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Chaos

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Everything posted by Chaos

  1. Add all the turnvovers to the Bills punts, still about league average for Punts alone, hence 13-3 (best qb on planet makes this possible)
  2. Just not nearly as many as great offenses in the 21st century.
  3. I am sure everyone knows good teams don't punt as much. I doubt most people on this board realize how much less the Bills punt than the league average.
  4. This is a a special thread dedicated to those melting down over throwing long passes and having turnovers. The Bills have a huge gap to everyone on punting. This is why Allen and Mahomes are among the league leaders in interceptions and yet are the top seeds in the AFC. Punts stop drives, every bit as much as turnovers do.
  5. It is plainly ridiculous. The person making the comment you responded seems to have no understanding of the concept of expected value.
  6. Any serious person who understands the NFL ranks Allen as no worse than the third best QB in the league. He raises up the rest of the talent and coaching on his team more so than any other player in the league. (In my opinion Andy Reid coaches offense better than the Bills). No one had built a perfect model for projecting who will the next game. But this model, which has no subjectivity, is better than any I have seen.
  7. line is minus 4 on FanDuel. Ravens controlled Chase yesterday. And put pressure on Burrows. Aid the Bills defense can do the same the Bills should win easy.
  8. I am 100 percent certain the Miami defense allowed the Bills to score 34 points yesterday.
  9. Defense allowed 34 yesterday. So the Bills achieved your goal.
  10. Can anyone complaining about the offensive result yesterday tell me how many points you expect the offense to score?
  11. because we are blessed to have Josh Allen as QB.
  12. How does he do it? Josh Allen's offense put up 34 points yesterday with three turnovers (call it 27 if you want to deduct 7 for not eating the fumble). Joe Burrows no interception team put up 17 points yesterday. 34 points should be sufficient to win most NFL games. 17 points is not. During the course of the season Burrows, Allen and Mahomes were all among league leaders in interceptions. Why are these teams not cellar dwellers? The 1970's caveman mind set the is pervasive on this board seems to believe that a time consuming drive where they other team takes possession of the ball at their own 20 after a punt is a great offensive outcome, but a pick off in the endzone brought out to the 20 is an epic disaster. In fact, these are identical outcomes. Understanding that, is how you learn that a QB putting up 34 points with two interceptions had a good game (not great, but good).
  13. https://www.nfeloapp.com/nfl-power-ratings/nfl-epa-tiers/ This stat is the likely the best way to identify the strongest teams in the NFL. And it relates the most directly to the eye test. It shows for example, the Bills have good defenses and offenses, but that the offense is measurably better than the defense. More than any other divisional round team, the Chiefs rely more on offense than other teams, but have an average, not bad defense This link explains the concept https://www.nfeloapp.com/analysis/expected-points-added-epa-nfl/. Apologies to those who were told there would be no math.
  14. If the Bengals oline keeps falling apart, they might. But they are still pretty big underdogs.
  15. There seems to be no thoughts to McDermott's timeouts. Only coach in the league who calls a timeout to prevent the other team from getting a delay penalty.
  16. Rams went to two super bowls and won one, and so far have been bad for one year.
  17. Lets not do all blues anymore.
  18. Do we need to score more than 34 or give up less than 31 to be better next week?
  19. I feel like the Dolphins are the germans right after they bombed pearl harbor and we need our vengeance
  20. Winning and putting away are two very different things.
  21. It seems clear, Damar Hamlin has already had the biggest impact. Lets win four for the gipper.
  22. You never know. Bengals struggled to put the Ravens away just last week.
  23. This is such an improvement over the mocking that Tim Tebow recieved. Josh is a special young man.
  24. Are we allowed to talk about this?
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