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Everything posted by GASabresIUFan
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Salary cap question, Leonard Floyd’s dead cap
GASabresIUFan replied to Buffalo_Stampede's topic in The Stadium Wall
It's called a void year. Yes, we signed him to a one-year deal, but on paper, it was a 2-year deal so that Floyd could get the money he wanted and the Bills could limit the cap hit in 2023. -
WR is the one area that I don't think a veteran presence is at all important. GB made the playoffs with a WR group and TE group consisting of all 1st and 2nd year players and their top 4 WRs and top 2 TEs produced as many yards and more TDs than our mixed group of 4 vets, 1 2nd yr player (Shakir), and one rookie (Kincaid). The 2 vets we signed last year gave us 26 catches for 236 yards and 2 TDs. IMHO dump Harty, don't sign any vets, and just draft 2 quality receivers. They'll be cheaper, probably healthier, and likely more productive. The only caveat here is whether or not management believes in Shorter. If they do, draft the BPA receiver with our 1st pick, and then don't worry about it. Don't forget Hamler (a small speed receiver) has been signed to a futures contract/
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It wasn't a serious comment, but a wonderful notion of having a great "Josh Allen" on both sides of the ball.
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I do wonder how the rankings will change after the Combine and the pro days. Look what the Senior Bowl did for McConkey. Who will be faster than expected? Who slower? Who shorter? Who with a better vertical leap? I don’t think the top 3 will change very much, but if Mitchell runs faster than expected, he could easily move up.
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Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
You can accomplish the cap savings and keep both Morse and Bates by extending Morse with a void year or two and by restructuring Bates's deal. Those two moves could save about 5-6 in cap and Beane retains his starter and his depth. As I said previously, I'd extend Morse, trade Bates, and draft Van Pran. -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Really? The only 2 on the roster are the aging (and slowing) Poyer and the resurrected Hamlin. We need two safeties at a minimum. A FA starter for a year or two and at least one from this draft to either supplant Poyer or the FA by 2025. There 4 very talented safeties in this draft who will go in the top 75 in Bullock, Bullard, Kinchens, and Nubin. The Bills need to grab one of them if they can. -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think the needs at DT and Safety are going to be lessened by free agency. I don't think Beane wants to head into the season with a rookie at D Jones' slot or in Hyde's slot, but you never know. The only rookie starter I see for the Bills next season is at WR2 unless a draft pick shines in camp at S or DT and supplants the signed FA. From my standpoint, getting an Edge, DT, C, OT, and or S all could (should?) be early picks, but come after the WR2 in level of necessity. Getting the vets as starters for a year or two in FA allows Beane the luxury of picking the BPA from those 5 positions instead of simply drafting for need. -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Maybe, but do you think that Beane, with so much to do to fix the Dline, Safety and WR, is going to make a huge change to the one area of his team that he doesn't need to alter? -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I'm hoping he slips to the 80's. I'm hoping the Bills trade down in the first to pick up an extra 3rd. With that extra 3rd, and if we get lucky, Van Pran will be sitting there for us to take with the acquired pick. https://www.drafttek.com/nfl-trade-value-chart.asp It will take two trades to get into the 80s. 1 - Buffalo trades 28 & 206 to Ari for 35 & 90 2 - Buffalo trades 90 & 162 to Cleveland for 85 & 228 -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
If Bates was a better option at center than Morse he would have beat him out for the starting job last season. Instead, Bates only played 3% of the offensive snaps last season. Bates is a very good depth O lineman. He can backup at center and both guard positions. Who knows what Anderson can or can't do as he hasn't even played a down for the Bills. Where I agree with you is the depth at center in the draft. I would love for the Bills to draft Van Pran from UGA. This would allow the Bills to trade Bates, saving another $5 mill in cap. Van Pran could then be mentored by Morse for a year or two and then take over when Morse retires. I watched Van Pran for years at UGA and he will be a very good to excellent pro center. -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
If the Bills are able to do everything on their list they could conceivably cut $90 mill from the cap. Some of the things they suggested, like giving Morse and Poyer pay cuts, aren’t happening. Both might sign some kind extension to get their cap hit down but neither is agreeing to a pay cut. They also suggested only giving pay cuts to Harty and Hines. Sorry, but I doubt both will be back next season. Harty is easily replaced and Hines is a huge injury risk. I’d move on from both and save all 8.7. Their other big money grab, besides Josh, was a Diggs restructure. They argue he is going to be here another 3 years regardless because of his contract and we need to win now. I was against it at first, but they convinced me. Clearing 13 mill for Diggs could be the difference in re-signing Jones or a good replacement or having to go with a rookie or cheap UFA. PS Why do so many people think we should cut Morse? I understand the cap savings, but last season the O line was a huge strength. Why weaken it by dumping the anchor of the line who stayed healthy and played great? I think Beane likely agrees with me and if Morse wants to return he will. -
There is only FA the Bills should sign this off-season and that is Josh Allen. The only way this team wins the SB is by having Josh Allen on both sides of the ball.
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Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Di you notice the lack of a good No. 2 WR to take some of the pressure off Diggs? If we get Diggs a good complimentary boundary receiver, Diggs should have a great bounce-back year. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Diggs will be in Buffalo through the 2026 season. -
Final in depth Salary Cap update by the Cover 1 crew
GASabresIUFan replied to transplantbillsfan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I looked at his list and the Athletic’s list and there are 13 guys they agree have potential cap savings, but not necessarily on what to do. Both ended up with 70 million in cap savings. They both looked at restructuring Allen, McGovern, Knox, Milano and Bates. They also agreed on extensions for Dawkins, Douglas and T. Johnson. Where they disagreed on how to get the cap savings was Harty, Hines, White, Poyer and Morse. Tompsett suggests pay cuts for all 5 players. Hines and Harty may take a cut, but Poyer and Morse won’t. White may take a cut, but I doubt that as well. The Athletic suggests extensions for White and Morse using void years and non-guarantees (White) to get the cap down and a restructuring for Poyer. Personally, I’d move on from both Harty and Hines and save 8.7 million. Both are easily replaced. Tompsett also suggested looking at restructuring Diggs since he isn’t going anywhere for the next 3 years, releasing Martin, a pay cut for Neal and restructure for Oliver. These moves could potentially save another 20+. Re-signing D Jones was the panels highest priority. Others mentioned Edwards, Floyd, Ty Johnson, Epenesa (although he’s probably too expensive to re-sign) and Dane Jackson or Rapp. They also mentioned Elliott at RB and Mooney at WR. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
I’m no capologist, but the way I understand the idea is that the Bills would change his salary and roster bonus to a signing bonus prorated over 4 years thus decreasing the cap hit by the 7 mill. My guess is it would increase his dead cap hit in 2025 by about 2.5, but according to spotrac.com this would still be favorable as his current dead cap in 2025 is 4.1 vs an active cap of 16+. What I don’t know is void years and things of that nature that would affect our cap for White even if cut this year. The other thing I don’t know is whether an injury settlement is required vs an out-right release. If required, who knows what this might look like in the end. If it is required maybe Joe’s idea is a smarter way to proceed. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
In general, I agree with your contention why hold onto a twice-injured CB who is unlikely to return at his former all-pro level? However, I get the impression that White is part of the leadership on this team and that Beane likes him. I also look at our depth beyond the 3 starters (Benford, Douglas, and Johnson) and think that White may still have a future in Buffalo. Do you trust Elam or Neal if one of the 3 starters gets hurt? That's where the Athletic's idea comes in. It allows the Bills to get more cap savings than an outright release while still keeping him and allowing him to recover properly from his injury. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Morse isn’t getting cut unless he says he’s retiring. If he says he wants to return, he is our starting center. The only question is how we get his cap hit down. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
https://theathletic.com/5238669/2024/02/02/buffalo-bills-offseason-salary-cap/ This is the best approach I've seen 1) Josh - Restructure salary and roster bonus - 22.63 in savings 2) White - Roster bonus due in early March - sign an extension but one without any guarantees to 2027. Allows White time to heal and gives the Bill immediate savings - 7.39 3) Douglas - Extend Douglas for two years - 6.03 in savings 4) Knox - Restructure -5.86 in savings 5) Morse - one-year extension with 3 void years - 5.01 in savings 6) McGovern - turn his base salary into a signing bonus - $3.12 in savings 7) Hines - pay cut - 2.5 in savings 8.) Milano - restructure - Salary to bonus - 2.19 in saving 9) Bates - turn salary in bonus - 2.08 in savings 10) Poyer - Restructure + a void year - 1.765 in savings 11) Harty - pay cut - 1.5 in savings (I'd cut him if we are keeping Hines) 12) T Johnson - Extension - Depending on extension length - potential savings 2-5 million 13) Dawkins - Extension - 2 years with possible 2 void years - potential savings 2-4 million? more? This nets us about 63-70 million. I still think we need to get to 80. Not sure how he gets there. I'm moving on from Harty and Hines as I can find cheaper and better replacements for substantially less. Middle to late-round draftees could perform at their levels for less than $2 mill total. I'd cut both, save the $9 mill, and use draft picks or other depth FAs as replacements. That saves $7 mill net vs the $4 mill projected in the article. -
Bills official offseason Cap moves thread.
GASabresIUFan replied to SoonerBillsFan's topic in The Stadium Wall
What can the Bills do to get cap complaint? They have to dump or restructure about 75-80 million to have any freedom in free agency and to sign their draft picks. The big piece will likely be moving some or all of Josh’s 23.5 salary to a bonus of some sort, shrinking Josh’s can hit significantly. The cuts should be Hines (cap savings $5 mill), Harty (4.2), White (6), although there is probably some things Beane can do to keep Hines and White, but restructure to reduce their cap hits significantly. White, if designated for June 1 would save 10 mill in cap for 2024. Morse, Douglas, Dawkins, T Johnson are all on the last year of their current deals. I can see all of them being extended a year or two to create cap space through bonus structuring. I’m sure there are other restructuring Beane could do to come the necessary cap space. I can also see Morse retiring, and Bates taking over his slot. This would save nearly 8.5 Other potential cap casualties Gilliam (savings 1.9), Neal (2.9), and Martin (1.2). All of this gets about 55-60 off the books in 2024. I figured a out $3 mill in savings per extension for the 4 players. These move leaves us about $20 mill short of the goal. I wonder if we can somehow defer for cap purposes 3 mill each from Diggs and Miller and push it to the 2026 cap. This will eat some of the cap savings in 2026, but not really significantly. I also think Diggs will be here through 2026 anyway and Miller through 2025. Miller’s dead cap is $9 (vs 20 salary in 2026) and Digg’s dead cap is $5 in 2027 (vs a salary of 18). -
What is your unpopular Bills opinion?
GASabresIUFan replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Bills draft history says otherwise. I agree with you generally on 6th rd or later and that is reflected on the draft chart I linked earlier. However, Beane and Watney had a pretty good 5th track record. Since 2017, the Bills have drafted Milano, Neal, Wyatt Teller (all-pro G Beane let go way too early), Doyle, Shakir, and Shorter. Shorter and Doyle are still unknowns, but getting Milano, Teller, and Shakir is pretty amazing. They have done pretty well in the 6th and 7th. McCloud, Dane Jackson, Bass, Hodgins, Spector, and Benford are all 6th or 7th-round picks. Benford is the real gem, but McCloud and Jackson have very solid careers, and Spector shows some good promise. Honestly, given our cap and depth issues, I want as many lottery tickets in this draft as possible. -
What is your unpopular Bills opinion?
GASabresIUFan replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall
No not in the 1st, but last year he traded down 3 times to get extra draft capital in the draft after moving up a few slots to get Kincaid in the first. -
What is your unpopular Bills opinion?
GASabresIUFan replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall
I know. People here keep saying trade up to get X receiver or trade everything to get y receiver. Sadly that is a sure way to fail this off-season given we are 50 million over the cap and have 22 UFAs. Given the depth at WR & S in this draft and our desperate need for young, cost-controlled, defensive talent at safety, DT, and Edge, getting a 4th top 100 pick by trading down 3-7 slots from 28 will go a long way toward filling those holes while getting us the WR we need to replace Davis. https://www.drafttek.com/NFL-Trade-Value-Chart.asp?RequestTeam=gb When looking at this chart the 28th pick is worth 660 "points." Sliding down to say 35 or 36 will net us an additional late 3rd rd pick. If the team is desperate enough we could get a pick in the mid 80's instead of 90's. A perfect partner for us could be Ari who has 27, 35, 66, 71 & 90. I'd trade 28 (and 201 or 205 if necessary) for 35 & 90. -
Does this team actually have the guts to move on from Tre White?
GASabresIUFan replied to Jim's topic in The Stadium Wall
I think the thread question should be do they have the guts not to move on from White. -
What is your unpopular Bills opinion?
GASabresIUFan replied to Mikie2times's topic in The Stadium Wall
The Bills trade out of the 1st round to get an extra pick in the 3rd round.