Billl

The contract he just signed, obviously.

Who’d they trade Zeke to?

That should be simple enough. Just tell their front 7 to get a bunch more sacks. Why stop at 6.5, though. Tell them to get 20 more sacks and tell their other Defensive Backs to get a dozen more INTs. Then you don’t have to pay anyone to play Adams’s position. Just play 11 on 10.

How did he plateau when last season he had far and away the best season of his career?

I love this comment. It gets posted every time this situation occurs no matter how many times it’s proven wrong. Of course he has leverage. He’s using it right now. There is a 100% chance that he eventually gets a new contract. He is a GREAT player, easily the best on the team. Drafting him is the best move they’ve made in years. Terrible franchises lose when they play hardball with great players. Bill and the Patriots have the juice to screw players. Gase and the Jets don’t. The more they piss off Adams, the less they will get if they have to trade him. See this thread if you’re wondering how this will play out.

I envy the life of someone who has time to worry that the NFL might treat Kaepernick too well.

The variables that factor into the formula don’t matter for the sake of this question. What matters is that having a completion percentage below the expected level is bad and vice versa.

If all of our parents had done the same, we’d have herd immunity by now. As it is, were years away from a vaccine. I’m drinking fish tank cleaner just to be safe.

No. It means that, when controlling for all of those factors, both should have been able to complete 62.6% of their passes. Dak was especially accurate allowing his receivers to catch more passes. Josh...wasn’t. He was one of the very worst in the league even when grading him on a curve that includes drops. Had his receivers dropped fewer passes, his expected completion percentage would have been higher than 62.6%.

The last 3 columns show the actual completion percentage, the expected completion percentage, and how much better or worse than expected each QB did. Josh and Dak were expected to complete 62.6% of their passes when adjusting for things like drops, pressure, etc. Dak completed 65.1% (+2.5%) and Josh completed 58.9% (-3.7%).

To do so would be INSANE!

Interestingly enough, Josh and Dak were both expected to complete exactly 62.6% of their passes.

It is literally INSANE to worry about a global pandemic rather than people getting liquored up and jumping through tables. People need to get their priorities straight. Sounds like you’ve built up an immunity to jaywalking.

Unless David Blough, Gardner Minshew, Dwayne Haskins, and Josh Allen blew the rest of the QBs out of the water, I think it’s safe to say you’re reading it backwards. Those 4 had the biggest negative discrepancy between expected completion percentages and their actual completion percentages.

I had no idea how victimized you were. Best if you just hole up in your safe space where you won’t have to watch those mean people you’ll never meet kneel for 90 seconds.

Every single one of us can protest at work. If you're not important enough to matter, you can be fired for it. If you're important enough, you won't.

That’s last season. You said he’s played poorly for the last 2 seasons, and that isn’t the case at all.

Such a soft league for QBs yet Allen has been knocked out of multiple games already. Bledsoe never sniffed an MVP, while Jackson was the second unanimous winner in history.

They measure all of this at the combine, and he ran a 4.76. You can’t compare playing 3 sports in high school to being offered millions to play in MLB. It’s laughable to compare him athletically to guys who could play multiple sports professionally, especially when those guys are light years better at the sport Josh does play. Watson had a better 40 time, a better vertical, a better shuttle, etc. Josh had better velocity on his throws. Two of the biggest plays in the postseason were runs by Watson (throwing on the run after breaking out of a sack) and Mahomes (torching the Titans for a 30+ yard TD). They run every bit as well as Allen, but they prefer to pick their spots because they throw so well. When the season was on the line and they ran, they were elite runners, though. Either of them could put up similar rushing numbers to Josh if they had 100+ attempts.

Good thing he led the NFL in TD passes, then.

Lamar is 19-3 as a starter with 2 of those losses being against the Mahomes and the Chiefs...and he’s 22. He’s already far superior to Bledsoe’ best.

EJ was dumped 2 games into his sophomore season. Taylor was dumped for Nathan Peterman after making the playoffs.

I don’t understand the “higher ceiling” trope with Allen. He’s a good athlete at the QB position, but he’s not an elite athlete compared to guys like Newton, Jackson, Mahomes, Wilson, Watson, or Murray. He’s in the next tier with guys like Tannehill (played WR in college), Lock (high D-1 caliber basketball player), and Prescott. I’d probably put him at the top of that second group, but there’s a pretty clear step down after freakish measurable guys like Newton, Jackson, and Watson and the guys who could have played in the MLB like Mahomes, Wilson, and Murray.

50-26, 3 pro bowls, and 4 division titles in 5 seasons? That’s a franchise guy for the Chiefs. With SF, he was 38-36 with no pro bowls in 8 seasons. He was never a franchise QB for them.

Similar to Dak, people want act like Cam is just average when in reality they’re exactly what Josh aspires to be. Big, strong guys who came into the league as good runners but who struggled with accuracy throwing from the pocket. Cam maintained that style and has been successful but got beaten to a pulp. Dak turned himself into a true pocket passer who can still really run when it’s there but who doesn’t rely too heavily on it.