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Ralonzo

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Everything posted by Ralonzo

  1. Keeda has to be broken, right?
  2. Justin Eboigbe led the Alabama DL in tackles from the interior (that includes Dallas Turner and Chris Braswell), but has concerns from '22 neck injury and surgery. Seems like a Process guy, could be a good get in R5 or so.
  3. Just for the heck of it. Let's say the Bills opt instead to move down from 28 (and 60 lol). What are some potential draft paths within this 7 round mock? Make some picks based on what's left on Brugler's board right around those spots, guessing who he might mock to Buffalo (we disregard the butterfly effect). [TRADE 1] Buffalo takes LV's offer to move up for Penix that Brugler mocks at 29, and gets 44 and 77 in return (which is a little light on the Raiders side - they get 209 Rich Hill value for 195) [TRADE 2] Then at 60, let's hope Tampa wants someone and would give up 89 and 92 (nearly perfect value match). Barring that I'd still be considering the OT. 1 (44). Troy Franklin, WR, Oregon - The Bills guy all along 3 (77). Kiran Amegadjie, OT, Yale - Gifted developmental T 3 (89). Austin Booker, Edge, Kansas - Rotational edge with upside of a future starter 3 (92). Malik Mustapha, S, Wake Forest - Great tackler for the Poyer role 4 (128). Mason McCormick, G, So. Dak. State - IOL mauler for Kromer to mold 4 (133). Gabe Hall, DL, Baylor - Depth for 3T or 5T 5 (144). Johnny Wilson, WR, Florida State - Big target at X, contested catch monster 5 (160). Elijah Jones, CB, Boston College - This is @GunnerBill's guy 5 (163). Jordan Magee, LB, Temple - Fits the Bills mold with speed and relentless pursuit 6 (200). Ryan Watts, CB/S, Texas - Length and ranginess, a bigger Cam Lewis? 6 (204). Cornelius Johnson, WR, Michigan - Tools of an X receiver 7 (248). Kimani Vidal, RB, Troy - We'll give Brugler this one So which draft would you prefer, the trade up or the trade down? This might fit in with that Moneyball thread from yesterday too about the merits of tradnig up vs trading down.
  4. Looks like PFN has updated the player rankings, and everyone is getting a drive on there with trade-downs, so... I gotta say, this draft seems pretty realistic, the biggest stretch is Mitchell dropping where he did but that's only because EVERYONE else got picked first. Oh, and Tennessee offered their '25 R1 to drop back 28 to 38, so... yeah I'm doing that. You know what number Jaylin is gonna get in camp, right?
  5. Tell me you're a doctor working for the Bills without telling me you're a doctor working for the Bills.
  6. I don't think L'ol Collins can be counted on to make the roster.
  7. Rice Jr's scouting report sounds a bit like Gabe Davis. I'd take that on one of the Bills' 4th rounders. I don't think we want the Bills to use 28 AND 60 on the one position and I hope Beane learned that lesson, but right around there should be the range where a Rice or Javon Baker get tapped... maybe even Tez or Burton?
  8. Seems like a convergence of interest there, if the Bills can get back a 3rd there should be a sweet spot to land a safety. I love the idea of a trade-back to the top of the 2nd to get an early 3rd, leveraging the value of the 5th year option on their 1st if they have several guys they'd be comfortable with for WR at that slot. It dawned on me doing mocks that the Bills 2nd (60OA) should still be a premium position addressed - WR, OT, CB, Edge. I keep having Travares Tillman flashbacks reaching for a safety. A guy who keeping dropping into that 60 range is Kingsley Suamataia for the reason that he's so young and raw that he may not be ready to start this year, but has a perfect opportunity to redshirt with the Bills behind Dawkins and Brown, and with Brown's contract coming up it's sensible to get a developmental guy this year. His athletic traits are as good as anyone, but the teams taking OT are taking them to start Day 1. It's suboptimal to spend that R2 on a guy who isn't playing this year, but the ceiling is sky-high and the position is as critical as anything non-QB. Getting a R3 in a trade-back makes that possible.
  9. First shot trying out the ESPN simulator. Round 1, Pick 28 Brian Thomas Jr. LSU WR Rk: 24 - Lol no-brainer. A perfect start. *** TRADE *** #60 + #133 for #62 + #113 (BAL - JaLynn Polk + Jared Wiley) Round 2, Pick 62 Kingsley Suamataia BYU OT Rk: 44 - Felt 60 was too high for a Hicks or Bishop, so took the small trade down to improve an asset. - But then... there's Suamataia sitting at 62 at a premium position. Kinda gotta. Round 4, Pick 113 Austin Booker Kansas EDGE Rk: 112 - Traitsy underclassman at another premium position. High ceiling, lots of room for physical and technique development. Round 4, Pick 128 Tanor Bortolini Wisconsin C/G Rk: 122 - Another case of rare athleticism for an early enty at a pipeline position. Round 5, Pick 144 Dominique Hampton Washington CB/S Rk: 146 - Has the size and speed for big nickel, and ST applications ala Siran Neal. Round 5, Pick 160 Isaac Guerendo Louisville RB Rk: 153 - Explosive, blazing top-end speed can make one cut and head to the house. Round 5, Pick 163 Decamerion Richardson Miss. State CB Rk: 161 - Long and explosive, he's a projection here. Insofar as he compares to Elam, it's fine for #163OA. Round 6, Pick 200 Jordan Magee Temple ILB Rk: 167 - Fits the rangy and instinctive LB profile the Bills currently favor. Round 6, Pick 204 Myles Cole Texas Tech DE/DT Rk: 117 - He could be Groot or could be Boogie but this isn't much capital to invest to find out. Round 7, Pick 248 Malik Mustapha Wake Forest S Rk: 225 - This is a stupid ranking on the site, irl this probably never happens. Frankly I'm happy with him at 144 if need be.
  10. Trading out of both 28 and 60 to yield 4 top-100 picks and a #2 next year, and let the board dictate the value. Legette at 51, great a true X. Opted for Tez over Bishop since both Bullock and Bishop were on the board, leaving plan B at 88. Maason Smith is a boom/bust proposition. From there we're looking for either a scheme fit (the corners) or explosive athletes (the rest). Theo Johnson at 160 was just irresistable. Would like both DT's to force themself on the roster but would settle for one. Would have liked to address OT a little higher but it's top heavy, and maybe edge but there's bigger problems to address first and every day 3 DE is a project anyway...
  11. We're only moving 11 spots at Jax spot. I think even if it takes the 2025 R1, if the right guy is there, it's not a complete getting of future assets which the Bills will need to provide a flow of cap-control contributors. But I don't know it's that outrageously out of touch. One of the 3 of 2025 R1, Min R2 and Buf R2 could well get it done. My plan A in mind was likely moving down to the top of R2 for (not Byron) Franklin and picking up something in the 100 range. TBH I think I do prefer a small move down and a Franklin or McConkey to moving up for Odunze, but I was curious how things would fall. Wilson as a fifth I think is undervalued. I don't worry about his separation because his contested catch numbers are insane. Think he can be a Cris Carter level red zone weapon. C Johnson is probably more rightly slotted in 5th-6th round but high-ceiling for that area. Tykee is fine if you can't get the USC, Utah or other UGA kid, he's got range but the others seem more explosive and Beane is focused on that. Bortolini to me is great in his movement to the second level but is Morse-like in that his anchor isn't the best, light in the ass. Just think Kormer has a type and Limmer has greater pop at the point of attack. McCormick in that area is also an option. Jefferson would be a good get with either 160 or 163. Sometimes the guy you didn't expect to be there is there, it happens.
  12. Second post-draft mock, and this time while I was sitting back with my trade-back philosophy a funny thing happened. A guy fell. And fell and fell. And finally it was all I could stands and I couldn't stands no more. *** TRADE *** From BUF: #28, 2025 R2 From JAX: #17 PICK: 17 RND: 1 (BUF from JAX) Rome ODUNZE WR Washington I would have thrown in a 4th too, but this bluff got through. You know who the guy is. *** TRADE *** From BUF: #60 From ARI: #66, #104 PICK: 66 RND: 3 (BUF) Kingsley SUAMATAIA OT BYU Getting an early 4th is key here and we get the guy we'd have taken at 60 anyway. PICK: 104 RND: 4 (BUF) Cole BISHOP S Utah Rangy and smart safety fits the next biggest need for the team. PICK: 128 RND: 4 (BUF) Beaux LIMMER C Arkansas I'm fine with McGovern and Anderson at C but the value here is excellent. Kromer will get the best 5 out there. PICK: 134 RND: 4 (BUF) Jarrian JONES CB Florida State Our zone corner, previously discussed. PICK: 144 RND: 5 (BUF) Johnny WILSON WR Florida State This is Tariq Woolen stuff where an off-the-range athlete drops for reasons unknown. PICK: 160 RND: 5 (BUF) Nehemiah PRITCHETT CB Auburn At this point I'm looking for Beane's "explosive" traits, his 10 and 40 splits speaks to elite recovery speed. PICK: 163 RND: 5 (BUF) Myles COLE DE-EDGE Texas Tech Our sleeper Groot, previously discussed. PICK: 200 RND: 6 (BUF) Jordan JEFFERSON DT LSU Again, explosiveness (4.70 at 313lb) and the value here is nuts. PICK: 204 RND: 6 (BUF) Ryan FLOURNOY WR Southeast Missouri State Later rinse repeat. High level suddenness and high end traits needing coaching. 3 X WRs? Sure why not. PICK: 248 RND: 7 (BUF) Trevin WALLACE LB Kentucky Prospect for ST can really move, profiles a bit like Dorian Williams in being short, yet long.
  13. Seems like this board says it's time to get on the phone with Washington and try sending 60 and 134 for 67 and 100.
  14. If the Bills weren't in the middle of a cap bloodbath and opening holes across the roster, go ahead and get that one piece. 2024/25 is no longer the time to light up Day 1/2 draft capital, they need to acquire it.
  15. Odd that you mention Denver and Nix. I had a mock where I went the other direction - trading down from 28 to 35 with Denver who also added 71 and 226 in order to draft Nix. A subsequent trade down with Washington from 60 for 67 + 100 yielded the possibility of drafting the following players: #35 Ad Mitchell WR #67 Kingsley Suamataia T #71 Ricky Pearsall/Devontez Walker WR #100 Calen Bullock S It's up to Beane to decide whether something like this is superior to leveraging the capital for one slam dunk player in the first half of R1, or an established threat who'll need a payday soon, but don't panic if nothing happens before #28 is on the clock. Day 2 tackles and receivers in this draft, some of them would go R1 in other years I'm sure.
  16. Yeah, it's a tough call, but while Thomas has been rocketing up it's really one year of production - although being that productive with Nabers on the other side is not nothing. For me it's not a lead pipe cinch that he'd be so much better than Conk or Mitchell. If your review of tape indicates that, then I'll accept that, I'm sure I haven't watched nearly as much. The later round guys I'm looking for undervalued athletes with traits. And guys who show up in the "best available" menu on the mock draft site lol. There's a few different ways to go as you said, like Bortolini over McCormick but he's more of a dancer than the Kromer vision of nasty maulers. TBH the Washington kid at T (Rosengarten?) had also dropped into that range but I'm happy with Van Demark at swing and just had Sumaiata fall into my lap so where does he make the roster? I'm tantalized by the Tech guys metrics, if they can be had where they are gotten in this mock. The one guy on Day 3 who wasn't that traitsy profile was the FSU CB Jones, who iirc you were also looking at in this range?
  17. I've come around to this kind of thinking. If it was a draft where there were maybe 5 guys who could a) contribute this year and b) with WR1 upside then the move up to get one makes sense. But it's the historic depth in this draft at WR that lets you take swings on Day 2 and Day 3 and some of those guys will be big time stars in this league. I'm feeling like this might be Beane's angle on it as well. After going through a couple mocks, the board keeps steering me in that direction, and picking up extra pick(s) in the 60-100 range is key to filling the losses of the cap reset now underway.
  18. First crack at a post-Diggs draft which means the Bills are drafting at least 2 WRs... maybe even 3. Let's go. *** trade *** From BUF: #28 To BUF: #35, #71, #226 Why: Arizona moves up for Bo Nix offering 2024 capital which we really need. With Mitchell, Thomas and McConkey still on the board, we're gambling one lasts to 35. If Beane loves one he takes him here probably, but 71 is right in a golden zone in this draft to fill roster holes with '24 contributors. PICK: 35 RND: 2 (BUF) Adonai MITCHELL WR Texas And one does make to to #35. Phew. *** trade *** From BUF: #60 To BUF: #67, #100, 2025 7th Why: There's a lot to choose from here at premium positions like Edge (Solomon, Kamara) and Tackle (Sumaiata, Amegadjie). The draft really seems to fall off around 100 to 110 so adding a pick in that range could pay off big. PICK: 67 RND: 3 (BUF) Kingsley SUAMATAIA OT BYU The Mailata contract (and the Jason Peters history) shows the value of a freak athlete at tackle. Insurance against loss of Brown in '25, and entering as a Sophomore at age 21 gives him a lot of runway for devlopment. PICK: 71 RND: 3 (BUF) Ricky PEARSALL WR Florida Mitchell is the X with WR1 upside, this is a guy to help Shakir take up Diggs slack as a chain-mover. Could have gone for Devontez Walker here to bring in another X with WR1 potential, and maybe should have with Shakir and Samuel in the fold? Eh, whatever, I clicked it, I own it. PICK: 100 RND: 3 (BUF) Calen BULLOCK S USC Didn't expect this guy to be available at this spot. A rangy ball-hawk with room for physical development and an early declare as well, he ticks all the boxes for OBD at this point in the draft. PICK: 128 RND: 4 (BUF) Isaac GUERENDO RB Louisville Solomon and Kamara are still on the board (prefer Kamara) but the home run hitter at this point in the draft just can't be ignored. PICK: 134 RND: 4 (BUF) Jarrian JONES CB Florida State Baltimore takes Kamara because of course they do, but I got a guy I'm looking for in the 5th or 6th round at edge. We've talked in previous mocks about what a scheme-fit Jones seems to be, I keep coming back to him in this range. PICK: 144 RND: 5 (BUF) Mason MCCORMICK OT South Dakota State Super-athletic development prospect for IOL positions. PICK: 160 RND: 5 (BUF) Jordan JEFFERSON DT LSU Super-athletic development prospect for IDL positions. PICK: 163 RND: 5 (BUF) Myles COLE DE-EDGE Texas Tech Here's my guy. The first of the Texas Tech freaks, another Groot at 6'6" 278 and laying it down in sub-4.7. PICK: 200 RND: 6 (BUF) M.J. DEVONSHIRE CB Pittsburgh A late-round zone corner from Pitt? That trick always works. PICK: 204 RND: 6 (BUF) Curtis JACOBS LB Penn State Early entry from Linebacker U, at worst shoud be a core ST guy. PICK: 226 RND: 7 (BUF) Tyler OWENS S Texas Tech An absolute burner (4.3) with very limited college experience will need coached up, and that's what McDermott is for. PICK: 248 RND: 7 (BUF) Bub MEANS WR Pittsburgh Solid value here. A thick athlete at 6'1" 212 with long arms, big hands and elite short-area metrics, but will need to learn pro-style route running, which is why a Malachi Corley with a very similar physical profile goes in round 2 and not here.
  19. Interesting take from anonymous Front-office guy in the Athletic today Also lol’d at this one regarding Dak from GM Mack A. Velli:
  20. I threw out the assumption that #1 receiver is not worth a reach, and let the draft fall (nfldraftbuzz). There's guys on the board I know would never be there in the positions taken (Guerendo, Cole) but you gotta work with whatcha got. PICK: 28 RND: 1 (BUF) Chop ROBINSON DE-EDGE Penn State > Crazy athlete might be a Parsons-lite chess piece as best, and makes up for Von at worst. *** TRADE *** #60 for #62 & #113 > Value was too good to turn down. PICK: 62 RND: 2 (BUF) Kiran AMEGADJIE OT Yale > Long-armed light-footed project for either side at a premium position. PICK: 113 RND: 4 (BUF) Cole BISHOP S Utah > Smart and rangy, need Hyde's heir apparent at some point. PICK: 128 RND: 4 (BUF) Johnny WILSON WR Florida State > Big and huge (6'7" 237). Who cares if he doesn't get separation at that size. PICK: 134 RND: 4 (BUF) Isaac GUERENDO RB Louisville > Home run threat (4.33) on any given touch is too much value here to pass. PICK: 144 RND: 5 (BUF) Jarrian JONES CB Florida State > Should be a scheme fit, exceptional recovery speed. PICK: 160 RND: 5 (BUF) Luke MCCAFFREY WR Rice > Might be too similar to Shakir as a short-armed technician? PICK: 163 RND: 5 (BUF) Tanor BORTOLINI C Wisconsin > Developmental center with elite movement traits. PICK: 189 RND: 6 (BUF) Jordan JEFFERSON DT LSU > Probably better suited for 3T than 1T but crazy athleticism and a wrestling background. PICK: 200 RND: 6 (BUF) Ro TORRENCE CB Arizona State > Long corner, but not really long speed. Maybe a big slot or someone to use against bigger WRs or TEs. PICK: 204 RND: 6 (BUF) Myles COLE DE-EDGE Texas Tech > The Bills seem to like these big edges, Cole has Grootish length and is a RAS monster. PICK: 248 RND: 7 (BUF) Tyler OWENS S Texas Tech > Another traits guy with size and especially speed, limited college reps.
  21. The next best option to an all-purpose WR1 playing the X is a Gabe Davis replacement who's not on a Jacksonville contract. It may be Shorter. It may be somewhere in this draft in that Gabe Davis zone - not at the top, but early Day 3 where the Bills happen to be flush with picks, maybe a guy like Devontez falls, or get value on a Cornelius Johnson or Johnny Wilson. If you're feeling sporty go back to UCF for Javon Baker, he can't run worse routes than Davis, can he?
  22. Tried my luck on nfldraftbuzz and they were bound and determined to give me all the 2025 draft picks PICK: 28 RND: 1 (BUF) Brian THOMAS JR. WR LSU PICK: 60 RND: 2 (BUF) Chris BRASWELL LB-EDGE Alabama PICK: 134 RND: 4 (BUF) Roger ROSENGARTEN OT Washington PICK: 144 RND: 5 (BUF) Hunter NOURZAD C Penn State PICK: 163 RND: 5 (BUF) Malik MUSTAPHA S Wake Forest PICK: 194 RND: 6 (BUF) Jordan JEFFERSON DT LSU PICK: 200 RND: 6 (BUF) Cornelius JOHNSON WR Michigan DRAFT PICKS RECEIVED PICK: RND: 2 (GB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 2 (CIN) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 2 (TB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 2 (KC) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 3 (TB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 3 (JAX) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 4 (JAX) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 4 (KC) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 5 (GB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 5 (KC) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 6 (GB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 7 (GB) NEXT YEAR (2025) PICK: RND: 7 (KC) NEXT YEAR (2025) PLAYERS GAINED Jordan BATTLE S Mecole HARDMAN JR. WR
  23. These guys are bound to be the Steeles of the draft.
  24. NGL the last pick was for the name alone.
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