-
Posts
7,526 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Everything posted by Chaos
-
We are on the verge of an announcers discussion of how Dak Prescott is one of the great QBs in all of NFL history
-
This is very brilliant strategic play. No risky long passes.
-
Dak Gak underway
-
You are a unifier not a divider.
-
Difference in O-Line Year over Year
Chaos replied to Rich Stadium Original's topic in The Stadium Wall
Compared to baseball or basketball, it is much tougher for me to separate responsibilities in a football game. I think one reason the oline "regressed" this year, is that the Bills play calling seems very predictable. I think it is much harder to perform as a online, if the defense knows the play call. But the predictiability issue is just my perception, not something I know how to quantify. -
From what I understand NYS government plans to have tourism weed as a cornerstone of its economy. It is nice of a visitor to give this publicity.
-
Difference in O-Line Year over Year
Chaos replied to Rich Stadium Original's topic in The Stadium Wall
The online was not awful yesterday. The OLine was part of unit that scored 34 points, and would have had more without some drops. However the oline has been awful most of the season, definitely a bottom tier unit statistically. The coaching/management assumption seems to be that Josh can take care of himself. -
Expected Points Added. The most important NFL stat is also almost unknown.
Chaos replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Just not nearly as many as great offenses in the 21st century. -
This is a a special thread dedicated to those melting down over throwing long passes and having turnovers. The Bills have a huge gap to everyone on punting. This is why Allen and Mahomes are among the league leaders in interceptions and yet are the top seeds in the AFC. Punts stop drives, every bit as much as turnovers do.
-
Expected Points Added. The most important NFL stat is also almost unknown.
Chaos replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
It is plainly ridiculous. The person making the comment you responded seems to have no understanding of the concept of expected value. -
Expected Points Added. The most important NFL stat is also almost unknown.
Chaos replied to Chaos's topic in The Stadium Wall
Any serious person who understands the NFL ranks Allen as no worse than the third best QB in the league. He raises up the rest of the talent and coaching on his team more so than any other player in the league. (In my opinion Andy Reid coaches offense better than the Bills). No one had built a perfect model for projecting who will the next game. But this model, which has no subjectivity, is better than any I have seen. -
I am 100 percent certain the Miami defense allowed the Bills to score 34 points yesterday.
-
Defense allowed 34 yesterday. So the Bills achieved your goal.
-
Can anyone complaining about the offensive result yesterday tell me how many points you expect the offense to score?
-
because we are blessed to have Josh Allen as QB.
-
How does he do it? Josh Allen's offense put up 34 points yesterday with three turnovers (call it 27 if you want to deduct 7 for not eating the fumble). Joe Burrows no interception team put up 17 points yesterday. 34 points should be sufficient to win most NFL games. 17 points is not. During the course of the season Burrows, Allen and Mahomes were all among league leaders in interceptions. Why are these teams not cellar dwellers? The 1970's caveman mind set the is pervasive on this board seems to believe that a time consuming drive where they other team takes possession of the ball at their own 20 after a punt is a great offensive outcome, but a pick off in the endzone brought out to the 20 is an epic disaster. In fact, these are identical outcomes. Understanding that, is how you learn that a QB putting up 34 points with two interceptions had a good game (not great, but good).
-
https://www.nfeloapp.com/nfl-power-ratings/nfl-epa-tiers/ This stat is the likely the best way to identify the strongest teams in the NFL. And it relates the most directly to the eye test. It shows for example, the Bills have good defenses and offenses, but that the offense is measurably better than the defense. More than any other divisional round team, the Chiefs rely more on offense than other teams, but have an average, not bad defense This link explains the concept https://www.nfeloapp.com/analysis/expected-points-added-epa-nfl/. Apologies to those who were told there would be no math.
-
If the Bengals oline keeps falling apart, they might. But they are still pretty big underdogs.
-
There seems to be no thoughts to McDermott's timeouts. Only coach in the league who calls a timeout to prevent the other team from getting a delay penalty.
-
Chris Simms: Dolphins No. 1 Team to watch in Lamar Jackson Sweepstakes
Chaos replied to Nextmanup's topic in The Stadium Wall
Rams went to two super bowls and won one, and so far have been bad for one year. -
Lets not do all blues anymore.