GoBills808

More hard hitting analysis from the best analytical minds in the business

But it's their lively hoods!

I have to disagree with your characterization of Poyer getting trucked...I though he hung in there w good form and held Waller up long enough for Norman to make the play Poyer has quietly been our best player on defense imo, and I was pretty critical of him last season wrt tackling. It looks like he put on some muscle this year and it's helped his game immensely

Yep! Try to go at least once a week All saltwater, shoreline at night for small game (technique called whipping) or slide bait big rigs for ulua (GTs) Sometimes my buddy needs a partner on his boat and troll open ocean for yellowfin tuna or drag some lures at the 40fathom for ono (wahoo) and mahimahi Or take the kayak out and do similar trolling yeh i want to go ice fishing real bad

EV (expected value) in cards is similar to EPA wherein each action or play is either positive or negative (or neutral) depending on a set of known variables. This is quantifiable math as opposed to DVOA/PFF grades which are proprietary and/or subjective. Example- say the EV of a $50 bet on a particular board, with a particular hand against a range of particular hands your opponent could have, with respect to your implied odds of winning X dollars is POSITIVE, or +EV...if you are playing a mathematically sound game you should always make that bet regardless of outcome. You'll lose the hand a nonzero percentage but if a play is +EV it is the correct move, no matter if you end up winning or losing. Similar to QB fumble: a QB fumble is always -EPA regardless of who happens to recover it. A bad pass thrown at the defender’s chest is -EPA regardless of whether he intercepts it or it falls to the ground. Using outcomes to determine whether a particular action is positive or negative is inherently flawed analysis, statistically speaking.

This is incorrect. In poker we'd say you are being results-oriented instead of playing how the math dictates.

Further, I believe there's evidence to suggest that INTs, while still beholden to an element of luck, can be influenced by a measure of skill on the defender's side, whereas fumble recoveries by one team or another are almost completely if not entirely coincidental.

Fumble should always be negative as recoveries are generally a function of luck

Pepper X

Not compared to ours anyway

Aikman is a career 61.5% completion guy. He threw 165 TDs and 141 INTs. Averaged about 7 yards/attempt, career 82 rating, 5.66 ANY/A If you think Aikman is the best case scenario for Allen you quite simply don't know what you're talking about.

Troy Aikman is best case scenario?

shoutout to Josh Norman for bringing back the peanut punch big play

You always go for the juggler

There’s a new rule wrt receiver going to ground apparently

This is some true degenerate ***** right here approve

Prescott is awful

Nah

Good analysis imo...seeing around 70% action on BUF-3 but over 80%of wagers on LAR +152, my guess is Bills win a close one Raiders cover

He put the poor bastard back in after injury on THIRD AND 5 😂😂😂

Possible but no way for PFF to know that also question throwing into zone there, poor decision...receiver was bracketed to me it’s the definition of a turnover worthy play

troll thread 100%

He was running a dig. That's the idea...you stop the route. It was a bad pass

It would be hilarious watching these guys try to throw and catch, much less hit

You think there's a general lack of respect for Edmunds in coverage