dave mcbride

For deep WR drafts, just look at 1996. Yeah, a long time ago, but it was ridiculous.

True!

https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/A/AlleJo02.htm Case in point: Allen had the lowest sack rate in the league in 2023 and also fumbled the fewest times in his career. 7 fumbles is very low for a QB who runs as much as he does. That's a hugely important measure (sacks kill drives), but that poster isn't factoring it in because he's cherry picking stats.

A question for you: who is most similar to Jordan Addison, who the Bills LOVED and who also proved this past season that he was worth the love? Whoever is closest to that and is within reason (i.e., not Nabers) is who I'd be betting on. It seems Franklin might be that guy.

It's cherry-picking if you're not going to include his running stats and the gold-standard stat (AV) used by the site you're drawing from.

??? -- He literally had a higher AV (PFR's version of WAR for football and it measures against other players from THAT season) in both 2021 and 2022 than in 2020. In fact, he led the league in AV in 2021 and 2022!!! You're not including the fact that in 2021 he rushed for 763 yards and led the NFL in rushing yards per carry (6.3) that season. He rushed for 762 yards/6.1 ypc in 2022 as well. In comparison, he ran for 421 yards at 4.1 ypc in 2020. Finally, his AV in 2023 was the same as it was in 2020. The stats you're posting here are the very definition of cherry-picked.

Yeah, Parcells guys don't really tank. They take control of teams that have already tanked instead. If Denver goes 3-14, he's more likely to be fired than oversee a 2025 team with a great cap situation and multiple good draft picks -- especially if Russell Wilson has a decent, winning season in Pittsburgh.

Since Daboll starred running the show, the Bills have been a “windows” offense with regard to the passing game. The last thing they want is the next N’Keal Harry, Kelvin Benjamin, or late-career DeVonte Parker — contested catch guys that can’t separate. When they signed Emmanuel Sanders, he was coming off two seasons in a row where, he, along with Diggs, achieved the best separation rates in the league. In fact, the Bills really wanted to add Sanders in 2020 via trade, but it was not meant to be. Anyway, that trait is what Allen thrives on and what the Bills prioritize. Also, let’s face it — it’s a little bit harder to come down with contested catches in the worst-weather stadium in the league where the QB is the highest-velocity thrower in league history.

https://sportsnaut.com/jermaine-burton-nfl-draft-concern/ 6 schools in 8 years. No thanks.

Here it is, and it’s good: https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/39955777/how-patriots-legend-bill-belichick-end-nfl-job

Other than Josh Allen, Mrs. Lincoln, how was the play?

No offense, but this looks like a Patriots draft. Get a stud!

Thomas Jones might win this competition. 7th overall pick, total bust for Arizona (3.5 ypc over three seasons), and yet rushes for over 10,000 yards lifetime and 71 total TDs: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/J/JoneTh00.htm.

Jimmy Smith was an early second round pick (36th) for Dallas and did zilch for them. He then went to Jax and put up a HOF-caliber career. Tony Casillas (#1 overall pick for Atlanta) was a very good player for Dallas in the Jimmy Johnson era.

Fascinating. I had no idea. Assuming this is true, there is no way I’d spend 28 on him. Too much of a wild card.

Yup. Chase will be next.

Going back to 2014 (a ten year period), the Patriots have had more than seven picks in 9 out of the 10 seasons (usually between 9 and 11). Yet it really didn't help them all that much: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/nwe/draft.htm. There is a handful of very good players here, but overall it's pretty much a vast wasteland.

I dunno … Randy Mueller knows far more than you or I do. He literally has 35 years of NFL experience in draft rooms. You and I are just message board dorks whose knowledge is all second or third hand.

But he played lights out in the second half vs Detroit and won the game for them. Honestly, if SF stops a fourth and 2-3 on their own side of the field in OT, he’s the SB hero. He’s better than you give him credit for.

If this article is to be trusted, high school football participation had a big increase last year (although since it's post-pandemic the numbers are going to be skewed): https://www.nfhs.org/articles/high-school-sports-participation-continues-rebound-toward-pre-pandemic-levels/. I think participation in most team sports has declined. A lot of it is a function of kids only playing sport as opposed to multiple ones, like in the past.

It appears that despite the numbers being thrown around, no WR is getting close to $30 million per, at least yet. From Florio, who is good on this sort of issue (althoug certainly not every type of issue): https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/top-receiver-deals-definitely-arent-what-they-seem-to-be.

All of the smoke signals we've seen are pointing this way, to be fair.

Exactly. Maybe Harbaugh has views on a bunch of big ten players that are different from the league consensus, for instance.

I get your point, sort of, but Mueller is not what I'd call a draftnik. He worked as an NFL personnel person / exec for 35 years, from Seattle (16 years) to NO to Miami to the Chargers.

Some interesting quotes from anonymous GMs in here: https://wapo.st/3TXKgyG (I made this a gift article and it should be accessible to all). 'Brandon Aiyuk/Deebo Samuel (49ers) “One of them won’t be back there,” the GM said. The exec said: “Personally, I’d be shocked if they don’t move one. When you study the model of how they roster build and structure their contracts, and with the quarterback being up in a year, I don’t think they will pay them both. … And if Deebo was the guy to go, I think he’d already be gone.” Another GM opined that he believes Aiyuk would have already secured his new contract if it was going to come from San Francisco. “I think Aiyuk is the one to watch,” that GM, also sniffing around on wide receivers, said. Another exec said: “I don’t think they’re going to get everything they’ll want for him [Aiyuk] because of what you’re going to have to pay him. But they have to listen.”'