Brand J

As I said before, I don’t disagree about Allen’s completion percentage, or with your thoughts in general, stats can never be an absolute predictor… but they do provide historical significance. Those who didn’t believe in Allen didn’t only use his low completion percentage, they used his paltry numbers against Power 5 teams, his limited number of 300 yard games, and his low number of total TDs. It wasn’t just one stat that said Allen isn’t likely to be successful, it was many. To that end, because no one from his background has gone on to do the things he does in the NFL, he became an outlier for those predictive stats. You can disagree with that notion, but the evidence is there. All those asking “can [insert name here] be the next Josh Allen?” Well, only if the situations are comparable (which most likely they’re not) and chances of being the next Josh Allen are incredibly small.

Yeah, we had this discussion before, remember? No statistic anyone presents can be an absolute predictor of success or failure, but it does give a comparison relative to that player’s peers; those who fit within that specific group. If we had a stat that said “every collegiate basketball player who shot 45% from the 3 point line in college, would go on to shoot at least 38% in the pros, but no player who shot less than 35% in college would go on to shoot better than 40% in the pros,” that would be a group statistic and anyone who shot less than 35% in college and became a career 40+% shooter in the pros, would then be an outlier. Allen’s stats in college presented him as an outlier relative to his peers. It wasn’t to say he’d be a guaranteed bust (as many claimed), but it was to say the chances of him being a franchise QB were much less likely based on this data.

I said it before, I thought we were in trouble when we drafted Allen. It was a traits only pick, no player in CFB history with his stats went on to have great success at the NFL level. He was an All 2nd team MWC player (why not first, I asked?) and had dreadful numbers against every Power 5 team. When I heard part of Beane’s process was to look at Allen run a play and think “where would Rosen throw here?” Again I thought, “uh oh.” When I saw his play at Wyoming, I didn’t think he had the mind that could make the game look easy for him. I didn’t audibly “boo” the pick, but did shake my head - but like all draft picks, including Whitner and Maybin, I supported him and hoped for the best. And I’m glad I and the rest of those pessimistic fans were incredibly wrong. Josh Allen is one of one, the first player to greatly defy some of the analytical reports that were put out on him prior to the draft (which drove some statisticians to hate him until recently). “Is [insert name here] the next Josh Allen?” No, most likely not.

This is a classy Chiefs fan, but I love how when reading Chiefsplanet, many of them said “Bills weren’t impressive at all. We missed at least three in the red zone when Pat threw that INT, missed a FG, had a BS pass interference on Kelce, two rookies playing corner, didn’t have our fastest LB Willie Gay, and after all that it took the Bills best effort just to win by four. We’ll smoke them the next time we see them.” So essentially what they’re asking, is for all their mistakes to be erased, all their starters back, and for the Bills to have the same type of game with their injuries, miscues, and mistakes and they’d beat us in that scenario. No ****. Works both ways, we could list all the times the Bills shot themselves in the foot and prevented the game from being a double digit win.

From what I’ve seen of Claypool, he has all the physical gifts in the world, but bad things happen when he’s targeted, sort of like a much bigger McKenzie. I’d pass. If I was the Packers I’d pass too.

I like how Michael Robinson has completely taken on the Bills as his team. He also loves to say he was the first talking head to start pumping them up, long before Kyle Brandt, J Will, and any others.

Going back and watching the highlights I focused in on Edmunds and maybe coincidentally they were some of his poorest plays, but an impact defender he was not. What gets me is the same thing that frustrates me most about his career as a coverage LBer - he almost always puts himself in position to make a play, but always seems content to let his assignment catch the ball so he can run and make the tackle. He never jumps routes. Look at the pass to Kelce right before half, Edmunds runs right up to him and literally waits for him to catch the ball. I’d love to see him drive on the route once he recognizes the open receiver. He’d get far more INTs and PDs.

One poster on Chiefs Planet was saying how he “wishes that thug Von Miller would die.” I mean that’s not even funny in a joking sense. Not to mention all the rape references they have over there. If we had those types of posters here I’d expect them to get banned.

I don’t recall Mahomes ever having issues with batted passes (and he throws shorter more often than Josh) but he does have 5,287 ways to deliver the football.

I suppose it is difficult to legislate intent, hence why the NFL doesn’t do it (men in black to overrule calls notwithstanding), but any major penalty, which is the 15+ yard variety, needs to be adjudicated by a 3rd party. It’s tough when you have someone like Sterratore sitting at home saying “that should not be a penalty,” which echoes the thoughts of everyone else with common sense. Like I said, I hope it happens to Jerry’s Cowboys, preferably against the Eagles in the playoffs, which sends Dallas home. I guarantee we’ll be looking at change after that.

This just in from the Tuesday Owner’s Meeting: League will not back out of “protecting the QB.” I like what Shannon had to say about this. It won’t change until Jerry Jones and the Cowboys get screwed by a (non) RTP call in the playoffs. Article in The Athletic *Also, no one is asking them to back off protecting the QBs, the fans just want RTP to actually be RTP and not routine tackles. It’s a huge penalty that affects the outcome of games.

“Look at the cheerleaders. They don’t even move. They’re trained well.” Don’t say that too loudly in this climate, Baldy, could be cause for cancellation.

I’ve been hearing the linebacker in JAX was leading - Devin Lloyd. But with team success comes more attention, so it sounds like Gardner has overtaken him.

For all the talk this offseason that the young DEs had taken a step forward, AJE and Basham have largely been disappointments thus far. I’d like to have both those 2nd round picks back.

More dime packages coming for sure. Took the Bills forever to get out of nickel, but they have lots of quality DBs.

It was said the Bills ran a lot of dime packages this game. Which LB came off the field? Edmunds?

It’s interesting you made this comparison because Skip and Shannon were talking about Allen the other day and Elway’s name entered the conversation… then Skip says to Shannon “but he’s no Elway…” Shannon stayed quiet. I think Allen is better than Elway, or at least will be by the end of this season. He’s bigger, stronger, & faster in an era where athletes are superior to those in the 80s/90s. “Toughness” is the main trait they share, more than mobility, or a live arm.

Lawson has outplayed AJE and Basham lately. We need at least one of those two younger guys to make their presence felt. They’ve been too quiet.

First has a Lil Baby vibe to it. I liked the melody to that one the best and thought the lyrics were catchy, but it’d get old fast since it’s so repetitive. The second I wasn’t feeling much, the third reminds me of Three Six Mafia’s “Mafia!” chant, but lacks the production of DJ Paul. None should be the official anthem in my opinion.

It has to be infrequent and when you do, it needs to be disguised well enough that it surprises him. The Raiders had a great blitz where they brought both safeties and completely fooled Mahomes. He had to dirt the ball because none of his receivers ran a hot route.

I’m waiting for Diggs to get loose on a deep route like Davis and Allen connects with him in stride for a TD.

I wonder who makes the uniform decisions. A single individual (like Coach McD?) or a collection of folks.

First time I remember seeing a nationally televised game in the late time slot, for either network.

Those grades are odd. I was told right here on TBD that Bates was our worst lineman and Morse was our 2nd best. Who to believe?

Chiefs fans said they’re 3-1 with the Brad Allen crew and the Bills are 2-1.