Probably already mentioned somewhere in the zillion posts since the game, but we need to remember that the Bucs lost three games in November the year they won the Super Bowl. The Rams lost 3 last November and won it all.
Aside from all the historical disappointments already mentioned, pessimism always *sounds* smarter than optimism because optimism sounds like a sales pitch while pessimism sounds like someone trying to help you.
More Tua hype porn from the stat guys at Five Thirty Eight: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-dolphins-wanted-to-let-tua-tagovailoa-go-now-theyve-unleashed-him/