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DabillsDaBillsDaBills

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Everything posted by DabillsDaBillsDaBills

  1. It's supposed to help with concussions/head injuries https://thehill.com/homenews/nexstar_media_wire/3819893-what-are-nfl-players-wearing-on-their-necks/
  2. To break it down a bit If we finish 6-0 down the stretch we have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs 5-1 puts us around 95%. It depends on who the loss is to. A loss to the Dolphins hurts a lot more than a loss to the Eagles or Cowboys 4-2 is close to a coin flip. It's going to vary a lot based on where we lose. 3-3 has a few possibilities, but it's highly unlikely we make it. Maybe a 1% chance 2-4 we're talking 1 in a million. Miami loses out and NYJ/NE don't make it to 8 wins. Bills win the division at 8-9
  3. Yep McD is down to only 2 options. Blame the GM for not assembling a strong enough roster (I don't see that working at all, Beane is widely viewed as one of the best GM's in the business). Or blame the franchise QB for turning it over too much / losing his mojo. I don't think either option will work, but he has a better chance of pinning blame on Josh.
  4. It seems to imply that the teams overall culture is fine, but that the offense specifically has a culture problem. McD's comments here just scream CYA to me. He's trying to setup the next scapegoat now that there isn't a coordinator to blame.
  5. I think the turnover narrative is way over-blown. Josh has about 6 BAD turnovers this year (fumbles vs Jets and Denver, INT vs Pats, Jets, Broncos, Bengals). The rest are a combination of game scenario and bad luck. "Arm punts" on 3rd and long from our side of the field and taking a deep shot. Losing a fumble on a hook and ladder vs Patriots on a last second desperation play. Davis letting a perfect throw go right through his hands. Tipped throws at the LOS. DB's making great catches and our WR's not breaking up 50/50 throws (some overlap here with arm punts).
  6. Interestingly enough the next week after the 6-3 "game" we beat the Jets 16-13 in OT. The OT featured a 3 and out by the Jets, then Fitz threw an INT, then Sanchez threw an INT, then the Bills drove down for the winning FG. One of the few "neither team wants to win" type games that I can remember the Bills coming out on top. Jauron lasted a few more weeks after that. He was fired in week 10 after losing to the Titans 41-17. That Titans game featured TO staring down Trent Edwards after Trent air-mailed a throw when he was wide open, and Trent throwing TWO pick 6's in the final 3 minutes. Bud Adams flipped off the Bills as we were leaving the field. Apparently that was the straw that broke the camels back for Ralph and he immediately fired Jauron.
  7. I find the Andy Reid comparisons interesting. 1) Reid had more playoff success in Philly than McD has in Buffalo. While McNabb was no slouch, it's clear that Allen is the better QB. 2) Philly fired Reid, the most successful HC in team history, before they won a SB 3) Philly only won a SB after firing Reid 4) Philly fired that SB winning coach, Pederson, 3 years later. They made the SB again with the next HC 2 years later If Reid needed Mahomes to get over the playoff hump to win a SB, what does McD need?
  8. Take a look at Mahomes game log this year and let me know what you think. I see 2 great games, 2 tire-fire games, and the rest are pretty mid. Is he a stat compiler too ?
  9. I think playing his best half of the season, with a high ankle sprain and broken shoulder, is the opposite of quiet quitting.
  10. McD was the driving force behind the decision Beane/Pegula signed off on it Players actions played a part in McD's decisionn
  11. I'm curious if calling back to back all out blitzes normally results in giving up a big gain on the 2nd play. My guess is that it would, but i have no data to back that up
  12. I noticed that guys hand during the game last night, but just thought it was a massive scab from a cut. Is pine tar actually illegal in the NFL ? With all the stick 'em they allow on gloves you'd think they wouldn't care.
  13. A player who makes a catch may advance the ball. A forward pass is complete (by the offense) or intercepted (by the defense) in the field of play, at the sideline, or in the end zone if a player, who is inbounds: a. secures control of the ball in his hands or arms prior to the ball touching the ground; and b. touches the ground inbounds with both feet or with any part of his body other than his hands; and c. after (a) and (b) have been fulfilled, performs any act common to the game (e.g., tuck the ball away, extend it forward, take an additional step, turn upfield, or avoid or ward off an opponent), or he maintains control of the ball long enough to do so. 2.) If a player, who satisfied (a) and (b), but has not satisfied (c), contacts the ground and loses control of the ball, it is an incomplete pass if the ball hits the ground before he regains control, or if he regains control out of bounds Was he considered down by contact before the ball was ripped out so he didn't need to meet 'c' ? I don't really know. I think if the ball popped out like that, without a defender touching him, it would've been an incompletion.
  14. I've scoffed at the idea that Josh is 'checked out' or whatever, but I thought his lack of enthusiasm after the go-ahead TD with 1:55 left was extremely telling. Maybe he was trying to not show any emotion after the taunting penalty last week. Maybe during the 2 minute warning McD told the offense to not score on the first play and to burn more time off the clock. Maybe he's shell-shocked from the number of times he's scored a late go-ahead TD and still lost.
  15. I guess Josh's offseason made Cook fumble the first play from scrimmage. And for Gabe Davis to turn a 1st down from the DEN 15 into an INT. And for Kincaid to turn a 3rd down conversion into a punt. Murray had a bad drop too, although that play looked like it was only going to gain a few yards. The 2nd INT and the botched handoff with Cook were bad, but Josh had a pretty good game overall.
  16. I can't see this team making the playoffs even with a win next week. We're up to 6 straight games of the offense sputtering. The DEF has been mostly bad as well even if it's forgivable given the injury situation. This is no longer a blip. This is who the Bills are this season.
  17. Special teams was ass tonight too. 12 men on the FG is an obvious blunder, but Sam Martin was averaging 44 yards on punts with no hang time to the center of the field. Big return allowed on a short kickoff too
  18. Don't get me wrong, the players made a LOT of mistakes tonight, but 12 men on the field there is a fireable mistake. We had used back to back timeouts after Broncos kneeldowns and McD had ~5 minutes of real time to figure out what to do. The decision was to have 12 men on the field.
  19. 13 times this season a team has won scoring 18 points or fewer. Note I'm using 'team' and not 'offense' so I'm not counting a game like the Jets vs Bills in week 1 where the Jets O scored 16 and had a special teams TD push it to 22. Our offensive output would give us a 10% chance of winning while our defensive effort would give 5% based on the NFL averages this season. Neither side of the ball played well enough to deserve a win, but slight edge to the Offense for being just a little bit better than the Defense. ST was bad too
  20. Complete list of games this season where a defense allowed 24+ points and forced 0 turnovers in a win: Week 1: Dolphins 36 Chargers 34 Week 2: Giants 31 Cardinals 28 Titans 27 Chargers 24 (OT) Falcons 25 Packers 24 Week 3: Seahawks 37 Panthers 27 Week 4: Eagles 34 Commanders 31 6 times out of 136 games and not once since week 4. I guess my initial estimate of the DEF giving us a 10-20% chance of winning was too generous. As for the bolded section, that's exactly the reason I included it. The Bengals shortest drive was short because of timeouts, not because the DEF got a quick stop. I thought spelling that out would be redundant and an insult to other poster's intelligence. My apologies for misestimating you.
  21. The shortest Bengals possession was a 1:52 TD drive that featured 4 timeouts (1 injury, 1 Bills TO, 1 Bengals TO, and the 2 minute warning). Our offense did have 2x 3 and outs and a quick turnover, but they would have to play a perfect game to have TOP be close to even. 24 points, 400 yards, 0 turnovers, 1 sack, and 36 minutes TOP is a lousy defensive game. It's not impossible to win in those circumstances, but it's a lot for an offense to overcome.
  22. There's more to a game than just points. Do you think the Bills DEF (24 points allowed) played better than the Jets DEF (27 points allowed) this week ? Turnovers, TOP, and Yards all matter and our defense was absolutely gashed the entire game without forcing a turnover. Looking at points allowed, turnovers forced, TOP, and yards allowed the DEF gave us maybe a 10-20% chance of winning the game. I'd put the offense around the same percentile.
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