But I have to believe if I was driving back that night & did my usual post game ritual of getting to the car ASAP, the Thruway would have been as uncrowded as it was for the other 2 games.

Why not just make it an iron clad lease with no escape clause at any price?

They want to lose out and hope to get LUCKy.

and the best part is that he is quietly putting together an NFL line, as opposed to this guy, who got a lot of camera time while our QB's got constantly harrassed. http://www.google.com/search?q=Carl+Mauck+%2B+NFL+%2Bphoto&hl=en&sa=X&qscrl=1&nord=1&rlz=1T4ADFA_enUS394US394&biw=1145&bih=519&site=webhp&prmd=imvnso&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&ei=vgGTTo3AAYX10gGvoujVCA&ved=0CB4QsAQ

Buh Bye to me. I should never counted on Tarvaris Jackson staying healthy enough to get me through the week with his lousy play. Whitehurst comes in & I'm gone.

Is it legal for you to keep the plate? I would think you are obligated to turn it in to the NYS DMV for destruction.

The C300 is made in South Africa. They can buy one now. I used to joke that I would never buy a Japanese car after WWII while I have driven 2 German made cars & 3 other German engineered cars, including 2 that were built in Pennsylvania before they closed the VW plant.

I just want to know if I get down to N.O., do I get free parking for my Mercedes?

I don't remember Jim Kelly's father ever playing a down in the NFL & that didn't mean Jim wasn't going to be a HOF QB. Archie Manning is about the only father of a future HOF QB who even played in the NFL. This isn't horse racing where the great QBs are retired to stud to produce the next generation of QBs.

I disagree. Ponder is just another prospect, Luck is projected as a once in a generation player. If Minnesota is bad enough to get #1, Frazier might not even be there, but even if he stays, Ponder becomes an afterthought. Here's some history to look at. When the two JJs came to Dallas they spent 2 1st rounders on QBs in the same year. They took Troy Aikman in the regular draft & Steve Walsh in the supplemental draft. They then let things shake out, kept the future HOFer & eventually traded the other guy. Minnesota will have Ponder & Luck in camp next year if they draft #1 and then trade Ponder if the price is right. Here's more history-The year the Jets signed rookie Joe Namath, they also signed Heisman winner John Huarte. Huarte lasted a season & was traded.

We've already lost almost half the entrants in our pool because people have tried to get creative & failed. In prior years I have plotted out the whole season & saved teams and got eliminated because I tried to get creative and ended up kicking myself for my creativity. So now I just try to take the best matchup each week and not worry about future weeks because if I do, I won't make it to the future. I've been eliminated twice on opening day by getting too cute with early season selections. I do look at the whole season, but I don't save a team for the future if it's the surest thing this week. My though now is to look for key injuries as the season progresses & a game that I didn't even consider 3 weeks ago may fall into my lap due to 1 team's injuries. Right now, if I make it that far, I consider week 10 to be very tough and I'm hoping that I have a game fall to me. Otherwise I won't make it past week 10. In the past I've never been able to get by a week that I saw as a landmine, as I do with week 10. Right now my rules are 1)Try to avoid road games 2)Never pick a bad team to win 3)Make sure my QB isn't injured or banged up before the selection. 4)Try not to beat a really good team We lost some people who picked the Eagles this week in spite of Vick being all banged up. Sure it looked good on paper, but playing a banged up QB is never a good idea.

Care to change your opinion now?

His scheduled press conference for today has been cancelled & the Dolphins are now on their bye week, the perfect time for a coaching change. http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2011/10/03/tony-sparano-press-conference-for-monday-canceled/