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Estro

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Everything posted by Estro

  1. 1. Never punting on 4th and 1. 2. Going for it on 4th and 3 or less once youve crossed your own 45 yard line. 3. Keeping your timeouts in hand rather than wasting them on unimportant challenges early in games. 4. Have 1 designated team official, who's an NFL rules expert, watching the game up in a booth on a 80 inch 4k tv, and letting McDermott know when he needs to challenge and when he needs to keep the red flag in his pocket. 5. Go for 2 point conversions after TD's. I happen to like 50% of 2 better than I like 94% of 1.
  2. I like it because it came after the date when additions hurt you in the comp. pick formula. Therefore, it has no negative effect on costing us valuable mid round draft picks in '18, like the additions of Vlad Ducasse, Steven Hauschka, Ryan Davis, Jordan Poyer and Patrick Dimarco did. Hodges was a move you'd see the Ravens make, smart, and after the comp pick deadline.
  3. If the new way of doing things is signing a bunch of backup type role players in FA, which leads us to lose out on 3rd and 4th round compensatory picks, in a league where the smart teams work the compensatory pick formula in their favor and build their teams through the draft, especially by hitting on mid round picks who come with VERY, VERY affordable 4 year deals..............than count me out. Because that's pretty much what McDermott did this winter/spring. Let's just hope Beane, Gaines & Schoen point the mistake out to McDermott and they correct the problem. I want one thing coming out of this season: 2 1st round picks 1 2nd round pick 2 3rd round picks 2 4th round picks It's not looking promising unless the Bill decide to cut several of their FA signing from just a couple of months ago, but there's still time to fix it if the Bills are willing to admit they screwed up with roster management. And since the Bills aren't anywhere close to competing for a championship, let's hope.....for the long term, sustained success of this franchise tha tboth our own 1st rounder and the Chiefs 1st rounder are as high as can be. Would it suck to win 4 games in the short term? Yes, it'd make for a pretty miserable 17 weeks, and a lot of empty seats @ the Ralph come November and December, but I think most fans, like me would be licking their chops at the thought of a top 5 1st round pick couple with the Chiefs 1st rounder (hopefully in the 15-20 range if the Chiefs fail to make the playoffs). The 2017 season for me is all about securing the ability to draft Josh Rosen, who's going in the top 2 picks of next years draft, IF & it's a very big IF, he decides to declare for the '18 draft.
  4. You're correct, I have, smartly. The Bills over/under total wins in vegas is 6 or 6.5 wins. I happen to think we may go over. I think 7 or 8 wins is probably where we land. Any fan who thinks signing a FB a K or a crappy OL is more valuable than multiple mid round draft picks has no understandinh of how smart teams build a roster. Lets just hope Brandon Beane, Sean McDermott and company understand.....thus far Im concerned McDermott does not, as evidenced by where we currently stand in the comp. pick formula.
  5. BTW, why the hell did the Bills give Steven Hauschka a $3M contract & $4.6M in cash in Year 1. Talk about bad contracts, there's another one to add to the list. No other kicker in the league will make as much in cash as Steven Hauschka will this year. That's a pathetic overpay, not to mention it could cost us a 3rd round comp. pick. All around inept on the Bills part. http://www.spotrac.com/nfl/rankings/cash/kicker/
  6. I value the 3rd & 4th round pick we'd receive for losing Gilmore and Woods way more than I value a kicker, a FB, a backup DE and a backup interior OL. The fact that the Bills didn't think this one through is very concerning. For a team going no where, give me the 2 mid round draft picks all day over a handful of backups. Having 2 #1's, 2 #3's & 2 #4's, along with our own #2 would put us in great shape for the '18 draft, including plenty of ammo to trade up and get a QB, if there's one there this brass loves (Josh Rosen). Please Bills do the smart thing for once and secure the 3rd and 4th comp. picks......those 2 picks are WAY more valuable than a handful of backups that are very replaceable.
  7. A laugh riot. Silly Bills fans. Valuing 3rd and 4th round draft choices over FA FB's, backup OL & crappy CB's. What morons would ever question such moves. (Sarcasm on) Get busy winning or get busy losing, ust dont get stuck in the middle.
  8. I agree. How hard is it to sell tickets in a league that is overwhelmingly beloved in a town that is starved for a winner? I never understood the praise given to Russ for keeping the stadium filled. At those low prices with little or no competition in town its fairly easy to fill it up even with the pathetic product hes been a part of putting on the field
  9. http://www.buffalobills.com/assets/images/imported/BUF/photos/clubimages/2014/05-May/tempCM6_6476--nfl_mezz_1280_1024.JPG The only man in this room that still has a job is the one with his fist held high. "But he has no say over the football dept., he's just on the business side" - says those who don't have eyeballs.
  10. Sam Darnold isn't top tier QB, IMO. His arm strength is below average. I think Josh Rosen will be the clear cut "guy" by this seasons end.
  11. I don't remember him commenting during the draft? Was that in the shoutbox or an actual post about Zay Jones? Never saw it.
  12. Cian Fahey makes for a good follow on twitter I don't agree with many of his QB assessments, though. I will take note that he liked Mitch Tribusky quite a bit this year, and really didn't Mahomes. Time will tell. The fact that he seems to genuinely think Tyrod Taylor is a pretty good QB gives me reason enough to not trust his QB analysis, quite honestly.
  13. Josh Rosen is my bet for #1 pick. His personality will rub some coaches and GM's the wrong way, but he has QB qualities that are special. As a side note: The Bills play the Chargers in LA November 19. The day before Sam Darnold & USC play Josh Rosen & UCLA at the Coliseum. That'd make for a great weekend!
  14. I listened to Pegula's press conference and came away thinking Overforf's tenure with the Bills is very much on shaky ground. Pegula said something to the effect of "we will do everything we can to fight for Overdorf, but ultimately that decision will come down to the next GM". Basically he gave himself an out, that if and when they release Overdorf it will be because the next GM made that decision, as he should. Not having language in Dareus' contract that protected the team from future guarantees if he failed future drug tests was an offense worthy of firing.....and Iay that at the feet of Overdorf. I wouldn't be surprised to see Scott Berchtold let go as well now that they have the new guy from Philly. The only guy who might be left standing will be Russ. I think Russ is the only human on earth that will survive nuclear war.
  15. My favorite target: Move down 10-20 spots and pick up a 2nd rounder next year.
  16. Davis is much more coveted than you're led to believe if you listen to the draft "pundits". He's going inside the first 20 picks. And the logic that you can't take him @ 10 because a lot of mocks have him going later is not sound. If you take him @ 10 and he ends up being a better WR than Sammy Watkins, which I certainly believe he will, is it still way too early to take him?
  17. The myth, the man, the legend. For those of us that have been on the board the last few years, we know to trust Leroi over any of the other pundits....Why? What he says actually happens. His Bills big board (in order of preference): 1. Solomon Thomas 2. Corey Davis 3. Marshon Lattimore 4. O.J. Howard 5. John Ross Now let's break this down a little further. I won't go as far as saying S. Thomas is a lock to be picked before #10, but I have trouble envisioning both the Panthers @ #8 and the Bengals @ #9 passing on Thomas. Could the Bills flip a 3rd rounder & #10 to the Chargers if they're enamored w/ Thomas? I guess they could, but if they stay put at #10 I think Thomas is off the board. Corey Davis, a personal favorite, is sneaky. Most everybody in the "pundit" world would say Davis will be there at #10, but I'm not sold. His game tape is phenomenal, and he plays the most important position in football other than QB, IMO. He's a difference maker & I think the 49ers, Titans, Chargers and Bengals all teams that pick before us would love a WR like C. Davis. I'm particularly nervous about the Bengals. I believe the Bengals would take S. Thomas over Davis, but if Thomas is gone I think Davis will be in serious consideration at #9. Lattimore.....I thought there was an outside chance he could be there at #10, but with Sidney Jones injury and Conley's legal problem some of that nice CB depth is disappearing. I'm more confident that Lattimore will be gone @10 than I am for either Davis or Thomas. O.J. Howard. I like the idea of adding Davis because I want to add to our offense. The thought of Sammy Watkins going down and picturing what our offense would look like is scary. Even with Sammy healthy the thought of our WR's and TE's is pretty scary, in the bad way. Some of the draft analysts I really like, really like O.J. Howard & that works for me. Howard is the guy I'd be the most excited for on this list, with the exception of Corey Davis. Might be gone though, both the 49ers & Titans could pull the trigger a lot earlier than expected. Mayock has him going #6. John Ross would create a meltdown on this board. The injury history coupled with the belief that he could be had a dozen picks later would have most fans upset. This pick would surprise me, but if the 4 guys above him are all gone maybe we're in for a surprise. Final Analysis: 45% chance Corey Davis (#2 on our board and better than 50/50 chance he's available) 20% chance O.J. Howard (#3 on our board & 50/50 chance he's available) 15% chance Solomon Thomas (#1 on our board, but highly likely he's not available) 12.5% chance John Ross (our #5 guy, should be available. Will everybody above him be gone? I'd bet No, but it is possible) 7.5% chance of Marshon Lattimore (our 3rd ranked guy + least likely to be available = not likely the Bills pick) I'm hoping for Davis. O.J. Howard would be nice too. We find out in about 24 hours folks! Enjoy! And shout out to Leroi for adding to the excitement.
  18. Spot on. If you have 2 eyeballs and watch 1 game of Tribusky's you will see for yourself his arm is not very good. It loses velocity on throws outside the hashes. His deep ball same thing, loses velocity resulting in lots of underthrows. I watched everyone of his throws from 6 games last year and came away thoroughly unimpressed. I wouldn't even want him with our 2nd round pick, I didn't see it with him at all.
  19. My dream scenario for tomorrow is trading down with a team in the bottom of round 1 or top of round 2. Pick up an additional 2nd rounder in '17 and a future 2nd rounder in '18. I'd like to come away from this draft with some additional ammo for next years draft. I have my eye on Josh Rosen. Hes going to be a high pick so pocking up sdditional ammo for '18 could make the difference.
  20. Yea Cian Fahey has gotten way too much hype as some type of player analyst. Don't get me wrong, he's a good follow and he has strong takes. That said I take his opinions as seriously as I do mine or my buddies when it comes to the NFL. His defense of Tyrod being some type of good QB is comical. He's dug in so far with Tyrod, that I believe it's more important to him to defend Tyrod and throw shade at anybody who questions his analysis than to admit he was wrong and that Tyrod isn't very good. I'll take what my eyeballs show me.....and also what Andy Benoit and Greg Cosell think about Tyrod (that he's not good) over what some guy in Ireland who's based his opinion on Tyrod's 2 or 3 best games........and not the 15 so-so/stinkers he's had. I love Schopp, but he relies on Cian' QB analysis way too hard. It's what got Schoop excited about Mitch Tribusky. Cian really likes Mitch and doesn't like Patrick Mahomes. I on the other hand think Tribusky is bad and is going to be really bad in the NFL.
  21. Booked the Atlanta game. Live down near Atantic City, NJ. They had non stop flights AC to Atlanta for $85 roundtrip (Spirit Air). For that price I couldn't resist. Haven't booked hotel yet, but downtown hotels withing walking distance to the new stadium are pretty cheap too....$130-$200 a night. Probably going to be a loss, but the price and the new stadium were deciding factors. Any suggestions for good restaurants in the downtown ATL area?
  22. I don't like your thinking. I prefer total passing yards to yards per attempt. If you have an offense that's designed around minimizing the amount of times your QB throws the football I think that tells you a lot. Throwing for 165 yards in a game on 18 attempts, might look good as far as YPA, but in my book it's still a bad passing day no matter how you slice it. The Bills led the league in rushing 2 straight years and actually had really good YPA in the passing game in '15 (Taylor's 1st year), and I don't think anyone would argue their offense was good. Until the Bills start regularly appearing in the top 12 for total passing yards, as all good playoff teams do, nothing will change. Best way to accomplish that, obviously is to find a QB. Outside of QB the next best option is getting weapons for the passing game (Corey Davis, O.J. Howard).
  23. I'd like to see a passing offense that ranks in the middle of the pack, let's say #16 or #17. In the last 14 seasons our highest ranking for passing offense was #15 (2011). 10 of the Bills last 14 seasons we've avg.'d less than 200 yards of passing per game. Think about that for a minute. Bills Passing Offense NFL Rankings: 2016: 30th 2015: 28th 2014: 18th (Orton) 2013: 28th 2012: 25th 2011: 15th (Fitz) 2010: 24th 2009: 30th 2008: 22nd 2007: 30th 2006: 28th 2005: 29th 2004: 27th 2003: 28th 2002: 5th (Bledsoe's 1st year) If we are ever going to buck the trend of being a crap team, we need to fix this. We need to find a QB who can sling it. Don't fool yourself with Tribusky, though, he is not that guy.
  24. going to be in Dallas, TX. from a little birdie, actually from Rich Eisen. That'll be a cool setting for the draft. Dallas and football are synonymous.
  25. This is what I love about the draft. 2 prospects: Mike Williams and Corey Davis, and so much disagreement as to who the better prospect is. It's what makes the draft fun. For the record, Corey Davis is head and shoulders better! I think one of my favorite DAY 1 scenarios would be the Bills moving down a few picks picking up a 3rd rounder and taking Corey Davis. The best source on this board has the Bills liking: Solomon Thomas Corey Davis Marshon Lattimore O.J. Howard John Ross Loved to see C. Davis on the list, and overall I like that list quite a bit. John Ross, would hopefully be a trade down only option, #10 is a little rich for him and his injury history.
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