colin

lots of interesting match ups. i see the eagles two ways -- sick OL and 2k RB, along w a running qb, means we might just get trucked to death in the run game. on the other hand, hurts is not a smart qb and the eagles passing game is just so vanilla and simple. if we do anything to slow down the iggles run, or they have some penalties to get behind the sticks, I can see their passing faltering because no one on the d gets fooled. the eagles d is really solid on paper, but i think anyone who we face in the playoffs will see allen go super sayian and cook will break something outside and rip them, so i really think it comes down to our D.

like spags (he's not as good) he's a guy who plays offense on D. these kind of stacking chips to make one thing hard can work wonders in the playoffs, i think that's heavily influenced by the fact that the refs kinda put the whistles down, so you get offensive holding which hurts "clean" pass rush teams who have a 4 man concept (like us) and help (relatively) teams who will overload or blitz more (can't hold a guy if no one can touch him). this also means Ds that disrupt routes more with physical contact get away with it more, but the sort of unwritten rule is that you have be close to the LOS (they let it slide a good bit beyond 5 yards tho). also, a single prime pass rusher has moves to disengage quickly and beat linemen even when they try to hold, sadly we haven't shown anyone on our roster like that, cinci has one. The downside of this kind of d is you get opened up for big run plays when your zone LB is trying to mug the slot or TE and there is a back barreling through, and if the offensive player can clear the clutchy defender you get guys out of position. also, if the o is wise to it, they can just structurally put your aggressive guys in bad positions and move the play (being aggressive means it's harder to adjust on the fly at a player to player level). babbich has been a disaster at times, but he's shown a much stronger willingness to mix up coverages, sort of randomize blitzes and dogs, and be less stuck in a deep shell (although he's had way way too many instances of allowing too many yards on whatever down and long, lots of 2nd and 15s become 3rd and 4s when he doesn't challenge and just hopes to rally to the ball). I hope our d looks a lot more like how it looked in the first 3 quarters vs the lions. if you can take the confidence out of the O (especially the run blocking/pass protection) then you can force some negative drives and get josh allen the ball. imo mcd d's have actually been good at the rock paper scissors stuff, but they either are way too ineffective when they do blitz, or the settle on forcing a difficult throw and catch which playoff qbs make way too often. getting better returns for the risks taken on D is what it will take for us to get over the hump. no matter how we play d, we will need the DL to play how they did vs detroit (or kc) a lot more than how they played vs baltimore this season and we need our corners to hold up. the greater willingness to play bishop and to a lesser extent williams makes me think they at least have this in mind.

He's O'K.

we just gotta win 4 more. at least two at home and one at a neutral site.

we were still in offensive kamikaze mode, only going for ultra deep passes, and we had post retirement beaz and brown out there with knox and diggs and davis, and singleterry at rb. we also had staffold who put in what i think is the worst post season performance by an OG in the playoffs i've ever seen. the difference, not just in philosophy, but also in talent on our O now is kinda shocking. diggs was great, but that season and the next he fell off hard and was a bozo in the playoffs. singleterry is worse than any back we have, kinkaid is a real upgrade to knox, who is an upgrade to whoever was behind him before. dawkins is still dawkins, but our LG, C, RG, and RT (brown has gotten much better, i think hes top 5) are all better now. at WR, I'd say davis/coleman is kinda a wash, shakir is legit better than diggs was the past two playoffs, and cooper and hollins are miles better than the trash we had rounding out or roster the past two off seasons. i expect shock and awe from our O the entire playoffs. it's gonna be the josh allen show with the backs and oline chewing up the left overs.

i'd like to see kinkaid go off and flummox the interior of the denver back 7. if the bills can run the ball early, it will be a 5+ td day and nix will falter and throw bad passes and picks.

pittz should alternate fields and rus to confuse the ravens, and whatever they do just show a totally different look on D to make playoff lamar come out. im way to cocky right now, i think we can beat denver, baltimore, and kc in kc. it would be better if we didnt have to tho

you have to think players in NE don't want them to get better draft picks, because that means there will be more new sharks in the tank fighting for the same cut of meat. benching the qb but then winning is crazy work, i think mayo knew he was gone and said eff it.

what he does in the playoffs will determine his value this season, same with the rest of the team. if he can make the hard high point catches, or turn slants into big gainers, it will make life hell for opposing defenses.

Green Bay winning, followed kinda distantly by Houston winning are my most likely upsets. Stiller's winning is my obvious hope. If those losers coulda just won a couple late games they'd be the higher seed sending Baltimore to kc in the second round w a Houston win. Can't believe they suck so bad!

I'm prolly over confident, but I expect Denver to get absolutely steam rolled. Boat race from the first snap.

I think that dude is at best the 2nd best RT in the NFL.

Still makes my bet correct

Jarred Allen was 2 or 3 years younger and cost a 1 and 2 3s a while back. He was also the NFL sack leader at the time. Has Garret ever been the sack leader? Based on the above, I'd think you could get Garrett for a first, a second, and a later pick or picks in the following draft. I don't think Cleveland is looking to move him, but they might have to consider that kind of value, especially as they will need a QB and to rebuild some. I obv wish we got him prior to the deadline (altho hilariously maybe we don't lose a other game all season with him, which just means the Rams game, but we'd not even be the 1 seed!) but unless another top pass rusher is there, I'd do it this off season. I think there are a couple 1 techs we could sign who will be available to compliment Garrett, Ed, Groot as our starting four. MCDs system would look a lot better and our line backers would fill up the stat sheet. Not to mention our third down d would improve from what, 29 or so, to say 12-16 at the worst.

i think he likley gets around 10mm. he's young, proven, and noticeably better than the other backs we have had. we paid samuel like 7mm per for like .75 games worth of production. we pay dq about that much to be a literal jag. i think the bills ink cook for a 3 year 30mm type contract. if his production continues, he'll be a bargain for us at that price, and likely would not be as good on another team, so he'd be a bad value elsewhere, making that about the perfect contract.

the bookies have allen at like -300, i think they don't get things like this wrong very often, so i figure allen takes it. if it's the majority most out of 50, then i think he gets high 20s to low 30s, with a few to burrow and saquan, leaving lamar with 20ish votes.

Milano was out for most of the season last year, and so was Jones.

the DL and his fellow lb hasn't changed much since last season, has it? frankly, the biggest downgrade in our D was babbich vs mcd. we also lost some other assistant coaches. we lost our first OC to a HC job, fired the second who became an OC on another team, and there is talk our current OC might get lifted next season. frazer walked off and there isn't exactly demand for him, mcd was ok last season (made some shocking head coaching in game moves, clearly he can't multi task), and now we have 31st in the nfl on 3rd down babich. the problems with this team are all on one side of the ball, the side where they spend the picks and money.

I think we played worse OCs/QBs last season and teams didn't have tape on bernard. they do now, and the better guys who we played against were able to stop where he/the scheme is week and he wasn't able to fill out the stat sheet this season like he did last year. we have a drop off in safety play as well. hyde and poy were old and broken, but they knew the game cold and basically were in the right position which would force qbs to go underneath or backs to stay in their gaps allowing our LBs to just execute. if he gets healthy he's a decent player, but the stats last year sort of suggested all pro level ability and i think that's just not the case.

i can't remember a bills game i've felt less interest in than this one. and i'm sure i'll forget this one as well.

the biggest issue for the d is that we are so specific schematically in the back that we don't just draft/sign the most physically gifted guys available (upside is lesser talents like banford, a 6th round pick, and douglas can have solid performances at an uber premium position) so we are just uber dependent on the front four to cause havoc, but since we carry so many DL (seems OL too lately) we have lots of backups and no impact guys. carter doesn't look good since his injury, ed is up and down, when he's up he's good, and so are groot and von. i really think on real stud DE, if he didn't get hurt, would put the D over the top wrt being good enough to get an extra possession or two for the o and win it all.

honestly, they weren't bad vs the lions, they just totally fell apart when the back up back ups went in and the refs decided not to call anything. that's a concern of mine, our d gets mashed by physical teams that cheat all the time, we gotta be tougher.

for some reason, I think they are gonna play way more rock-paper-scissors and do more stunts, run blitzes, different fronts, and blitzes that aren't no pressure CB blitzes or both LBs in the a gap leading to an easy throw to an outlet for 20 yards. I just have this gut feeling that they will come out how they came out vs detroit, way more disguised, way more aggressive in spots, and most of all playing down field. in the past frazier had too many adjustments and reads trying to defend every blade of grass, and once a good qb figured it out, it was long sustained drives, one after another. I also think groot is playing for 9 figures (as mentioned above) oliver is playing for pride and legacy, and von to be the first player to win superbowls with 3 different teams (matt millen i think did, but i don't think he played on washington over us). i've been down on our d, fumbles (both ways) are a fluke stat that we are killing it in, and we are terrible on 3rd down. but for some reason i just think the d is waking up and mcd giving burn to bishop and williams tells me it's a little different this time and they might have some new tricks to show.

He's had a 200 yard game on every team he's played for. he'll have his for us in the playoffs.

there has to be a way to get him effectively involved.