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Everything posted by DCOrange
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I saw Dune last night. I don't know anything of the source material so I can't say for sure where the movie is going. But Part 1 on it's own was pretty lame IMO. I understand it's just Part 1, and maybe the pay off in Part 2 will be great, but aside from the cool visuals and sound editing, there wasn't much there. It seemed like the entire Part 1 essentially existed just to build up the characters for Part 2, but I left feeling like none of the characters were really worth caring about. I'll still see Part 2 because I like the genre in general and I'm curious to see how it all ends, but I feel like Part 2 will have to really blow me away to ever have interest in seeing Part 1 again.
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He'd need to get at least $15 mil per year, maybe $20 mil per year to net us a 3rd round pick. I don't really see it unless Allen gets hurt and Trubisky steps in and flourishes. Not impossible, but I think it's probably more likely that whatever contract he signs positions us for a 5th or 6th round comp pick (and maybe doesn't generate a pick at all depending on what we do in the offseason). Having said that, I think he's probably worth keeping around unless we're offered a 1st or 2nd round pick which would shock the hell out of me.
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Been a lot of buzz that they're trying to stockpile to make a run at Aaron Rodgers in the offseason too
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Derrick Henry potential season ending injury
DCOrange replied to Process's topic in The Stadium Wall
I would imagine Tennessee will be trading for/signing a new RB. Their backups are pretty dreadful and just have no capability to remotely replace him. Wouldn't be surprised if Tampa sends them a RB; those two teams have had a pretty close relationship in the past and Tampa can afford to give up one of theirs (Vaughn most likely probably). -
I think it was also that Watson just flat out hates the Texans owner, president, GM, etc. Beyond just the moves they make, he hates them as people. And he likely also likes the idea of living in Miami. It has gone from "Miami is just a QB away" to "Tua is one of the only reasons they have a chance in games right now" though which you'd think would give him some pause (but it doesn't sound like it has).
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Taylor Heinicke TD Ruled No TD! Why?
DCOrange replied to Never NEVER Give-up's topic in The Stadium Wall
If Lamar had landed short of the end zone, this would be true. No, because Heinicke didn't come up short against Buffalo on his dive like he did against Green Bay. -
10/17 Gameday Thread: Around the League (Bills on bye)
DCOrange replied to Hapless Bills Fan's topic in The Stadium Wall
Probably, but at least they didn't actually have the choice of Burrow like they did Herbert. And Tua has been legitimately good the last couple games, granted against two very bad teams. Obviously not nearly at an MVP level like Herbert has demonstrated though. -
Please god no.
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I think he's probably worse than Tyrod was for us.
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Certainly possible but it'll depend on if Carlton Davis, Winfield, and potentially Murphy-Bunting are able to come back and stay healthy. If everyone is healthy, their secondary should be quite good. Unfortunately pretty much everyone is injured right now.
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https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/28100383/going-2-8-points-why-nfl-teams-keep-doing-why-analytics-backs-up Basically, going for 2 the first try increases your chances of winning. If you get it, you kick the PAT on the next score and win. If you don't get it, you go for 2 the next time and have a pretty decent chance of tying. If you kick the PAT the first time and miss it, you're in the same boat as if you had missed the 2 point conversion; going for 2 on the second try to tie it. If you kick the PAT the first time and make it, you still have to go for 2 the next time (if you're going for the win), only this time failing to convert means you lost while converting doesn't increase your odds anymore than the going for 2 the first time around does. Put simpler, assuming you're going to score two TDs while your opponent scores 0, you're left with the following odds: 2 Point conversion --> PAT = 59% win probability PAT --> PAT = 45.5% win probability PAT --> 2 Point conversion = 45% win probability
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Are Passer Rating and QBR Obsolete?
DCOrange replied to hondo in seattle's topic in The Stadium Wall
Passer rating has always been bad but particularly now that QBs do so much that wouldn't show up in passer rating. QBR is probably as good as it gets in terms of trying to put a number on a QB's performance, but QB performance is obviously a very difficult thing to quantify either way. -
Obviously buoyed by last night's monster game, but Lamar is currently on pace for just under 5,200 passing yards and 1,200 rushing yards this season.
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I think at least part of it is that when they were both in the draft, there was a very vocal community arguing that Lamar was an elite prospect and Allen sucked, and then Lamar came out and won MVP in his first season as a full-time starter while Allen was still being ripped apart by most people at the time. I viewed Lamar as the best prospect in the class that year but I was also high on Allen and I think the similarities between the two made it weird that it turned into such a polarizing argument.
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I definitely disagree with nobody else being close. I think Dak, Kyler, and Lamar all have a case to be made ahead of Henry. I think if the season ended today, Brady would probably win MVP, but it's a really muddled group at the top right now.
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Agreed but I think the rule is essentially if a QB’s knee touches the ground, they’re down. Doesn’t matter if they slide or dive anymore.
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It went forwards nearly a full yard before hitting the guy’s face mask.
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It’s like Giannis in the NBA. Sure, he has a few major holes in his game, but the things he does well he does so damn well that he can still be one of the best QBs in the league even with those holes.