Low Positive

I'm watching the games and seeing a really great team, but my lifetime of Buffalo Bills fandom won't allow we to believe it. It seems like an illusion.

This! Exactly this. The purpose of pressure on a QB is to force him to hurry his process. He was already in a rush, what with 13 seconds and all.

In tennis, they use cameras on the lines. It's not 100% accurate, but it is more accurate than human line judges which is all it has to be.

Do you believe that if Beene hadn't traded him that Dareus would still be on the BIlls? Because he hasn't played anywhere since 2019.

BTW, here is the rule that the refs called on that Chiefs FG miss: https://operations.nfl.com/the-rules/nfl-video-rulebook/defensive-holding/ It's point b here.

I'm not going to argue that the Chiefs are not a great team, but It wasn't like the Chiefs blew the doors off of them after finding the higher gear. The 1-3 Raiders forced them to punt at the end of the game and had the chance to drive to kick the game winner. They got all the way to the LV 47. If Adams doesn't bobble that ball, the Raiders win that game.

The Bills offense is in a wonderful place if a 26 yard pass qualifies as a check down.

It’s good ‘ole confirmation bias.

Does every NFL team have a DJ at practice? Edit: I’ll answer my own question. Most do. https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/34498524/from-rod-wave-frank-sinatra-how-practice-djs-keeping-nfl-teams-beat%3Fplatform%3Damp

Look at the scales. All that chart shows is that the variation between the best and worst run blocking lines is much narrower than that between the best and worst pass blocking lines. The Chiefs have a 11% higher win rate in run blocking than the Bills, while the Browns have a 36% higher win rate than the Cowboys in pass blocking.

That made all the sense in the world. Nate was Aaron Rodgers bait.

We want a lot of flags (as much as that pains me to say) because the Chiefs hold WRs on almost every play. Spagnuolo dares the refs to throw flags. When they do, the Chiefs have a hard time in coverage because they don’t have a plan B.

I always wonder what his ending stat line would have looked like if the Steelers had kept it relatively close. I think there might have been 600 passing yards.

First of all, the pass block win rate is the same. And I would argue that both of those numbers are skewed lower because both Mahones and Allen tend to run around behind the line of scrimmage giving their linemen time to “lose.” That is also a bad data viz, because the pass block scale runs from 40% to 80% but the run block scale only runs from 66% to 76%. If you had a similar scale for the run blocking, you’d have a whole bunch of teams bunched up to the right.

They go on two year cycles. It’s been that way for a while.

It has been answered. Last year and this year, the AFC East is playing their AFC West equivalent on the road. We are playing our AFC South equivalent at home. That’s the entirety of both divisions. From first to last: Buf @ KC, NE @ LV, Mia @ LAC and NYJ @ Den. Those are all road games for the AFC East. Last year was the same except the Fins played the Raiders and the Pats played the Chargers. But all the games were in the road. I don’t know why, but they double up like that. In 2024 and 2025, the AFC East will play their games against the AFC West at home.

That’s a tepid take, at best. Perhaps a room temperature or “garage floor cold” take.

Just as an example of how formulaic this all is, the Jets are playing the Broncos in Denver for the second straight year. It’s just that because both have been last place teams both times that no one notices. And the Dolphins are going to the chargers and the Pats are going to the Raiders. I know this without looking it up.

As far as I know, there is no answer to that question beyond “that’s how it’s done.”

Whoever is in the equivalent position to the Bills in 2023 will play in Buffalo in 2024. So if the Bills and Chiefs both win the division next year, the game will be in Highmark.

We played our AFC West equivalent at home in 2018 and 2019. They just happened to be two different teams (Chargers and Denver). Then in 2020 we played the entire west, and it was our turn to host KC that year. We played our AFC West equivalent on the road last year and will play them on the road again this year. Next year we play the entire AFC West again, and because they played in Orchard Park last time that was the case, we have to go in the road this time. It’s just an unfortunate feature of the scheduling that keeps happening because the Bills keep winning the East and the Chiefs keep winning the West.

It reminded me of the tuck rule. It seemed that they made it up on the stop.

Exactly. The Chiefs tried to run and screen pass their way to closing out the game and failed. They got one first down on a 8 yard screen and then an 8 yard run. Then on 1st and 10, they completed a 7 yard screen. They then had a run for no gain and a deep incomplete pass. They then punted on 4th and 3 from the Raider 47. That was the Mahomes magic to end the game last night.

Yes we did. 2020 was the last time that the BIlls played the AFC West. The fact that we did that is why the game is in KC next year because we play the AFC West again in 2023. Those games alternate. The games against the team that had the same divisional position as you for some reason double up. That's why the Bills are playing in Arrowhead again this year. If the Bills and the Chiefs both finish in the same slot again in 2024 and 2025, those games will be in Orchard Park. Bengals ain't living in the Chiefs world 😁

I think 13 seconds gives the BIlls enough motivation to overcome any reaction by the Chiefs to the spread.