dave mcbride

Minnesota's pick won't be there, I don't think. They're pretty obviously bent on trading up to get a QB.

That's bonkers. Of course Odunze is going in round one.

There are so many good receivers in this draft that it's likely a guy who may well have been a first rounder in other years (McConkey, who is really good and a great athlete) falls to the second. It's not about the number assigned to the round of the pick; it's about the talent level of the player. I think his point is a) take advantage of a great WR draft NOW and b) get Allen his elite skill players sooner rather than later. Aiyuk is really good, as evidenced by finishing #2 in yards per target last season.

We'll likely have a large amount of cap space, however, so we will be able to sign good defenders. The idea is to build up the offense for THIS season and take advantage of a generational WR draft. Thomas/Aiyuk and McConkey?!? Sign me up for that.

In the wake of the Diggs trade, a friend had this reaction and came up with the scenario below. Curious to know what people think because it actually seems genuinely plausible to me, and I'd love it: "A bunch of you know, I've been hoping since February that Beane would trade Diggs for a 2nd or 3rd rounder. The fact that he was able to get what should be a high end #2 in 2025 is great. What Beane did was jettison the 4 receivers that caught the ball at a 63% clip & kept the 3 guys that collectively caught it at an 82% catch rate. Shakir, Cook & Kincaid we're all top 30 in the league in that category [incidentally, Cook was 81.5 percent for 8.2 yards/target]. Even after these 3 guys sign their 2nd contracts, they should all remain good values for most of the remainder of Allen's career. Here's 4 relatively conservative projections for 2024 Targets Yards Yards/Target Kincaid 110 800 7.3 Shakir 80 800 10 Samuel 90 750 8.3 All RBs 80 650 8.1 That equates to 3,000 yards on 360 targets. Allen has averaged 36 attempts per game over the past 4 years. 36x17=612 which leaves 252 targets for Wr1, Wr2, Wr5 & Knox. Allen has never thrown over 4,600 yards in his career. If he were to average 7.9 yards per attempt on the remaining 252 attempts, then he would have thrown for 5,000. Just for perspective, Shakir led the league in yards/target last year at 13.6. Aiyuk was 2nd at 12.8 & Diggs was a pedestrian 7.4, unlike 2020 when he was 9.2 For me, ideally Beane couples pick #28 & our 2025 2nd round pick to either trade for Aiyuk, or move up to get Brian Thomas Jr. Then, if he took our 2025 first round pick to trade back into the 2nd round to grab either Legette or McConkey, that would be nice. We'd have the fastest & most dynamic set of skill players in team history. It sounds like we can easily create North of 60 million in cap space for 2025 & free up a bunch more room in 2026. That's a fantastic kicker to this Diggs trade, because it'll allow us to target multiple pro bowl free agents in the next couple of years. All of these factors combined, will allow us to compete with KC for the next 8 years & we'll be able to view this trade for what it is ... a prelude to a parade!"

My strong recollection from the postgame analyses of that game is that the Bills ran away from Parsons all game, i.e., identifying which side he was on pre-snap and then going in the other direction. I recall Jim Kubiak breaking it down in the BN, so if my memory isn’t faulty what you’re saying here is completely wrong.

The problem with this scenario is that he has the Chargers taking on offensive lineman while their elite qb has no receivers to throw to. It strikes me as completely implausible as a consequence.

Arguing who is the “bigger fan” is a chump’s game. Everyone here is a fan in their own way. I think Nabors is the best receiver in the draft.

Fair point, and I’ve always thought this way. BUT the reason I’ve thought that way is that GMs and coaches are always close to being fired, and giving up a year in terms of a delay on a pick is from their perspective an increase in the chances they’ll be fired. The assumed discount in this sort of situation has always related to the decline in job security for decision makers/coaches. In the case of Beane and McDermott, though, I don’t think that’s remotely a possibility. They will be with the Bills in 2025. Dude, this line of argument is so tired. Give it a rest, seriously.

All true, but I feel it’s very necessary to say that Diggs’s catch of the two point conversion that put the Bills up 29-26 in the 13 seconds game was a) not recorded as a catch and b) an effing spectacular catch. Plus while it wasn’t with the Bills, he made the best postseason catch-and-run td reception in this millennium.

Not sure this has been posted yet (I don’t have time to search), but it’s good: https://theathletic.com/5387835/2024/04/03/stefon-diggs-trade-bills-texans-attitude/

Wow - I missed that. Thanks for reposting.

I am not going to write this year off, but I don’t see them as favorites to win the division right now.

Wow.

I think that’d be a terrible trade UNLESS they truly, truly believe (like some) that Nabors is the best WR prospect to come out since Chase. A lot of people have him higher than Harrison.

Wow, the Bills didn’t get very much for him. I also don’t see how a 2025 second rounder amounts to much ammo in any trade-up scenario.

Agreed, but you and I ain’t him. 😉

Because he’s not talented enough for the NBA. Scroll down: https://fansided.com/posts/2024-nba-draft-scouting-report-dj-burns-jr-01htdj8djxmc

This offseason, they signed Ravens starting guard John Simpson. They traded for Ravens longtime starting RT Morgan Moses. They signed all-pro LT Tyron Smith, who did miss four games last season but was otherwise dominating. They have 2023 2nd round pick Joe Tippman at center, and the highly talented Alijah Vera-Tucker, who is now healthy, will be the other guard. Their problem is no longer offensive line; it’s second receiver. However, this is a great receiver draft and they have the 10th pick.

Wow. Good player. I wanted the Bills to consider him a couple of years ago. I am actually getting a little concerned about the Jets. Yeah, I know, they're the Jets, but they are undoubtedly amassing talent and if Rogers is healthy, he'll likely be an upper echelon QB still because of his incredible arm and on-field intelligence.

Achilles injuries ain’t what they used to be. People come back all the time now, and in less than 12 months. The surgery/treatment is leagues better than it was 12-15 years ago.

Well ... the pass rush basically won the 2022 regular season for us game in KC. Miller was a beast in that game and forced the final pick.

The Bills are not going to give up a fifth year option by dropping out of the first. It's FAR too valuable if the player turns out to be good (and the Bills will assume he will be because they'll be spending a first round pick on him).

I don't have a dog in the Legette fight because I don't know enough, but this scouting report does raise some red flags given what sort of player Beane says he wants at the position: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/10095835-xavier-legette-nfl-draft-2024-scouting-report-for-south-carolina-wr.

I look at it differently than you. My take on what he's saying is that we had a guy in Davis who was not versatile and -- just as importantly -- not really on-field smart given how many times he and Allen weren't on the same page regarding option routes (and I'm assuming Allen was making correct reads). There are a lot of option routes in the Bills offense, and I think the Bills are totally done with losing games because their X receiver made the wrong decision on an option route (and I think this goes back to the final play of the Vikings game in OT in 2022). The Bills are not moving away from this system because it obviously works if you have the right players -- and the Bills have the right QB and the rest of the right players (Kincaid, Samuel, Diggs, Shakhir).